2026-03-13 - Daily Actions

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2026-03-13 - Daily Actions

10 tickers referenced · published Mar 13, 2026

Article published Mar 13, 2026. Prices below use latest available snapshots.

AAPL $305.59 -8.4% 30d ADBE $254.04 +7.1% 30d AMZN $261.31 +5.7% 30d ARM $271.43 +1.6% 30d AS $32.57 -10.6% 30d ASML $1,883.12 +7.9% 30d BA $225.95 +5.6% 30d BNTX $91.60 +0.1% 30d BTC $28.43 +0.2% 30d CEG $278.20 +10.2% 30d

MARKET CONTEXT: SPY $662.36 (-3.0% 30D, RSI 34) | QQQ $593.72 (-1.3% 30D, RSI 40) | VIXY $32.46 (+16.3% 30D, RSI 60) | GLD $460.85 (+2.8% 30D, RSI 48)

REGIME: STAGFLATION DEEPENING — BREADTH COLLAPSING. Oil still parabolic (USO RSI 86, +58.3% 30D). Housing capitulation worsening (ITB RSI 22, XHB RSI 24). Life sciences tools cluster remains in full capitulation (MDT RSI 22, DHR RSI 24, TMO RSI 24, A RSI 27). Consumer discretionary breaking down hard — NKE RSI 25, LOW RSI 25, CMG RSI 29. Monster scan breadth collapsed 56% (153 to 67 names) — only the strongest trends survived. SaaS massacre accelerating: TEAM -53.5% 3M, WDAY -39.4% 3M, ADBE -29% 3M. Financials cracking (XLF RSI 29). SPY itself now RSI 34 (was 37). TSLA broke below SMA200 — critical. AS at stop. Gold still the only safe haven working. Zero golden signals for fourth consecutive scan.

Entry Zones (IN ZONE NOW)

EXTREME OVERSOLD (RSI < 20) -- Capitulation Territory

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Source Action Notes

None currently.

