MARKET CONTEXT: VOO $622.00 (-2.3% 30D, RSI 43) | QQQM $250.24 (-0.9% 30D, RSI 49) | VIXY $32.68 (RSI 62, +24.5% 30D) | GLD $476.25 (+1.8% 30D, RSI 56)
REGIME: STAGFLATION INTENSIFYING. Oil parabolic (USO RSI 81, +36.8% 30D), housing in capitulation (ITB RSI 27, XHB RSI 29), India joining oversold club (INDA RSI 30). Life sciences tools in coordinated selloff (DHR RSI 29, MDT RSI 27, TMO RSI 33, A RSI 31). NKE broke below RSI 30. LOW at RSI 30 with golden cross intact = best quality entry signal. BNTX capitulating at RSI 23 while MRNA +89% 3M — massive mRNA divergence. Defense sector consolidating at healthy RSI 48-56 with golden crosses after +15-37% 3M runs. Zero golden signals persist (no RSI<30 + insider buying). Cloud/SaaS death crosses dominate — structural repricing, not a dip.
Entry Zones (IN ZONE NOW)
EXTREME OVERSOLD (RSI < 20) - Capitulation Territory
| Stock |
Current |
Zone |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Source |
Action |
Notes |
| — |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
None currently. LEGN recovered to RSI 56 (+10.1% 7D). |
OVERSOLD (RSI 20-30) - Strong Entry Zone
| Stock |
Current |
Zone |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Source |
Action |
Notes |
| BNTX |
$83.89 |
$75-$85 |
23 |
-23.3% |
biotech-scan |
🔍 Research |
NEW. mRNA capitulation — -20.7% below SMA20, -17.4% 7D. Validate mRNA pipeline beyond COVID. MRNA +89% 3M divergence is extreme. |
| MDT |
$89.89 |
$85-$92 |
27 |
-11.1% |
biotech-scan, holdings |
✅ Strong Buy |
NEW. HELD POSITION (-7.8%). Defensive medtech rarely sub-30 RSI. Only 8.3% above $83 stop. Life sciences tools selloff. |
| ITB |
$96.85 |
$93-$97 |
27 |
-14.1% |
market-pulse, macro |
🔍 Watch |
NEW. Housing capitulation. -9.6% below SMA20. Needs oil reversal as catalyst. |
| NKE |
$55.72 |
$53-$56 |
29 |
-10.0% |
consumer-scan, retail |
📈 Accumulate |
UPDATED. Broke below RSI 30 (was 30 on 03/10). Death cross. Turnaround under maximum stress. Tiny size only. |
| XHB |
$104.34 |
$100-$105 |
29 |
-13.5% |
market-pulse, macro |
🔍 Watch |
NEW. Homebuilders capitulation. Same thesis as ITB — needs oil reversal. |
| DHR |
$195.22 |
$185-$200 |
29 |
-11.3% |
biotech-scan |
✅ Strong Buy |
NEW. Life sciences tools bellwether. Quality compounder -15.9% 3M. When DHR hits RSI 29, historically strong entry. |
| LOW |
$246.81 |
$240-$250 |
30 |
-14.0% |
retail-scan, defensive |
✅ Strong Buy |
UPDATED (was ~RSI 25 est). Golden cross still intact. Housing weakness but quality franchise. Testing SMA200 ($244.58). |
| INDA |
$49.93 |
$48-$50 |
30 |
-6.7% |
macro-commodities, etf |
🔍 Watch |
NEW. India oversold + death cross. Oil importer + strong dollar = double pain. Wait for stabilization. |
APPROACHING OVERSOLD (RSI 30-40) - Watch Closely
| Stock |
Current |
Zone |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Source |
Action |
Notes |
