2026-03-11 - Daily Actions

Market Brief Ticker Tape

MARKET CONTEXT: VOO $622.00 (-2.3% 30D, RSI 43) | QQQM $250.24 (-0.9% 30D, RSI 49) | VIXY $32.68 (RSI 62, +24.5% 30D) | GLD $476.25 (+1.8% 30D, RSI 56)

REGIME: STAGFLATION INTENSIFYING. Oil parabolic (USO RSI 81, +36.8% 30D), housing in capitulation (ITB RSI 27, XHB RSI 29), India joining oversold club (INDA RSI 30). Life sciences tools in coordinated selloff (DHR RSI 29, MDT RSI 27, TMO RSI 33, A RSI 31). NKE broke below RSI 30. LOW at RSI 30 with golden cross intact = best quality entry signal. BNTX capitulating at RSI 23 while MRNA +89% 3M — massive mRNA divergence. Defense sector consolidating at healthy RSI 48-56 with golden crosses after +15-37% 3M runs. Zero golden signals persist (no RSI<30 + insider buying). Cloud/SaaS death crosses dominate — structural repricing, not a dip.


Entry Zones (IN ZONE NOW)

EXTREME OVERSOLD (RSI < 20) - Capitulation Territory

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Source Action Notes
None currently. LEGN recovered to RSI 56 (+10.1% 7D).

OVERSOLD (RSI 20-30) - Strong Entry Zone

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Source Action Notes
BNTX $83.89 $75-$85 23 -23.3% biotech-scan 🔍 Research NEW. mRNA capitulation — -20.7% below SMA20, -17.4% 7D. Validate mRNA pipeline beyond COVID. MRNA +89% 3M divergence is extreme.
MDT $89.89 $85-$92 27 -11.1% biotech-scan, holdings ✅ Strong Buy NEW. HELD POSITION (-7.8%). Defensive medtech rarely sub-30 RSI. Only 8.3% above $83 stop. Life sciences tools selloff.
ITB $96.85 $93-$97 27 -14.1% market-pulse, macro 🔍 Watch NEW. Housing capitulation. -9.6% below SMA20. Needs oil reversal as catalyst.
NKE $55.72 $53-$56 29 -10.0% consumer-scan, retail 📈 Accumulate UPDATED. Broke below RSI 30 (was 30 on 03/10). Death cross. Turnaround under maximum stress. Tiny size only.
XHB $104.34 $100-$105 29 -13.5% market-pulse, macro 🔍 Watch NEW. Homebuilders capitulation. Same thesis as ITB — needs oil reversal.
DHR $195.22 $185-$200 29 -11.3% biotech-scan ✅ Strong Buy NEW. Life sciences tools bellwether. Quality compounder -15.9% 3M. When DHR hits RSI 29, historically strong entry.
LOW $246.81 $240-$250 30 -14.0% retail-scan, defensive ✅ Strong Buy UPDATED (was ~RSI 25 est). Golden cross still intact. Housing weakness but quality franchise. Testing SMA200 ($244.58).
INDA $49.93 $48-$50 30 -6.7% macro-commodities, etf 🔍 Watch NEW. India oversold + death cross. Oil importer + strong dollar = double pain. Wait for stabilization.

