CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Desk view

Watchingmedium conviction · entry $110-$115 — not entered
Basis Logged decision ·Entry target
Updated

Market read

Scan convergence 2 scans as of 2026-08-17 1 bull 1 neutral converging

POC $84.43 · VWAP $104.36 · +12.9% vs 12m avg buyer

pullback vol: normalgaps: overnight-shiftchurn: quiet as of

Insiders quiet 0 buy / 0 sell · Form 4, 90d

Coverage

4 related perspectives

Watchlists @food-security@monster-discoveries

CF Price Structure

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Peers

Every watchlist CF belongs to, members best 30-day change first — CF highlighted in place. Each pill: 30d change, 1d/7d, and a close spark over the last 30 calendar days (~21 sessions); hover for price, RSI, and the full chart.

@food-security
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NTR+1.5% +0.1%1d +3.0%7d DBA+1.1% +1.3%1d +1.1%7d DEE+0.5% -1.5%1d -1.5%7d MOO-1.6% -0.2%1d -0.3%7d CF-3.0% -0.4%1d -3.1%7d BG-3.6% +1.1%1d +2.0%7d MOS-4.1% -1.8%1d -9.5%7d ADM-5.4% +1.0%1d +1.0%7d FMC-9.2% +0.3%1d -3.0%7d CTVA-12.9% -0.9%1d -0.6%7d
@monster-discoveries
View watchlist →
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-0.8%1d +7.8%7d AIP-10.3% -1.7%1d +2.7%7d COCO-10.5% +0.4%1d +4.5%7d ALMS-11.0% +0.8%1d -7.2%7d ABVX-11.7% +1.5%1d -5.3%7d ACHC-13.0% -2.7%1d -5.6%7d ANDE-13.1% +4.5%1d +5.3%7d CTRI-13.7% +1.2%1d +0.6%7d LION-13.9% -0.3%1d -3.1%7d CALY-14.3% +0.8%1d -2.6%7d MAAS-14.6% +1.3%1d -19.6%7d BTSG-14.6% -2.2%1d -1.7%7d IPGP-15.6% +2.7%1d +3.7%7d CHRN-16.0% +6.0%1d +16.1%7d ESTA-17.2% -3.6%1d +2.1%7d BKD-18.5% -3.2%1d -10.7%7d AHG-19.9% -4.7%1d -10.4%7d AAON-20.9% +0.3%1d -1.3%7d BBAR-21.5% -0.5%1d -11.8%7d LASR-22.0% +2.7%1d +5.9%7d DAVE-22.5% +2.0%1d +10.5%7d DVA-25.4% -1.9%1d -3.8%7d

Decision history

1 scored call · newest first · projection

How to read this: Positive 30-day excess supports an enter call. For pass, avoid, sell, or exit calls, a positive number means the name kept rising after the call.

Jun 16 sell n/a Stop loss +12.1% complete

Next earnings CF reports in 78 days Nov 4

Last report May 6

Reported the quarter ending 2026-03-31: revenue $1.99B, diluted EPS $3.98, net income $676M (SEC filing). Across the print the stock moved -7.3% (close before → first close after).

full note →

Against street estimates

How CF's reported EPS compared with analyst consensus. Street estimates are single-source vendor consensus (yfinance). Actuals are vendor consensus-basis EPS (often non-GAAP); edgarEps is GAAP diluted from filings — disputed flags large disagreement only. EPS only.

8 most recent of 10 quarters · newest report Aug 5 · projection Aug 17

Result
Aug 5 5.574.73-15.1%Miss
May 6 2.733.98+45.7%Beat
Feb 18 2.352.59+10.4%Beat
Nov 5 '25 2.072.19+5.6%Beat
Aug 6 '25 2.482.37-4.5%Miss
May 7 '25 1.511.85+22.9%Beat
Feb 19 '25 1.521.89+24.5%Beat
Oct 30 '24 1.111.55+40.1%Beat

News (last pull)

Headlines about CF from the desk's news pull — links go to the publisher. Not a desk read: the market read above is the desk's own.

pulled 42 days ago · Jul 7

“On or before” marks an article that arrived without a publish date — the date shown is when the desk pulled it, so the article is at least that old.