| VMC |
$272.00 |
$265-$275 |
30 |
-14.8% |
ai-infra |
📈 Accumulate |
NEW. Aggregates near oversold. Infrastructure demand thesis. -10.3% below SMA20. |
| A |
$115.43 |
$110-$118 |
31 |
-10.5% |
biotech-scan |
🔍 Watch |
NEW. Agilent tracking DHR lower. Life sciences tools sector-wide de-rating. |
| AS |
$33.28 |
— |
32 |
-16.4% |
holdings |
⚠️ WARNING |
UPDATED. HELD POSITION (-7.9%). 8.4% from $30.71 stop. Accelerating sell-off. DO NOT ADD. |
| PPC |
$38.64 |
$36-$40 |
33 |
-10.5% |
defensive-scan |
🔍 Watch |
NEW. Protein producer selloff. Death cross, -31.9% from high. |
| TMO |
$495.61 |
$480-$500 |
33 |
-6.0% |
biotech-scan |
🔍 Watch |
UPDATED. Tracking DHR in tools selloff. -12.0% below SMA50. Insiders selling -$310M. |
| MLM |
$607.54 |
$590-$610 |
33 |
-8.1% |
ai-infra |
🔍 Watch |
NEW. Aggregates approaching oversold. Same infrastructure thesis as VMC. |
| ASAN |
$7.07 |
$6.50-$7.50 |
34 |
-5.6% |
bargain-bin, insider |
📈 Accumulate |
RETURNING. ONLY bargain with insider buying (+$8.3M). -51.9% 3M. Closest to golden signal. |
| HD |
$351.01 |
$340-$355 |
34 |
-10.2% |
retail-scan, defensive |
🔍 Watch |
UPDATED. Death cross confirmed. Housing-linked weakness. Wait for RSI <30. |
| NVO |
$38.72 |
$35-$40 |
34 |
-20.6% |
biotech-scan |
🔍 Watch |
NEW. GLP-1 giant in -53% secular decline. Death cross. LLY holding far better. |
| LULU |
$162.83 |
$155-$163 |
34 |
-7.4% |
consumer-scan |
🔍 Watch |
NEW. -53% from ATH. Death cross. Deep value IF brand holds. |
| MDB |
$270.46 |
$250-$270 |
35 |
-25.8% |
ai-scan, bargain-bin |
🔍 Research |
NEW. MongoDB crash — 13.8% below SMA20. Verify if earnings or structural. Insiders selling. |
| QCOM |
$135.20 |
$125-$135 |
36 |
-3.5% |
ai-scan, bargain-bin |
🔍 Watch |
NEW. Mobile AI/auto moats. Death cross, strong-down. Patient holders only. |
| ECL |
$281.39 |
$270-$285 |
35 |
-7.3% |
defensive-scan, ai-infra |
🔍 Watch |
NEW. Industrial bellwether weakening. Golden cross intact. |
| TEL |
$202.95 |
$195-$205 |
35 |
-10.9% |
ai-infra |
🔍 Watch |
NEW. Connectors selloff. Below all SMAs. Data center buildout demand support. |
| TSLA |
$407.35 |
$390-$400 |
48 → wait for RSI<35 |
-4.9% |
pullback-buys, insider |
🔍 Watch |
RETURNING. RSI recovered 37->48 (bounced off SMA200). Insider buying +$191M. Golden cross intact. Wait for better entry. |
Price Alerts (Waiting for Entry)
| Stock |
Alert |
Entry Zone |
Source |
Set Date |
Status |
| ARM |
$110-118, RSI < 35 |
Below SMA200, death cross |
nvda-ecosystem |
2026-02-16 |
⏳ Watching — $120.04, RSI 48. Recovered from alert zone. |
| NVDA |
$175-178, RSI < 35 |
Dead neutral at SMA20/50 |
nvda-ecosystem |
2026-02-22 |
⏳ Watching — $185.93, RSI 51. Not in zone. |
| TSM |
$330-345 |
Foundry monopoly, -5.4% 30D |
nvda-ecosystem |
2026-02-16 |
⏳ Watching — $353.75, above range. |
| ASML |
$1,280-1,350 |
EUV monopoly below SMA20 |
ai-scan |
