Watchlist / food-security

watchlist

Watchlist / food-security

current roster plus event stream

symbols 10 events 153 latest

Food security — geopolitical energy shock cascade play. Fertilizer (NTR Nutrien, MOS Mosaic, CF Industries), farm equipment (DE Deere), grain trading (ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland, BG Bunge Global — added 2026-05-10, $24B mcap soybean/softseed/grain processing + biodiesel, peer to ADM in oilseed crush; -6.7% from 52wk high $133.93), crop protection/seeds (CTVA Corteva, FMC). Sourced from Revan's Food Security Trade conviction doc. Child thesis of Iran War perspective.

Showing 120 of 153 events.

Cumulative return since Jul 16 — both lines start at 0%, so the gap between them IS the out/under-performance. Hover for daily values.
1D7D30D3M1Y
cohort -0.1%-1.1%-3.7%-4.0%+6.1%
SPY -0.5%-0.1%+4.0%+4.9%+21.4%
Δ +0.4%-1.1%-7.6%-8.9%-15.4%

equal-weight · buy-and-hold from window start, no rebalancing · 3M+ windows are a current-roster backcast.

30D breadth 3/10 up

trend: 6 up · 0 flat · 4 down · avg RSI 48 · 80% above SMA200 · covered 10/10

contributors

NTR+0.2pp+1.5%
DBA+0.1pp+1.1%
DEE+0.0pp+0.5%
MOO-0.2pp-1.6%
CF-0.3pp-3.0%

detractors

CTVA-1.3pp-12.9%
FMC-0.9pp-9.2%
ADM-0.5pp-5.4%
MOS-0.4pp-4.1%
BG-0.4pp-3.6%

Holdings

NTR $68.29 +1.5% 30d coming into play MOS $21.23 -4.1% 30d retreating CF $117.78 -3.0% 30d coming into play DE $599.92 +0.5% 30d in trend ADM $81.29 -5.4% 30d coming into play BG $114.91 -3.6% 30d coming into play CTVA $76.01 -12.9% 30d coming into play FMC $10.18 -9.2% 30d retreating DBA $28.14 +1.1% 30d coming into play MOO $81.19 -1.6% 30d coming into play
NTR $68.29 +0.1% +1.5% -3.8% +19.9% 55 coming into play -18.7%
DBA $28.14 +1.3% +1.1% -0.2% +5.7% 59 coming into play -2.4%
DEE $599.92 -1.5% +0.5% +6.5% +22.5% 46 in trend -10.5%
MOO $81.19 -0.2% -1.6% -0.5% +9.9% 48 coming into play -6.2%
CF $117.78 -0.4% -3.0% -5.9% +38.3% 48 coming into play -16.7%
BG $114.91 +1.1% -3.6% -7.3% +34.4% 55 coming into play -14.8%
MOS $21.23 -1.8% -4.1% +0.2% -32.5% 40 retreating -41.0%
ADM $81.29 +1.0% -5.4% +1.1% +32.1% 53 coming into play -8.1%
FMC $10.18 +0.3% -9.2% -24.4% -74.1% 42 retreating -74.2%
CTVA $76.01 -0.9% -12.9% -6.0% +4.6% 36 coming into play -16.4%

Feed generated 2026-08-18.