Watchlist / war-sensitivity

watchlist

Watchlist / war-sensitivity

current roster plus event stream

symbols 20 events 858 latest

War-sensitivity watchlist — stocks ranked by their reaction to ceasefire fake-outs (TACO trades). Tier 1 fast movers: COPX/JETS/UAE (5-9% pops). Tier 2 hidden oil-sensitive: W/RH/ATZ/AS (heavy-goods shipping costs). Tier 3 quality laggards: AMZN/HOOD/MSFT (barely moved = most upside on real resolution). USO/ITB/INDA as benchmarks. Source: Dumb Money Live 2026-03-24 fake-out analysis.

Showing 120 of 858 events.

Cumulative return since Jul 17 — both lines start at 0%, so the gap between them IS the out/under-performance. Hover for daily values.
1D7D30D3M1Y
cohort -1.1%-0.9%+5.4%+12.5%+28.4%
SPY -0.5%-0.1%+4.0%+4.9%+21.4%
Δ -0.7%-0.8%+1.5%+7.6%+6.9%

equal-weight · buy-and-hold from window start, no rebalancing · 3M+ windows are a current-roster backcast.

30D breadth 13/20 up

trend: 10 up · 0 flat · 10 down · avg RSI 50 · 70% above SMA200 · covered 20/20

contributors

SMCI+2.9pp+58.3%
MSFT+1.1pp+22.0%
COPX+1.0pp+19.1%
W+0.8pp+15.4%
BE+0.4pp+8.0%

detractors

NKE-0.5pp-10.7%
ASE-0.5pp-10.6%
RH-0.3pp-6.4%
ATZ.TO-0.3pp-6.0%
HOOD-0.2pp-3.7%

Holdings

COPX $87.34 +19.1% 30d in trend JETS $30.85 +1.3% 30d in trend UAE $19.52 +3.7% 30d coming into play W $103.08 +15.4% 30d coming into play RH $175.90 -6.4% 30d coming into play ATZ.TO $134.55 -6.0% 30d coming into play AS $32.57 -10.6% 30d coming into play NKE $39.09 -10.7% 30d retreating GAP $20.18 -0.8% 30d coming into play CCL $27.73 +5.6% 30d coming into play AAL $14.43 -3.7% 30d coming into play DAL $87.59 +4.1% 30d in trend AMZN $261.31 +5.7% 30d in trend HOOD $96.25 -3.7% 30d retreating MSFT $480.35 +22.0% 30d in trend USO $130.29 +5.1% 30d coming into play ITB $97.84 +0.5% 30d coming into play INDA $49.58 +1.4% 30d coming into play BE $232.16 +8.0% 30d coming into play SMCI $38.28 +58.3% 30d coming into play
SMCI $38.28 -3.9% +58.3% +24.1% -12.8% 66 coming into play -34.9%
MSFT $480.35 -3.0% +22.0% +13.7% -4.7% 62 in trend -12.7%
COPX $87.34 +1.9% +19.1% +7.1% +86.0% 61 in trend -12.3%
W $103.08 +1.4% +15.4% +74.0% +32.4% 58 coming into play -14.1%
BE $232.16 +1.0% +8.0% -10.3% +378.3% 52 coming into play -33.9%
AMZN $261.31 -0.5% +5.7% -1.3% +12.9% 52 in trend -9.0%
CCL $27.73 -1.4% +5.6% +11.9% -10.0% 50 coming into play -17.2%
USO $130.29 +2.9% +5.1% -12.7% +78.1% 57 coming into play -15.4%
DAL $87.59 -2.0% +4.1% +25.0% +43.5% 48 in trend -8.2%
UAE $19.52 -0.5% +3.7% +8.6% +2.2% 53 coming into play -9.4%
INDA $49.58 -0.4% +1.4% +3.6% -7.5% 51 coming into play -10.7%
JETS $30.85 -2.3% +1.3% +20.7% +18.6% 45 in trend -9.4%
ITB $97.84 -0.9% +0.5% +12.0% -12.8% 49 coming into play -16.6%
GAP $20.18 -2.0% -0.8% -1.8% -2.9% 49 coming into play -30.1%
AAL $14.43 -2.7% -3.7% +16.8% +6.5% 41 coming into play -23.2%
HOOD $96.25 +0.7% -3.7% +24.8% -12.0% 50 retreating -37.4%
ATZ.TO $134.55 -3.0% -6.0% -3.6% +69.4% 39 coming into play -22.9%
RH $175.90 -3.2% -6.4% +45.7% -27.8% 49 coming into play -31.6%
ASE $32.57 -0.9% -10.6% -1.8% -21.5% 37 coming into play -23.8%
NKE $39.09 -4.0% -10.7% -7.3% -48.8% 36 retreating -49.9%
Aug 17
Deep Dive

NKE

NKE

Feed generated 2026-08-18.