23 entry zones (1 extreme, 8 oversold, 14 approaching). 8 exit alerts (1 critical, 7 structural). 6 price alerts. Top signals: NKE RSI 20 ($44.19) — consumer capitulation, iconic global brand at 5Y low. SNOW RSI 36 ($152) — data cloud leader at -46% from high. ISRG RSI 33 — surgical robotics monopoly approaching capitulation. USO RSI 72 ($138) — oil parabolic, tighten stops. NET back in up trend at $211.69 (+18% 30D).
MARKET CONTEXT: VOO $602.99 (RSI 47, -3.3% 30D, down trend) | QQQM $240.86 (RSI 47, -2.6% 30D) | GLD $429.41 (RSI 46, -8.3% 30D, consolidating) | USO $137.92 (RSI 72, +52.9% 30D, parabolic)
Entry Zones (IN ZONE NOW)
EXTREME OVERSOLD (RSI < 30) — Capitulation Territory
| Stock |
Current |
Zone |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Source |
Action |
Notes |
| NKE |
$44.19 |
<$50 |
20↓ |
-25.6% |
consumer-scan, retail-scan, bargain-bin |
✅ Strong Buy |
NEW — Iconic global brand at 5Y low. RSI 20 capitulation. Death cross + -32.8% vs SMA200. Contrarian entry on scale-in. |
OVERSOLD (RSI 30–40) — Strong Entry Zone
| Stock |
Current |
Zone |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Source |
Action |
Notes |
| ISRG |
$452.07 |
<$460 |
33↓ |
-9.1% |
healthcare-scan |
📈 Accumulate |
Surgical robotics monopoly. RSI 33 nearing capitulation. -25% from high. Death cross = scale in. |
| DXCM |
$62.22 |
<$65 |
33↓ |
-14.9% |
healthcare-scan |
🔍 Research |
NEW — CGM leader in washout. -31% from high. Strong-down death cross. |
| ABT |
$102.87 |
<$105 |
33↓ |
-9.5% |
healthcare-scan |
🔍 Research |
Diversified med-tech. RSI 33. Death cross. -26% from high. Bounce possible, not investor entry. |
| SNOW |
$151.85 |
<$155 |
36↓ |
-8.4% |
bargain-bin, insider-scan, tech-insider-buys |
🔍 Research |
Data cloud monopoly at -46% from high. Couldn't bounce on a bounce week — concerning. |
| QCOM |
$126.80 |
<$130 |
34↓ |
-7.6% |
ai-scan, nvda-ecosystem |
🔍 Research |
Mobile AI, -38% from 52wk high. Death cross. Speculative quality entry only. |
| CEG |
$272.82 |
<$280 |
37↓ |
-15.9% |
ai-infrastructure, energy |
🔍 Research |
Nuclear power thesis. -34% from high. Death cross. -10.5% 7D accelerating sell. |
| ENPH |
$34.92 |
<$35 |
37↓ |
-19.2% |
ev-clean-energy, energy |
🔍 Research |
NEW — Micro-inverter leader collapsed -10.1% 7D. Golden cross holding but price destroyed. |
| MSFT |
$373.46 |
<$380 |
40↓ |
-7.5% |
bargain-bin, ai-scan, tech-insider-buys, mag7 |
📈 Accumulate |
Azure/Copilot compounder. RSI improved 34.6→39.5. Death cross. -21.4% vs SMA200. Insider buying confirmed. GOLDEN |
APPROACHING OVERSOLD (RSI 40–50) — Watch Closely
| Stock |
Current |
Zone |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Source |
Action |
Notes |
| TSLA |
$360.59 |
<$365 |
38.8 |
-8.1% |
ev-clean-energy, insider-scan, mag7 |
🔍 Research |
NEW — Only Mag7 that didn't bounce. -6.1% below SMA20. Golden cross under stress. |
| NOW |
$102.00 |
<$105 |
38.3 |
-9.9% |
insider-scan, bargain-bin, tech-insider-buys |
🔍 Research |
IT workflow monopoly. -52% from high. Worsened from 03/31 (RSI 41→38). |
| SYK |
$331.54 |
<$335 |
38.3 |
-13.6% |
healthcare-scan |
🔍 Research |
Medtech leader. RSI improved 30.6→38.3. Still death cross. |
| VEEV |
$173.98 |
<$175 |
39.0 |
-6.4% |
healthcare-scan |
🔍 Research |
NEW — Healthcare cloud. -44% from high. Strong-down death cross. |
| ADBE |
$242.92 |
<$245 |
39.8 |
-10.4% |
bargain-bin, insider-scan, tech-insider-buys |
📈 Accumulate |
