Watchlist / war-sensitivity

watchlist

Watchlist / war-sensitivity

current roster plus event stream

symbols 24 events 1225 latest

War-sensitivity watchlist — stocks ranked by their reaction to ceasefire fake-outs (TACO trades). Tier 1 fast movers: COPX/JETS/UAE (5-9% pops). Tier 2 hidden oil-sensitive: W/RH/ATZ/AS (heavy-goods shipping costs). Tier 3 quality laggards: AMZN/HOOD/MSFT (barely moved = most upside on real resolution). USO/ITB/INDA as benchmarks. Source: Dumb Money Live 2026-03-24 fake-out analysis.

Showing 120 of 1225 events.

Cumulative return since Sep 9 — both lines start at 0%, so the gap between them IS the out/under-performance. Hover for daily values.
1D7D30D3M1Y
cohort +1.4%+1.5%+3.7%+20.8%+293.8%
SPY +0.6%+1.2%+2.1%+3.1%+16.0%
Δ +0.8%+0.4%+1.6%+17.7%+277.8%

equal-weight · buy-and-hold from window start, no rebalancing · 3M+ windows are a current-roster backcast.

30D breadth 13/24 up

trend: 13 up · 0 flat · 11 down · avg RSI 51 · 58% above SMA200 · covered 24/24

contributors

BWET+3.0pp+71.1%
CCL+0.7pp+16.1%
ATZ.TO+0.7pp+16.0%
MSFT+0.4pp+8.8%
GAP+0.4pp+8.8%

detractors

RH-0.7pp-16.1%
BDRY-0.6pp-13.7%
COPX-0.4pp-10.0%
NKE-0.3pp-7.1%
ITB-0.3pp-6.2%

Holdings

COPX $85.75 -10.0% 30d coming into play JETS $27.45 -2.0% 30d coming into play UAE $19.32 -2.0% 30d coming into play W $105.74 +5.6% 30d coming into play RH $116.99 -16.1% 30d retreating ATZ.TO $146.91 +16.0% 30d coming into play AS $28.14 +1.3% 30d retreating NKE $34.71 -7.1% 30d retreating GAP $23.23 +8.8% 30d retreating CCL $26.35 +16.1% 30d retreating AAL $12.76 -1.4% 30d coming into play DAL $82.17 +4.3% 30d coming into play AMZN $262.43 +4.0% 30d coming into play HOOD $109.02 -5.4% 30d coming into play MSFT $535.07 +8.8% 30d in trend USO $148.20 -1.2% 30d coming into play ITB $84.76 -6.2% 30d retreating INDA $46.03 -5.4% 30d coming into play BE $280.50 +4.2% 30d coming into play SMCI $41.86 +7.5% 30d coming into play BWET $998.30 +71.1% 30d in trend BDRY $13.89 -13.7% 30d coming into play SEA $21.32 +6.5% 30d in trend BOAT $53.46 +5.2% 30d in trend
BWET $998.30 -1.4% +71.1% +390.9% +6459.1% 73 in trend -5.1%
CCL $26.35 +0.8% +16.1% -1.8% -7.4% 64 retreating -22.6%
ATZ.TO $146.91 +20.5% +16.0% -8.2% +84.7% 70 coming into play -15.8%
MSFT $535.07 +2.4% +8.8% +38.9% +2.4% 68 in trend -3.4%
GAP $23.23 -0.6% +8.8% +19.4% +13.8% 59 retreating -20.9%
SMCI $41.86 -2.1% +7.5% +47.9% -27.8% 54 coming into play -28.8%
SEA $21.32 +0.3% +6.5% +23.2% +54.7% 72 in trend -0.6%
W $105.74 +0.6% +5.6% +18.5% +34.1% 58 coming into play -11.9%
BOAT $53.46 +0.1% +5.2% +32.0% +78.2% 66 in trend -1.0%
DAL $82.17 +0.0% +4.3% -6.0% +37.9% 48 coming into play -14.1%
BE $280.50 +2.8% +4.2% +14.7% +223.7% 54 coming into play -20.1%
AMZN $262.43 +3.3% +4.0% +7.0% +15.2% 59 coming into play -8.6%
AS $28.14 +2.5% +1.3% -19.1% -13.3% 50 retreating -34.2%
USO $148.20 +0.4% -1.2% +36.3% +104.4% 53 coming into play -9.3%
AAL $12.76 -0.3% -1.4% -24.7% +9.8% 40 coming into play -32.1%
UAE $19.32 +0.1% -2.0% -0.8% +0.4% 37 coming into play -13.3%
JETS $27.45 -0.1% -2.0% -14.5% +10.6% 37 coming into play -19.4%
INDA $46.03 +1.0% -5.4% -6.6% -12.8% 34 coming into play -17.1%
HOOD $109.02 +1.9% -5.4% -2.6% -28.5% 46 coming into play -29.0%
ITB $84.76 -1.3% -6.2% -13.3% -16.1% 37 retreating -26.5%
NKE $34.71 -0.1% -7.1% -21.8% -49.0% 38 retreating -50.7%
COPX $85.75 +4.3% -10.0% +12.0% +34.0% 49 coming into play -14.2%
BDRY $13.89 -4.1% -13.7% +7.8% +80.4% 37 coming into play -16.9%
RH $116.99 +2.9% -16.1% -29.3% -36.9% 32 retreating -51.1%

Feed generated 2026-10-10.