OVERSOLD (RSI 20-30) -- Strong Entry Zone

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Source Action Notes
MDT $87.13 $85-$88 22 -9.6% biotech, healthcare, holdings, deep-dive ✅ Accumulate HELD POSITION (-11.8%). RSI 22.3, deepest oversold. Only 3.6% above $83 stop. Deep dive stop $79. Dividend aristocrat. Near bottom of entry zone.
TMO $464.38 $450-$470 24 -7.4% biotech, healthcare, bargain-bin ✅ Strong Buy UPDATED from RSI 28. Now RSI 24.4 — accelerating capitulation. Life sciences monopoly. -19.4% 3M. If cyclical not structural, generational entry.
DHR $187.98 $180-$190 24 -12.5% biotech ✅ Strong Buy RSI 24.0, -16.8% 3M. Best-in-class life sciences instruments. Cluster capitulation — NIH/tariff fears. Quality compounder at deep discount.
ITB $93.19 $88-$95 22 -17.1% market-pulse, macro-commodities ✅ Strong Buy RSI 22.1, -17.1% 30D. Housing ETF full capitulation. Contrarian play, needs oil reversal catalyst. Tight stop.
LOW $237.64 $230-$240 25 -15.5% retail, defensive ✅ Strong Buy UPDATED from RSI 27. Now RSI 24.6 — deeper capitulation. Home improvement duopoly at deep discount. Same housing weakness as ITB/XHB.
NKE $53.98 $50-$54 25 -16.2% consumer, retail, bargain-bin ✅ Strong Buy UPDATED from RSI 26. Now RSI 25.1, -33% from high. Death cross. Capitulation territory — brand power intact if turnaround works. Tiny starter only. Stop below $50.
PPC $36.05 -- 26 -13.5% defensive ❌ Avoid AVOID. Death cross + -31.9% from high. Broken trend.
XHB $100.87 $95-$105 24 -15.3% market-pulse, macro-commodities ✅ Accumulate RSI 24.1. Homebuilder ETF capitulation alongside ITB. -10.7% below SMA20.
SYK $336.71 $330-$340 27 -8.8% healthcare ✅ Strong Buy NEW. Medtech capitulation, death cross. RSI 26.5, -9.3% below SMA20. Quality franchise at steep discount.
A $111.94 $108-$115 27 -10.4% biotech ✅ Strong Buy RSI 26.5. Agilent tracking DHR lower. Lab instruments sector-wide de-rating. Quality franchise -28% from high.
VMC $265.03 $258-$270 28 -17.5% ai-infra ✅ Strong Buy RSI 27.6 — deepest oversold in infrastructure. Aggregates/materials for data center construction. Contrarian entry.
XLF $48.91 $47-$50 29 -5.4% market-pulse ✅ Accumulate RSI 28.9. Financials sector ETF oversold. -4.6% below SMA20. Cyclical recovery play if rates stabilize.
CMG $32.83 $30-$33 29 -8.4% consumer, retail 🔍 Watch RSI 28.7, death cross, -44% from 52wk high. Near capitulation. Wait for stabilization above $30. Value trap risk.
HD $339.07 $330-$340 29 -10.9% retail, defensive ✅ Accumulate RSI 29.1, death cross. Home Depot approaching capitulation. Long-term compounder. DCA slowly.
AS $32.33 -- 30 -19.7% holdings, consumer, retail 🚨 EXIT HELD POSITION (-10.5%). RSI 29.6. AT $30.71 STOP. -19.7% 30D accelerating. Sell decision required. DO NOT ADD.
INDA $48.68 $47-$50 24 -8.3% macro-commodities, etf-universe 🔍 Watch RSI 23.5 — deepest oversold ETF. India oil importer + strong dollar double pain. Falling knife — wait for stabilization.
FXE $106.35 -- 30 -2.8% macro-commodities 🔍 Watch NEW. Euro weakening. RSI 29.5. Dollar strength regime.
BA $206.10 $200-$210 30 -13.9% defense, geopolitical 🔍 Research NEW. RSI 30.2, -10% below SMA20. Oversold but execution risk real. Contrarian only if you believe in the turnaround.
EOSE $5.71 -- 29 -50.1% nvda-ecosystem ❌ Avoid Collapsed. -50.1% 30D. Energy storage thesis broken.
MLM $591.33 $580-$600 30 -10.3% ai-infra ✅ Accumulate RSI 29.7. Martin Marietta — construction materials for AI infrastructure. Same thesis as VMC.
EWG $40.47 -- 30 -7.9% macro-commodities 🔍 Watch NEW. Germany RSI 29.8. Europe weak.

