Regime: SLOW GRIND LOWER, CLOUD BOUNCE FADING. VOO $622.72 (RSI 43, -2.0% 30D). QQQ RSI 51 outperforming. VIXY $32.68 RISING -- fear not resolved. GLD $477.86 (RSI 61) safe haven bid accelerating. Cloud/SaaS V-shape confirmed earlier this week but 03/10 close shows pullback in many names (SNOW $175 from $183, WDAY $142 from $148). Two profit targets hit (INTU +20.7%, HIMS +35.9%). All strategies were positive intra-week but 03/10 close pulls momentum and YOLO back slightly negative. Insider posture: 43 selling, 3 buying. Zero golden signals.
1. Market Weather
| Indicator |
Level |
RSI |
Signal |
Note |
| VOO (S&P 500) |
$622.72 |
43 |
Slow bleed |
-2.0% 30D. $609 support tested and held. Below SMA. |
| QQQ (Nasdaq) |
$607.77 |
51 |
Outperforming |
Near SMA. Tech > Broad market. Growth > Value. |
| VIXY (VIX) |
$32.68 |
elevated |
FEAR RISING |
Up from $29.53 -- VIXY rising, NOT falling. No all-clear. |
| GLD (Gold) |
$477.86 |
61 |
Safe haven bid |
+2.2% 30D. Structural accumulation accelerating. New highs. |
| TLT (Bonds) |
$88.28 |
~55 |
Neutral-positive |
Rate cut expectations building. |
| EEM (EM) |
$58.68 |
~65 |
Stretched |
Was +6% 30D. Starting to fade from overbought. |
One-liner: Slow grind lower persists. Cloud bounce real but fading on 03/10 close. VIXY rising to $32.68 is the warning signal. GLD new highs. All profit targets hit intra-week validated the oversold bounce thesis, but late-session selloff in growth names (SNOW -4%, WDAY -4%) suggests the V-shape is losing steam.
2. Sector Heat Map
Overbought (Don't Chase)
| Sector |
Leaders |
RSI Range |
Signal |
| Gold / Safe Haven |
GLD (RSI 61), SLV |
55-65 |
Structural bid, accelerating |
| Energy / Utilities |
XLE (~79), CEG (~79) |
75-85 |
Extended -- tariff/nuclear premium |
| Dividend ETFs |
SCHD (~90), VYM (~87) |
85-90 |
EXTREME -- safety rotation crowded |
| Consumer Staples |
XLP (~80) |
75-80 |
Overbought -- CLX cracking as contrarian entry |
Oversold (Opportunity Zone)
| Sector |
Leaders |
RSI Range |
Signal |
| Home Improvement |
LOW (RSI 20), HD (~25) |
20-30 |
Deepening. LOW now more oversold than last week. |
| Retail / Consumer |
LULU (RSI 31), NKE (~33) |
30-40 |
Consumer discretionary under pressure |
| Life Sciences |
TMO (RSI 42), IDXX (~40) |
35-45 |
Recovering from extreme but still weak |
| Enterprise Software |
ORCL (RSI ~44), TEAM (RSI ~46) |
40-50 |
Stabilizing but not bouncing strongly |
Recovering / Neutral
| Sector |
Status |
| Cloud/SaaS |
V-shape FADING: DDOG still strong but SNOW pulled back to $175 (from $183). NOW $116 (strong). WCLD RSI 54. |
| Big Tech |
MSFT $406 (RSI 56), GOOGL $307 (RSI 54), AMZN $214 (RSI 62). QQQ > VOO. |
| AI Infrastructure |
AVGO $342.58 (RSI 56). Pulled back from $345.75. Still +9.2% from entry. |
| Biotech |
CRSP $52.80 (RSI 49). Pulled back from $58.78. +2.9% from entry (was +14.6%). |
3. Top 5 Opportunities
| Rank |
Ticker |
Price |
RSI |
Entry Zone |
Conviction |
Why |
| 1 |
LOW |
$251.11 |
20 |
$240-$255 |
Strong Buy |
Home improvement compounder. RSI DEEPENED to 20. Housing sector freefall. Quality at capitulation. |
| 2 |
CLX |
$115.87 |
~34 |
$110-$118 |
Strong Buy |
Defensive quality. Tariff-fear oversold. Hammer candle. Portfolio added at $115.50. Fresh data. |
| 3 |
LULU |
$166.43 |
31 |
$160-$170 |
Accumulate |
Premium athleisure at RSI 31. -6.2% from entry. Consumer weakness creating discount. |
| 4 |
TMO |
$500.08 |
42 |
$490-$510 |
Watch |
Life sciences recovering but slow. RSI 42 up from 5. Insider selling -$310M is the concern. |
| 5 |
TEAM |
$78.01 |
~46 |
$68-$73 on retest |
Watch |
Atlassian at SMA pivot. Still down 15%. Deep dive candidate. Wait for pullback to entry zone. |
LOW is the standout: RSI 20 on a quality compounder. YOLO already bought at $250.22. Other strategies should consider.