Creative AI leader. -43% from high. Death cross. Confirm insider buys before sizing. |
| MDT |
$86.63 |
$84–$88 |
38.6 |
-9.7% |
holdings, healthcare-scan |
🔍 Watch — Alert $83 |
HOLDING (12 shares). Stop at $83 now 4.4% away (improved from 3.5%). RSI improved 34→39. |
| META |
$574.46 |
<$575 |
41.2 |
-12.2% |
bargain-bin, mag7 |
🔍 Watch |
Bear rally +8.2% 7D. Still death cross, -4.6% below SMA20. Don't chase. |
| LULU |
$155.72 |
<$160 |
41.8 |
-10.6% |
consumer-scan, retail-scan |
🔍 Research |
Athleisure leader. Bounced +7.2% 7D from RSI 35. Death cross persists. -54% from high. |
| ABBV |
$208.84 |
<$210 |
40.2 |
-10.7% |
biotech-scan |
🔍 Watch |
NEW — Dividend king approaching oversold. -3.1% vs SMA20. |
| HD |
$321.63 |
<$325 |
34.3 |
-11.8% |
defensive-scan, retail-scan |
🔍 Research |
NEW — Home improvement duopoly. -25% from high. Death cross. |
| LOW |
$231.03 |
<$235 |
37.0 |
-10.4% |
defensive-scan, retail-scan |
🔍 Research |
NEW — Same thesis as HD. -21% from high. Down trend. |
| ITB |
$90.25 |
<$92 |
37.3 |
-12.8% |
macro-commodities |
🔍 Research |
NEW — Housing ETF beaten down. -24% from high. War-ends playbook candidate. |
| WDAY |
$132.26 |
<$135 |
43.9 |
-7.9% |
insider-scan, bargain-bin |
🔍 Research |
HR cloud leader. -52% from high. Death cross. |
| INTU |
$422.48 |
<$425 |
43.1 |
-2.5% |
insider-scan, bargain-bin |
🔍 Research |
NEW — Tax/accounting monopoly. -33% from high. Death cross. |
Price Alerts (Waiting for Entry)
| Stock |
Alert |
Entry Zone |
Source |
Set Date |
Status |
| MSFT |
$340 |
Below current — deep support test |
deep-dive, carry-forward |
03/26 |
⏳ Active — staged add zone |
| GOOGL |
$263 |
SMA200 test |
deep-dive, carry-forward |
03/26 |
⏳ Active — table-pound add if reached |
| LLY |
$894 |
SMA200 test |
healthcare-scan |
03/31 |
⏳ Active — $935 current, 4.4% away. GLP-1 thesis checkpoint. |
| GLD |
$420 |
Watch if reversal fails |
etf-universe, carry-forward |
03/31 |
⏳ Active — $429 holding above alert |
| NET |
$194 |
Close below = structural red flag |
cybersec, holdings |
03/31 |
⏳ Active — $211.69 current. Reclaimed up trend. Improving. |
| MDT |
$83 |
Stop-loss trigger |
holdings |
03/31 |
⏳ CRITICAL — set broker alert now. 4.4% from stop. |
Exit Alerts (Holdings)
| Stock |
Alert |
Type |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
Set Date |
Status |
| MDT |
$83.00 stop |
Stop-loss |
$97.49 |
$86.63 |
-11.1% |
03/26 |
WATCH — 4.4% above stop. RSI improved 34→39 but still needs more. Set broker alert. |
Holdings Monitoring
| Stock |
Alert |
Type |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
Set Date |
Status |
| NET |
$151 stop / $231 target |
Hold zone |
$177.38 |
$211.69 |
+19.3% |
03/26 |
🟢 Up trend reclaimed. +18.3% 30D. $19 from $231 target. Consider trailing stop to $190. |
| PLTR |
$119 stop |
Trailing stop |
$140.04 |
$148.46 |
+6.0% |
03/26 |
Improved. RSI 49.5. Death cross but bouncing. Stop 24.7% away. |
| AS |
$30.71 stop |
Stop-loss |
$36.13 |
$33.40 |
-7.6% |
03/26 |
Bounced +7.0% 7D. RSI 47.3. Stop 8.8% away (was 6.3%). Improving but death cross. |
| WMT |
$108.86 stop |
Protective stop |
$128.07 |
$125.79 |
-1.8% |
ongoing |
Golden cross, strong-up. -1.5% 30D. Stop 15.6% away — safe. |
| BTC |
Watch |
Deep underwater |
$40.05 |
$29.65 |
-26.0% |
ongoing |
Crypto winter. Not participating in equity bounce. 2% portfolio weight. Ride it. |
Overbought Trim Alerts (Energy Cluster)
| Symbol |
Price |
RSI |
Action |
Update vs 03/31 |
| USO |
$137.92 |
72 |
