FSLR collapsed -13.6% week to RSI 35, -17.1% 30D — major reversal. BE surged to $163.68 (+17.2% 30D), RSI 61. CEG overbought at RSI 82. GEV RSI 77. ENPH stable RSI 48. XLE stale data.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal |
Reading |
| Overall |
🟡 ROTATING — FSLR crashing (solar weakness). BE building strength. CEG/GEV extended. Nuclear + natural gas strong; solar weak. |
| Key insight |
FSLR -13.6% single week to RSI 35 — solar reversal. BE now $163 well above stop-loss territory. CEG surged RSI 51→82. GEV at RSI 77 extended. |
Action Matrix
| Action |
Stocks |
Why |
| 🔍 WATCH |
FSLR |
RSI 35, -17.1% 30D — approaching oversold; check solar thesis |
| 🔒 HOLD |
ENPH |
RSI 48, stable — solar exposure but disciplined |
| 🔒 HOLD |
BE |
RSI 61, +17.2% 30D — well above stop, thesis intact |
| 🔒 HOLD |
USO |
RSI 57, above SMA, oil stable |
| ⚠️ TRIM |
CEG |
RSI 82, +12.1% 30D — overbought |
| ⚠️ TRIM |
GEV |
RSI 77, +29.6% 30D — very extended |
| ⚠️ AVOID |
XLE |
RSI 79 (stale 02/03) — verify, likely still overbought |
Data (Validated 2026-02-26)
| Stock |
Price |
7D |
30D |
52wkHi |
RSI |
SMA20 |
vs SMA |
Status |
Action |
| FSLR |
$201.52 |
-13.6% |
-17.1% |
$249.41 |
35 |
$228.46 |
-11.8% |
🟡 Approaching oversold |
🔍 Watch |
| ENPH |
$46.24 |
+4.5% |
+17.3% |
$51.67 |
48 |
$45.42 |
+1.8% |
🟢 Near SMA |
🔒 Hold |
| USO |
$76.22 |
-1.0% |
+5.0% |
$79.52 |
57 |
$75.95 |
+0.4% |
🟢 Above SMA |
🔒 Hold |
| BE |
$163.68 |
+2.9% |
+17.2% |
$174.77 |
61 |
$153.61 |
+6.6% |
🟢 Strong |
🔒 Hold |
| CEG |
$319.71 |
+9.6% |
+12.1% |
$325.84 |
82 |
$284.33 |
+12.4% |
🔴 Overbought |
⚠️ Trim |
| GEV |
$863.09 |
+3.4% |
+29.6% |
$879.73 |
77 |
$801.45 |
+7.7% |
🔴 Extended |
⚠️ Trim |
| XLE |
$51.15 |
+3.0% |
+9.1% |
$51.15 |
79 |
$48.34 |
+5.8% |
🔴 Stale/Overbought |
⚠️ Avoid |
Note: USO data as of 02/13, XLE as of 02/03 — stale. Verify before acting.
Key Changes vs 02/22
| Stock |
02/22 Price |
02/26 Price |
Move |
RSI Change |
Note |
| FSLR |
$241.88 |
$201.52 |
-16.7% |
54→35 |
Major crash — solar thesis under pressure |
| BE |
$147.55 |
$163.68 |
+10.9% |
52→61 |
Strong above stop-loss, building gains |
| CEG |
$294.84 |
$319.71 |
+8.4% |
51→82 |
Surged to overbought — no longer buy zone |
| GEV |
$830.34 |
$863.09 |
+3.9% |
68→77 |
Still running |
| ENPH |
$46.56 |
$46.24 |
-0.7% |
59→48 |
Cooling off |
Key Discoveries
| Discovery |
Implication |
| FSLR -16.7% in 4 days, RSI 54→35 |
Solar sector reversal — policy/demand concern? |
| BE +10.9% from 02/22 stop-loss zone |
Thesis vindicated — stop-loss held at $140 paid off |
| CEG RSI 51→82 |
Nuclear premium expanding dramatically |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake |
Lesson |
| No trim target on CEG at buy |
Set trim targets when entering, not after RSI 82 |
Open Questions
- FSLR: Is -16.7% week a policy shock (IRA rollbacks?) or demand issue?
- CEG RSI 82: does nuclear scarcity premium justify this valuation?
- GEV RSI 77: when does power infra momentum peak?