21 entry zones (2 extreme, 9 oversold, 10 approaching). 7 exit alerts (2 critical, 5 structural). 6 price alerts. Top signals: MSFT RSI 34.6 ($368) — Mag7 extreme oversold with insider buying, generational enterprise entry. ABT RSI 27.9 — healthcare washout approaching climax. SYK RSI 30.6 — medtech capitulation territory. GLD/GDX recovery confirmed — gold up $28 in 5 days.
MARKET CONTEXT: VOO $594.70 (RSI 40.6, -5.5% 30D, down trend) | QQQM $236.50 (RSI 40.8, -5.4% 30D) | GLD $428.24 (RSI 45.4, recovery underway) | USO $127.34 (RSI 64.5, re-accelerating — Iran escalation "Rubio new worry" headline)
Entry Zones (IN ZONE NOW)
EXTREME OVERSOLD (RSI < 30) — Capitulation Territory
| Stock |
Current |
Zone |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Source |
Action |
Notes |
| ABT |
$101.45 |
$98–$104 |
27.9 |
-11.1% |
healthcare-scan |
Contrarian Watch |
Death cross, -27.1% from high. RSI extreme but structure fully broken. Bounce possible, not an investor entry. |
| SYK |
$325.95 |
$315–$330 |
30.6 |
-15.8% |
healthcare-scan |
Small Position |
RSI approaching historical washout lows for medtech leader. Patient contrarian only. Death cross present. NEW |
OVERSOLD (RSI 30–40) — Strong Entry Zone
| Stock |
Current |
Zone |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Source |
Action |
Notes |
| MSFT |
$368.57 |
$350–$370 |
34.6 |
-7.5% |
bargain-bin, tech-insider-buys, deep-dive |
Strong Buy |
RSI touched 24.4 intraday low; bouncing. Azure/Copilot moat intact. Insider buying confirmed. War-ends trade #8. Enterprise is deferring, not canceling. GOLDEN |
| SAP |
$170.94 |
$165–$175 |
33.8 |
-12.8% |
bargain-bin |
Strong Buy |
European enterprise leader at RSI 33.8, -45.4% from 52wk high. RISE cloud migration multi-year runway. NEW |
| SNOW |
$151.60 |
$148–$158 |
34.4 |
-11.0% |
bargain-bin, tech-insider-buys |
Accumulate |
-46% from high. Data warehouse leader with real execution — M&A target at these levels if Databricks IPO catalyzes. |
| MDT |
$86.03 |
$84–$88 |
34.1 |
-11.6% |
holdings, healthcare-scan |
Watch — Alert $83 |
HOLDING (12 shares). Stop at $83, only 3.5% away. -11.76% P/L. Healthcare device cycle grinding lower. RSI 34 without reversal. |
| META |
$570.00 |
$555–$575 |
39.4 |
-12.7% |
bargain-bin, tech-insider-buys, mag7 |
Accumulate |
Recovered from RSI 25 extreme (03/26). Death cross still active. Scale in on any RSI dip back below 38. |
| ISRG |
$460.17 |
$455–$475 |
35.2 |
-7.3% |
healthcare-scan, insider-scan |
Accumulate |
Surgical robotics monopoly at RSI 35.2 — historical entry level. Death cross = scale in, not all-in. |
| ADBE |
$242.26 |
$235–$248 |
38.2 |
-7.1% |
bargain-bin, tech-insider-buys |
Accumulate |
Creative suite moat, approaching oversold. Death cross present but at historically strong buy RSI. |
| QCOM |
$128.26 |
$125–$132 |
36.2 |
-8.5% |
bargain-bin, nvda-ecosystem, tech-insider-buys |
Accumulate |
Mobile cycle bottoming. -37.7% from high. Death cross risk — no AI datacenter story. Speculative quality entry. |
| GOOGL |
$286.81 |
$272–$290 |
40.2 |
-6.4% |
deep-dive, bargain-bin, tech-insider-buys, mag7 |
Accumulate |
RSI touched 20.7 on March 30 (capitulation low). Bouncing +4.9%. Golden cross intact. SMA200 support at $263. GOLDEN — insider buying confirmed. |