⚠️ Trail stops tightly |
+52.9% 30D. Parabolic. +76% vs SMA200. Was $127 on 03/31. |
| COP |
$130.52 |
66.1 |
Trail stops |
Cooled from 79→66 but +32.6% 3M. Still elevated. |
| OXY |
$62.97 |
65.1 |
Trail stops |
Cooled from 76→65 but +53.4% 3M. Still elevated. |
| EOG |
$142.64 |
62.0 |
Trail stops |
Cooled from 74→62. Healthier. +35.6% 3M. |
| XOP |
$177.72 |
60.5 |
Hold |
Cooled from 72→60. Best risk/reward of energy cluster. |
| XLE |
$59.25 |
56.2 |
Hold |
Cooled from 74→56. Strong-up trend. Healthiest of the lot. |
| AGRO |
$15.22 |
71 |
⚠️ Trail stops |
NEW — +91% 3M, +67% 30D. Parabolic agriculture. |
Structural Sells / Avoid (Carry Forward)
| Symbol |
Price |
RSI |
Action |
Rationale |
| ZS |
$138.56 |
37.3 |
❌ Exit / Avoid |
-59% from high, -44.8% below SMA200. Death cross. |
| WDAY |
$132.26 |
43.9 |
⚠️ Caution |
-52% from high. Death cross. Only speculative oversold play. |
| NOW |
$102.00 |
38.3 |
⚠️ Caution |
-52% from high. RSI worsened. Death cross. -36.5% vs SMA200. |
| UNH |
$277.26 |
49.1 |
⚠️ Avoid |
Death cross, -54% from high. Managed care under structural attack. |
| SMCI |
$23.22 |
39.6 |
❌ Avoid |
-63% from high. Accounting issues. Not bargain-bin quality. |
Sector Rotation Signals
| Signal |
Trigger |
What It Means |
Status |
| Oil parabolic |
USO $138 (RSI 72, +97% 3M, +76% vs SMA200) |
Oil supercycle continues. Iran conflict driving. Don't fight the trend. |
🔥 Active |
| Agriculture joining oil |
AGRO RSI 71, +91% 3M; DBA strong-up; WEAT strong-up |
Commodity supercycle broadening beyond oil. Food inflation thesis. |
🔥 New |
| Gold consolidating (not crashing) |
GLD $429 (RSI 46, -8.3% 30D), GDX $95 (+12.8% 7D) |
Gold pulled back from extremes but miners bouncing hard. Central bank bid intact. |
🟢 Active |
| Custom silicon > GPUs widening |
MRVL +38% 30D (RSI 67), ARM +22.5% 30D while NVDA -1.5%, AVGO +0.4% |
Hyperscaler custom ASIC trend accelerating. MRVL now $107 monster territory. |
🟢 Active |
| SaaS death cross sweep |
NOW, WDAY, SNOW, CRM, ADBE, INTU — all death crosses, all -25% to -52% from highs |
Sector-wide capitulation. Not stock-specific. Wait for regime change, not dip-buying. |
🔴 Active |
| Biotech strong + pharma defensive |
XBI RSI 59, strong-up. JNJ/PFE/MRK all strong-up near 52wk highs. MRNA +53% 3M. |
Only sector with genuine breadth strength. Flight-to-quality + biotech momentum. |
🟢 Active |
| Consumer capitulation (NKE RSI 20) |
NKE -25.6% 30D, -31% 3M. XLY strong-down, -9.9% 3M. |
Consumer discretionary in full crisis. Only off-price retail (TJX, COST, WMT, TGT) holding. |
🔴 New |
| Housing weakness accelerating |
ITB RSI 37, -12.8% 30D. XHB RSI 39, -11.6% 30D. |
Rate fears + war inflation crushing housing. War-ends playbook trigger candidate. |
🔴 New |
| Data center buildout monsters |
VRT +50% vs SMA200, MOD +44%, PWR +26%, FIX strong-up |
AI infrastructure build still accelerating. Physical buildout > cloud software. |
🟢 Active |
| Brazil safe haven confirmed |
EWZ RSI 58, +17% 3M, strong-up |
Commodity-rich EM outperforming in tariff/war environment. |
🟢 Active |
Insider Activity Summary
| Signal |
Stocks |
Implication |
| 🏆 GOLDEN |
MSFT (RSI 40 + insider buying confirmed) |
Enterprise compounder at deep discount with smart money accumulating. Best risk-adjusted entry. |
| 🟢 MOMENTUM LEADERS |
FSLY (+229% 3M, RSI 72), DOCN (+78% 3M, RSI 68), CFLT (RSI 73, at high) |
Insider-tracked names with parabolic momentum. Extended — don't chase, watch for pullback. |
