Status Report — April 26, 2026
Full Scan #11 | 29 scans | 10 active perspectives + 1 closed | 180 monsters (7x in 13 days) | 16 days since 04/10
1. Market Weather
| Index/Macro |
Price |
RSI |
30D% |
Trend |
Read |
| SPY (VOO proxy) |
$690.97 |
66.1 |
+3.6% |
strong-up |
Risk-on persisting, near ATH |
| QQQ |
$637.40 |
70.8 |
+4.4% |
strong-up |
Near ATH — chip blowoff carrying |
| VIXY |
$28.62 |
40.9 |
-8.7% |
strong-down |
Fear at floor |
| VXX |
— |
— |
-16% 7D |
strong-down |
Peak complacency signal |
| GLD |
$433.25 |
47.2 |
+4.1% |
weak |
Below SMA50, miners outperforming metal |
| TLT |
— |
— |
— |
weak |
Bonds still failing as safe haven |
| EEM |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Risk-on supports EM |
| USO |
— |
— |
-10% 7D |
cooling |
First real cooldown — services > producers |
| BTC |
~$77,808 |
60+ |
+9.7% |
strong-up |
Cleared $75K crypto-geopolitics trigger |
Conditions: Risk-on regime, 17 days of AI chip blowoff has 180 stocks at monster status (7x the 26 from 04/10 — zero dropouts). Fear collapsed: VXX -16% 7D = peak complacency. The narrative bifurcation is extreme: AI chips at RSI 87+ blowoff while defense primes at RSI 18-19 capitulation — market pricing AI capex arms race AND geopolitical de-escalation simultaneously. BTC cleared $75K; USO cooling; gold complex stable with miners (GDX) outperforming metal.
Regime call: Manage extended winners, accumulate quality oversold, honor stops. This is breadth euphoria meeting selective capitulation — the work is no longer finding new entries, it's working the book we already have.
2. Sector Heat Map
Overbought (Trim/Avoid)
| Sector/Theme |
Tickers (RSI) |
Read |
| AI Chips (PARABOLIC) |
AMD 88.5, ARM 87.2, MRVL 87.2, INTC 82.4 |
Statistical extremes. Insiders distributing -$200M+. Mean reversion incoming. |
| Optical (Extended) |
ALAB 83.6, FORM 82.3, JBL 78.4, SNDK 74.2, CLS 73.9, TSEM 71.3 |
Real demand thesis intact. Trim 25-33% of extended names. |
| AI Infra (Stretched) |
AVGO 78.0, EQIX 77.5, CRDO 77.6, GEV 80.6 |
Insider selling AVGO -$1.4B. Hold-with-trail mode. |
| Held overbought |
AMZN 79.9 (+29% pos, $10.9B insider sell), TAC 75.9 |
AMZN trim mandatory. |
Oversold (Buy Zone)
| Sector/Theme |
Tickers (RSI) |
Read |
| Defense (CAPITULATION) |
LMT 19.3, NOC 18.2, GD 25.7, LHX 26.8 |
War-premium unwind violent. GD/LHX actionable; LMT/NOC wait for RSI upturn (falling knife). |
| Pharma (TRIPLE-OVERSOLD) |
GILD 30.9, JNJ 35.8, ABBV 35.2 |
Rare three-name simultaneous capitulation. Quality dividend franchises at generational discounts. |
| Industrial Quality |
HON 31.9 |
Best RSI<32 in scan. +1.4% above SMA200 — still secular uptrend. |
| Healthcare |
ABT 26.3, MRK 38.5, MDT 39.6 |
Mixed — ABT structural weakness, MRK/MDT closer to entry. |
| SaaS Structural Decline |
ZS 32.1 (-15% 7D), SNOW 34.5 (-18.6% 7D), WDAY 38.4, VEEV 32.9 |
Falling knives + insider selling. NOT capitulation buying. |
3. Top 5 Opportunities
| # |
Stock |
Price |
RSI |
Zone |
Source |
Why |
| 1 |
HON |
$213.17 |
31.9 |
<$210 |
bargain-bin |
