Watchlist / food-security

watchlist

Watchlist / food-security

current roster plus event stream

symbols 11 events 251 latest

Food security — geopolitical energy shock cascade play. Fertilizer (NTR Nutrien, MOS Mosaic, CF Industries), farm equipment (DE Deere), grain trading (ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland, BG Bunge Global — added 2026-05-10, $24B mcap soybean/softseed/grain processing + biodiesel, peer to ADM in oilseed crush; -6.7% from 52wk high $133.93), crop protection/seeds (CTVA Corteva, FMC). Sourced from Revan's Food Security Trade conviction doc. Child thesis of Iran War perspective.

Showing 120 of 251 events.

Cumulative return since Oct 1 — both lines start at 0%, so the gap between them IS the out/under-performance. Hover for daily values.
1D7D30D3M1Y
cohort -3.0%-1.2%-15.5%-4.6%+3.4%
SPY +0.6%+1.2%+2.1%+3.1%+16.0%
Δ -3.6%-2.4%-17.6%-7.7%-12.6%

equal-weight · buy-and-hold from window start, no rebalancing · 3M+ windows are a current-roster backcast.

30D breadth 0/11 up

trend: 0 up · 2 flat · 9 down · avg RSI 34 · 33% above SMA200 · covered 11/11

contributors

DBA-0.2pp-2.3%
ADM-0.7pp-7.7%
MOO-0.7pp-8.2%
DE-0.8pp-8.3%
NTR-1.5pp-16.4%

detractors

FMC-2.9pp-32.1%
MOS-2.6pp-28.5%
CF-1.7pp-19.2%
BG-1.5pp-16.8%

Holdings

NTR $67.48 -16.4% 30d coming into play MOS $18.74 -28.5% 30d retreating CF $111.54 -19.2% 30d coming into play DE $620.93 -8.3% 30d in trend ADM $79.89 -7.7% 30d coming into play BG $102.73 -16.8% 30d coming into play CTVA $13.24 n/a 30d too-young FMC $8.35 -32.1% 30d retreating DBA $28.33 -2.3% 30d coming into play MOO $80.46 -8.2% 30d coming into play VYLR $73.15 n/a 30d too-young
DBA $28.33 +0.0% -2.3% +2.0% +7.0% 47 coming into play -4.0%
ADM $79.89 -3.1% -7.7% -0.7% +30.3% 42 coming into play -10.0%
MOO $80.46 -1.0% -8.2% -0.6% +10.4% 34 coming into play -9.9%
DE $620.93 -4.8% -8.3% +5.8% +36.1% 33 in trend -13.9%
NTR $67.48 -3.4% -16.4% +3.1% +10.4% 32 coming into play -20.9%
BG $102.73 -4.7% -16.8% -10.1% +26.4% 32 coming into play -23.8%
CF $111.54 -1.8% -19.2% -4.6% +25.9% 32 coming into play -21.4%
MOS $18.74 -5.0% -28.5% -12.9% -44.0% 23 retreating -46.7%
FMC $8.35 -6.4% -32.1% -23.5% -72.0% 31 retreating -73.3%
CTVA $13.24 -3.7% — — — — neutral —
VYLR $73.15 +0.5% — — — — neutral -3.1%

Feed generated 2026-10-10.