APPROACHING OVERSOLD (RSI 30-40) -- Watch Closely

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Source Action Notes
QCOM $131.50 $125-$132 31 -4.4% bargain-bin, ai-scan 🔍 Watch RSI 31.4, -25.8% 3M. Mobile AI/auto moats but ARM competition. Speculative — small size only.
ECL $277.20 $270-$282 32 -7.8% defensive, ai-infra 🔍 Watch RSI 31.7. Ecolab approaching interesting zone. Golden cross intact.
LULU $157.78 $150-$158 30 -11.2% consumer, retail 🔍 Watch RSI 30.0, death cross, -55% from ATH. At oversold boundary.
MDB $260.50 $240-$260 33 -26.5% ai-scan, bargain-bin, tech-insider 🔍 Research RSI 32.6, -26.5% 30D crash. Database leader — validate thesis before buying. Post-earnings collapse?
ADBE $249.32 $240-$250 33 -4.3% ai-scan, bargain-bin 🔍 Research RSI 33.4, -41% from high, -29% 3M. Creative suite monopoly at deep discount. Death cross.
BNTX $88.80 $85-$92 33 -16.0% biotech, bargain-bin 🔍 Research RSI 33.3, -32% from 52wk high. mRNA portfolio transition. Cancer vaccine pipeline thesis — cash provides floor.
TEL $198.74 $192-$205 34 -11.6% ai-infra 🔍 Watch Connectors in deeper oversold. -10.3% below SMA20. Data center interconnect demand.
AAPL $250.12 $240-$250 35 -5.2% ai-scan, bargain-bin 🔍 Watch NEW. RSI 34.5, approaching oversold. Consumer tech bellwether. Quality at discount.
META $613.71 $600-$615 36 -4.0% ai-scan, bargain-bin 🔍 Watch NEW. RSI 35.9, death cross. AI capex thesis — approaching value territory if intact.
V $306.78 $300-$310 34 -5.4% bargain-bin 🔍 Watch Payment monopoly at rare oversold. Death cross. Build position on long-term horizon.
MA $498.33 $490-$510 34 -5.5% bargain-bin 🔍 Watch Same thesis as V. Mastercard quality franchise being indiscriminately sold. -12.7% 3M.
DECK $102.39 $98-$105 33 -11.8% retail, consumer 🔍 Watch Golden cross intact; Hoka brand thesis. Watch $100 support.
ISRG $472.16 $460-$475 35 -4.3% biotech, healthcare 🔍 Watch RSI 34.7, surgical robotics monopoly. -22% from high. Approaching entry zone.
CROX $80.46 $78-$82 37 -18.3% consumer, retail 🔍 Watch NEW. Death cross, -33% from high. Brand momentum uncertain.
ON $57.99 $55-$58 36 -17.9% nvda-ecosystem 🔍 Watch NEW. RSI 35.6, power semis weak. -11.6% below SMA20.
SOFI $17.79 -- 34 -7.8% ideas (pullback-buys) ❌ Avoid Death cross, strong-down, -24.7% below SMA200. Broken structure.
NVO $38.11 -- 33 -22.1% biotech ❌ Avoid Structural decline — -53% from high. Death cross. GLP-1 competitive pressure. Not a bounce candidate.
SLB $44.83 $42-$45 33 -11.5% geopolitical 🔍 Watch NEW. Oilfield services lagging producers. RSI 32.9. Divergence could be opportunity or warning.
TSLA $391.20 $380-$400 40 -4.7% ideas (pullback-buys), ev-clean-energy 🔍 Watch BROKE BELOW SMA200 ($393.45). Golden cross at risk. -17.7% 3M. Critical structural test.
IQV $165.12 $155-$175 36 -2.2% holdings, deep-dive 🔍 Watch HELD POSITION (+0.2%). RSI 36 (dropped from 50). -4.8% 7D. 17.9% above $140 stop. Weakening.
TLN $312.73 -- 36 -15.0% ai-infra 🔍 Watch NEW. Talen Energy selling off hard. -12.6% below SMA20.
VOO $609.11 -- 34 -3.0% holdings, etf-universe 🔒 Hold HELD POSITION (-3.0%). RSI 33.6. DCA only. Not selling core.

Price Alerts (Waiting for Entry)

Stock Alert Entry Zone Source Set Date Status
ARM $110-118, RSI < 35 Below SMA200, death cross nvda-ecosystem 2026-02-16 ⏳ Watching — $115.31, RSI 42. Not in zone.
NVDA $170-178, RSI < 35 Below SMA20, neutral nvda-ecosystem 2026-02-22 ⏳ Watching — $180.25, RSI 45.5. Not in zone.
TSM $320-340 Foundry monopoly, secular bull nvda-ecosystem 2026-02-16 ⏳ IN ZONE — $339.35, RSI 42.9. Near bottom of range.
ASML $1,280-1,350 EUV monopoly below SMA20 ai-scan 2026-03-03 ⏳ IN ZONE — $1,345.69, RSI 44.9. Near top of range.
MRVL $80-88 after pullback +11.2% 30D, don't chase ai-infra 2026-03-03 ⏳ IN ZONE — $87.86, RSI 57.8. Pulled back from surge.
CEG $285-300, RSI < 50 Nuclear AI power, death cross ai-infra 2026-02-26 ⏳ IN ZONE — $301.77, RSI 46.3. Near top of range. Death cross now active.
GOOGL $295-308 Secular monster, neutral monster-scan 2026-03-03 ⏳ IN ZONE — $302.28, RSI 41.3.
DDOG pullback $115-$120 V-shaped recovery needs consolidation cloud-etfs 2026-03-10 ⏳ Watching — $128.79. Above range.
NET pullback $195-$205 on dip RSI 66, +20% position, near overbought cloud-etfs, holdings 2026-03-10 ⏳ POSITION HELD. NET RSI 66.1. Near +30% target ($231). Do NOT chase. Consider partial at $231.
INTU pullback $430-$440 Strong-down, death cross cloud-etfs 2026-03-10 ⏳ IN ZONE — $438.47. Volatile, -7.7% 7D flash.
ISRG <$475, RSI < 35 Surgical robotics monopoly bargain-bin, biotech 2026-03-11 ⏳ IN ZONE — $472.16, RSI 34.7. Approaching entry.
RKLB <$70, RSI < 40 Golden cross, secular monster monster-scan 2026-03-11 ⏳ IN ZONE — $68.41, RSI 45. Below $70 threshold.
CRSP $45-$52 Gene editing, +$28M insider buying insider-scan, biotech 2026-03-11 ⏳ IN ZONE — $48.75, RSI 39.3. -13.1% 7D flush continued.
GLD $455-$475 Safe haven + golden cross macro-commodities 2026-03-12 ⏳ IN ZONE — $460.85, RSI 47.7. Pulled back from highs. Steady accumulation.
GDX $95-$100 Miners lagging gold ~15% -- catch-up trade macro-commodities 2026-03-12 ⏳ IN ZONE — $99.64, RSI 43.8. -5.7% below SMA20.

