Status Report
Article
Status Report
Status Report — June 16, 2026
Full Scan R32 | 29 scans | 10 active perspectives + 3 monitoring | 69 monsters | bull intact but bifurcated
Regime: healthy-consolidation / AI-infra-rotation / energy-collapse / SPCX-debut-no-liquidity-drain / cybersec-ripping / SaaS-blowoff-unwound
1. Market Weather
| Index/Macro | Price | RSI | 7D% | 30D% | Trend | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VOO | $689.75 | 56.9 | +1.8% | +1.6% | strong-up | Risk-on intact, -1.3% from ATH. Healthy grind, not euphoria |
| SPY (proxy) | $750.33 | 56.9 | +1.8% | +1.6% | strong-up | Same read; broad index holding near highs |
| QQQM | $300.56 | 56.3 | +3.9% | +3.4% | strong-up | Tech leading; consolidation absorbed |
| SMH (semis) | $616.00 | 56.9 | +8.1% | +12.8% | strong-up | Semis ripping — no SPCX liquidity drain. Memory/storage the engine |
| VIXY | $21.82 | 34.8 | -7.8% | -17.0% | strong-down | Vol complacency extreme; less floor-pinned than May 29 but still low |
| VXX | $22.57 | 34.3 | -7.8% | -17.0% | strong-down | Confirms complacency — fear unwinding toward normal |
| GLD | $397.63 | 43.5 | +0.1% | -5.0% | down | Below SMA20. Gold-crash perspective tracking; accumulate zone $390-410 |
| TLT | $86.19 | 59.5 | +0.8% | +3.6% | weak-up | Bonds firming — first constructive bond tape in a while (rates easing) |
| EEM | $68.64 | 56.7 | +4.9% | +6.2% | strong-up | EM risk-on; Korea (EWY +16.9% 30D) leading on memory/semis |
| XLE | $55.36 | 39.4 | -3.1% | -8.6% | weak-down | Energy cratering — OPEC+ supply + soft demand; risk premium fully exiting |
Conditions: Bull intact but bifurcated. Memory/storage is in a historic rip (MU $1,021 RSI 60 cooled from 78, SNDK $1,992 +49% 30D, ARM +84% 30D RSI 64) — extended, hold-don't-chase. AI-infra is in a healthy pullback (NVDA RSI 47 weak-down, AVGO RSI 41 -23.9% from ATH) — accumulate setups, not breakdowns. SaaS blowoff fully unwound (CRWD 84→57, DDOG 88→58, OKTA 83→59) — RSI reset is the re-accumulate signal. Energy is collapsing across the complex (USO -22.7% 30D, BNO oversold). Vol complacency extreme. SPCX (SpaceX ETF proxy) debuted +49% above offering / +25.4% 30D with NO AI-infra liquidity drain — incremental demand, not rotation; SMH still +12.8% 30D.
Regime call: Honor stops, re-accumulate the quality pullbacks (AVGO/CRWD/NVDA), do not chase memory. Six stops/targets fired today cleaning the book; AVGO was the unanimous re-entry across all four core personas.
2. Sector Heat Map
Extended / Hold-Don't-Chase
| Sector | Tickers (RSI) | Read |
|---|---|---|
| Memory/Storage (HISTORIC RIP) | MU 60 (+49.8% 30D), SNDK 66.5 (+49.4%), STX 71.6, WDC 73.3 | Blowoff intact but cooling. MU price-up/RSI-down divergence = healthiest continuation. No new entry — trailing stops |
| Custom silicon | ARM 63.9 (+84.2% 30D), LSCC 54.5 | Repricing running further even as RSI resets. Digesting healthily; hold |
| Cybersec (post-blowoff) | FTNT 67.6 (+16.2% 30D), PANW 63.3, GD 65.5 | Ripping on AI-security spend. FTNT/PANW now extended again |
Re-Accumulate Zone (the work)
| Sector | Tickers (RSI) | Read |
|---|---|---|
| AI infra (healthy pullback) | AVGO 41 (-23.9% from ATH), NVDA 47.4, ASML/ARM/MRVL still strong | Quality consolidation. AVGO best approaching-oversold; NVDA at SMA20 floor watch |
| SaaS (blowoff unwound) | CRWD 57 (84→57), DDOG 57.7 (88→), OKTA 59 (83→) | RSI reset without trend break — textbook re-entry. CRWD/DDOG best risk/reward |