2026-03-03 |
⏳ Watching — $1,387.50, above range. |
| MRVL |
$80-88 after pullback |
+19.0% 7D, don't chase |
ai-infra |
2026-03-03 |
⏳ Waiting — $90.33, RSI 62. Extended. Wait for pullback. |
| CEG |
$285-300, RSI < 50 |
Nuclear AI power, death cross |
energy, ai-infra |
2026-02-26 |
⏳ IN ZONE — $300.27, RSI 45. Death cross but +8.6% 30D. |
| GOOGL |
$295-308 |
At SMA20, neutral |
mag7, ai-scan |
2026-03-03 |
⏳ IN ZONE — $308.85, RSI 47. Weak-down, watching. |
| DDOG pullback |
$115-$120 |
V-shaped recovery needs consolidation |
cloud-etfs |
2026-03-10 |
⏳ Waiting — $127.43, RSI 56. Above range, death cross. |
| NET pullback |
$195-$200 on dip |
Running +12.1% 7D, RSI 66 |
cloud-etfs |
2026-03-10 |
⏳ Waiting — $212.44, extended. Do NOT chase. |
| INTU pullback |
$440-$450 |
Strong-down, death cross |
cloud-etfs |
2026-03-10 |
⏳ Waiting — $440.65, near top of range. |
| ISRG |
<$480, RSI < 35 |
Surgical robotics monopoly |
ai-scan, biotech |
2026-03-11 |
⏳ NEW — $485.85, RSI 40. Watch for sub-$475 entry. |
| RKLB |
<$70, RSI < 40 |
Golden cross, +31.4% above SMA200 |
pullback-buys |
2026-03-11 |
⏳ NEW — $71.90, RSI 49. Best structural pullback setup. |
| CRSP |
$48-$52 |
Gene editing, $27M insider buying |
insider-scan, biotech |
2026-03-11 |
⏳ NEW — $49.94, RSI 41. IN ZONE. -11.6% 7D selloff. |
Exit Alerts (Holdings)
| Stock |
Alert |
Type |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
Set Date |
Status |
| NET |
$180 (raised from $160) |
Stop-loss |
$177.38 avg |
$212.44 |
+19.8% |
2026-01-26 |
🟢 Strong — 18% above stop. Approaching +30% target ($231). Consider partial at $231. |
| IQV |
$140 |
Stop-loss (-15%) |
$164.63 |
$170.93 |
+3.8% |
— |
🟡 Weakening — RSI dropped 50->39. -3.5% 30D. 22.1% above stop. Watch trend. |
| MDT |
$83 |
Stop-loss (-15%) |
$97.49 |
$89.89 |
-7.8% |
— |
🔴 WARNING — RSI 27, only 8.3% above stop. Life sciences tools selloff. |
| AS |
$30.71 |
Stop-loss (-15%) |
$36.13 |
$33.28 |
-7.9% |
— |
🔴 WARNING — RSI 32, only 8.4% above stop. -16.4% 30D. Accelerating selloff. |
| PLTR |
$119 |
Stop-loss (-15%) |
$140.04 |
$151.61 |
+8.3% |
— |
🟢 Healthy — 27.4% above stop. Death cross but bouncing +11.7% 30D. |
| SHOP |
$95 |
Stop-loss (-15%) |
$112.39 |
$129.54 |
+15.3% |
— |
🟢 Running — 36.4% above stop. +9.1% 30D. |
| VOO |
— |
Core position |
$628.94 |
$622.00 |
-1.1% |
— |
🟡 Slight drawdown. DCA only. RSI 43. |
| WMT |
$108.86 |
Stop-loss (-15%) |
$128.07 |
$123.46 |
-3.6% |
2026-02-03 |
🟡 Below entry. 13.4% above stop. Golden cross intact, -4.1% 30D. |
| AMZN |
— |
Core hold |
$204.53 |
$212.65 |
+4.0% |
— |
🟡 Above entry. Death cross just formed (SMA50 crossed below SMA200). Watch. |
| CRM |
— |
Watch |
$190.96 |
$193.96 |
+1.6% |
— |
🟡 Above entry. RSI 44, death cross. -25.9% 3M. |
| BTC |
— |
Hold |
$40.05 (GBTC) |
$31.25 |
-22.0% |
— |
🔴 Deep underwater. -4.1% 7D. Small allocation. |