| 🟢 IMPROVING |
NET (+18.3% 30D, back in up trend), AKAM (+15.6% 30D) |
Infrastructure plays breaking out while sector collapses. Smart money validated. |
| ⚠️ OVERSOLD — NO INSIDER SIGNAL |
SNOW, ADBE, NOW, WDAY, CRM, INTU |
Quality SaaS names crushed but no insider buying confirmation. Wait for signal before sizing. |
| ❌ AVOID DESPITE OVERSOLD |
SMCI, ASAN, HIMS |
Broken thesis + no insider signal = knife-catching risk. |
Pending Research Actions
| Action |
Source |
Priority |
Status |
| Set broker alert on MDT at $83 |
Holdings — stop 4.4% away |
CRITICAL |
TODO — overdue from 03/26 |
| Deep dive: NKE RSI 20 capitulation — is this a generational entry or falling knife? |
consumer-scan, bargain-bin |
HIGH |
🔍 New |
| Research: DXCM entry thesis — CGM leader at RSI 33, -31% from high |
healthcare-scan |
HIGH |
🔍 New |
| Evaluate: NET trailing stop at $190 — position up +19.3%, $19 from $231 target |
holdings |
HIGH |
🔍 New |
| Deep dive: MRVL custom silicon thesis |
nvda-ecosystem, tech-insider-buys — +38% 30D, RSI 67 |
High |
Pending from 03/26 |
| Deep dive: ARM IP licensing sustainability |
carry-forward — +22.5% 30D, RSI 60 |
High |
Pending from 03/26 |
| Research: CFLT streaming data + AI workloads |
tech-insider-buys — RSI 73, at 52wk high |
High |
Pending from 03/31 |
| Monitor: LLY $894 SMA200 test |
healthcare-scan — $935 current, 4.4% away |
High |
Active watch |
| Research: HD/LOW home improvement entry thesis |
defensive-scan, retail-scan — both RSI 34-37, approaching oversold |
Medium |
🔍 New |
| Research: ITB housing weakness / war-ends play |
macro-commodities — RSI 37, -24% from high |
Medium |
🔍 New |
| Research: INTU tax monopoly at -33% from high |
bargain-bin, insider-scan — RSI 43, death cross |
Medium |
🔍 New |
| Research: FSLY edge computing revival thesis |
monster-scan — +229% 3M, RSI 72 |
Medium |
Pending from 03/31 |
| Research: DOCN cloud simplification thesis |
monster-scan — +78% 3M, RSI 68 |
Medium |
Pending from 03/31 |
| Research: EWZ Brazil macro setup |
etf-universe — +17% 3M, strong-up |
Medium |
Pending from 03/31 |
| Archive / close: Cyber-geopolitical perspective |
cybersec — ZS -59% from high. Only NET/AKAM surviving. |
Medium |
Perspective lifecycle action |
| Perspective |
Status |
Key Signal Today |
| Iran War & Oil Crisis |
Active (Critical) |
USO $138 (RSI 72). +97% 3M. +$11 since 03/31. Parabolic. Agriculture (AGRO) joining. |
| Gold Recovery |
Active (High) |
GLD $429 consolidating (-8.3% 30D). GDX bounced +12.8% 7D. Miners recovering faster than metal. |
| War Ends Playbook |
Active (Standby) |
No ceasefire signal. ITB/XHB weakness creating larger war-ends entry on housing. MSFT still #8. |
| Crypto-Geopolitics |
Monitoring |
BTC $67K (RSI 44). Down from $68K. Not participating in equity bounce. Crypto winter deepening. |
| Cyber Geopolitical |
Decaying |
ZS -59% from high. NET broke out (+18% 30D). Thesis only confirmed for infrastructure, not security. Near close. |
The Gold — Key Discoveries This Scan
Key Discoveries
| Discovery |
Implication |
| NKE RSI 20 — consumer capitulation signal |
Iconic $100B+ brand at 5Y low. Either generational contrarian entry or sign of deeper consumer spending collapse. Deep dive required before action. |
| SaaS death cross sweep is sector-wide |
NOW, WDAY, SNOW, CRM, ADBE, INTU all -25% to -52% from highs. This is rotation, not stock-picking. Don't dip-buy individual names — wait for sector turn signal. |
