Food-security is split between two healthy ag-machinery/seed names and a washed-out fertilizer/agchem complex. DE (RSI 68.1, strong-up, +17% 30D, +18% vs SMA200) and CTVA (RSI 63.3, strong-up, +12% vs SMA200, -5% from high) are the CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT side. The fertilizer/crop-input names are oversold-to-weak: NTR (RSI 28.3 — the lone sub-30 in the batch, but below SMA200 and down-trend), BG (RSI 29.9, weak-down but +2.6% vs SMA200), CF (RSI 37.7, weak-down, +6% vs SMA200), ADM (RSI 40.9, weak-down, +14% vs SMA200). The broken legs are MOS (RSI 47.1, death-cross, -17% vs SMA200) and FMC (RSI 42.1, death-cross collapse, -74% from high). NTR is the one genuine oversold reading — but it's NOT oversold-quality (below SMA200, down-trend). The cleanest oversold-with-uptrend candidates are CF/ADM/BG (above SMA200, golden cross).

Latest bar Thursday 2026-06-25. ENTRY-HUNT framing: RSI<35 is only oversold-QUALITY if above SMA200 / golden cross — NTR is washed but below SMA200 (down-trend), so it's a falling-knife caution, not a clean entry.

CONFIRMED uptrend / Hold (RSI 63-68, strong-up, above SMA200): DE (RSI 68.1, +17% 30D, +18% vs SMA200, -7.8% from high — Deere, ag-machinery, the strongest name, basing→breaking), CTVA (RSI 63.3, strong-up, +12% vs SMA200, -5% from high — Corteva seed/crop-protection, the cleanest food-security uptrend). These are the holds; DE near a breakout, CTVA steadily climbing.

Oversold / Watch — ABOVE SMA200 (cleaner oversold-quality): BG (RSI 29.9, weak-down, +2.6% vs SMA200, golden cross, -19% from high — Bunge, technically oversold AND above SMA200 = the closest to oversold-quality), CF (RSI 37.7, weak-down, +5.8% vs SMA200, golden cross, -21% 3M — CF Industries nitrogen), ADM (RSI 40.9, weak-down, +14% vs SMA200, golden cross — ADM ag-processing). These three are pullbacks of names still above SMA200 — watchable oversold-quality if RSI confirms a turn.

Washed but DOWN-trend / Watch-with-caution: NTR (RSI 28.3, down trend, -7.2% vs SMA200, -29% from high — Nutrien is the lone sub-30 RSI but sits below SMA200 in a down trend; washed, not oversold-quality. Watch for a base, don't catch the knife).

Broken / Avoid (death-cross, below SMA200): MOS (RSI 47.1, strong-down, death-cross, -17% vs SMA200, -43% from high — Mosaic phosphate broken), FMC (RSI 42.1, strong-down, collapse, death-cross, -35% vs SMA200, -74% from high — the deepest wreck in the batch, multi-year collapse). Both broken trends; not value, just cheap.

• DE breaking out — RSI 68.1, +17% 30D, +18% vs SMA200, -7.8% from high; Deere the strongest food-security name, basing→break
• NTR washed to RSI 28.3 — lowest RSI in the batch, but down-trend below SMA200 = washed, not oversold-quality
• BG is the cleanest oversold-quality — RSI 29.9 AND +2.6% vs SMA200, golden cross; technically oversold in a still-above-SMA200 name
• Fertilizer complex split — CF (RSI 37.7, >SMA200) and ADM (RSI 40.9, >SMA200) weak-but-intact; MOS (death-cross, -17% vs SMA200) and FMC (collapse, -74% from high) broken
• FMC is the deepest wreck — -74% from high, -88% over 5y, strong-down collapse; multi-year structural decline, not a dip
• CTVA steady — RSI 63.3, strong-up, +12% vs SMA200; the low-drama food-security hold

• Is the fertilizer-complex weakness (NTR/MOS/CF) a crop-price / nitrogen-spread catalyst or broad ag-input destocking? (needs event verify — not in this scan)
• Does BG's oversold-above-SMA200 read mark a tradable bottom, or roll into the broken MOS/FMC cohort? (watch SMA20 / RSI turn)
• FMC -74% from high — structural decline or eventual washout floor? (multi-year; not a near-term setup)