Sector Rotation Signals
| Signal |
Trigger |
What It Means |
Status |
| Oil shock parabolic |
USO RSI 81, +36.8% 30D |
Iran/Hormuz crisis driving entire cross-asset rotation. Housing/EM getting crushed. |
🔴 ACTIVE — Do NOT chase USO |
| Housing capitulation |
ITB RSI 27, XHB RSI 29, -14% 30D |
Contrarian entries forming, need oil reversal catalyst. |
🟢 ACTIVE — Watch for entry |
| Life sciences tools selloff |
DHR RSI 29, MDT RSI 27, TMO RSI 33, A RSI 31 |
Coordinated sector de-rating. Best entry in tools in months IF macro stabilizes. |
🟢 NEW — Entry forming |
| SaaS/cloud structural repricing |
14 death crosses in AI scan, IGV -22% 3M |
Not a dip — sector-wide repricing. TEAM -52%, MDB -36%, WDAY -36% 3M. |
🔴 ACTIVE — Avoid catching knives |
| Defense consolidation |
LMT +37%, NOC +31%, all golden crosses |
War premium embedded, +15-37% 3M. Healthy RSI 48-56. |
🟢 ACTIVE — Accumulate on dips |
| Gold safe haven |
GLD +21.1% 3M, golden cross, RSI 56 |
THE safe haven that works. Orderly uptrend. |
🟢 ACTIVE — Add on dips |
| QQQ > VOO continues |
QQQ -0.9% vs VOO -2.3% 30D |
Large-cap tech = new defensive. Mega-cap outperformance widening. |
🟢 ACTIVE |
| VIXY still elevated |
VIXY $32.68, RSI 62, +24.5% 30D |
Fear spiked, easing slightly (-4.1% 7D) but no all-clear. |
🟠 ACTIVE — Caution |
| Dollar surging |
UUP +2.3% 30D, RSI 66 |
Flight to USD amplifying pain for EM, oil importers. |
🟠 ACTIVE |
| Stagflation confirmed |
Oil up + copper down + agriculture up |
USO +36.8%, COPX -7.8%, WEAT +8.9% 30D. Textbook cost-push squeeze. |
🔴 ACTIVE — Defensive posture |
Insider Activity Summary
| Signal |
Stocks |
Implication |
| 🔴 ZERO GOLDEN SIGNALS |
None — closest is ASAN (RSI 34 + buying) |
No RSI<30 + insider buying combo. Second consecutive scan. Smart money NOT buying capitulation. |
| 🟢 BUYING |
TSLA (+$191M), CRSP (+$27M), ASAN (+$8.3M) |
Only 3 stocks with net buying. ASAN closest to golden. CRSP buying into -11.6% weekly dip. |
| 🔴 SELLING INTO DIP |
ZM (-$210M at RSI 37), EOSE (-$22M at RSI 31) |
Insiders confirming broken theses. Do NOT bottom-fish. |
| 🔴 HEAVY SELLING |
AMZN (-$10.9B), LLY (-$4.8B), PLTR (-$3.7B), NVDA (-$3B), PANW (-$1.8B), NFLX (-$1.3B) |
Mega-cap distribution continues. Insiders NOT buying the dip. |
| 🔴 POSTURE |
49 of 59 stocks show net selling |
Broadest bearish insider posture persists. No all-clear. |
Pending Research Actions
| Action |
Source |
Priority |
Status |
| Research BNTX RSI 23 capitulation |
biotech-scan |
HIGH |
⏳ Todo — Validate mRNA pipeline beyond COVID. Why MRNA +89% 3M while BNTX -12.6%? |
| Research MDB -25.8% 30D crash |
ai-scan, bargain-bin |
HIGH |
⏳ Todo — Earnings miss or cloud spending pullback? Distinguish before any entry. |
| Monitor MDT stop at $83 |
holdings |
HIGH |
⏳ Active — RSI 27, 8.3% from stop. Life sciences weakness. Let stop work. |
| Monitor AS stop at $30.71 |
