Status Report
Article
Status Report
Market Weather
| Indicator | Value | RSI | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| VOO (S&P) | $603.99 | 37 | 🟡 Weak — approaching oversold |
| VIXY (Vol) | $34.44 | 61 | ⚠️ Elevated — fear but not panic |
| GLD (Gold) | $405.63 | 29 | 🔴 CRASHING — unusual in risk-off |
| TLT (Bonds) | $85.84 | 36 | 🟡 Not providing safety |
| EEM (EM) | $55.58 | 36 | 🟡 Weak — dollar squeeze |
| XLE (Energy) | $59.63 | 77 | 🟢 ONLY sector working |
| UUP (Dollar) | $27.67 | 60 | 🟢 Strong — THE safe haven |
Regime: STAGFLATIONARY — Oil surging, gold crashing, equities weak, dollar strong. Not a normal risk-off.
Top 5 Opportunities
| Rank | Stock | RSI | Price | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ECL | 18 | $254.95 | Quality industrial at historic capitulation |
| 2 | MSFT 🏆 | 29 | $374.53 | Golden signal: RSI <30 + insider buying |
| 3 | INDA | 19 | $46.60 | India ETF at extreme oversold — rare |
| 4 | ITB | 21 | $87.87 | Housing capitulation — mean reversion |
| 5 | ABBV | 28 | $204.91 | Dividend aristocrat at deep oversold |
Top Risks
| Risk | Details |
|---|---|
| Oil overbought cluster | 9 names RSI >70 (XOP 79, CVX 78, EOG 77). Correction imminent? |
| Gold crash | GLD -14.5% 30D. Forced liquidation? Margin calls? |
| MDT near stop | $86.85 vs $83 stop (4.4% away). Holdings risk. |
| CRM below entry | $184.50 vs $190.96 entry. New concern. |
| Housing freefall | ITB/XHB -20% 30D, RSI 21-22. No bottom in sight. |
Portfolio Pulse
Paper Trade Leaderboard
| Strategy | Value | Return | Positions | Today's Trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| claude-momentum | $100,107 | +0.11% | 6 | +MSFT $5K, +ECL $5K |
| yolo | $100,100 | +0.10% | 3 | +MSFT $10K |
| claude-trader | $99,939 | -0.06% | 5 | +MSFT $3K, +ECL $2K |
| bench-signals | ~$19,914 | n/a | 20 | +MSFT, +ECL, +BA, +INDA, +XLB |
Key Positions
- TMO best unrealized: +6.0% (claude-momentum)
- SYK worst: -2.4% across all strategies
- XHB bench-signals worst: -5.0%
- ABBV/LLY flat across all — just entered 03/20
What Changed vs 2026-03-20
- 🔴 Gold crashed: GLD RSI 31→29, -12% in one week. Unprecedented in risk-off.
- 🔴 MSFT entered oversold: RSI 32→29. Best quality at best price in months.
- 🟢 AS recovered from below stop: $30.71 stop was hit on 3/20, now $33.06. Crisis averted.
- 🟢 HD/LOW bounced from extremes: RSI 22-24 → 35-36. Off capitulation lows.
- 🔴 9 new entry zones: ECL (18), MLM (24), VMC (28), SYK (29), MSFT (29), SAP (28), BMRN (29)
- 🟠 Oil cluster most overbought in market: 9 names RSI >70. Trim risk.
- 🆕 ASML new monster: +35% vs SMA200, quality litho monopoly enters monster territory.
Sources
- Tape data (price/RSI/trend figures): desk pre-computed watchlist summaries as of the artifact date — *.
Related
8 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.