Tech Insider Buys Scan
Tech Insider Buys Scan
CRDO's margin-scare damage from the September 1 print kept compounding — its 30-day return fell to -39.23% from -24.07% last cycle, now -7.4% below its 200-day — while SMCI's one-year deficit widened back out to -8.76% after nearly closing to -2.73% last cycle, with no fresh news receipt to explain either move this session. BE and OKTA both extended strongly (BE 1Y +309.79%, vs 200-day +41.6%; OKTA 1Y +81.06%, vs 200-day +60.6%). CEG turned genuinely weak — negative on the year (-10.46%) and below its 200-day (-3.6%) for the first time in this tracked window, worth a second look given the name's AI-power relevance.
Data as-of the 2026-09-11 close. Source: tech-insider-buys — price/technical fields only; this scan does not carry independent insider dollar-flow figures (see companion insider-scan for overlapping names' Form-4 data). Prior scan: 2026-09-04-tech-insider-buys.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 CRDO's post-earnings damage keeps compounding; SMCI's structural improvement reversed; CEG flipped genuinely weak |
| Leaders | BE (1Y +309.79%, vs 200-day +41.6%), OKTA (1Y +81.06%, vs 200-day +60.6%), TEAM (vs 200-day +63.5%), MRVL (1Y +254.56%) |
| Laggards | CRDO (30D -39.23%, vs 200-day -7.4%), HUBS (1Y -54.64%), IONQ (1Y -21.89%, deepening), CEG (1Y -10.46%, below 200-day) |
| Caveat | SMCI and CRDO's moves this cycle have no sourced news driver — both pulls predate the current week |
What's Going On
CRDO's September 1 margin-scare damage kept compounding rather than stabilizing. ($162.95, RSI 33.2, 30D -39.23%, was -24.07% last cycle; -47.21% off its 52-week high; vs 200-day -7.4%, was -2.7%) — 2026-09-01-crdo-earnings still confirms the underlying beat (EPS $1.16 vs $1.03 consensus); the drop remains sourced to Yahoo Finance's own coverage of margin and guidance concerns flagged last cycle. This desk's current news pull (fetched 2026-09-08) carries no fresh update beyond aggregator quote pages, so the continued slide this week is reported without a new sourced cause — the original margin-scare driver is the best available explanation, but it does not by itself account for a further -15-point deterioration in the 30-day window.
SMCI's near-closed one-year deficit reversed back open, with no sourced driver for the move. ($40.10, RSI 60.5, 30D +6.62%, 1Y -8.76%, was -2.73% last cycle — widened again; vs 200-day +27.3%, was +26.2%) — this desk checked latest (fetched 2026-08-28, ok, not stale but predates this week's move) — the most recent item is an August earnings-results release, no fresh catalyst. Reported as an unexplained short-window swing, not glossed over.
CEG turned genuinely weak this cycle — negative on the year and below its 200-day. ($284.75, RSI 53.7, 30D +2.18%, 1Y -10.46%, vs 200-day -3.6%) — this is the first cycle in this tracked window where CEG shows both a negative one-year return and a sub-200-day price; prior cycles had it mixed but not both-negative. No stock-event or news check was run for CEG this session; flagged for follow-up given the name's relevance to the desk's AI-power/nuclear-fuel-cycle coverage.
BE and OKTA both extended their multi-cycle runs. BE ($275.75, RSI 65, 30D +16.27%, 1Y +309.79%, vs 200-day +41.6%) continues the large reversal tracked in the companion insider-scan — insider selling stays flat there, price-driven, not corroborated by fresh buying. OKTA ($166.50, RSI 58, 30D +13.03%, 1Y +81.06%, vs 200-day +60.6%) holds the widest 200-day cushion in this universe alongside TEAM.
