Deep Dive Ticker Tape
Article published Feb 16, 2026. Prices below use latest available snapshots.
Conviction: High Status: NEW — RSI 11 extreme capitulation on tax software monopoly
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🔴 RSI 11 extreme capitulation. TurboTax + QuickBooks monopoly at deep discount. Tax season catalyst ahead. |
| Moat | Wide (TurboTax monopoly, QuickBooks SMB dominance, Mailchimp marketing) |
| Key insight | RSI 11, -17% below SMA on a company with regulatory moat in tax software. Tax season Q2 is the biggest revenue quarter. |
Action Matrix
| Action | Level | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Current | ✅ Strong Buy | RSI 11, monopoly franchise, tax season catalyst |
| Entry Zone | $390 - $410 | Current $399.40 — IN ZONE |
| Stop-Loss | $350 (-12%) | Below support |
| Target | $520 (+30%) | Recovery toward SMA, tax season boost |
Price Data
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current Price | $399.40 |
| RSI | 10.6 |
| SMA20 | $483.00 |
| vs SMA | -17.3% below |
Why this matters: INTU owns TurboTax (tax filing monopoly) and QuickBooks (SMB accounting). Tax season (Feb-Apr) is their biggest revenue quarter. RSI 11 heading into tax season is a gift. The market is irrationally selling this.