Rotation intensifies. Defensives overbought (GILD RSI 90, JNJ RSI 87). Growth deeply oversold (HIMS RSI 19, SHOP RSI 28, INTU RSI 28). Gold ATH $464.
Priority Actions
| Priority |
Action |
Detail |
| 1 |
HOLD BE |
Recovered to $153 (RSI 51) from $137. Back above $140 stop. Hold cautiously. |
| 2 |
WATCH NET |
$173 RSI 48. Moved away from $162 stop. Safe for now. |
| 3 |
ENTRY ZONE |
AMZN $210 RSI 32, SHOP $119 RSI 28, INTU $438 RSI 28, WDAY $152 RSI 30 |
| 4 |
DON'T CHASE |
Defensives (GILD RSI 90, JNJ RSI 87, MCD RSI 86) extremely overbought |
| 5 |
WATCH |
HIMS $19 RSI 19 = extreme. Capitulation or broken? |
Entry Zones (Oversold Opportunities)
| Ticker |
Price |
RSI |
SMA20 |
Entry Zone |
Stop |
Thesis |
Conviction |
| HIMS |
$18.66 |
19 |
$28.26 |
$17-19 |
$15 |
Extreme oversold, -34% 30D. Telehealth growth. |
🟡 Medium - could be broken |
| SHOP |
$118.88 |
28 |
$138.03 |
$115-120 |
$105 |
E-commerce leader. RSI 28 = deeply oversold. |
🟢 High - quality name |
| INTU |
$438.15 |
28 |
$520.21 |
$430-440 |
$400 |
Fintech leader. -15.7% 30D. Tax season catalyst. |
🟢 High |
| WDAY |
$152.28 |
30 |
$181.12 |
$148-155 |
$135 |
Enterprise SaaS. -16% 30D. |
🟡 Medium |
| AMZN |
$210.10 |
32 |
$235.18 |
$205-215 |
$190 |
Mega-cap oversold. Cloud growth. |
🟢 High |
| SNOW |
$173.87 |
32 |
$197.39 |
$165-170 |
$155 |
Data cloud. -20.6% 30D. |
🟡 Medium |
| PANW |
$164.77 |
31 |
$178.30 |
$155-165 |
$145 |
Cybersecurity leader. -12.8% 30D. |
🟡 Medium |
| TMO |
$544.19 |
21 |
$599.21 |
$530-545 |
$500 |
Life sciences. RSI 21 extreme. |
🟢 High |
| LEGN |
$17.20 |
8 |
$19.40 |
$16-17 |
$14 |
RSI 8 = most oversold in universe. Gene therapy. |
🔴 Low - high risk |
| ESTC |
$61.39 |
36 |
$68.57 |
$58-62 |
$52 |
Search/observability. -21.9% 30D. |
🟡 Medium |
| LULU |
$174.57 |
39 |
$187.40 |
$170-175 |
$160 |
Premium athleisure. -6.9% 30D. |
🟡 Medium |
| AMD |
$216.25 |
44 |
$232.89 |
$210-220 |
$195 |
AI compute #2. Below SMA. |
🟡 Medium |
| CEG |
$271.06 |
35 |
$290.72 |
$260-275 |
$240 |
Nuclear power for AI. RSI 35. |
🟡 Medium |
| MSFT |
$412.95 |
37 |
$444.61 |
$405-415 |
$385 |
Cloud/AI giant. Below SMA. |
🟢 High |
| CRWD |
$407.17 |
39 |
$442.77 |
$395-410 |
$370 |
Cybersecurity. -13.5% 30D. |
🟡 Medium |
Exit Alerts (Overbought / Take Profits)
| Ticker |
Price |
RSI |
Signal |
Action |
| GILD |
$150.76 |
90 |
🔴 Extremely overbought |
Trim if holding |
| JNJ |
$237.41 |
87 |
🔴 Extremely overbought |
Don't chase |
| MCD |
$324.87 |
86 |
🔴 Extremely overbought |
Don't chase |
| AAPL |
$272.86 |
80 |
⚠️ Overbought |
Hold, don't add |
| KO |
$77.89 |
80 |
⚠️ Overbought |
Don't chase |
| CL |
$93.92 |
79 |
⚠️ Overbought |
Don't chase |
| CLX |
$119.35 |
79 |
⚠️ Overbought |
Don't chase |
| BIIB |
$195.42 |
79 |
⚠️ Overbought |
Don't chase |
| EQIX |
$856.04 |
78 |
⚠️ Extended |
Partial profits |
| PHGE |
$6.23 |
77 |
⚠️ Parabolic |
Sell into strength |
| DLR |
$171.85 |
75 |
🟡 Extended |
Watch |
| TWST |
$46.81 |
75 |
🟡 Extended |
Hold, don't chase |
| PG |
$157.24 |
75 |
🟡 Extended |
Don't chase |
| GEV |
$811.17 |
74 |
🟡 Extended |
Watch |
| DOCN |
$64.54 |
73 |
🟡 Getting hot |
Hold |
| FTNT |
$85.60 |
72 |
🟡 Warm |
Hold |
| WMT |
$128.57 |
72 |
🟡 At range high |
Hold |
Stop-Loss Monitoring
| Stock |
Entry |
Stop (-15%) |
Current |
Distance |
Status |
| BE |
$164.96 |
$140.00 |
$153.09 |
9.4% above |
🟡 Watch |
| WMT |
$128.08 |
$109.00 |
$128.57 |
18.0% above |
🟢 Safe |
| NET |
$191.11 |
$162.00 |
$173.18 |
6.9% above |
🟡 Watch |
Price Alerts
| Ticker |
Alert Level |
Current |
Direction |
Reason |
| GLD |
$470 breakout |
$464.41 |
↑ |
New ATH territory, watch for acceleration |
| VIXY |
$24 all-clear |
$25.78 |
↓ |
Below $24 = risk-on signal |
| VOO |
$635 support |
$639.19 |
↓ |
Must hold for bounce to stick |
| SMH |
$400 support |
$408.39 |
↓ |
Semi support level |
| AMZN |
$205 support |
$210.10 |
↓ |
Critical hold level |
Market Regime
| Factor |
Status |
Implication |
| VIX |
VIXY RSI 39, cooling |
🟢 Fear subsiding |
| Gold |
ATH $464, RSI 57 |
🟡 Safe haven still active |
| Bonds |
TLT flat, RSI 62 |
🟡 No strong signal |
| Growth vs Value |
Growth oversold, value overbought |
🟡 Rotation extreme |
| EM |
EEM RSI 69, +6% 30D |
🟢 Capital rotating out of US |
Regime: LATE-CYCLE ROTATION - Money moving from growth to defensives, gold, and real assets. Not a crash (VOO flat). Watch for growth capitulation washout as potential buy signal.
Pending Research
| Item |
Priority |
Notes |
| HIMS deep dive |
High |
RSI 19, need to understand if thesis broken |
| SHOP thesis update |
High |
RSI 28, is e-commerce growth intact? |
| INTU earnings preview |
Medium |
Tax season approaching, beaten down |
| TMO value assessment |
Medium |
RSI 21, life sciences giant |
| Gold thesis |
Low |
Is $464 sustainable or blow-off top? |
Commands
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