APPROACHING OVERSOLD (RSI 30-40) - Watch Closely

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Source Action Notes
VMC $272.00 $265-$275 30 -14.8% ai-infra 📈 Accumulate NEW. Aggregates near oversold. Infrastructure demand thesis. -10.3% below SMA20.
A $115.43 $110-$118 31 -10.5% biotech-scan 🔍 Watch NEW. Agilent tracking DHR lower. Life sciences tools sector-wide de-rating.
AS $33.28 32 -16.4% holdings ⚠️ WARNING UPDATED. HELD POSITION (-7.9%). 8.4% from $30.71 stop. Accelerating sell-off. DO NOT ADD.
PPC $38.64 $36-$40 33 -10.5% defensive-scan 🔍 Watch NEW. Protein producer selloff. Death cross, -31.9% from high.
TMO $495.61 $480-$500 33 -6.0% biotech-scan 🔍 Watch UPDATED. Tracking DHR in tools selloff. -12.0% below SMA50. Insiders selling -$310M.
MLM $607.54 $590-$610 33 -8.1% ai-infra 🔍 Watch NEW. Aggregates approaching oversold. Same infrastructure thesis as VMC.
ASAN $7.07 $6.50-$7.50 34 -5.6% bargain-bin, insider 📈 Accumulate RETURNING. ONLY bargain with insider buying (+$8.3M). -51.9% 3M. Closest to golden signal.
HD $351.01 $340-$355 34 -10.2% retail-scan, defensive 🔍 Watch UPDATED. Death cross confirmed. Housing-linked weakness. Wait for RSI <30.
NVO $38.72 $35-$40 34 -20.6% biotech-scan 🔍 Watch NEW. GLP-1 giant in -53% secular decline. Death cross. LLY holding far better.
LULU $162.83 $155-$163 34 -7.4% consumer-scan 🔍 Watch NEW. -53% from ATH. Death cross. Deep value IF brand holds.
MDB $270.46 $250-$270 35 -25.8% ai-scan, bargain-bin 🔍 Research NEW. MongoDB crash — 13.8% below SMA20. Verify if earnings or structural. Insiders selling.
QCOM $135.20 $125-$135 36 -3.5% ai-scan, bargain-bin 🔍 Watch NEW. Mobile AI/auto moats. Death cross, strong-down. Patient holders only.
ECL $281.39 $270-$285 35 -7.3% defensive-scan, ai-infra 🔍 Watch NEW. Industrial bellwether weakening. Golden cross intact.
TEL $202.95 $195-$205 35 -10.9% ai-infra 🔍 Watch NEW. Connectors selloff. Below all SMAs. Data center buildout demand support.
TSLA $407.35 $390-$400 48 → wait for RSI<35 -4.9% pullback-buys, insider 🔍 Watch RETURNING. RSI recovered 37->48 (bounced off SMA200). Insider buying +$191M. Golden cross intact. Wait for better entry.

Price Alerts (Waiting for Entry)

Stock Alert Entry Zone Source Set Date Status
ARM $110-118, RSI < 35 Below SMA200, death cross nvda-ecosystem 2026-02-16 ⏳ Watching — $120.04, RSI 48. Recovered from alert zone.
NVDA $175-178, RSI < 35 Dead neutral at SMA20/50 nvda-ecosystem 2026-02-22 ⏳ Watching — $185.93, RSI 51. Not in zone.
TSM $330-345 Foundry monopoly, -5.4% 30D nvda-ecosystem 2026-02-16 ⏳ Watching — $353.75, above range.
ASML $1,280-1,350 EUV monopoly below SMA20 ai-scan 2026-03-03 ⏳ Watching — $1,387.50, above range.
MRVL $80-88 after pullback +19.0% 7D, don't chase ai-infra 2026-03-03 ⏳ Waiting — $90.33, RSI 62. Extended. Wait for pullback.
CEG $285-300, RSI < 50 Nuclear AI power, death cross energy, ai-infra 2026-02-26 ⏳ IN ZONE — $300.27, RSI 45. Death cross but +8.6% 30D.
GOOGL $295-308 At SMA20, neutral mag7, ai-scan 2026-03-03 ⏳ IN ZONE — $308.85, RSI 47. Weak-down, watching.
DDOG pullback $115-$120 V-shaped recovery needs consolidation cloud-etfs 2026-03-10 ⏳ Waiting — $127.43, RSI 56. Above range, death cross.
NET pullback $195-$200 on dip Running +12.1% 7D, RSI 66 cloud-etfs 2026-03-10 ⏳ Waiting — $212.44, extended. Do NOT chase.
INTU pullback $440-$450 Strong-down, death cross cloud-etfs 2026-03-10 ⏳ Waiting — $440.65, near top of range.
ISRG <$480, RSI < 35 Surgical robotics monopoly ai-scan, biotech 2026-03-11 ⏳ NEW — $485.85, RSI 40. Watch for sub-$475 entry.
RKLB <$70, RSI < 40 Golden cross, +31.4% above SMA200 pullback-buys 2026-03-11 ⏳ NEW — $71.90, RSI 49. Best structural pullback setup.
CRSP $48-$52 Gene editing, $27M insider buying insider-scan, biotech 2026-03-11 ⏳ NEW — $49.94, RSI 41. IN ZONE. -11.6% 7D selloff.

