2026-03-31 — Daily Actions

Market Brief Ticker Tape

21 entry zones (2 extreme, 9 oversold, 10 approaching). 7 exit alerts (2 critical, 5 structural). 6 price alerts. Top signals: MSFT RSI 34.6 ($368) — Mag7 extreme oversold with insider buying, generational enterprise entry. ABT RSI 27.9 — healthcare washout approaching climax. SYK RSI 30.6 — medtech capitulation territory. GLD/GDX recovery confirmed — gold up $28 in 5 days.

MARKET CONTEXT: VOO $594.70 (RSI 40.6, -5.5% 30D, down trend) | QQQM $236.50 (RSI 40.8, -5.4% 30D) | GLD $428.24 (RSI 45.4, recovery underway) | USO $127.34 (RSI 64.5, re-accelerating — Iran escalation "Rubio new worry" headline)


Entry Zones (IN ZONE NOW)

EXTREME OVERSOLD (RSI < 30) — Capitulation Territory

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Source Action Notes
ABT $101.45 $98–$104 27.9 -11.1% healthcare-scan Contrarian Watch Death cross, -27.1% from high. RSI extreme but structure fully broken. Bounce possible, not an investor entry.
SYK $325.95 $315–$330 30.6 -15.8% healthcare-scan Small Position RSI approaching historical washout lows for medtech leader. Patient contrarian only. Death cross present. NEW

OVERSOLD (RSI 30–40) — Strong Entry Zone

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Source Action Notes
MSFT $368.57 $350–$370 34.6 -7.5% bargain-bin, tech-insider-buys, deep-dive Strong Buy RSI touched 24.4 intraday low; bouncing. Azure/Copilot moat intact. Insider buying confirmed. War-ends trade #8. Enterprise is deferring, not canceling. GOLDEN
SAP $170.94 $165–$175 33.8 -12.8% bargain-bin Strong Buy European enterprise leader at RSI 33.8, -45.4% from 52wk high. RISE cloud migration multi-year runway. NEW
SNOW $151.60 $148–$158 34.4 -11.0% bargain-bin, tech-insider-buys Accumulate -46% from high. Data warehouse leader with real execution — M&A target at these levels if Databricks IPO catalyzes.
MDT $86.03 $84–$88 34.1 -11.6% holdings, healthcare-scan Watch — Alert $83 HOLDING (12 shares). Stop at $83, only 3.5% away. -11.76% P/L. Healthcare device cycle grinding lower. RSI 34 without reversal.
META $570.00 $555–$575 39.4 -12.7% bargain-bin, tech-insider-buys, mag7 Accumulate Recovered from RSI 25 extreme (03/26). Death cross still active. Scale in on any RSI dip back below 38.
ISRG $460.17 $455–$475 35.2 -7.3% healthcare-scan, insider-scan Accumulate Surgical robotics monopoly at RSI 35.2 — historical entry level. Death cross = scale in, not all-in.
ADBE $242.26 $235–$248 38.2 -7.1% bargain-bin, tech-insider-buys Accumulate Creative suite moat, approaching oversold. Death cross present but at historically strong buy RSI.
QCOM $128.26 $125–$132 36.2 -8.5% bargain-bin, nvda-ecosystem, tech-insider-buys Accumulate Mobile cycle bottoming. -37.7% from high. Death cross risk — no AI datacenter story. Speculative quality entry.
GOOGL $286.81 $272–$290 40.2 -6.4% deep-dive, bargain-bin, tech-insider-buys, mag7 Accumulate RSI touched 20.7 on March 30 (capitulation low). Bouncing +4.9%. Golden cross intact. SMA200 support at $263. GOLDEN — insider buying confirmed.