CF research tape

43 dated scans, research, and events, newest first — the full record. Desk commentary and scheduled prints sit in their own panes.

scan Monster Scan — 2026-08-17 scan Food Security Scan — August 14, 2026 scan Monster Scan — 2026-08-14 deep dive CF Industries (CF) — Deep Dive scan Monster Scan — 2026-08-13
Types
Aug 17 Scan Monster Scan
005930.KS298040.KS5991.T6779.TAAMIAAOIABBNYABCL +4 more
Aug 14 Scan Food Security Scan
NTRMOSCFDEEADMBGCTVAFMC +2 more
Aug 14 Scan Monster Scan
005930.KS298040.KS5991.T6779.TAAMIAAOIABBNYABCL +4 more
Aug 14 Deep Dive CF Industries (CF)
CF
Aug 13 Scan Monster Scan
005930.KS298040.KS5991.T6779.TAAMIAAOIABBNYABCL +4 more
Aug 12 Scan Monster Scan
005930.KS298040.KS5991.T6779.TAAMIAAOIABBNYABCL +4 more
Aug 8 Scan Food Security Scan
NTRMOSCFDEEADMBGCTVAFMC +2 more
Aug 8 Scan Monster Scan
005930.KS298040.KS5991.T6779.TAALAAMIAAOIABBNY +4 more
Aug 5 Catalyst CF earnings
CF
Jul 31 Scan Food Security Scan
NTRMOSCFDEEADMBGCTVAFMC
Jul 28 Scan Food Security Scan
NTRMOSCFDEEADMBGCTVAFMC
Jul 25 Desk Move CF — claude-trader buy
CF
Jul 25 Scan Food Security Scan
NTRMOSCFDEEADMBGCTVAFMC
Jul 17 Scan Food Security Scan
NTRMOSCFDEEADMBGCTVAFMC
Jul 11 Scan Food Security Scan
NTRMOSCFDEEADMBGCTVAFMC
Jul 7 Scan Food Security Scan
NTRMOSCFDEEADMBGCTVAFMC
Jul 1 Investigation Iran war second and third order effects beyond oil
FROINSWDHTACGLSTNGCF#us-energy-dominance#gulf-infrastructure-strike#war-ends-playbook
Jun 26 Scan Food Security Scan
NTRMOSCFDEEADMBGCTVAFMC
Jun 25 Scan Food Security Scan
NTRMOSCFDEEADMBGCTVAFMC
Jun 20 Scan Food Security Scan
NTRMOSCFDEEADMBGCTVAFMC
Jun 16 Article Status Report — June 16, 2026 (PM RE-RUN)
VOOSPYQQQMSMHVIXYVXXGLDTLT +4 more
Jun 16 Article Daily Actions — June 16, 2026 (PM RE-RUN)
ADBEAGROAMZNARMARKXASMLAVGOBNO +4 more
Jun 16 Scan Food Security Scan
ADMBGCFCTVADEEFMCMOSNTR
Jun 16 Article Status Report
VOOSPYQQQMSMHVIXYVXXGLDTLT +4 more
Jun 16 Article Daily Actions
ADBEAGROAMZNARMARKXASMLAVGOBNO +4 more
May 29 Scan Food Security Scan
ADMBGCFCTVADEEFMCMOSNTR
May 6 Catalyst CF earnings
CF
Apr 28 Scan Food Security Scan
ADMCFCTVADEEFMCMOSNTR
Apr 26 Scan Monster Scan
AAAAOIAAUCACHCACLSACLXADEAAEHR +4 more
Apr 26 Scan Food Security Cascade Scan
ADMCFCTVADEEFMCMOSNTR
Apr 26 Target CF entry-zone — $110-$115
CF
Apr 26 Article Daily Actions
ABBVABTALABALERTAMDAMZNARMASE +4 more
Apr 14 Desk Move BUY CF — claude-momentum (2026-04-14, 16.87 shares @ $118.57)
CF
Apr 13 Scan Food Security
ADMCFCTVADEEFMCMOSNTR
Apr 13 Desk Move BUY CF — claude-momentum (2026-04-13, 32.87 shares @ $121.68)
CF
Apr 13 Deep Dive CF Industries (CF)
CF
Apr 13 Desk Move BUY CF — bench-signals (2026-04-13, 8.22 shares @ $121.68)
CF
Apr 12 Source @KawzInvests: Strait of Hormuz Blockade + Directed Energy Weapons
LASREOPSFCFNTRAPDUSOGLDGDX
Apr 12 Archive Food Security Cascade
ADMCFCTVADEEFMCMOSNTR#food-security-cascade
Mar 31 Scan Monster Scan
AAAAOIACLXADEAAEISAEMAGIAGX +4 more
Mar 26 Scan Monster Scan
AAOIACLXADEAAEISAEMAGIAGXAHG +4 more
Mar 13 Scan Monster Scan
AAAAOIAAUCACLXAEMAGAGIANET +4 more
Mar 12 Scan Monster Scan
AAAAOIAAUCACLXADEAAEISAEMAG +4 more