AI Infrastructure

Update

AI Infrastructure

AI infrastructure plays - semis, networking, power, packaging. PLTR RSI 22↓, MRVL weak.


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 MIXED - Infrastructure holding, software/defense names crushed
Key insight PLTR RSI 22↓ from -19.8% 30D selloff. ARM -9.7% 30D weak.
Memory ripping MU/STX/WDC all RSI 72-77↑ - HBM thesis playing out but extended

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
📈 WATCH PLTR RSI 22↓ oversold, but -32.8% from high
🔍 RESEARCH MRVL -18.2% 30D, custom ASICs thesis
⚠️ AVOID MU, STX, WDC RSI 72-77↑ overbought after parabolic run
🔒 HOLD TSM, ASML Quality foundry/equipment

Data (Validated 2026-02-04)

Stock Price 7D 30D 3M 52wkHi RSI Status Action
AMZN $232.99 -2.6% -0.0% -6.9% -9.9% 46 🟡 Sideways 📈 DCA zone
NVDA $174.19 -5.8% -7.4% -10.8% -17.9% 41 🟡 Pullback 🔍 Watch
ASML $1339.13 -1.8% +9.0% +28.3% -10.3% 58 🟢 Strong 🔒 Hold
TAC $12.59 -5.0% -2.2% -25.4% -29.6% 55 🟡 Weak 🔍 Research
TSM $325.74 -1.1% +1.1% +11.2% -7.3% 49 🟡 Neutral 🔒 Hold
PLTR $139.54 -3.1% -19.8% -25.7% -32.8% 22↓ 🟢 OVERSOLD 📈 Watch
MRVL $73.73 -10.0% -18.2% -20.6% -39.5% 32 🟢 Near oversold 🔍 Research
ARM $104.90 -5.4% -9.7% -34.5% -42.7% 50 🟡 Weak 🔍 Watch

Memory (Extended - Avoid Adding)

Stock Price 7D 30D RSI Status
MU $437.80 +6.6% +40.3% 76↑ ⚠️ Overbought
STX $432.95 +12.8% +49.4% 77↑ ⚠️ Overbought
WDC $270.23 +3.3% +43.8% 72↑ ⚠️ Overbought

Key Positions

PLTR - Palantir (Watching)

Thesis: AI/defense software. Government + enterprise AI platform.

Metric Value
Current $139.54
30D -19.8%
RSI 22↓ (Oversold)
52wk High -32.8%

Analysis:

  • RSI 22 = significant oversold
  • AI hype cycle turning - PLTR caught in rotation
  • Fundamentals still strong (profitable, growing)
  • Government contracts = stable revenue base

Action: 📈 Watch for stabilization. Don't catch falling knife.

MRVL - Marvell (Research)

Thesis: Custom ASICs for AI. Celestial AI partnership.

Metric Value
Current $73.73
30D -18.2%
RSI 32
52wk High -39.5%

Analysis:

  • Custom silicon for hyperscalers (Google, Amazon)
  • Celestial AI optical interconnect partnership
  • Competition from NVDA custom silicon
  • Needs deeper research

Action: 🔍 Research thesis before entry

Memory Stocks (Avoid)

MU, STX, WDC all RSI 72-77↑ after parabolic 40-50% runs.

Analysis:

  • HBM thesis correct - memory demand for AI real
  • BUT: +40-50% 30D runs = extremely extended
  • Wait for pullback to RSI <50 before considering

Action: ⚠️ Avoid adding at current levels


Entry Zones Status

Stock Entry Zone Current Status
PLTR <$120 $139.54 🔍 Above zone but oversold
MRVL <$70 $73.73 🔍 Near zone (needs research)
MU <$350 $437.80 ⚠️ Way above (wait pullback)

Next Actions

  • Watch PLTR for stabilization at current oversold levels
  • Deep dive MRVL custom ASIC thesis
  • Monitor memory (MU/STX/WDC) for pullback
  • Track TAC Alberta catalyst

Commands

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