Exit Alerts (Holdings)

Stock Alert Type Entry Current P&L Set Date Status
AS $30.71 Stop-loss $36.13 $32.33 -10.5% -- 🔴 AT STOP -- RSI 29.6, 5.3% above stop. -19.7% 30D. EXIT DECISION REQUIRED. DO NOT ADD.
MDT $83 Stop-loss $97.49 $87.13 -11.8% -- 🔴 CRITICAL -- RSI 22.3, only 3.6% above stop. Deep dive suggests $79 hard stop with entry zone $85-88.
NET $185 (raised) Stop-loss $177.38 $212.30 +19.7% 2026-01-26 🟢 Strong -- RSI 66.1, +9.3% 7D. Only $19 from +30% target ($231). Raise stop to $185. Consider partial at $231. -$741.8M insider selling caution.
IQV $140 Stop-loss (-15%) $164.63 $165.12 +0.3% -- 🟡 Weakening -- RSI 36 (dropped from 50). -4.8% 7D. 17.9% above stop.
PLTR $119 Stop-loss (-15%) $140.04 $150.95 +7.8% -- 🟢 Healthy -- RSI 53.1. +13.5% 30D. 26.8% above stop. Insider selling -$3.7B is headwind.
SHOP $95 Stop-loss (-15%) $112.39 $122.96 +9.4% -- 🟢 Healthy -- RSI 45.6. +8.3% 30D. 29.4% above stop. Death cross -- watch structural trend.
VOO -- Core position $628.94 $609.11 -3.0% -- 🟡 Softening. RSI 33.6. DCA only. Not selling core.
WMT $108.86 Stop-loss (-15%) $128.07 $126.52 -1.2% 2026-02-03 🟡 Below entry. 16.2% above stop. Golden cross intact, -1.8% 30D. Stable.
AMZN -- Core hold $204.53 $207.67 +1.5% -- 🟡 Slipping. RSI 41.6. Death cross confirmed. -2.6% 7D. Largest position (19.3%). Watch SMA200.
CRM -- Watch $190.96 $192.80 +1.0% -- 🟡 Above entry. RSI 44.3, death cross. Monthly recovery in place but fragile.
BTC -- Hold $40.05 (GBTC) $31.50 -21.3% -- 🔴 Deep underwater. +5.1% 30D bounce. Small allocation (2%).
TAC -- Watch $12.48 $12.44 -0.3% -- 🟡 NEW alert. Death cross activated. -7.0% 30D. Position newly negative. Watch thesis.