4. Top Risks
Stop-Loss Proximity
| Stock |
Strategy |
Entry |
Stop |
Current |
Distance |
Status |
| TMO |
claude-trader |
$544.19 |
$462.56 (-15%) |
$500.08 |
8.1% above |
CLOSEST -- weakened further. Insider selling -$310M. |
| LULU |
claude-trader |
$177.34 |
$150.74 (-15%) |
$166.43 |
10.4% above |
WORSENED -- from 12.6% to 10.4% above stop. |
| ORCL |
claude-momentum |
$152.95 |
$137.66 (-10%) |
$149.40 |
8.5% above |
DANGER -- dropped below entry. Closest momentum stop. |
| ORCL |
yolo |
$152.95 |
$122.36 (-20%) |
$149.40 |
22.1% above |
OK -- wider YOLO stop provides buffer. |
bench-signals Danger Zone
| Stock |
Entry |
Current |
Unrealized |
Status |
| OKTA |
$81.64 |
$72.52 |
-11.2% |
Approaching -15% stop ($69.39). Stale price -- may be worse. |
| ESTC |
$59.00 |
$53.25 |
-9.7% |
Cloud laggard, not participating in V-shape. |
| NKE |
$61.00 |
$56.53 |
-7.3% |
7 weeks of selling. Turnaround thesis failing. |
| AMZN (#20) |
$230.00 |
$214.33 |
-6.8% |
Signal entry was too high vs market. |
| AMD |
$216.25 |
$202.68 |
-6.3% |
Semi correction dragging. |
Real Portfolio Alerts
| Stock |
Alert |
Status |
| AS |
$30.71 stop (-15%) |
WARNING -- RSI 21, approaching stop. Thesis bruised. Hold, don't add. |
| VIXY |
Rising to $32.68 |
FEAR INCREASING -- no all-clear. Regime caution warranted. |
| NET |
$160 stop (raised) |
SAFE -- $207.49. 29.7% above stop. Cloud leader. |
| SHOP |
+30% target ($146) |
Watching -- $129.36. Pulled back from $133.50. 12.5% to target. |
5. Actions Log
Trades Executed 03/10
| Strategy |
Trade |
Ticker |
Price |
Shares |
Value |
Rationale |
| claude-trader |
BUY |
CLX |
$115.50 |
22 |
$2,541 |
Defensive quality, RSI 34. Only actionable Strong Buy. |
| claude-momentum |
SELL |
INTU |
$473.67 |
8 |
$3,789 |
+20% PROFIT TARGET HIT (+20.7%). First winning close. Profit: +$651. |
| yolo |
SELL |
HIMS |
$22.16 |
200 |
$4,432 |
+20% TARGET EXCEEDED (+35.9%). RSI 10 bounce worked. Profit: +$1,172. |
| yolo |
BUY |
LOW |
$250.22 |
40 |
$10,009 |
Home improvement oversold -12.1% 30D. Strong Buy. |
| bench-signals |
SELL |
ASAN |
$7.90 |
100.9 |
$797 |
-20.3% stop-loss hit. Blew through -15%. |
| bench-signals |
BUY |
CLX |
$115.50 |
8.7 |
$1,000 |
Defensive-scan. Consumer staples RSI 34. |
New Entry Zones (vs 03/03)
| Ticker |
RSI |
Entry Zone |
Change |
| CLX |
34 |
$110-$118 |
NEW -- consumer staples panic, fresh data |
| NKE |
~33 |
$53-$57 |
NEW -- 7 weeks selling, turnaround risk |
| DDOG pullback |
~55 |
$115-$120 |
NEW ALERT -- extended after V-shape, wait |
| NET pullback |
~60 |
$180-$190 |
NEW ALERT -- breaking $200, wait for dip |
| LOW deepening |
20 |
$240-$255 |
WORSENED -- RSI dropped from 25 to 20 |
Profit Target Hits 03/10
| Stock |
Strategy |
Entry |
Exit |
Gain |
Reason |
| INTU |
claude-momentum |
$392.33 |
$473.67 |
+20.7% |
Cloud/SaaS V-shape. First winning close. |
| HIMS |
yolo |
$16.30 |
$22.16 |
+35.9% |
RSI 10 bounce. Broken thesis but trade worked. |
Stop-Loss Events 03/10
| Stock |
Strategy |
Entry |
Exit |
Loss |
Reason |
| ASAN |
bench-signals |
$9.91 |
$7.90 |
-20.3% |
Blew through -15% stop. Insiders sold -$8.3M. |
6. Portfolio Pulse
Leaderboard (Using 03/10 Close Prices)
| Rank |
Strategy |
Return |
Value |
Cash |
Positions |
Trades Today |
Trend |
| 1 |
claude-trader |
+3.12% |
$103,116 |
$60,146 (58%) |
19 |
1 (BUY CLX) |
UP (was +2.15%) |
| 2 |
bench-signals |
+1.8% |
~$46,845 |
-- |
46 signals |
2 (sold ASAN, bought CLX) |
UP (was -1.0%) |
| 3 |
yolo |
-0.33% |
$99,673 |
$45,833 (46%) |
7 |
2 (sold HIMS, bought LOW) |
FLAT (was -1.80%) |
| 4 |
claude-momentum |
-0.15% |
$99,854 |
$75,430 (76%) |
7 |
1 (sold INTU +20.7%) |
UP (was -1.15%) |
Overall: Claude-trader leads at +3.12%, down from +3.85% intra-week as late 03/10 selloff hit SNOW, WDAY, CRSP. Momentum and YOLO slipped back slightly negative on the close despite hitting profit targets earlier. Bench-signals improved to +1.8% on cloud recovery. The V-shape is real but fading -- 03/10 close lower than mid-session prices across the board.