APPROACHING OVERSOLD (RSI 40–50) — Watch Closely
| Stock |
Current |
Zone |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Source |
Action |
Notes |
| NVDA |
$172.91 |
$165–$175 |
44.1 |
-5.2% |
nvda-ecosystem, bargain-bin |
Watch |
Golden cross still intact. AI correction, not breakdown. $179 SMA200 is the key level. |
| LLY |
$916.02 |
$895–$920 |
40.9 |
-10.0% |
healthcare-scan, bargain-bin |
Watch |
SMA200 test ($894). GLP-1 franchise decade thesis. This level is the thesis checkpoint. |
| AMD |
$201.74 |
$195–$205 |
48.6 |
+1.6% |
nvda-ecosystem, tech-insider-buys |
Watch |
MI300X share gains. Golden cross, above SMA200. Best AI CPU diversification play. |
| TSM |
$332.27 |
$320–$342 |
45.9 |
-9.7% |
nvda-ecosystem, tech-insider-buys |
Watch |
Indispensable fab. +15.5% above SMA200. Tariff fears = discount on secular compounder. |
| ASML |
$1,303.43 |
$1,270–$1,335 |
44.3 |
-8.4% |
nvda-ecosystem, tech-insider-buys |
Watch |
EUV monopoly. +24.8% above SMA200. -8.5% flush this week = tariff fear, not fundamental. |
| AVGO |
$307.08 |
$295–$315 |
43.1 |
-3.5% |
nvda-ecosystem |
Watch |
Custom ASIC + AI networking. Death cross = risk. But RSI 43 approaching oversold for a dominant position. |
| CRWD |
$389.02 |
$380–$400 |
43.3 |
+1.1% |
cybersec, tech-insider-buys |
Watch |
Endpoint leader recovering from 2024 outage overhang. RSI 43, 30D stabilizing. -31.4% from high. |
| CEG |
$275.59 |
$265–$280 |
38.0 |
-15.7% |
bargain-bin, tech-insider-buys |
Watch |
Nuclear/energy infrastructure. -33.2% from high. RSI 38, approaching oversold on AI power demand thesis. |
| GDX |
$90.89 |
$88–$95 |
47.3 |
-21.2% |
etf-universe, gold-crash perspective |
Watch |
Gold miners snapping back +10.4% since 03/26. RSI 47 has more room. Silver outperforming gold = genuine recovery. |
| SBUX |
$89.26 |
$87–$91 |
39.5 |
-7.8% |
consumer-scan |
Watch |
Only consumer name above SMA200 with golden cross. Turnaround structurally intact. RSI 39 approaching entry. |
Price Alerts (Waiting for Entry)
| Stock |
Alert |
Entry Zone |
Source |
Set Date |
Status |
| MSFT |
$340 |
Below current — support test |
deep-dive, 03/26 carry-forward |
03/26 |
Active — staged add zone |
| GOOGL |
$263 |
SMA200 test |
deep-dive, 03/26 carry-forward |
03/26 |
Active — table-pound add if reached |
| LLY |
$894 |
SMA200 test |
healthcare-scan |
03/31 |
Active — thesis checkpoint, highest priority pharma alert |
| GLD |
$420 |
Watch if reversal loses |
etf-universe |
03/31 |
Active — if gold reversal fails, reassess |
| NET |
$194 |
Close below = red flag |
cybersec, holdings |
03/31 |
Active — $200 support holding, $194 is the thesis break level |
| MDT |
$83 |
Stop-loss trigger |
holdings |
03/31 |
CRITICAL — set broker alert now. 3.5% from stop. |
Exit Alerts (Holdings)
| Stock |
Alert |
Type |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
Set Date |
Status |
| MDT |
$83.00 stop |
Stop-loss |
$97.49 |
$86.03 |
-11.76% |
03/26 |
CRITICAL — only 3.5% above stop. Set broker alert. No reversal evident at RSI 34. |
| AS |
$30.71 stop |
Stop-loss |
$36.13 |
$32.79 |
-9.24% |
03/26 |
WATCH — 6.3% above stop. RSI 44 improved but price barely moved. -13.5% 30D still deteriorating. |
Holdings Monitoring
