Reason: MSFT is the most extended name in the group - RSI 70.9 (near-overbought), 30D +25.22%, and a 20-day gap of +10% even while death-crossed; NVDA holds the cleanest golden-cross/thesis-intact structure at RSI 62.8; AAPL and GOOGL both sit in negative-momentum weeks despite intact theses.

Tape Read

$MSFT: price $495.40, RSI 70.9 (near-overbought), death-crossed, regime breakout, thesis intact, 7D -0.92%, 30D +25.22%, 20-day gap +10% (the most extended chart in the group), -10.27% off its 52-week high. $NVDA: price $225.16, RSI 62.8, golden-cross, regime basing, thesis intact, 7D +0.54%, 30D +5.96%, -4.75% off its high. $GOOGL: price $345.90, RSI 46.7, golden-cross, regime pullback, thesis intact, 7D -2.37%, 30D -6.75%, -15.23% off its high. $AAPL: price $305.93, RSI 43.8, golden-cross, regime uptrend, thesis intact, 7D -2.28%, 30D -6.51%, -11.14% off its high. Source: full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-08-14 close — mag7.

• $MSFT — WATCH: RSI 70.9 (near-overbought), 30D +25.22%, 20-day gap +10% — the most extended chart in the group, still death-crossed despite the breakout regime and intact thesis.
• $NVDA — WATCH: RSI 62.8, golden-cross, regime basing, thesis intact, -4.75% off its 52-week high.
• $GOOGL — WATCH: RSI 46.7, golden-cross, regime pullback, thesis intact, but 7D -2.37% and 30D -6.75%.
• $AAPL — WATCH: RSI 43.8, golden-cross, regime uptrend, thesis intact, but 7D -2.28% and 30D -6.51%.

Lead pick: $MSFT is the story this cycle purely on extension — RSI 70.9 and a 20-day gap of +10% make it the most stretched chart in the group even though it's still technically death-crossed. No name in the basket clears a clean PROMOTE bar; the group is split between MSFT's overbought-adjacent extension and AAPL/GOOGL's negative-momentum drift.

Sources

• Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-08-14 close — mag7.