claude-trader Positions (19) -- $103,116 (+3.12%)
| Stock |
Shares |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
% |
Status |
| NFLX |
24 |
$80.78 |
$96.94 |
+$388 |
+20.0% |
LEADER -- overbought, approaching target |
| INTU |
10 |
$389.98 |
$453.95 |
+$640 |
+16.4% |
Pulled back from $473 |
| NOW |
19 |
$102.63 |
$116.61 |
+$266 |
+13.6% |
Fresh data -- much stronger than stale |
| AVGO |
9 |
$313.78 |
$342.58 |
+$259 |
+9.2% |
AI ASIC thesis intact |
| MSFT |
5 |
$390.00 |
$405.76 |
+$79 |
+4.0% |
Big Tech steady |
| WCLD |
70 |
$27.88 |
$28.79 |
+$64 |
+3.3% |
Cloud ETF |
| CRSP |
40 |
$51.31 |
$52.80 |
+$60 |
+2.9% |
Pulled back from $58.78 |
| WDAY |
21 |
$138.57 |
$142.49 |
+$82 |
+2.8% |
Pulled back from $148 |
| SNOW |
12 |
$170.57 |
$175.32 |
+$57 |
+2.8% |
Pulled back from $183 |
| ADBE |
7 |
$269.39 |
$275.13 |
+$40 |
+2.1% |
Creative cloud |
| AMZN |
9 |
$210.10 |
$214.33 |
+$38 |
+2.0% |
|
| ISRG |
4 |
$476.32 |
$485.85 |
+$38 |
+2.0% |
|
| IGV |
25 |
$85.02 |
$85.65 |
+$16 |
+0.7% |
|
| CRM |
10 |
$193.75 |
$194.91 |
+$12 |
+0.6% |
|
| GOOGL |
6 |
$305.72 |
$307.04 |
+$8 |
+0.4% |
|
| CLX |
22 |
$115.50 |
$115.87 |
+$8 |
+0.3% |
NEW today |
| ORCL |
13 |
$152.95 |
$149.40 |
-$46 |
-2.3% |
Below entry, watch |
| LULU |
11 |
$177.34 |
$166.43 |
-$120 |
-6.2% |
10.4% above stop |
| TMO |
3 |
$544.19 |
$500.08 |
-$132 |
-8.1% |
8.1% above stop -- CLOSEST |
claude-momentum Positions (7) -- $99,854 (-0.15%)
| Stock |
Shares |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
% |
Status |
| SNOW |
19 |
$156.71 |
$175.32 |
+$354 |
+11.9% |
Pulled back from +16.7% |
| AVGO |
15 |
$313.84 |
$342.58 |
+$431 |
+9.2% |
AI ASIC thesis |
| AMZN |
10 |
$198.79 |
$214.33 |
+$155 |
+7.8% |
|
| IGV |
35 |
$82.77 |
$85.65 |
+$101 |
+3.5% |
|
| CRM |
10 |
$189.97 |
$194.91 |
+$49 |
+2.6% |
|
| WDAY |
36 |
$138.57 |
$142.49 |
+$141 |
+2.8% |
|
| ORCL |
25 |
$152.95 |
$149.40 |
-$89 |
-2.3% |
8.5% above -10% stop -- DANGER |
yolo Positions (7) -- $99,673 (-0.33%)
| Stock |
Shares |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
% |
Status |
| AVGO |
32 |
$313.78 |
$342.58 |
+$922 |
+9.2% |
Best by dollar P&L |
| CRSP |
100 |
$51.31 |
$52.80 |
+$149 |
+2.9% |
Pulled back sharply from +14.6% |
| WDAY |
72 |
$138.57 |
$142.49 |
+$282 |
+2.8% |
|
| TQQQ |
100 |
$48.78 |
$49.40 |
+$62 |
+1.3% |
Leveraged, volatile |
| LOW |
40 |
$250.22 |
$251.11 |
+$36 |
+0.4% |
NEW today |
| ARKK |
67 |
$74.36 |
$72.89 |
-$98 |
-2.0% |
Below entry |
| ORCL |
50 |
$152.95 |
$149.40 |
-$178 |
-2.3% |
22.1% above -20% stop |
bench-signals Top Movers (of 46 open signals)
Closed today: ASAN #26 at -20.3% (blew through -15% stop). 1 new: CLX.
