MSFT Microsoft Corporation

MSFT Microsoft Corporation

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Desk view

Watchinghigh conviction · entry no turn signature yet — interest begins at the 200-day reclaim (~$442) after a base; until then this is a falling mega-cap, not a setup — not entered
Basis Open desk call ·Logged decision ·Entry target
Updated

Market read

Scan convergence 2 scans as of 2026-08-14 1 bull 1 neutral converging

POC $395.27 · VWAP $436.25 · +10.1% vs 12m avg buyer

breakout vol: normalgaps: overnight-shiftchurn: quiet as of

Insiders selling 0 buy / 5 sell · Form 4, 90d latest sell Althoff Judson

Coverage

MSFT Price Structure

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Peers

Every watchlist MSFT belongs to, members best 30-day change first — MSFT highlighted in place. Each pill: 30d change, 1d/7d, and a close spark over the last 30 calendar days (~21 sessions); hover for price, RSI, and the full chart.

@tech
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MSFT+22.0% -3.0%1d -5.0%7d XLK+8.4% +0.2%1d +2.1%7d AMZN+5.7% -0.5%1d -6.0%7d GOOGL-0.8% -0.6%1d -3.8%7d AAPL-8.4% -0.1%1d -0.8%7d META-11.9% -3.5%1d -4.4%7d
@war-sensitivity
@mag7
@focus
@tech-insider-buys
@bargain-bin
@insider-universe
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U+56.8% -1.7%1d +5.5%7d MDB+40.5% -4.7%1d +5.3%7d FSLY+40.1% -3.0%1d +4.6%7d ESTC+35.5% -3.7%1d +9.4%7d PLTR+30.3% -0.9%1d -1.5%7d MRVL+24.2% +5.5%1d +12.4%7d ZS+23.0% +0.5%1d +4.5%7d ABNB+22.8% -2.6%1d -2.9%7d SNOW+22.8% +0.4%1d -1.4%7d MSFT+22.0% -3.0%1d -5.0%7d SHOP+20.3% -3.7%1d -4.2%7d ZM+15.8% -0.4%1d -1.5%7d ASAN+14.8% -3.4%1d -4.2%7d NOW+14.0% -5.1%1d -7.6%7d DOCN+13.8% +4.1%1d +4.3%7d CRSP+13.6% +1.4%1d +1.6%7d ISRG+13.0% -1.1%1d -0.8%7d CRM+11.8% -2.7%1d -3.3%7d NVDA+10.9% -0.1%1d +3.4%7d NET+10.6% -2.8%1d -1.1%7d TWLO+10.6% -4.0%1d -8.8%7d NFLX+10.3% -2.7%1d -0.3%7d CEG+10.2% -1.5%1d +2.9%7d TMO+10.0% -0.5%1d -2.3%7d INTC+8.9% +1.0%1d +6.1%7d TSM+8.2% +1.1%1d +3.0%7d BE+8.0% +1.0%1d +10.2%7d ASML+7.9% +2.1%1d +8.6%7d UIE+6.9% +1.9%1d +2.1%7d NTLA+6.2% +1.5%1d +0.6%7d VRTX+6.2% +1.9%1d -1.6%7d SOFI+6.0% +0.1%1d +1.2%7d AVGO+5.8% -0.1%1d -7.1%7d AMZN+5.7% -0.5%1d -6.0%7d CRWD+5.3% -1.4%1d -5.0%7d PANW+4.8% -2.2%1d -2.4%7d MRNA+4.3% +1.8%1d +7.7%7d IBKR+4.2% +2.5%1d +4.1%7d UBER+3.5% -1.3%1d -3.9%7d FSLR+2.8% -3.4%1d -8.9%7d AKAM+2.3% -1.6%1d +4.6%7d AMD+2.1% -1.6%1d +7.8%7d ARM+1.6% -2.9%1d +1.4%7d LLY+0.3% +0.3%1d -3.8%7d BNTX+0.1% -1.6%1d -1.3%7d PINS-0.6% -4.1%1d -5.3%7d GOOGL-0.8% -0.6%1d -3.8%7d AFRM-2.0% -4.9%1d -1.4%7d FTNT-3.6% -2.6%1d -5.1%7d COIN-4.2% +1.4%1d +1.3%7d DDOG-4.4% -3.2%1d -5.2%7d EOSE-5.1% -2.5%1d -3.0%7d QCOM-5.6% -2.2%1d 0.0%7d ENPH-7.0% -4.5%1d -5.5%7d AAPL-8.4% -0.1%1d -0.8%7d TSLA-10.9% -0.9%1d +2.5%7d META-11.9% -3.5%1d -4.4%7d HIMS-12.9% +1.6%1d -9.9%7d RBLX-26.6% -0.8%1d +2.3%7d
@ai-scan
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SMCI+58.3% -3.9%1d +21.8%7d MDB+40.5% -4.7%1d +5.3%7d IONQ+34.7% +1.3%1d +10.2%7d RGTI+32.3% -0.8%1d +5.8%7d WDAY+32.0% -3.8%1d +3.8%7d PATH+31.6% -0.1%1d +2.2%7d SKM+30.5% +3.8%1d +20.1%7d PLTR+30.3% -0.9%1d -1.5%7d STX+26.3% +2.2%1d +24.2%7d QBTS+24.8% -1.4%1d +3.4%7d MRVL+24.2% +5.5%1d +12.4%7d ZS+23.0% +0.5%1d +4.5%7d SNOW+22.8% +0.4%1d -1.4%7d VEEV+22.0% -2.2%1d +1.6%7d MSFT+22.0% -3.0%1d -5.0%7d ANET+19.7% +1.5%1d +5.4%7d MU+19.2% +4.1%1d +17.5%7d SMR+19.0% -2.1%1d +0.1%7d NOW+14.0% -5.1%1d -7.6%7d DLR+13.8% -1.1%1d +3.5%7d T+13.2% -0.8%1d +2.5%7d BBAI+13.0% -1.8%1d -0.6%7d ISRG+13.0% -1.1%1d -0.8%7d WDC+12.3% +5.3%1d +22.3%7d SOUN+12.3% -5.3%1d -5.9%7d CRM+11.8% -2.7%1d -3.3%7d SKHY+11.3% +3.0%1d +26.7%7d NVDA+10.9% -0.1%1d +3.4%7d NET+10.6% -2.8%1d -1.1%7d VZ+10.3% -0.9%1d +2.2%7d CEG+10.2% -1.5%1d +2.9%7d AI+10.0% -2.3%1d -6.8%7d BOTZ+9.9% +0.2%1d +1.1%7d AIQ+9.0% -0.3%1d +0.8%7d ROBO+8.9% 0.0%1d +1.6%7d INTC+8.9% +1.0%1d +6.1%7d TSM+8.2% +1.1%1d +3.0%7d BE+8.0% +1.0%1d +10.2%7d ASML+7.9% +2.1%1d +8.6%7d EQIX+7.6% -0.4%1d +5.2%7d ADBE+7.1% -3.8%1d -6.9%7d BCE+6.9% -0.5%1d +3.6%7d SMH+6.8% +1.1%1d +4.3%7d OKLO+6.7% -1.1%1d -1.4%7d AVGO+5.8% -0.1%1d -7.1%7d AMZN+5.7% -0.5%1d -6.0%7d CRWD+5.3% -1.4%1d -5.0%7d PANW+4.8% -2.2%1d -2.4%7d FSLR+2.8% -3.4%1d -8.9%7d AMD+2.1% -1.6%1d +7.8%7d ARM+1.6% -2.9%1d +1.4%7d CSCO+0.9% +1.1%1d -7.9%7d GOOGL-0.8% -0.6%1d -3.8%7d TEM-1.6% -0.9%1d -6.2%7d NEE-2.9% 0.0%1d +1.8%7d FTNT-3.6% -2.6%1d -5.1%7d TAC-4.2% -0.6%1d +3.6%7d DDOG-4.4% -3.2%1d -5.2%7d EOSE-5.1% -2.5%1d -3.0%7d QCOM-5.6% -2.2%1d 0.0%7d VST-6.0% -1.4%1d +2.3%7d TMUS-6.4% -1.4%1d +1.1%7d ENPH-7.0% -4.5%1d -5.5%7d TSLA-10.9% -0.9%1d +2.5%7d META-11.9% -3.5%1d -4.4%7d RUN-17.1% -3.5%1d -0.4%7d SEDG-42.4% -5.0%1d -4.5%7d