| Gold | GLD 43.5 (-5% 30D) | Dipped into $390-410. Accumulate on weakness (gold-crash perspective) |
Avoid / Broken
| Sector | Tickers (RSI) | Read |
|---|---|---|
| Energy (COLLAPSE) | XLE 39.4 (-8.6% 30D), USO 33 (-22.7%), BNO oversold | OPEC+ supply unwind — not a dip. Avoid energy longs |
| SaaS structural breaks | ZS 41.6 (-62% from ATH), INTU 34.3 (-65.5%), HUBS 38.8 (-67.8%), ADBE 31.7 (-48%) | Isolated misses while peers rip. Do not catch — these are not the unwound-blowoff names |
| China/EV | BYDDY 28.8 (strong-down, GC lost) | Needs China stimulus catalyst before stage-in |
3. Top 5 Opportunities
| # | Stock | Price | RSI | Zone | Source | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVGO | $376.71 | 41.0 | $360-380 | ai-infra/bargain-bin | Broadcom AI custom-silicon + network. -23.9% from ATH, -9.2% vs SMA20. Best approaching-oversold AI infra. Unanimous core buy today. GC technically intact |
| 2 | CRWD | $679.49 | 57.1 | $650-690 | cybersec/cloud-saas | SaaS/cybersec blowoff fully unwound (84→57). RSI reset without trend break = textbook re-accumulate. Strong-up trend resumed |
| 3 | DDOG | — | 57.7 | accumulate | cloud-saas | Same unwound-blowoff setup (88→57.7). Cleanest paired re-entry with CRWD; insider selling pressure likely cleared |
| 4 | NVDA | $207.41 | 47.4 | $200-213 | ai-infra/focus | Foundational AI chip in healthy pullback. At SMA20 floor (-2.7% vs SMA20), GC intact. claude-trader added today; watch RSI 40-45 |
| 5 | GLD | $397.63 | 43.5 | $390-410 | macro/gold-crash | Dipped below prior zone into accumulate range. -5% 30D. Risk-off ballast as energy/vol regimes shift |
4. Top Risks
| Risk | Signal | Status |
|---|---|---|
| AMZN 2.5% above $240 stop | RSI 43.1 weak-down DC, -7.1% 30D, still +20.3% pos | 🚨 CRITICAL — only 2.44% cushion to stop across pelosi/druck/coatue/ark/greenoaks/atreides mirrors + real book. AWS thesis at short-term risk |
| MDT real-money stop breached | $81.32 vs $83 stop, RSI 57 (bounce from lows) strong-down, -16.6% pos | 🚨 BREACHED FURTHER (R30/R31 carry). User must exit / reset / thesis-recheck. Bounce is from oversold, not trend reversal |
| CRM real-money | $161.71, RSI 36.1 strong-down DC, -15.3% pos, no stop set | 🚨 Structural watch — -41.6% from ATH, no re-entry thesis. Hold-or-exit decision needed |
| BTC/GBTC instrument mismatch | ledger "BTC" $29.04 vs spot $65,781, -27.5% pos | 🚨 UNRESOLVED P0 (R30/R31 carry). Verify instrument |
| NUGT near -20% | yolo gold-miner 3x, -14.4% pos, strong-down | ⚠️ Worst yolo position; -50.6% from 52wk high. Gold complex weak, leveraged drag compounding |
| Energy collapse | XLE -8.6% 30D, USO -22.7%, BNO oversold | 🔴 Avoid sector longs — supply unwind, not a dip |
| Memory extended | MU/SNDK/ARM +49-84% 30D | ⚠️ Do not chase; trailing stops on the rip |
5. Actions Log (today's paper trades)
Exits (stops + profit targets) — book cleaning:
| Strategy | Action | Ticker | Result | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| atreides-13f | SELL | HUBS | -25.3% | stop-loss-15 (SaaS structural break) |
| coatue-13f | SELL | MSFT | -16.5% | stop-loss-15 (Azure AI thesis failed) |
| tepper-13f | SELL | MSFT | -16.5% | stop-loss-15 (2nd MSFT mirror) |
| bench-signals | SELL | INTU | -18.2% (-$182) | stop-loss-15 (AI tax-prep disruption) |
| claude-momentum | SELL | CF | -12.5% | hard -10% stop (energy/ag weakness) |