| Stock |
Alert |
Type |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
Set Date |
Status |
| NET |
$151 stop / $231 target |
Hold zone |
$177.38 |
$204.56 |
+15.32% |
03/26 |
Pulled back -11% 7D. $200 is key support. Conviction: Medium (downgraded from High). |
| PLTR |
$119 stop |
Trailing stop |
$140.04 |
$145.94 |
+4.21% |
03/26 |
Death cross deepening. -10.3% 7D. Stop 22.6% away but deteriorating chart. |
| BTC |
Watch |
Deep underwater |
$40.05 |
$29.94 |
-25.24% |
ongoing |
2% portfolio weight. Crypto risk-off (RSI 33). No exit trigger — small position, ride it. |
| WMT |
$108.86 stop |
Protective stop |
$128.07 |
$124.15 |
-3.06% |
ongoing |
Golden cross, strong-up. Still -3.1% P/L but trend improving. 14.1% above stop — safe. |
Overbought Trim Alerts (Energy Cluster — Carry Forward from 03/26)
| Symbol |
Price |
RSI |
Action |
Update vs 03/26 |
| COP |
$130.08 |
79.0 |
Trail stops tightly |
Cooled from 83 but re-escalating with Iran |
| OXY |
$63.88 |
75.7 |
Trail stops |
Still extreme — "Rubio new worry" pushing oil again |
| USO |
$127.34 |
64.5 |
Trail stops |
Re-accelerating — NEW high above $127. War not over. |
| XOP |
$180.23 |
72.4 |
Trim remaining |
Cooled slightly. RSI 72 still elevated. |
| XLE |
$60.72 |
74.0 |
Trim energy ETF |
Cooled from 83. Still avoid new entries. |
| EOG |
$143.81 |
73.9 |
Trail stops |
Still elevated despite cooling |
Structural Sells / Avoid (Carry Forward)
| Symbol |
Price |
RSI |
Action |
Rationale |
| ZS |
$140.15 |
37.3 |
Exit / Avoid |
-58.4% from high, -44.5% below SMA200. Cyber premium deflated. |
| WDAY |
$129.76 |
39.8 |
Exit / Avoid |
-53.0% from high. HCM SaaS facing AI disruption narrative. |
| NOW |
$104.67 |
41.3 |
Exit / Avoid |
-50.5% from high. Growth deceleration confirmed. |
| UNH |
$269.69 |
42.8 |
Avoid |
Death cross, -55.5% from high. Managed care model under structural attack. |
| SMCI |
$22.21 |
35.7 |
Avoid |
-64.4% from high. Accounting issues unresolved. Not a bargain-bin quality pick. |
| QCOM |
$128.26 |
36.2 |
Caution |
Death cross, -37.7% from high. Only for speculative oversold plays, not conviction holds. |
Sector Rotation Signals
| Signal |
Trigger |
What It Means |
Status |
| Energy re-accelerating |
USO $127.34 (was $117), "Rubio new worry" Iran escalation |
Oil thesis NOT over — avoid trimming too aggressively in energy E&Ps |
Active |
| Gold recovery confirmed |
GLD $428 (+$28 since 03/26), silver outperforming, GDX +10.4% |
Safe haven demand returning. Dollar losing momentum (UUP RSI 56.6). |
Active |
| Traditional pharma winning |
JNJ/MRK/PFE all strong-up, golden cross, near 52wk highs |
Rotation out of medtech/managed care into diversified pharma. Flight-to-quality. |
Active |
| Biotech breaking out |
XBI RSI 56, strong-up, -3.8% from 52wk high; LABU +38.1% above SMA200 |
Only sector with genuine strength. MRNA +69.8% 3M. mRNA platform revival. |
Active |
| Custom silicon vs GPUs |
MRVL +22.7% 30D, ARM +19.6% 30D while NVDA -5.2%, AVGO -3.5% |
Hyperscaler custom ASIC (MRVL) > general GPU exposure. Ecosystem split widening. |
Active |
| Monster universe contracted 34% |
158 stocks → 104 in 5 days: NVDA, AVGO, ANET, TSM, PLTR all dropped off |
Tech wipeout in progress. Energy/commodity is the new monster king. |