| Oil parabolic broadening to agriculture |
USO +97% 3M and now AGRO +91% 3M. Commodity supercycle widening. Food inflation implications are real. |
| NET broke out — up trend confirmed at $211.69 |
+18.3% 30D. Only cyber/cloud name in up trend. $231 target within reach. Consider trailing stop upgrade. |
| Housing (ITB/XHB) creating war-ends entry |
-12% to -13% 30D on rate fears. If war ends and rates drop, housing is the highest-beta recovery play. Bookmark for playbook. |
| Data center physical buildout > cloud software |
VRT +50%, MOD +44%, PWR +26% vs SMA200 while SNOW -46%, NOW -52% from highs. The money is in picks-and-shovels, not SaaS. |
| ISRG RSI 33 nearing capitulation |
Surgical robotics monopoly at -25% from high. If RSI breaks below 30, this becomes the healthcare equivalent of the MSFT entry signal. |
| Monster universe stable at 88 |
Was 104 on 03/31 (contracted from 158). Energy/infra still dominating. MRVL entered monster territory at +31% vs SMA200. |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake |
Lesson |
| MDT stop alert still not set in broker |
This has been "TODO" since 03/26. 4.4% from trigger. Do it today. |
| NET trailing stop discussion deferred |
Position up +19.3% with no trailing stop upgrade. If it reverses, giving back gains is preventable. |
Open Questions
- NKE RSI 20: Is this Nike's structural decline (DTC failures, China weakness) or a cyclical oversold that always bounces? Need deep dive.
- SaaS capitulation: At what point does "sector rotation" become "sector opportunity"? Watch for insider buying signals in NOW/WDAY/ADBE as the catalyst.
- USO RSI 72: How much further can oil run? Iran escalation has no ceiling, but parabolic moves always end. Trail stops, don't sell.
- NET approaching $231 target: Take profits on target hit, or raise target given momentum?
- ISRG RSI 33: If it breaks below 30, is that the signal to add aggressively?
What Changed vs 2026-03-31
- NKE crashed from RSI 36 to RSI 20: -16% in 3 days. New extreme oversold entry zone. Biggest signal change this scan.
- MSFT RSI improved 34.6→39.5: +4.2% 7D. Stabilization continuing but death cross persists. Entry zone unchanged.
- NET reclaimed up trend: $204→$212 (+5.1% 7D). +18.3% 30D. Best holding. $231 target $19 away.
- SNOW couldn't bounce: +0.2% on a week when everything else bounced 3-8%. Weakest SaaS name. RSI 36.
- NOW worsened: RSI 41→38. -2.6% while everything else bounced. Accelerating sell.
- USO accelerated to $138: Was $127 on 03/31. +8.3% more. Parabolic continues. RSI 72.
- ISRG RSI 35→33: Approaching capitulation. Surgical robotics entry signal developing.
- MDT stabilized: RSI 34→39. Stop at $83 now 4.4% away (was 3.5%). Slightly better but still dangerous.
- IQV surged to RSI 66: $169→$173. Best healthcare holding move. +5.2% on position.
- AS bounced +7.0% 7D: $32.79→$33.40. Stop at $30.71 now 8.8% away. Better but death cross persists.
- DXCM entered oversold zone at RSI 33: NEW entry zone. CGM leader washout.
- HD/LOW entered approaching oversold: RSI 34-37. Home improvement duopoly creating setup.
- ENPH crashed -10.1% 7D: NEW entry zone at RSI 37. Solar washout.
- AGRO went parabolic: +67% 30D, RSI 71. Agriculture joining oil supercycle.
Data: 2026-04-03 validated daily summaries. Cross-ref: the active perspectives list.
Sources
Price, RSI and trend figures read from the desk's validated daily scan
summaries (summaries). No number in this note was
computed in prose.