| bench-signals | SELL | GE | +23.7% (+$237) | profit-target +20% |
| bench-signals | SELL | ASML | +23.8% (+$239) | profit-target +20% |
Buys (re-accumulate the quality pullbacks):
| Strategy | Buys | Thesis |
|---|---|---|
| All 4 core | AVGO (unanimous) | RSI 41 lone AI-infra laggard in a healthy cohort; SMH +12.8% 30D, custom-silicon thesis durable |
| claude-trader | + CRWD, + NVDA | CRWD re-accumulate (blowoff unwound); NVDA add at SMA20 floor |
| yolo | + CRWD, + SOXL | CRWD re-accumulate; SOXL re-mounting leverage (took +25% 6/07, RSI cooled) |
6. Portfolio Pulse
Full Leaderboard (cash + position market value, all paper personas)
| Rank | Account | Type | Total Value | Return | #Pos | #Trades | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | aschenbrenner-13f | 13f | $184,127 | +84.13% | 0 | 52 | All-cash after realizing the AI-power run |
| 2 | druckenmiller-13f | 13f | $124,700 | +24.70% | 20 | 45 | SNDK/ARM/MU/INTC/BE monster book; +$24.2K unrealized |
| 3 | tepper-13f | 13f | $116,162 | +16.16% | 4 | 25 | Closed MSFT today; UBER core |
| 4 | yolo | core | $116,120 | +16.12% | 13 | 30 | Core leader. LABU/ABBV winners; NUGT/GDX drag |
| 5 | atreides-13f | 13f | $112,308 | +12.31% | 8 | 34 | Closed HUBS today |
| 6 | pelosi-trades | congress | $111,747 | +11.75% | 6 | 19 | GOOGL +36%, AVGO +51.6%, VST drag |
| 7 | altimeter-13f | 13f | $110,545 | +10.54% | 4 | 12 | UBER core |
| 8 | klarman-13f | 13f | $110,354 | +10.35% | 1 | 8 | Single large position +$2.7K |
| 9 | claude-trader | core | $108,015 | +8.01% | 17 | 32 | Core #2. LLY +24%, DE +11%; added AVGO/CRWD/NVDA |
| 10 | claude-momentum | core | $107,058 | +7.06% | 5 | 51 | Core #3. Closed CF; added AVGO. COST/WMT green |
| 11 | coatue-13f | 13f | $104,831 | +4.83% | 8 | 41 | Closed MSFT; TTD/NFLX/PATH drag |
| 12 | loeb-13f | 13f | $104,153 | +4.15% | 2 | 28 | GLD drag |
| 13 | ackman-13f | 13f | $103,717 | +3.72% | 1 | 6 | META -7.6% |
| 14 | buffett-13f | 13f | $101,358 | +1.36% | 3 | 4 | — |
| 15 | dca-larry | passive | $100,866 | +0.87% | 2 | 4 | Passive DCA |
| 16 | buffer-trader | low-vol | $100,563 | +0.56% | 2 | 2 | JEPI/BAPR buffered wrappers |
| 17 | fintwit-pepemoonboy | fintwit | $100,493 | +0.49% | 1 | 1 | AMKR +49% |
| 18 | einhorn-13f | 13f | $100,429 | +0.43% | 0 | 2 | All-cash |
| 19 | akre-13f | 13f | $100,131 | +0.13% | 1 | 3 | CRM -13.4% |
| 20 | greenoaks-13f | 13f | $100,055 | +0.06% | 1 | 1 | — |
| 21 | ark-innovation | mirror | $100,045 | +0.04% | 6 | 11 | RBLX/SHOP/CRSP small |
| — | degen / short-seller / swing-kid / value-vulture | revived | $100,000 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | Live-but-cold (revived 6/06, 0 trades) |
| — | autotrade | paper | $99,979 | -0.02% | 0 | 4 | v1 killed; flat |
| — | burry-13f | 13f | $96,156 | -3.84% | 1 | 1 | LULU -34.2% (only red 13f) |
| — | bench-signals | core | $47,651 mv | +3.59% unrealized / +13.2% over invested | 46 | 80 | Each signal = $1k fresh. $46.0K invested → $47.7K. See winners/losers below |
| — | yawnxyz-active | REAL | $41,606 | +11.36% | 16 | 23 | Real book. +$4,243 P&L. Concerns: BTC/MDT/CRM |
Note: aschenbrenner-13f's +84% is realized-and-parked (all cash); druckenmiller's +24.7% is the live monster book. Among the live trading-discretion books, druckenmiller leads, then the core four cluster yolo > claude-trader > claude-momentum.