Highest quality RSI<32 in scan. Industrial conglomerate +1.4% above SMA200 = oversold inside secular uptrend. |
| 2 |
GILD |
$130.40 |
30.9 |
<$130 |
healthcare-scan |
Triple-oversold pharma window. Golden cross intact. HIV monopoly + oncology. -17% from 52wk high. |
| 3 |
JNJ |
$227.50 |
35.8 |
<$225 |
bargain-bin |
Dividend aristocrat. +12% above SMA200. Triple-oversold pharma — generational entry. |
| 4 |
GD / LHX |
$313 / $317 |
25.7 / 26.8 |
$300-325 |
defense-contractors |
Defense capitulation — actionable. Less budget-sensitive than LMT/NOC falling knives. |
| 5 |
LITE |
$881.64 |
58.4 |
$830-890 |
optical-supply-chain |
+165% 3M but RSI only 58 = real supply constraint, not blowoff. Best risk/reward in entire scan. |
4. Top Risks
| Risk |
Signal |
Status |
| MDT $0.32 above $83 stop |
RSI 39.6 declining, death cross, -14.5% pos |
🚨 CRITICAL — same-day decision |
| BTC (Grayscale) 1% above $34.04 stop |
RSI 73.5 bounced but -14.2% pos |
🚨 CRITICAL — exit or reset stop |
| AMZN parabolic |
RSI 79.9, +29% position, $10.9B insider sell, 23% weight |
⚠️ TRIM 8-10 shares mandatory |
| AI chip blowoff |
AMD 89, ARM 87, MRVL 87 — all parabolic |
Mean reversion risk; do not initiate |
| SaaS structural decline |
ZS -15% 7D, SNOW -18.6% 7D, insider selling |
Falling knives — do not buy the dip |
| Monster breadth + VXX -16% |
180 monsters, vol at floor |
Peak complacency = intermediate top setup |
| Defense falling knife |
LMT RSI 19, NOC RSI 18 |
Wait for RSI upturn before adding |
5. Actions Log
Trades Executed Today (04/26)
| Strategy |
Ticker |
Action |
Value |
Detail |
| claude-trader |
ARM |
TRIM 10sh |
$2,348 |
RSI 87 parabolic — locked +$857 (+57.47%) |
| claude-trader |
GILD |
BUY |
$3,001 |
RSI 30.9 triple-oversold pharma |
| claude-trader |
JNJ |
BUY |
$3,001 |
RSI 35.8 dividend aristocrat |
| claude-trader |
HON |
BUY |
$2,500 |
RSI 31.9 industrial quality |
| claude-trader |
CRSP |
BUY |
$2,000 |
$28M insider buy at RSI 40.7 |
| claude-momentum |
META |
SELL |
$3,699 |
+20% target hit at +23.24% (+$697) |
| claude-momentum |
GOOGL |
SELL |
$4,904 |
+20% target hit at +22.58% (+$903) |
| claude-momentum |
TMO |
SELL |
$3,322 |
RSI recovery exit at +10.73% (+$322) |
| claude-momentum |
HON, GILD, JNJ, GD, LHX |
BUY |
$19,000 |
Triple-oversold pharma + defense capitulation |
| yolo |
GOOGL |
SELL |
$9,733 |
+21.64% target hit (+$1,731) |
| yolo |
META |
SELL |
$8,627 |
+23.24% target hit (+$1,627) |
| yolo |
LITE |
BUY |
$13,004 |
MAX CONVICTION optical supercycle |
| yolo |
RIOT, GDX, GILD |
BUY |
$21,000 |
BTC trigger + gold-crash + pharma capitulation |
| bench-signals |
GOOGL, META |
CLOSE WIN |
— |
+22.6%/+23.2% (+$459 realized) |
| bench-signals |
16 new signals |
OPEN |
$16,000 |
GD, LHX, HON, JNJ, ITA, MCD, BRK-B, CME, XLE, FCX, DE, LITE, DDOG, TSM, ASML, URA |
Realized P&L Today
- claude-momentum: +$1,923 (best session ever)
- yolo: +$3,358 (META + GOOGL targets)
- claude-trader: +$857 (ARM trim)
- bench-signals: +$459 (GOOGL + META wins, ledger)
Stop Events
- No stops triggered today.