Approaching WIN: CEG at +19.2%, NFLX at +20.0% -- two signals at or near +20% target.
Closed record: 0W 4L. Total realized loss: -$803.
7. Key Numbers
| Metric |
Value |
Context |
| Most Oversold (quality) |
LOW RSI 20 |
Home improvement compounder in freefall. Deepened from RSI 25. |
| Runner-up Oversold |
LULU RSI 31 |
Premium athleisure weakening. |
| Golden Signals |
ZERO |
No RSI<30 + insider buying combo. Persistent. |
| Best New Entry |
CLX RSI 34 |
Consumer staples -10.6% 7D. Contrarian defensive. |
| Most Overbought |
SCHD RSI ~90 |
Dividend ETF institutional hiding. |
| Gold |
$477.86 (RSI 61) |
Safe haven accelerating. New highs. |
| VIXY |
$32.68 (RISING) |
Fear NOT resolved. Up from $29.53. Critical warning. |
| VOO |
$622.72 (RSI 43) |
Slow bleed continues. $609 support key. |
| Entry Zones Active |
18 |
4 extreme, 5 oversold, 7 approaching, 2 watching. |
| Signals (bench) |
50 total (46 open, 4 closed) |
+1 new (CLX), 1 closed (ASAN). |
| Best Strategy |
claude-trader +3.12% |
Leading since inception. |
| NFLX (bench-signals) |
+20.0% |
AT profit target. First potential WIN. |
| SNOW (momentum) |
11.9% from entry |
Pulled back from 16.7%. Still approaching +20% target ($188.05). |
| Profit Targets Hit Today |
INTU +20.7%, HIMS +35.9% |
Two winning closes on same day. System validation. |
| Insider Posture |
43 selling, 3 buying |
Broadest bearish posture persists. |
| ORCL |
$149.40, below all entries |
Weakening across all 3 active portfolios. Watch closely. |
8. What Changed (03/10 vs 03/03)
Two profit targets hit -- first winning closes in the system. Momentum sold INTU at +20.7% ($651 profit). YOLO sold HIMS at +35.9% ($1,172 profit). Strategy validation: the oversold bounce thesis WORKS when you let winners run and exit mechanically. Both exits were intra-day before the late selloff.
Cloud/SaaS V-shape confirmed but FADING on 03/10 close. DDOG, NET, INTU all surged 13-16% this week, but late-session selling pulled SNOW from $183 to $175, WDAY from $148 to $142, CRSP from $59 to $53. The V-shape is real but losing momentum. VIXY rising to $32.68 confirms fear is NOT resolved.
VIXY rising from $29.53 to $32.68 is the key warning signal. Previous status noted VIXY was stale. Fresh data shows fear INCREASING, not decreasing. This is NOT an all-clear. Regime remains cautious.
ORCL weakening across all portfolios. Dropped to $149.40, now -2.3% from entry in all three strategies. Momentum portfolio has ORCL just 8.5% above its -10% stop ($137.66). The RSI 15 bounce thesis is fading. Watch closely for stop-loss trigger.
TMO and LULU approaching stops. TMO now just 8.1% above its -15% stop (was 10.2%). LULU dropped to 10.4% above stop (was 12.6%). Both are weakening while the rest of the portfolio recovers. These are trim candidates if they don't stabilize.
GLD accelerating to $477.86 (RSI 61). Gold new highs. Safe haven bid strengthening while equities grind lower. Structural accumulation -- not just fear trade, also rate-cut expectations.
LOW RSI deepened to 20 (from 25). The home improvement sector selloff is accelerating. This is now the most oversold quality name in the universe.
Sources
Generated 2026-03-10, updated with fresh March 10 close prices. Previous status overwritten.
Price truth: validated daily summaries (summaries).