holdings |
HIGH |
⏳ Active — RSI 32, 8.4% from stop. -16.4% 30D accelerating. Let stop work. |
| NET approaching +30% target ($231) |
holdings |
MEDIUM |
⏳ Active — At $212.44 (+19.8%). Raise stop to $180. Consider partial at $231. |
| Monitor IQV weakening (RSI 39) |
holdings |
MEDIUM |
⏳ Active — Was RSI 50, now 39. -3.5% 30D. Both healthcare names deteriorating. |
| Research DHR/MDT/TMO/A tools selloff |
biotech-scan |
MEDIUM |
⏳ Todo — Is this basket worthy of simultaneous entry, or wait for macro? |
| Research VMC RSI 30 (aggregates) |
ai-infra |
MEDIUM |
⏳ Todo — Infrastructure demand thesis needs validation with macro data. |
| Watch AMZN death cross |
pullback-buys, holdings |
MEDIUM |
⏳ Active — SMA50 just crossed below SMA200. Unusual for Mag7. Monitor resolution. |
| SHOP approaching +30% target ($146) |
holdings |
MEDIUM |
⏳ Watching — At $129.54 (+15.3%). |
| Add IDXX to a watchlist |
ideas/cattle |
LOW |
⏳ Todo — RSI 34, -15.4% 3M. No summary data available. |
| Fetch fresh CYBR data |
cybersec |
LOW |
⏳ Todo — Stale since 2/13. Cannot analyze. |
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery |
Implication |
| Oil RSI 81 + housing RSI 27-29 + copper -7.8% + ag +5-9% = peak stagflation signal |
Fed trapped — oil inflation prevents rate cuts. Housing pays the price. Contrarian entries forming in housing/EM but need oil reversal catalyst. |
| Life sciences tools (DHR RSI 29, MDT RSI 27, TMO RSI 33, A RSI 31) in coordinated selloff — no bounce |
Sector-wide de-rating. Best entry in tools in months. DHR at RSI 29 is historically a strong buy signal. |
| BNTX RSI 23 while MRNA +89% 3M |
Most extreme mRNA divergence in years. One of these is wrong. Research priority. |
| LOW RSI 30 with golden cross intact |
Only quality "bargain" where long-term trend structure isn't broken. Potential mean reversion candidate. Best new setup. |
| ASAN is the ONLY bargain bin stock with insider buying |
In a bin full of falling knives, insider buying differentiates a real bargain from a trap. Closest to golden signal. |
| 14 SaaS/cloud stocks have death crosses |
Structural repricing, not a dip. TEAM -52%, MDB -36%, WDAY -36%. Don't catch these knives. |
| Portfolio +3.6% ($38.7K) while VOO -1.1% |
NET +19.8% leading. MDT/AS are the two pain points near stops. |
| Defense sector golden crosses intact at +15-37% 3M |
War premium structural, not speculative. Healthy consolidation at RSI 48-56. |
| NKE broke below RSI 30 |
Consumer discretionary weakness deepening. Turnaround under maximum stress. |
| LEGN recovered to RSI 56 from RSI 8 |
Capitulation window closed. Removed from extreme oversold. |
Sources
16 sector scans, 1 holdings file, and 3 ideas files, all dated 2026-03-11, plus 26 deep-dive files. OHLC cross-checked against validated daily summaries (summaries). Previous actions: 2026-03-10-actions.md (archived).