- MDT (real holdings) at 0.4% above $83 stop — PENDING
- BTC (real holdings) at 1.0% above $34.04 stop — PENDING
6. Portfolio Pulse
Strategy Leaderboard
| Rank |
Strategy |
Value |
Return |
Realized P&L |
Positions |
Cash |
Today |
| 🥇 |
yolo |
$107,497 |
+7.50% |
+$2,029 lifetime / +$3,358 today |
11 |
9% |
LITE/RIOT/GDX/GILD MAX |
| 🥈 |
claude-trader |
$104,856 |
+4.86% |
-$361 lifetime / +$857 today |
15 |
55% |
ARM trim, pharma quad |
| 🥉 |
claude-momentum |
$103,940 |
+3.94% |
+$1,859 lifetime / +$1,923 today |
18 |
31% |
3 wins + 5 buys |
| 4 |
bench-signals |
~$52,996 |
~-0.5% open / +$459 ledger / -$574 combined |
— |
51 ledger / 88 total |
— |
16 new signals |
claude-trader Positions (Top + Bottom 3)
| Stock |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
RSI |
Status |
| ARM |
$149.11 |
$234.81 |
+57.47% |
87↑ |
Half trimmed; trail remaining |
| META |
$547.75 |
$675.03 |
+23.24% |
— |
Approaching target |
| GOOGL |
$283.85 |
$344.40 |
+21.33% |
67 |
Approaching target |
| ABBV |
$204.75 |
$198.71 |
-2.95% |
35 |
Pharma triple-oversold |
| LLY |
$903.48 |
$883.96 |
-2.16% |
38 |
GLP-1 thesis intact |
| GILD/JNJ/HON/CRSP |
NEW |
flat |
0% |
30-40 |
Fresh entries |
claude-momentum Positions (Top + Bottom 3)
| Stock |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
Status |
| CRWD |
$389.02 |
$448.13 |
+15.21% |
Approaching +20% target |
| MSFT |
$374.53 |
$424.62 |
+13.37% |
Approaching target |
| SNOW |
$121.61 |
$134.24 |
+10.39% |
RSI 35 — bounce play has room |
| GDX |
$100.47 |
$94.34 |
-6.13% |
Gold-crash thesis |
| ABBV |
$204.75 |
$198.71 |
-2.95% |
Triple-oversold pharma |
| LLY |
$903.48 |
$883.96 |
-2.16% |
GLP-1 leader |
yolo Positions (Top + Bottom 3)
| Stock |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
Status |
| NUGT (2x gold) |
$185.02 |
$212.47 |
+14.84% |
Gold leverage working |
| MSFT |
$374.53 |
$424.62 |
+13.37% |
Strong recovery |
| LABU (3x biotech) |
$164.90 |
$186.29 |
+12.97% |
Biotech momentum |
| ABBV |
$204.75 |
$198.71 |
-2.95% |
Pharma capitulation |
| LLY |
$903.48 |
$883.96 |
-2.16% |
Small drift |
| LITE/RIOT/GDX/GILD |
NEW |
flat |
0% |
Fresh max-conviction |
bench-signals Winners/Losers
| Type |
Tickers |
Note |
| Closed Wins |
GOOGL +22.6%, META +23.2%, AMKR +60.5%, NFLX +20% |
4 lifetime wins |
| Closed Losses (recent) |
ZS -17.3%, ESTC -15.3%, GIS -16.9% |
Stops triggered through |
| Open Approaching Win |
GDX +14.8%, GOOGL/META closed, ABBV +5.7%, PYPL +12% |
Multiple approaching |
| Open Danger |
NKE -13.8%, LULU -14.6%, ABT -10.2%, SHOP -10.8%, AMZN -9.2%, CLX -11.2%, SAP -13.2%, META -13.1%, HD -10.3%, ADBE -10.9% |
10 in -10% to -15% danger band |
| Closed Win Rate (ledger) |
4W / 9L = 30.8% |
Improved with GOOGL/META wins |
Real Holdings (16 positions, +6.71%)
| Stock |
Shares |
P&L |
RSI |
Status |
| AMZN |
35 |
+29.07% |
79.9 |
⚠️ TRIM — RSI 80, $10.9B insider sell, 23% weight |
| NET |
30 |
+16.74% |
53.6 |
$169 → $207 reversal (+21.8% in 16 days) |
| QQQM |
10 |
+6.27% |
72.9 |
Strong |
| MDT |
12 |
-14.53% |
39.6 |
🚨 0.4% above $83 stop |
| BTC |
25 |
-14.18% |
73.5 |
🚨 1.0% above $34.04 stop |
| WCLD |
154 |
-8.34% |
33.6 |
Watch — SaaS structural |
Portfolio total: ~$39,872 cost basis, +$2,508 P&L (+6.71%) — strongest in months. AMZN single position carried +$2,081.