Active |
| Cyber war premium deflating |
ZS -37.7% 3M, BUG -18.1% 3M, CIBR -12.5% 3M |
Sector-wide institutional exits. NET is infrastructure not security — holds alone. |
Active |
| Brazil as safe haven |
EWZ RSI 56.6, +19.9% 3M, +21.6% above SMA200 |
Commodity-rich EM outperforming in tariff environment. Unexpected diversification play. |
New |
Insider Activity Summary
| Signal |
Stocks |
Implication |
| Confirmed Buying — Oversold Accumulation |
MSFT, GOOGL (from 03/26 scan and deep dives) |
Insiders accumulating at -33% and -18% from highs. Strongest conviction signal in this tape. |
| Momentum Outliers (insider-universe holders) |
CFLT (RSI 72, at 52wk high), MRVL (RSI 61, +22.7% 30D), ARM (RSI 62, +19.6% 30D), DOCN (+44.6% 30D), FSLY (+33.3% 30D) |
Smart money is rotating TO custom silicon, streaming data infra, and edge computing |
| Oversold but No Insider Signal |
SNOW, SAP, ADBE |
Quality names but confirm insider buys before large entries |
| Avoid Despite Oversold RSI |
SMCI, TEAM, ASAN, IONQ |
No insider signal + broken thesis = knife-catching risk |
Pending Research Actions
| Action |
Source |
Priority |
Status |
| Set broker alert on MDT at $83 |
Holdings — stop 3.5% away |
CRITICAL |
TODO — do this today |
| Deep dive: MRVL custom silicon thesis |
NVDA-ecosystem, tech-insider-buys — +22.7% 30D near 52wk high |
High |
Pending from 03/26 |
| Deep dive: ARM IP licensing sustainability |
03/26 carry-forward — +36.1% 3M, RSI 62 |
High |
Pending |
| Research: CFLT streaming data + AI workloads |
tech-insider-buys, insider-universe — RSI 72, at 52wk high, only name making new highs |
High |
New — only surviving strong-up in tech |
| Monitor: LLY $894 SMA200 test |
healthcare-scan — GLP-1 thesis checkpoint |
High |
Active watch |
| Evaluate: NET $200 support hold or break |
cybersec, deep-dive — -11% 7D, $200 key support |
High |
Ongoing — daily check |
| Research: FSLY edge computing revival thesis |
monster-scan, insider-scan — +177.1% 3M, RSI 63 |
Medium |
New — unknown name parabolic |
| Research: DOCN cloud simplification thesis |
monster-scan, insider-scan — +75% 3M, +44.6% 30D |
Medium |
New |
| Research: EWZ Brazil macro setup |
etf-universe — +19.9% 3M, RSI 56, unexpected safe haven |
Medium |
New |
| Evaluate: NET cyber thesis resolution |
cybersec — war premium fading, "up trend" alone in sector |
Medium |
Perspective update needed |
| Monitor: ABT RSI 27.9 — watch for dead-cat bounce |
healthcare-scan — death cross, -27% from high |
Medium |
Oversold but not investor entry |
| Archive / close: Cyber-geopolitical perspective |
cybersec — thesis decay confirmed, only NET/AKAM surviving |
Medium |
Perspective lifecycle action |
| Perspective |
Status |
Key Signal Today |
| Iran War & Oil Crisis |
Active (Critical) |
Re-escalating — "Rubio new worry" pushed USO back above $127. NOT over. Oil RSI 64-79 across cluster. |
| Gold Recovery |
Active (High) |
Recovery confirmed: GLD +$28 since 03/26. Silver outperforming. GDX +10.4%. Dollar losing momentum. |
| War Ends Playbook |
Active (High) |
Standby — triggered by ceasefire signal. MSFT (#8), GOOGL, GLD, ITB/housing are the 14-trade sequence. |
| Crypto-Geopolitics |
Monitoring |
