AI memory: pricing discipline through the supply ramp · Campaigns
Campaign
AI memory: pricing discipline through the supply ramp
active · AI · Memory
Horizon 6–18 months; evaluate the common spending counter-case through March 2027. Last research review Latest evidence Priority high
Evidence
Supports, challenges and context. A linked source is not confirmation by itself.
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Investigation — xAI (SpaceX AI segment) S-1/A crosswalk read — first application of the AI-lab S-1 thesis crosswalk playbook
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Dell upstream-suppliers map — memory then microprocessors then hard drives, supply-constrained not demand — tweet
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$AEHR — Deep Dive (Aehr Test Systems, wafer-level burn-in)
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CPU Shortage Thesis — First-Principles Derivation
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ATEYY — Deep Dive (Advantest, Layer-3 HBM test equipment)
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KLIC — Deep Dive (Kulicke & Soffa, Layer-4 advanced packaging)
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Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead — Leopold Aschenbrenner (June 2024)