APPROACHING OVERSOLD (RSI 40–50) — Watch Closely

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Source Action Notes
NVDA $172.91 $165–$175 44.1 -5.2% nvda-ecosystem, bargain-bin Watch Golden cross still intact. AI correction, not breakdown. $179 SMA200 is the key level.
LLY $916.02 $895–$920 40.9 -10.0% healthcare-scan, bargain-bin Watch SMA200 test ($894). GLP-1 franchise decade thesis. This level is the thesis checkpoint.
AMD $201.74 $195–$205 48.6 +1.6% nvda-ecosystem, tech-insider-buys Watch MI300X share gains. Golden cross, above SMA200. Best AI CPU diversification play.
TSM $332.27 $320–$342 45.9 -9.7% nvda-ecosystem, tech-insider-buys Watch Indispensable fab. +15.5% above SMA200. Tariff fears = discount on secular compounder.
ASML $1,303.43 $1,270–$1,335 44.3 -8.4% nvda-ecosystem, tech-insider-buys Watch EUV monopoly. +24.8% above SMA200. -8.5% flush this week = tariff fear, not fundamental.
AVGO $307.08 $295–$315 43.1 -3.5% nvda-ecosystem Watch Custom ASIC + AI networking. Death cross = risk. But RSI 43 approaching oversold for a dominant position.
CRWD $389.02 $380–$400 43.3 +1.1% cybersec, tech-insider-buys Watch Endpoint leader recovering from 2024 outage overhang. RSI 43, 30D stabilizing. -31.4% from high.
CEG $275.59 $265–$280 38.0 -15.7% bargain-bin, tech-insider-buys Watch Nuclear/energy infrastructure. -33.2% from high. RSI 38, approaching oversold on AI power demand thesis.
GDX $90.89 $88–$95 47.3 -21.2% etf-universe, gold-crash perspective Watch Gold miners snapping back +10.4% since 03/26. RSI 47 has more room. Silver outperforming gold = genuine recovery.
SBUX $89.26 $87–$91 39.5 -7.8% consumer-scan Watch Only consumer name above SMA200 with golden cross. Turnaround structurally intact. RSI 39 approaching entry.

Price Alerts (Waiting for Entry)

Stock Alert Entry Zone Source Set Date Status
MSFT $340 Below current — support test deep-dive, 03/26 carry-forward 03/26 Active — staged add zone
GOOGL $263 SMA200 test deep-dive, 03/26 carry-forward 03/26 Active — table-pound add if reached
LLY $894 SMA200 test healthcare-scan 03/31 Active — thesis checkpoint, highest priority pharma alert
GLD $420 Watch if reversal loses etf-universe 03/31 Active — if gold reversal fails, reassess
NET $194 Close below = red flag cybersec, holdings 03/31 Active — $200 support holding, $194 is the thesis break level
MDT $83 Stop-loss trigger holdings 03/31 CRITICAL — set broker alert now. 3.5% from stop.

Exit Alerts (Holdings)

CRITICAL — Immediate Action Needed

Stock Alert Type Entry Current P&L Set Date Status
MDT $83.00 stop Stop-loss $97.49 $86.03 -11.76% 03/26 CRITICAL — only 3.5% above stop. Set broker alert. No reversal evident at RSI 34.
AS $30.71 stop Stop-loss $36.13 $32.79 -9.24% 03/26 WATCH — 6.3% above stop. RSI 44 improved but price barely moved. -13.5% 30D still deteriorating.

Holdings Monitoring

Stock Alert Type Entry Current P&L Set Date Status
NET $151 stop / $231 target Hold zone $177.38 $204.56 +15.32% 03/26 Pulled back -11% 7D. $200 is key support. Conviction: Medium (downgraded from High).
PLTR $119 stop Trailing stop $140.04 $145.94 +4.21% 03/26 Death cross deepening. -10.3% 7D. Stop 22.6% away but deteriorating chart.
BTC Watch Deep underwater $40.05 $29.94 -25.24% ongoing 2% portfolio weight. Crypto risk-off (RSI 33). No exit trigger — small position, ride it.
WMT $108.86 stop Protective stop $128.07 $124.15 -3.06% ongoing Golden cross, strong-up. Still -3.1% P/L but trend improving. 14.1% above stop — safe.

Overbought Trim Alerts (Energy Cluster — Carry Forward from 03/26)

Symbol Price RSI Action Update vs 03/26
COP $130.08 79.0 Trail stops tightly Cooled from 83 but re-escalating with Iran
OXY $63.88 75.7 Trail stops Still extreme — "Rubio new worry" pushing oil again
USO $127.34 64.5 Trail stops Re-accelerating — NEW high above $127. War not over.
XOP $180.23 72.4 Trim remaining Cooled slightly. RSI 72 still elevated.
XLE $60.72 74.0 Trim energy ETF Cooled from 83. Still avoid new entries.
EOG $143.81 73.9 Trail stops Still elevated despite cooling

Structural Sells / Avoid (Carry Forward)

Symbol Price RSI Action Rationale
ZS $140.15 37.3 Exit / Avoid -58.4% from high, -44.5% below SMA200. Cyber premium deflated.
WDAY $129.76 39.8 Exit / Avoid -53.0% from high. HCM SaaS facing AI disruption narrative.
NOW $104.67 41.3 Exit / Avoid -50.5% from high. Growth deceleration confirmed.
UNH $269.69 42.8 Avoid Death cross, -55.5% from high. Managed care model under structural attack.
SMCI $22.21 35.7 Avoid -64.4% from high. Accounting issues unresolved. Not a bargain-bin quality pick.
QCOM $128.26 36.2 Caution Death cross, -37.7% from high. Only for speculative oversold plays, not conviction holds.