Decision history

7 scored calls · newest first · projection

How to read this: Positive 30-day excess supports an enter call. For pass, avoid, sell, or exit calls, a positive number means the name kept rising after the call.

Jun 16 sell n/a Stop loss +1.5% complete
Jun 16 sell n/a Stop loss +1.5% complete
May 30 sell n/a Profit target -17.9% complete
May 30 sell n/a Profit target -17.9% complete
May 30 sell n/a Profit target -17.9% complete
May 1 avoid high Avoid: hygiene check +6.1% complete
Apr 29 sell n/a Momentum recovery exit 0.0% complete

Desk commentary

Authored analysis and challenge notes tied to MSFT.

2

Next earnings MSFT reports in 71 days Oct 28

Last report Jul 29

Q4 FY2026, reported after the close 2026-07-29 — a beat across every line: revenue **$90.01B, +18% YoY** (vs ~$87.6B expected); adjusted EPS **$4.74** (vs $4.24 est; GAAP $4.81, +32%); GAAP net income $35.8B, +31%. **Azure +43%**, crossing **$100B in full-year revenue**; Microsoft Cloud $59.3B (+27%); commercial RPO **+84% to $678B**; Microsoft 365 Copilot p...

full note →

Against street estimates

How MSFT's reported EPS compared with analyst consensus. Street estimates are single-source vendor consensus (yfinance). Actuals are vendor consensus-basis EPS (often non-GAAP); edgarEps is GAAP diluted from filings — disputed flags large disagreement only. EPS only.

8 most recent of 9 quarters · newest report Jul 29 · projection Aug 17

Result
Jul 29 4.244.74+11.8%Beat
Apr 29 4.074.27+4.9%Beat
Jan 28 3.924.14+5.7%Beat
Oct 29 '25 3.664.13+12.7%Beat
Jul 30 '25 3.383.65+8.1%Beat
Apr 30 '25 3.223.46+7.4%Beat
Jan 29 '25 3.123.23+3.5%Beat
Oct 30 '24 3.113.30+6.1%Beat

Recent news

Headlines about MSFT from the desk's news pull — links go to the publisher. Not a desk read: the market read above is the desk's own.

pulled 1 day ago · Aug 17

Types
Aug 14 Deep Dive MSFT Deep Dive
Jul 30 The Prints The Prints
Jul 29 Catalyst MSFT earnings
Jun 29 Deep Dive Msft Deep Dive
Jun 16 Article Status Report
May 29 Scan AI Scan
Apr 27 Reference YOLO Playbook
Apr 10 Deep Dive MSFT Deep Dive
Apr 3 Deep Dive MSFT Deep Dive
Mar 31 Deep Dive MSFT Deep Dive
Mar 24 Deep Dive MSFT Deep Dive
Mar 24 Article Daily Actions
Mar 13 Deep Dive MSFT (Microsoft Corp)
Feb 16 Article Daily Actions
Feb 11 Article Daily Actions