BTC RSI 33.1, down $1,823 since 03/26. Crypto in risk-off. IBIT death cross intact. Avoid. |
| Cyber Geopolitical |
Decaying |
War premium deflated at sector level. ZS -37.7% 3M. Only NET/AKAM confirmed. Near lifecycle close. |
The Gold — Key Discoveries This Scan
Key Discoveries
| Discovery |
Implication |
| Gold recovery confirmed — GLD $428, GDX $90.89 |
Safe haven demand overriding dollar pressure. "Rubio new worry" added war escalation premium on top of recovery. Central bank floor at $400-410 providing structural bid. |
| Iran conflict re-escalating (not stalemate) |
USO $127+ means oil trade still active. Don't trim too aggressively. Trail stops on E&Ps — let the trend run. |
| Monster universe contracted 34% in 5 days |
NVDA, AVGO, ANET, TSM all dropped out of monster territory. Energy/commodity is the new monster king. Broad tech wipeout. |
| Biotech is the ONLY strong-up sector |
XBI RSI 56, LABU RSI 54, MRNA +69.8% 3M. Flight into healthcare pharma + biotech as defensive rotation continues. |
| MSFT/GOOGL bouncing from RSI extremes |
MSFT touched 24.4, GOOGL touched 20.7. Both bouncing — this may be the stabilization signal. Insider buying adds conviction. |
| Custom silicon (MRVL/ARM) beating GPU names |
MRVL +22.7% 30D vs NVDA -5.2%. Hyperscaler custom ASIC trend accelerating. The AI hardware story is splitting. |
| NET war premium fully deflated |
Cyber-geopolitical thesis nearing close. NET holds only on infrastructure thesis, not war premium. No longer a geopolitical play. |
| NET conviction downgraded |
RSI reset from 81 to 45. Anthropic AI competition narrative adding noise. Hold but no new buys until $200 confirmed. |
What Changed vs 2026-03-26
- MSFT improved from RSI 25.4 → 34.6: Bounced from intraday 24.4 low. Stabilization signal? Still deeply oversold. Entry zone lowered to $350–370.
- GOOGL touched RSI 20.7 (capitulation low) then bounced to RSI 40.2: Best single-week RSI recovery in the Mag7. Golden cross holding.
- META recovered from RSI 25.7 → 39.4: Partial recovery. Death cross still active. Not a buy until RSI 50 reclaims.
- GLD recovered from $400 → $428 (+6.9%), GDX from $82 → $90 (+10.4%): Gold crash perspective renamed to "Gold Recovery." Thesis evolved.
- USO re-accelerated to $127.34 (was $117): Iran conflict re-escalating, NOT entering stalemate. "Rubio new worry" headline.
- ABT RSI 27.9 — new extreme: Abbott enters extreme oversold territory. Bounce possible, not a structural buy.
- SYK RSI 30.6 — approaching capitulation: Medtech continues breaking down. Patient contrarian territory.
- Monster universe contracted 34%: Tech names dropped off. Energy/commodities now dominate the leaders list.
- NET conviction downgraded: -11% 7D, cybersec war premium deflating, Anthropic AI competition narrative. Hold existing only.
- Energy still active: Oil re-accelerated. Avoid trimming too aggressively despite elevated RSIs.
- Cyber thesis decaying: ZS -37.7% 3M, BUG -18.1% 3M. Sector premium fully deflated. Perspective lifecycle action needed.
Data: 2026-03-31 validated daily summaries. Cross-ref: the active perspectives list.
Sources
Price, RSI and trend figures read from the desk's validated daily scan
summaries (summaries). No number in this note was
computed in prose.