Sector Rotation Signals

Signal Trigger What It Means Status
Energy re-accelerating USO $127.34 (was $117), "Rubio new worry" Iran escalation Oil thesis NOT over — avoid trimming too aggressively in energy E&Ps Active
Gold recovery confirmed GLD $428 (+$28 since 03/26), silver outperforming, GDX +10.4% Safe haven demand returning. Dollar losing momentum (UUP RSI 56.6). Active
Traditional pharma winning JNJ/MRK/PFE all strong-up, golden cross, near 52wk highs Rotation out of medtech/managed care into diversified pharma. Flight-to-quality. Active
Biotech breaking out XBI RSI 56, strong-up, -3.8% from 52wk high; LABU +38.1% above SMA200 Only sector with genuine strength. MRNA +69.8% 3M. mRNA platform revival. Active
Custom silicon vs GPUs MRVL +22.7% 30D, ARM +19.6% 30D while NVDA -5.2%, AVGO -3.5% Hyperscaler custom ASIC (MRVL) > general GPU exposure. Ecosystem split widening. Active
Monster universe contracted 34% 158 stocks → 104 in 5 days: NVDA, AVGO, ANET, TSM, PLTR all dropped off Tech wipeout in progress. Energy/commodity is the new monster king. Active
Cyber war premium deflating ZS -37.7% 3M, BUG -18.1% 3M, CIBR -12.5% 3M Sector-wide institutional exits. NET is infrastructure not security — holds alone. Active
Brazil as safe haven EWZ RSI 56.6, +19.9% 3M, +21.6% above SMA200 Commodity-rich EM outperforming in tariff environment. Unexpected diversification play. New

Insider Activity Summary

Signal Stocks Implication
Confirmed Buying — Oversold Accumulation MSFT, GOOGL (from 03/26 scan and deep dives) Insiders accumulating at -33% and -18% from highs. Strongest conviction signal in this tape.
Momentum Outliers (insider-universe holders) CFLT (RSI 72, at 52wk high), MRVL (RSI 61, +22.7% 30D), ARM (RSI 62, +19.6% 30D), DOCN (+44.6% 30D), FSLY (+33.3% 30D) Smart money is rotating TO custom silicon, streaming data infra, and edge computing
Oversold but No Insider Signal SNOW, SAP, ADBE Quality names but confirm insider buys before large entries
Avoid Despite Oversold RSI SMCI, TEAM, ASAN, IONQ No insider signal + broken thesis = knife-catching risk

Pending Research Actions

Action Source Priority Status
Set broker alert on MDT at $83 Holdings — stop 3.5% away CRITICAL TODO — do this today
Deep dive: MRVL custom silicon thesis NVDA-ecosystem, tech-insider-buys — +22.7% 30D near 52wk high High Pending from 03/26
Deep dive: ARM IP licensing sustainability 03/26 carry-forward — +36.1% 3M, RSI 62 High Pending
Research: CFLT streaming data + AI workloads tech-insider-buys, insider-universe — RSI 72, at 52wk high, only name making new highs High New — only surviving strong-up in tech
Monitor: LLY $894 SMA200 test healthcare-scan — GLP-1 thesis checkpoint High Active watch
Evaluate: NET $200 support hold or break cybersec, deep-dive — -11% 7D, $200 key support High Ongoing — daily check
Research: FSLY edge computing revival thesis monster-scan, insider-scan — +177.1% 3M, RSI 63 Medium New — unknown name parabolic
Research: DOCN cloud simplification thesis monster-scan, insider-scan — +75% 3M, +44.6% 30D Medium New
Research: EWZ Brazil macro setup etf-universe — +19.9% 3M, RSI 56, unexpected safe haven Medium New
Evaluate: NET cyber thesis resolution cybersec — war premium fading, "up trend" alone in sector Medium Perspective update needed
Monitor: ABT RSI 27.9 — watch for dead-cat bounce healthcare-scan — death cross, -27% from high Medium Oversold but not investor entry
Archive / close: Cyber-geopolitical perspective cybersec — thesis decay confirmed, only NET/AKAM surviving Medium Perspective lifecycle action