7. Key Numbers
| Metric |
Value |
Note |
| Most oversold |
NOC RSI 18.2 |
Defense capitulation extreme |
| Second most oversold |
LMT RSI 19.3 |
Falling knife — wait for upturn |
| Most overbought |
AMD RSI 88.5 |
Parabolic AI chip |
| Second most overbought |
ARM/MRVL RSI 87.2 |
Twin parabolic |
| Gold |
GLD $433.25 RSI 47 |
Below SMA50; miners (GDX +9.3% 30D) outperforming metal |
| BTC |
$77,808 |
Cleared $75K crypto-geopolitics trigger |
| USO |
-10% 7D |
First real oil cooldown |
| Monster count |
180 |
7x in 13 days (was 26); zero dropouts |
| VXX 7D |
-16% |
Peak complacency floor |
| Largest insider sale |
AMZN -$10.9B |
Distribution into strength |
| Largest insider buy |
TSLA +$200M |
First major signal in months at RSI 39 |
| Triple-oversold pharma |
GILD/JNJ/ABBV all RSI 31-36 |
Rare simultaneous capitulation |
| Active perspectives |
10 (6 SUSTAIN, 3 EVOLVE, 1 CLOSED) |
BRBR/Protein Economy closed |
| Today's realized P&L |
+$6,597 across 4 strategies |
Best session ever |
8. What Changed (vs 2026-04-10, 16 days)
| # |
Change |
| 1 |
Monster breadth 7x'd: 26 → 180. Zero dropouts. Historic broadening — but VXX -16% 7D = peak complacency. Risk management is now the job, not entry-finding. |
| 2 |
AI chip blowoff vs SaaS structural decline. AMD/ARM/MRVL at RSI 87+ (parabolic, insiders distributing -$200M+) while ZS/SNOW down 30%+ with insiders selling INTO the dip. Bifurcation extreme. |
| 3 |
Mag7 mean reversion targets hit. META +23.2% and GOOGL +22.6% triggered mechanical sells across yolo + claude-momentum + bench-signals. Bought RSI 25-28, sold RSI 67-69 — textbook bounce playbook executed. +$6,597 realized today. |
| 4 |
Triple-oversold pharma window opened. GILD/JNJ/ABBV all RSI 31-36 simultaneously — rare quality dividend capitulation. Bought across claude-trader + claude-momentum + yolo (max conviction cross-strategy). |
| 5 |
Real holdings flipped from +0.1% to +6.71%. AMZN single position drove +$2,081. NET reversed completely from -4.2% to +16.7% ($169 → $207). The SaaS capitulation entry from 04/10 was right. |
| 6 |
Perspectives retrospective: 6 SUSTAIN, 3 EVOLVE, 1 CLOSED. Optical Supercycle, AI Power Bottleneck, Food Security, US Energy Dominance, Gold Crash, Crypto-Geopolitics all working. War-Ends/Gulf Strike/Iran-Oil evolving as de-escalation prices in. BRBR/Protein Economy CLOSED — thesis failed (BRBR -79% from 52wk high) while HIMS was the actual winner. |
| 7 |
BTC cleared $75K crypto-geopolitics threshold. Trigger BREACHED — perspective bull case strengthening. Watch $80K next decision point. Bought RIOT in yolo as miner operating leverage play. Space sector all golden cross first time in 12 months. |
Perspectives Status
| Perspective |
Status |
Notes |
| Optical Supercycle |
✅ SUSTAIN |
LITE +165% 3M at RSI 58 — supply constraint real |
| AI Power Bottleneck |
✅ SUSTAIN |
BE/GEV running, VRT +75% 3M |
| Food Security Cascade |
✅ SUSTAIN |
Stage 2-3 confirmed; CF/NTR holding |
| US Energy Dominance |
✅ SUSTAIN |
Services > producers (HAL +7% vs XOM -5%) |
| Gold-Crash |
✅ SUSTAIN |
Miners (GDX) outperforming metal (GLD) on 30D |
| Crypto-Geopolitics |
✅ SUSTAIN |
BTC cleared $75K trigger |
| War-Ends Playbook |
🟡 EVOLVE |
BA +16% while LMT/NOC -15-17% — split signals |
| Gulf Infrastructure Strike |
🟡 EVOLVE |
Risk premium deflating, VXX -16% 7D |
| Iran War Oil |
🟡 EVOLVE |
USO cooling -10% 7D, services > producers |
| Protein Economy / BRBR |
❌ CLOSED |
Thesis failed; HIMS was real winner |
Sources
Price, RSI and trend figures read from the desk's validated daily scan
summaries (summaries). No number in this note was
computed in prose.
- Fundamentals figures: company-reported results (quarterly/annual filings) as available at the artifact date; predates the desk's EDGAR reconciliation gate — figures not re-verified after publication.