Deep Dive Ticker Tape
Article published Feb 16, 2026. Prices below use latest available snapshots.
Conviction: Medium Status: Holding (Core Position) — RSI 30 oversold
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Oversold RSI 30 but -$4.7B insider selling (Karp). AIP momentum intact. |
| Moat | Narrow (government: Wide; commercial: Narrow via AIP) |
| Key insight | Karp selling consistently ($4.7B) — routine but large. US commercial +121% YoY. |
Action Matrix
| Action | Level | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 🔒 Hold | RSI 30 oversold, in entry zone, but heavy insider selling |
| Entry Zone | $125 - $140 | Current $131.41 — IN ZONE |
| Stop-Loss | $110 (-16%) | Below consolidation support |
| Target | $200 (+52%) | AIP commercial acceleration |
Price Data
| Metric | Value | Change from 02/11 |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | $131.41 | -$12.68 (-8.8%) |
| RSI | 29.7 | Was 35 — deepened |
| SMA20 | $150.95 | Price 12.9% below SMA |
Update from 02/11: RSI dropped from 35 to 30. Selloff continues. Karp's $4.7B insider selling is concerning at face value but is routine for his compensation structure. AIP commercial traction remains the key thesis.