Core 4 — per-strategy position tables
claude-trader ($108.0K, +8.0%, 17 pos) — winners: LLY +24.2%, DE +10.6%, META +9.6%, ANET +9.1%, ABBV +8.7%; new today: AVGO/CRWD (flat), NVDA add; laggards: GILD -2.4%, NVDA -0.9%
claude-momentum ($107.1K, +7.1%, 5 pos) — COST +3.2%, WMT +2.3% green; AVGO new (flat); NVDA -1.8%, LHX -2.2%; closed CF -12.5% today
yolo ($116.1K, +16.1%, 13 pos) — winners: LABU +12.0%, ABBV +8.7%, MARA +4.4%, BITQ +3.2%, NKE +1.9%; new: AVGO/CRWD/SOXL (flat); drag: NUGT -14.4%, GDX -7.5%, GILD -2.4%
bench-signals ($47.7K mv, +3.59% unrealized, 46 pos)
- Winners: DXCM +17.6%, BA +17.3%, GD +16.3%, FCX +14.9%, DIA +14.5%, XLB +12.3%, XLF +11.1%, ITA +11.0%, VYM +10.4%, GDX +10.2%
- Losers: CF -13.2%, LULU -9.2%, URA -8.3%, CME -8.2%, SYK -7.8%, GILD -7.6%
- Closed today: GE +23.7% (+$237), ASML +23.8% (+$239), INTU -18.2% (-$182). Realized prior wins: DRAM +32.0%, LLY +22.3%, TSM +20.9%
7. Key Numbers
- Core leaderboard: yolo $116.1K (+16.1%) > claude-trader $108.0K (+8.0%) > claude-momentum $107.1K (+7.1%) > bench-signals $47.7K (+3.6% unrealized / +13.2% over invested)
- Real book (yawnxyz-active): $41,606, +11.36%, +$4,243 P&L, 16 positions. Best: NET +30.2%, QQQM +21.7%, AMZN +20.3%. Worst: BTC -27.5%, MDT -16.6%, CRM -15.3%
- Today: 7 exits (5 stops, 2 profit targets), AVGO unanimous core buy + CRWD×2, NVDA, SOXL
- Top profit targets: GE +23.7%, ASML +23.8% (bench). Worst stop: HUBS -25.3% (atreides)
- Best live discretion book: druckenmiller-13f +24.7% ($124.7K, +$24.2K unrealized on monster names)
- Market: VOO -1.3% from ATH RSI 57; SMH +12.8% 30D RSI 57; VIXY -17% 30D RSI 35; XLE -8.6% 30D
- Universe: 29 scans, 69 monsters, 10 active perspectives + 3 monitoring, 5 oversold names (RSI<30) across 638 symbols
8. What Changed (vs prior status)
- SaaS blowoff fully unwound → re-accumulate window opened. The April/May tape had CRWD/DDOG/OKTA at RSI 83-88 (trim-only). Now reset to 57-59 without trend break — flipped from "do not buy" to the cleanest re-entry of the cycle. CRWD bought today by claude-trader + yolo.
- AI-infra rotated from parabolic to healthy-pullback. ARM/AVGO were RSI 78-87 blowoff in April; AVGO now RSI 41 (-23.9% from ATH) = first real accumulate zone. AVGO was the unanimous core buy today (all four).
- Memory/storage went from "extended" to historic rip. MU $1,021 (RSI 60, cooled from 78), SNDK $1,992 (+49% 30D) — the bull's primary engine now. Hold-don't-chase; trailing stops.
- Energy flipped from "cooling" to outright collapse. USO -22.7% 30D, XLE -8.6%, BNO oversold — OPEC+ supply unwind. CF stopped out -12.5% today; avoid the sector.
- MSFT thesis broke. April "Azure AI repricing" narrative reversed RSI 70→40 (strong-down DC). Two MSFT mirrors (coatue, tepper) stopped out -16.5% today. GOOGL is now the only improving Mag7.
- SPCX debuted with no liquidity drain. New SpaceX ETF proxy +49% above offering / +25.4% 30D — incremental demand layered on top of a firm AI cohort (SMH +12.8% 30D), NOT rotation out of AI infra.
- Vol complacency unwinding off the May 29 extreme but still low. VIXY -17% 30D RSI 35 — less floor-pinned than the prior tape, but the market remains complacent; honor stops.
Sources: positions --json + accounts list --json (live prices, summaries/*.json confirmed 2026-06-16 fresh) + 4 core LEDGER.json (today's trades + closedPositions) + 2026-06-16-actions-daily-digest.md + holdings positions yawnxyz-active. Prior status: 2026-04-26. R32. Date: 2026-06-16.
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