Active Perspectives (Informing Actions)

Perspective Status Key Signal Today
Iran War & Oil Crisis Active (Critical) Re-escalating — "Rubio new worry" pushed USO back above $127. NOT over. Oil RSI 64-79 across cluster.
Gold Recovery Active (High) Recovery confirmed: GLD +$28 since 03/26. Silver outperforming. GDX +10.4%. Dollar losing momentum.
War Ends Playbook Active (High) Standby — triggered by ceasefire signal. MSFT (#8), GOOGL, GLD, ITB/housing are the 14-trade sequence.
Crypto-Geopolitics Monitoring BTC RSI 33.1, down $1,823 since 03/26. Crypto in risk-off. IBIT death cross intact. Avoid.
Cyber Geopolitical Decaying War premium deflated at sector level. ZS -37.7% 3M. Only NET/AKAM confirmed. Near lifecycle close.

The Gold — Key Discoveries This Scan

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
Gold recovery confirmed — GLD $428, GDX $90.89 Safe haven demand overriding dollar pressure. "Rubio new worry" added war escalation premium on top of recovery. Central bank floor at $400-410 providing structural bid.
Iran conflict re-escalating (not stalemate) USO $127+ means oil trade still active. Don't trim too aggressively. Trail stops on E&Ps — let the trend run.
Monster universe contracted 34% in 5 days NVDA, AVGO, ANET, TSM all dropped out of monster territory. Energy/commodity is the new monster king. Broad tech wipeout.
Biotech is the ONLY strong-up sector XBI RSI 56, LABU RSI 54, MRNA +69.8% 3M. Flight into healthcare pharma + biotech as defensive rotation continues.
MSFT/GOOGL bouncing from RSI extremes MSFT touched 24.4, GOOGL touched 20.7. Both bouncing — this may be the stabilization signal. Insider buying adds conviction.
Custom silicon (MRVL/ARM) beating GPU names MRVL +22.7% 30D vs NVDA -5.2%. Hyperscaler custom ASIC trend accelerating. The AI hardware story is splitting.
NET war premium fully deflated Cyber-geopolitical thesis nearing close. NET holds only on infrastructure thesis, not war premium. No longer a geopolitical play.
NET conviction downgraded RSI reset from 81 to 45. Anthropic AI competition narrative adding noise. Hold but no new buys until $200 confirmed.

What Changed vs 2026-03-26

  • MSFT improved from RSI 25.4 → 34.6: Bounced from intraday 24.4 low. Stabilization signal? Still deeply oversold. Entry zone lowered to $350–370.
  • GOOGL touched RSI 20.7 (capitulation low) then bounced to RSI 40.2: Best single-week RSI recovery in the Mag7. Golden cross holding.
  • META recovered from RSI 25.7 → 39.4: Partial recovery. Death cross still active. Not a buy until RSI 50 reclaims.
  • GLD recovered from $400 → $428 (+6.9%), GDX from $82 → $90 (+10.4%): Gold crash perspective renamed to "Gold Recovery." Thesis evolved.
  • USO re-accelerated to $127.34 (was $117): Iran conflict re-escalating, NOT entering stalemate. "Rubio new worry" headline.
  • ABT RSI 27.9 — new extreme: Abbott enters extreme oversold territory. Bounce possible, not a structural buy.
  • SYK RSI 30.6 — approaching capitulation: Medtech continues breaking down. Patient contrarian territory.
  • Monster universe contracted 34%: Tech names dropped off. Energy/commodities now dominate the leaders list.
  • NET conviction downgraded: -11% 7D, cybersec war premium deflating, Anthropic AI competition narrative. Hold existing only.
  • Energy still active: Oil re-accelerated. Avoid trimming too aggressively despite elevated RSIs.
  • Cyber thesis decaying: ZS -37.7% 3M, BUG -18.1% 3M. Sector premium fully deflated. Perspective lifecycle action needed.

Data: 2026-03-31 validated daily summaries. Cross-ref: the active perspectives list.

Sources

Price, RSI and trend figures read from the desk's validated daily scan summaries (summaries). No number in this note was computed in prose.