MDB and PANW both cooled further off their September 1 confirmed beats, the same beat-then-sell-off shape flagged last cycle. MDB ($362.21, RSI 42.4, 30D -17.27%, 1Y +9.07%, vs 200-day +5.6%, was +7.7%) compressed its 200-day cushion further. PANW ($330.65, RSI 43, 30D -14.56%, 1Y +66.72%, vs 200-day +40.1%) stayed comfortably positive on the year despite the continued pullback — the mildest of the three beat-then-sell-off names tracked since September 1.
IONQ deepened its deficit further rather than repairing it. ($36.75, RSI 41.1, 30D -18.69%, 1Y -21.89%, was -6.15% last cycle; vs 200-day -16.6%, thesis state: intact-but-priced) — the widening gap here runs opposite to the narrowing flagged last cycle.
HUBS stays the deepest structural laggard in this universe. ($225.33, RSI 45.1, 1Y -54.64%, vs 200-day -12.7%, thesis state: intact-but-priced) — 30D +7.24% is a bounce, not a repair, against a one-year deficit that remains the widest tracked here besides IONQ's short-window collapse.
What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-09-04 → 2026-09-11)
| Change | Read |
|---|---|
| CRDO's damage compounded — 30D -24.07%→-39.23%, vs 200-day -2.7%→-7.4% | Original margin-scare driver still stands; this week's further drop has no fresh sourced cause |
| SMCI's 1Y deficit reopened — -2.73%→-8.76% | Reverses last cycle's near-closure; no news receipt covers this week |
| CEG turned both negative-1Y and sub-200-day | First cycle in this window with both conditions true simultaneously |
| IONQ's deficit widened again — 1Y -6.15%→-21.89% | Runs opposite to the narrowing trend flagged last cycle |
| MDB's 200-day cushion compressed further — +7.7%→+5.6% | Continuing cooldown off the September 1 confirmed beat |
| BE and OKTA both extended — BE 1Y →+309.79%, OKTA 1Y →+81.06% | Both hold the widest 200-day cushions in this universe |
How To Read The Board
Table labels are technical states, not trade recommendations. thesis state: intact-but-priced (ARM, HUBS, IONQ) flags a name whose fundamental story the desk still credits but whose valuation or chart carries elevated risk — it is not a buy signal on its own. CRDO and SMCI are this cycle's clearest reminder that a sourced cause from a prior cycle does not automatically explain a continuation: CRDO's original margin-scare driver stands, but this week's further -15-point slide has no fresh receipt behind it, and SMCI's reversal has none at all. CEG's flip to both negative-1Y and sub-200-day is a genuine structural change worth a dedicated look given the desk's standing AI-power coverage, not just a line in a wide table. Per the desk's long-horizon discipline, BE and OKTA's unrated/no-flag status against +309.79%/+81.06% one-year returns is a reminder that thesis state coverage is incomplete in this universe — the absence of a flag is not itself a signal.
Price Table
Software / Hardware — RSI Below 50
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | 1Y | vs SMA200 | Thesis | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRDO | $162.95 | 33.2 | -39.23% | +2.28% | -7.4% | unrated | 🔴 Damage compounding |
| IONQ | $36.75 | 41.1 | -18.69% | -21.89% | -16.6% | intact-but-priced | 🔴 Deficit widening |
| MDB | $362.21 | 42.4 | -17.27% | +9.07% | +5.6% | unrated | 🟡 Cooling further |
| PANW | $330.65 | 43 | -14.56% | +66.72% | +40.1% | unrated | 🟡 Mildest of the beat-sell-off names |
| HUBS | $225.33 | 45.1 | 7.24% | -54.64% | -12.7% | intact-but-priced | 🔴 Deepest structural laggard |