Exit Alerts (Holdings)

Stock Alert Type Entry Current P&L Set Date Status
NET $180 (raised from $160) Stop-loss $177.38 avg $212.44 +19.8% 2026-01-26 🟢 Strong — 18% above stop. Approaching +30% target ($231). Consider partial at $231.
IQV $140 Stop-loss (-15%) $164.63 $170.93 +3.8% 🟡 Weakening — RSI dropped 50->39. -3.5% 30D. 22.1% above stop. Watch trend.
MDT $83 Stop-loss (-15%) $97.49 $89.89 -7.8% 🔴 WARNING — RSI 27, only 8.3% above stop. Life sciences tools selloff.
AS $30.71 Stop-loss (-15%) $36.13 $33.28 -7.9% 🔴 WARNING — RSI 32, only 8.4% above stop. -16.4% 30D. Accelerating selloff.
PLTR $119 Stop-loss (-15%) $140.04 $151.61 +8.3% 🟢 Healthy — 27.4% above stop. Death cross but bouncing +11.7% 30D.
SHOP $95 Stop-loss (-15%) $112.39 $129.54 +15.3% 🟢 Running — 36.4% above stop. +9.1% 30D.
VOO Core position $628.94 $622.00 -1.1% 🟡 Slight drawdown. DCA only. RSI 43.
WMT $108.86 Stop-loss (-15%) $128.07 $123.46 -3.6% 2026-02-03 🟡 Below entry. 13.4% above stop. Golden cross intact, -4.1% 30D.
AMZN Core hold $204.53 $212.65 +4.0% 🟡 Above entry. Death cross just formed (SMA50 crossed below SMA200). Watch.
CRM Watch $190.96 $193.96 +1.6% 🟡 Above entry. RSI 44, death cross. -25.9% 3M.
BTC Hold $40.05 (GBTC) $31.25 -22.0% 🔴 Deep underwater. -4.1% 7D. Small allocation.

Sector Rotation Signals

Signal Trigger What It Means Status
Oil shock parabolic USO RSI 81, +36.8% 30D Iran/Hormuz crisis driving entire cross-asset rotation. Housing/EM getting crushed. 🔴 ACTIVE — Do NOT chase USO
Housing capitulation ITB RSI 27, XHB RSI 29, -14% 30D Contrarian entries forming, need oil reversal catalyst. 🟢 ACTIVE — Watch for entry
Life sciences tools selloff DHR RSI 29, MDT RSI 27, TMO RSI 33, A RSI 31 Coordinated sector de-rating. Best entry in tools in months IF macro stabilizes. 🟢 NEW — Entry forming
SaaS/cloud structural repricing 14 death crosses in AI scan, IGV -22% 3M Not a dip — sector-wide repricing. TEAM -52%, MDB -36%, WDAY -36% 3M. 🔴 ACTIVE — Avoid catching knives
Defense consolidation LMT +37%, NOC +31%, all golden crosses War premium embedded, +15-37% 3M. Healthy RSI 48-56. 🟢 ACTIVE — Accumulate on dips
Gold safe haven GLD +21.1% 3M, golden cross, RSI 56 THE safe haven that works. Orderly uptrend. 🟢 ACTIVE — Add on dips
QQQ > VOO continues QQQ -0.9% vs VOO -2.3% 30D Large-cap tech = new defensive. Mega-cap outperformance widening. 🟢 ACTIVE
VIXY still elevated VIXY $32.68, RSI 62, +24.5% 30D Fear spiked, easing slightly (-4.1% 7D) but no all-clear. 🟠 ACTIVE — Caution
Dollar surging UUP +2.3% 30D, RSI 66 Flight to USD amplifying pain for EM, oil importers. 🟠 ACTIVE
Stagflation confirmed Oil up + copper down + agriculture up USO +36.8%, COPX -7.8%, WEAT +8.9% 30D. Textbook cost-push squeeze. 🔴 ACTIVE — Defensive posture

Insider Activity Summary

Signal Stocks Implication
🔴 ZERO GOLDEN SIGNALS None — closest is ASAN (RSI 34 + buying) No RSI<30 + insider buying combo. Second consecutive scan. Smart money NOT buying capitulation.
🟢 BUYING TSLA (+$191M), CRSP (+$27M), ASAN (+$8.3M) Only 3 stocks with net buying. ASAN closest to golden. CRSP buying into -11.6% weekly dip.
🔴 SELLING INTO DIP ZM (-$210M at RSI 37), EOSE (-$22M at RSI 31) Insiders confirming broken theses. Do NOT bottom-fish.
🔴 HEAVY SELLING AMZN (-$10.9B), LLY (-$4.8B), PLTR (-$3.7B), NVDA (-$3B), PANW (-$1.8B), NFLX (-$1.3B) Mega-cap distribution continues. Insiders NOT buying the dip.
🔴 POSTURE 49 of 59 stocks show net selling Broadest bearish insider posture persists. No all-clear.