Sector Rotation Signals

Signal Trigger What It Means Status
Oil shock parabolic USO RSI 86, +58.3% 30D Iran/Hormuz crisis. Parabolic and unsustainable. Do NOT chase. 🔴 ACTIVE -- DO NOT CHASE
Housing capitulation ITB RSI 22, XHB RSI 24, LOW RSI 25 Deepest housing oversold since 2022. Home improvement (LOW/HD) joining. Contrarian entry forming but oil reversal needed. 🟢 ACTIVE -- Entry zone forming
Life sciences tools cluster capitulation MDT RSI 22, DHR RSI 24, TMO RSI 24, A RSI 27, SYK RSI 27 Five names simultaneously capitulating. Sector-wide de-rating. Best entry in tools in years. SYK added to cluster. 🟢 ACTIVE -- High conviction entry zone
Financials cracking XLF RSI 29, -5.4% 30D Banks breaking down. Structural or cyclical? Watch for systemic signal. 🔴 ACTIVE -- Emerging risk
Gold safe haven working GLD RSI 48, +2.8% 30D, +67% 1Y THE safe haven. SLV +151% 1Y outperforming gold massively. Bonds NOT rallying (TLT RSI 39). Stagflation confirmed. 🟢 ACTIVE -- Add on dips
SaaS/cloud structural repricing Death crosses dominating; TEAM -53.5%, WDAY -39.4%, ADBE -29% 3M Worst SaaS drawdown since 2022. NET lone exception. Not a dip -- sector-wide repricing. 🔴 ACTIVE -- Avoid catching knives
Defense consolidation LMT +34.1%, NOC +27.8% 3M, all golden crosses War premium structural. Healthy consolidation at RSI 52-55. BA the outlier at RSI 30. 🟢 ACTIVE -- Hold positions
AI infra two-speed market VRT +67% 3M, FIX +43% 3M vs SMR -34% 3M, OKLO -30% 3M Physical infra winning; speculative nuclear wrecked. Photonics cluster collapsed (5 of 7 dropped off monster scan). 🟢 ACTIVE -- Hold leaders, avoid spec
Consumer bifurcation NKE RSI 25, CMG RSI 29, LULU RSI 30 vs WMT +8.3%, TJX near high Classic late-cycle trade-down. Premium brands capitulating, value thriving. 🔴 ACTIVE -- Selective entries only
Stagflation confirmed USO +58.3%, SOYB RSI 78, UUP RSI 73, ITB RSI 22, TLT RSI 39 Oil + agriculture overbought, dollar strong, housing crashing, bonds failing safe-haven role. Full stagflation signal. 🔴 ACTIVE -- Defensive posture
Monster breadth collapsed 153 to 67 names in one day Sharpest single-day culling yet. Photonics, gold miners, chemicals all purged. Memory/AI infra durable. 🟠 NEW -- Market narrowing
TSLA below SMA200 $391.20 vs SMA200 $393.45 Golden cross at risk. Critical structural test. Watch for reclaim or confirm. 🔴 NEW -- TSLA structural risk

Insider Activity Summary

Signal Stocks Implication
🏆 ZERO GOLDEN SIGNALS None -- closest: ASAN (RSI 35 + buying) Fourth consecutive scan. No RSI<30 + insider buying. Smart money NOT buying capitulation.
🟢 BUYING TSLA (+$191.3M), CRSP (+$28M), ASAN (+$8.3M) Only 3 names with net buying. CRSP buying into -13.1% 7D flush. ASAN RSI 35 closest to golden.
🔴 SELLING INTO DIP ZM (-$210M at RSI 35), EOSE (-$22M at RSI 29) Value trap signals -- insiders abandoning oversold positions. AVOID both.
🔴 HEAVY SELLING AMZN (-$10.9B), LLY (-$4.8B), PLTR (-$3.7B), NVDA (-$3.1B), NET (-$741.8M) Mega-cap distribution continues. NET insiders trimming into breakout remains a caution.
🔴 POSTURE 49 of 59 stocks show net selling Persistent bearish insider posture. No capitulation buy signal from smart money.

