Deep Dive Ticker Tape
Article published Mar 11, 2026. Prices below use latest available snapshots.
NET Price Structure
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Conviction: High Status: Strong hold — RSI 66.3, price $212.44, breaking 52wk high, extended
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟠 RSI 66.3 (computed) — approaching overbought. Price $212.44, +2.4% today, +12.1% 7D, +12.2% 30D. SMA20 ~$186.14 — price +14.1% ABOVE SMA. Breaking above 52wk high ($203.86). |
| Moat | Narrow (widening — network effects, zero-trust) |
| Key insight | NET has broken above its in-window 52wk high. Price surged from $201.48 (03/10) to $212.44 (+5.4%). RSI at 66.3 is getting extended. Price is +14.1% above SMA — the most extended in our coverage alongside INTU. At breakout territory, hold but do NOT add. Wait for pullback to $195-205 range. |
Action Matrix
| Action | Level | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 🔒 Hold | Breakout above 52wk high. Hold core position. Do NOT chase. |
| Entry Zone | $190 - $205 | Current price WELL ABOVE zone |
| Stop-Loss | $170 (-20%) | Comfortable buffer |
| Target | $260 (+22%) | Continued breakout |
Extended analysis
Price Data
| Stock | Price | 1D | 7D | 30D | 3M | RSI | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NET | $212.44 | +2.4% | +12.1% | +12.2% | +2.2% | 66 | 🟠 Near Overbought | 🔒 Hold |
Price vs Last Deep Dive (03/10)
| Metric | 03/10 | 03/11 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $201.48 | $212.44 | +$10.96 (+5.4%) |
| RSI | 61.1 | 66.3 | +5.2 (approaching overbought) |
| SMA20 | ~$183.30 | ~$186.14 | +$2.84 |
| vs SMA | +9.9% | +14.1% | Very extended |
Update from 03/10: NET broke above 52wk high ($203.86). Price surged to $212.44. RSI at 66.3 is approaching overbought. The AI traffic layer / zero-trust thesis is fully confirmed by price action. Stop at $170 now has -20% buffer. Hold but do not add at these levels.
Company Overview
One-Liner
Cloudflare is a cloud network platform providing CDN, DDoS protection, zero-trust security, and serverless computing at the network edge.
Competitive Moat
| Moat Type | Present? | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Network effects | 🟢 | 300+ POPs globally |
| Switching costs | 🟢 | Zero Trust embedded in security stack |
Moat Width: Narrow (widening)
Bull Case
- 52wk high breakout — New highs attract momentum.
- AI traffic layer — Every AI agent call routes through the internet.
- Zero Trust secular tailwind.
- Stop buffer at -20% — Comfortable risk management.
Bear Case
- RSI 66 = approaching overbought — Pullback risk elevated.
- +14.1% above SMA — Most extended in coverage.
- Competition from Zscaler / Palo Alto.
Research Log
| Date | Update |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Created. RSI 52.9. $195.85. Hold. |
| 2026-02-22 | $177.14 (-9.6%). RSI 49.8. Hold with caution. |
| 2026-02-26 | $173.33. RSI 55.6. Stop danger. |
| 2026-03-03 | Recovery. $178.83. 30D +7.2%. Hold. |
| 2026-03-10 | Surge. $201.48 (+12.7%). RSI 61.1. Near 52wk high. Hold. |
| 2026-03-11 | BREAKOUT. $212.44 (+5.4%). RSI 66.3 (computed). Broke 52wk high. +14.1% above SMA. Hold; don't add. |
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| Broke above 52wk high ($203.86) | Breakout confirms thesis — momentum shift |
| +14.1% above SMA | Most extended stock — pullback risk but trend is strong |
| $173 → $212 in 2 weeks (+23%) | Strongest 2-week move in NET deep dive history |
Open Questions
- What drove the breakout? Contract news? Analyst upgrade?
- Should stop be raised from $170?
- How high can NET run before RSI 70+ pullback?