Pending Research Actions

Action Source Priority Status
Research BNTX RSI 23 capitulation biotech-scan HIGH ⏳ Todo — Validate mRNA pipeline beyond COVID. Why MRNA +89% 3M while BNTX -12.6%?
Research MDB -25.8% 30D crash ai-scan, bargain-bin HIGH ⏳ Todo — Earnings miss or cloud spending pullback? Distinguish before any entry.
Monitor MDT stop at $83 holdings HIGH ⏳ Active — RSI 27, 8.3% from stop. Life sciences weakness. Let stop work.
Monitor AS stop at $30.71 holdings HIGH ⏳ Active — RSI 32, 8.4% from stop. -16.4% 30D accelerating. Let stop work.
NET approaching +30% target ($231) holdings MEDIUM ⏳ Active — At $212.44 (+19.8%). Raise stop to $180. Consider partial at $231.
Monitor IQV weakening (RSI 39) holdings MEDIUM ⏳ Active — Was RSI 50, now 39. -3.5% 30D. Both healthcare names deteriorating.
Research DHR/MDT/TMO/A tools selloff biotech-scan MEDIUM ⏳ Todo — Is this basket worthy of simultaneous entry, or wait for macro?
Research VMC RSI 30 (aggregates) ai-infra MEDIUM ⏳ Todo — Infrastructure demand thesis needs validation with macro data.
Watch AMZN death cross pullback-buys, holdings MEDIUM ⏳ Active — SMA50 just crossed below SMA200. Unusual for Mag7. Monitor resolution.
SHOP approaching +30% target ($146) holdings MEDIUM ⏳ Watching — At $129.54 (+15.3%).
Add IDXX to a watchlist ideas/cattle LOW ⏳ Todo — RSI 34, -15.4% 3M. No summary data available.
Fetch fresh CYBR data cybersec LOW ⏳ Todo — Stale since 2/13. Cannot analyze.

The Gold

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
Oil RSI 81 + housing RSI 27-29 + copper -7.8% + ag +5-9% = peak stagflation signal Fed trapped — oil inflation prevents rate cuts. Housing pays the price. Contrarian entries forming in housing/EM but need oil reversal catalyst.
Life sciences tools (DHR RSI 29, MDT RSI 27, TMO RSI 33, A RSI 31) in coordinated selloff — no bounce Sector-wide de-rating. Best entry in tools in months. DHR at RSI 29 is historically a strong buy signal.
BNTX RSI 23 while MRNA +89% 3M Most extreme mRNA divergence in years. One of these is wrong. Research priority.
LOW RSI 30 with golden cross intact Only quality "bargain" where long-term trend structure isn't broken. Potential mean reversion candidate. Best new setup.
ASAN is the ONLY bargain bin stock with insider buying In a bin full of falling knives, insider buying differentiates a real bargain from a trap. Closest to golden signal.
14 SaaS/cloud stocks have death crosses Structural repricing, not a dip. TEAM -52%, MDB -36%, WDAY -36%. Don't catch these knives.
Portfolio +3.6% ($38.7K) while VOO -1.1% NET +19.8% leading. MDT/AS are the two pain points near stops.
Defense sector golden crosses intact at +15-37% 3M War premium structural, not speculative. Healthy consolidation at RSI 48-56.
NKE broke below RSI 30 Consumer discretionary weakness deepening. Turnaround under maximum stress.
LEGN recovered to RSI 56 from RSI 8 Capitulation window closed. Removed from extreme oversold.

Sources

16 sector scans, 1 holdings file, and 3 ideas files, all dated 2026-03-11, plus 26 deep-dive files. OHLC cross-checked against validated daily summaries (summaries). Previous actions: 2026-03-10-actions.md (archived).