| DDOG | $221.21 | 44.3 | -8.18% | +58.97% | +24.7% | intact | 🟢 Deep pullback, intact |
| ZS | $164.54 | 45.8 | -7.21% | -42.6% | -3.2% | unrated | 🟡 Below its 200-day |
| ADBE | $252.23 | 42.5 | -2.52% | -28.05% | -5.4% | unrated | 🔴 Weak |
| AVGO | $361.99 | 42.2 | -12.99% | +0.66% | -2.2% | intact | 🟡 Crossed below 200-day |
Neutral / Extending (RSI 50+)
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | 1Y | vs SMA200 | Thesis | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BE | $275.75 | 65 | 16.27% | +309.79% | +41.6% | intact | 🟢 Extending sharply |
| OKTA | $166.50 | 58 | 13.03% | +81.06% | +60.6% | unrated | 🟢 Widest cushion, extending |
| TEAM | $179.70 | 61 | 15.76% | +1.69% | +63.5% | intact | 🟢 Extreme cushion, flat 1Y |
| SMCI | $40.10 | 60.5 | 6.62% | -8.76% | +27.3% | unrated | 🟡 Deficit reopened |
| MRVL | $236.10 | 55.5 | 8.76% | +254.56% | +52.5% | unrated | 🟢 Intact |
| ANET | $199.59 | 57.1 | -5.18% | +30.42% | +30.1% | unrated | 🟢 Intact |
| VEEV | $262.40 | 56.9 | 8.65% | -6.11% | +32.2% | unrated | 🟡 Base-effect negative 1Y |
| ARM | $264.79 | 53.4 | -2.6% | +71.16% | +29.6% | intact-but-priced | 🟢 Cooled from +86% 1Y |
| CEG | $284.75 | 53.7 | 2.18% | -10.46% | -3.6% | unrated | 🔴 Turned weak this cycle |
| MSFT | $495.63 | 56.7 | 0.65% | -1.07% | +14.9% | intact | 🟡 Base-effect negative 1Y |
| AMZN | $256.78 | 48.9 | -0.67% | +11.67% | +7.1% | intact | 🟢 Intact |
| TSM | $433.24 | 56.9 | 0.95% | +67.33% | +15.2% | unrated | 🟢 Intact |
| QCOM | $181.97 | 66.3 | 11.59% | +12.67% | +8.2% | unrated | 🟢 Near overbought |
Tier Analysis
Capitulation (RSI < 25): None.
Oversold (RSI 25-40): CRDO (33.2). The single most damaged name in this universe by RSI.
Neutral / Strong (RSI 40+): All 41 remaining names, spanning AVGO (42.2, just crossed below its 200-day) to QCOM (66.3, near overbought).
Entry Zones
| Stock | Entry Zone | Thesis |
|---|---|---|
| CRDO | Watch for stabilization before entry | -39.23% 30D, sourced margin-scare driver still compounding without a fresh catalyst |
| DDOG / ANET | Deep pullback, RSI 44-57 | Both intact 1Y trends (+58.97% / +30.42%) with positive 200-day cushions |
| AVGO | Below its 200-day, watch $355-$365 | Flat 1Y (+0.66%), just crossed vs 200-day to -2.2% — full detail in companion bargain-bin scan |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | BE, OKTA, TEAM, MRVL | Strongly intact multi-year trends, wide 200-day cushions |
| 🔍 WATCH | CRDO | Continued damage with no fresh sourced cause — verify before acting either way |
| 🔍 WATCH | CEG | First cycle both negative-1Y and sub-200-day; worth a dedicated follow-up given AI-power relevance |
| ⚠️ AVOID | HUBS, IONQ, ADBE | Deeply negative 1Y, widening rather than narrowing |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE | DDOG, ANET, AVGO | Deep pullback inside otherwise intact or flat-but-stable trends |
What To Watch Next
- CRDO: does the slide stabilize, or does a fresh news pull surface a new driver for this week's further -15-point move?
- SMCI: the one-year deficit reopened with no sourced cause — check next pull for an explanation.
- CEG: first cycle both negative-1Y and sub-200-day — worth a dedicated news/event check given the desk's AI-power coverage.
- IONQ: deficit widened sharply (-6.15%→-21.89%) — confirm whether this continues or was a single-cycle swing.
Sources
- tech-insider-buys (2026-09-11)
- 2026-09-01-crdo-earnings
- latest (fetched 2026-08-28)
- 2026-09-04-tech-insider-buys (prior scan, comparison basis)
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.