Deep Dive Ticker Tape
Article published Mar 11, 2026. Prices below use latest available snapshots.
PLTR Price Structure
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Conviction: Medium-High Status: Hold — RSI 54.3, price $151.61, pulling back from 52wk high, above SMA
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 RSI 54.3 (computed) — neutral. Price $151.61, +0.3% today, -2.1% 7D, +11.7% 30D. SMA20 ~$140.81 — price +7.7% ABOVE SMA. Pulling back from $156.43 near-high. |
| Moat | Narrow (government: Wide; commercial: Narrow via AIP) |
| Key insight | PLTR cooled from RSI 66.3 (03/10) to 54.3. Price pulled back from $156.43 to $151.61 (-3.1%). This is the healthy reset that was expected after the extended run. Still +7.7% above SMA and +11.7% 30D. AIP commercial growth at +121% YoY remains the driver. Hold existing positions. |
Action Matrix
| Action | Level | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 🔒 Hold | RSI cooled to neutral. Pullback from extended levels is healthy. |
| Add Zone | $135 - $145 | Wait for deeper pullback |
| Stop-Loss | $125 (-18%) | Below consolidation floor |
| Target | $200 (+32%) | AIP commercial acceleration |
Extended analysis
Price Data
| Stock | Price | 1D | 7D | 30D | 3M | RSI | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR | $151.61 | +0.3% | -2.1% | +11.7% | -19.2% | 54 | 🟡 Neutral | 🔒 Hold |
Price vs Last Deep Dive (03/10)
| Metric | 03/10 | 03/11 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $156.43 | $151.61 | -$4.82 (-3.1%) |
| RSI | 66.3 | 54.3 | -12.0 (healthy reset) |
| SMA20 | ~$139.62 | ~$140.81 | +$1.19 |
| vs SMA | +12.0% | +7.7% | Less extended |
Update from 03/10: Healthy pullback. RSI cooled from 66.3 (near overbought) to 54.3 (neutral). Price -3.1%. Still +7.7% above SMA. AIP thesis intact. Hold.
Bull Case
- US Commercial AIP +121% YoY.
- Government AI tailwind — TITAN, DoD.
- Healthy pullback from extended — Better risk/reward now.
Bear Case
- Karp $4.7B selling — Persistent supply pressure.
- 40x+ revenue valuation — Any miss = large selloff.
- 121% growth unsustainable — Deceleration expected.
Research Log
| Date | Update |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Created. RSI 29.7. $131.41. Hold. |
| 2026-02-22 | $135.24 (+2.9%). RSI 42.2. Recovery. |
| 2026-02-26 | $134.49. RSI 54.9. Approaching SMA. |
| 2026-03-03 | $147.22 (+9.5%). AT 52wk high. Hold. |
| 2026-03-10 | $156.43. RSI 66.3. Near overbought. Hold. |
| 2026-03-11 | $151.61 (-3.1%). RSI 54.3 (computed). Healthy pullback. Hold. |
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| RSI 66 → 54 pullback | Extended stocks correct — healthy and expected |
| Price -3.1% but still +11.7% 30D | Pullback within strong trend |
| Now +7.7% above SMA vs +12% | Better positioning |
Open Questions
- Is Karp's selling schedule known?
- What are DOGE impacts on government contracts?