Pending Research Actions

Action Source Priority Status
AS EXIT DECISION -- RSI 30, 5.3% from $30.71 stop holdings CRITICAL 🚨 Action needed NOW -- -19.7% 30D. Either sell or let stop execute. Do NOT average down.
MDT stop watch -- RSI 22, 3.6% from $83 stop holdings, deep-dive CRITICAL ⏳ Active -- Deep dive suggests $79 hard stop. Entry zone $85-88. Near bottom of zone. Let stop work.
NET raise stop to $185, evaluate partial at $231 holdings, deep-dive HIGH ⏳ Action needed -- RSI 66.1, +19.7% position. Target $231 = $19 away. -$741.8M insider selling.
Research TMO RSI 24 -- life sciences tools entry biotech, healthcare HIGH ⏳ Todo -- Deepened from RSI 28 to 24. Cluster capitulation with DHR/MDT/A/SYK. Quality franchise at deep discount.
Research SYK RSI 27 -- medtech entry healthcare HIGH ⏳ Todo -- NEW. Added to life sciences cluster. Medtech leader capitulating alongside tools.
Research V/MA at RSI 34 -- payment duopoly entry bargain-bin HIGH ⏳ Todo -- Both simultaneously oversold, rare setup. Death crosses present. 12-month thesis vs near-term risk.
Research BNTX RSI 33 -- pipeline update biotech, bargain-bin HIGH ⏳ Ongoing -- -32% from 52wk high. Cancer vaccine pipeline thesis. Cash floor.
Monitor IQV RSI 36 -- weakening holdings, deep-dive MEDIUM ⏳ Active -- RSI dropped from 50 to 36. -4.8% 7D. Position at +0.2%. Watch $165 support.
Research VMC/MLM simultaneous capitulation ai-infra MEDIUM ⏳ Todo -- Infrastructure materials both RSI 28-30. Sector rotation or capex slowdown signal?
Research CMG RSI 29 -- value trap vs entry consumer MEDIUM ⏳ Todo -- -44% from 52wk high. Death cross. Need RSI stabilization >30.
Research MDB -26.5% 30D crash bargain-bin, ai-scan MEDIUM ⏳ Ongoing -- No insider buying. Distinguish earnings miss vs structural cloud pullback.
Research ADBE RSI 33 -- creative suite thesis ai-scan, bargain-bin MEDIUM ⏳ Todo -- -41% from high, -29% 3M. Is AI disrupting creative tools or cyclical weakness?
Watch AMZN death cross + insider selling holdings MEDIUM ⏳ Active -- -$10.9B insider selling. Death cross confirmed. RSI 42. Largest position (19.3%).
Monitor SHOP trailing stop holdings MEDIUM ⏳ Watching -- +9.4% position. Death cross is structural caution. Consider raising stop toward $107-110.
Watch TAC death cross holdings MEDIUM ⏳ NEW -- Position newly negative (-0.3%). Death cross activated. -7.0% 30D. Thesis check needed.
TSLA below SMA200 -- structural test ideas (pullback-buys) MEDIUM ⏳ NEW -- $391.20 vs SMA200 $393.45. Golden cross at risk. Watch for reclaim or confirm.
Research BA RSI 30 -- defense contrarian defense, geopolitical LOW ⏳ Todo -- Execution risk real. All other defense names in strong-up.
Research INDA RSI 24 -- India oversold macro-commodities LOW ⏳ Monitoring -- India oil importer + strong dollar. Wait for stabilization.

The Gold

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
Life sciences cluster expanded: TMO RSI 24, DHR RSI 24, MDT RSI 22, A RSI 27, SYK RSI 27 -- now five names Cluster capitulation is the highest-conviction entry theme. This is EXPANDING, not contracting.
Monster breadth collapsed 56% (153 to 67) in one day Market narrowing sharply. Only memory (MU +91%), AI infra (VRT +65%), and oil survived. Photonics cluster gutted.
LOW RSI 25 deepened from 27 -- home improvement joining housing capitulation LOW + HD + ITB + XHB = synchronized housing/home improvement crash. Structural or cyclical is the question.
NKE RSI 25 is deepest consumer name -- approaching capitulation Combined with CMG RSI 29, LULU RSI 30, AS RSI 30 = broad consumer discretionary pain. Trade-down in full effect.
TSLA broke below SMA200 ($391.20 vs $393.45) Golden cross at risk. Was the critical support level flagged 03/12. Sustained break = bearish.
SPY RSI 34 (was 37) -- broad market still deteriorating Market approaching oversold but not there yet. Everything is weaker than yesterday.
Zero golden signals for fourth straight scan Smart money NOT buying this capitulation. Most bearish insider posture in months. Bottom may not be in.
Memory/storage is most durable monster theme: MU +91%, WDC +84%, STX +55% HBM demand structural. All three at healthy RSI (48-57) = best risk/reward in the market.
SaaS massacre accelerating: TEAM -54%, WDAY -39%, ADBE -29%, INTU -35%, HUBS -31% 3M Worst SaaS drawdown since 2022. NET and CRWD decoupling as sole winners.

Sources

20 sector scans, 1 holdings file, and 3 ideas files, all dated 2026-03-13, plus 1 candidates file (2026-02-26). OHLC cross-checked against validated daily summaries (summaries). Previous actions: 2026-03-12-actions.md (archived).