Deep Dive Ticker Tape
Article published Mar 12, 2026. Prices below use latest available snapshots.
AVGO Price Structure
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Conviction: High Status: Hold / Accumulate on pullback — RSI 53.6, price $338.17, near 52wk high
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 RSI 53.6 — neutral. Price $338.17, -1.0% today, +1.6% 7D, +2.1% 30D. SMA20 ~$329.97 — price +2.5% ABOVE SMA. Near in-window 52wk high. |
| Moat | Wide (custom AI ASICs, VMware enterprise base) |
| Key insight | AVGO pulling back slightly from $341.50 (03/11) to $338.17 (-1.0%). RSI flat at 53.6 — neutral consolidation. Still near 52wk high. FQ1'26 earnings catalyst fully absorbed. AI revenue ($8.2B guided), VMware integration, and $73B backlog provide multi-year visibility. Hold existing; add on pullbacks to $320-330. |
Action Matrix
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Action | 🔒 Hold / 📈 Accumulate on pullback |
| RSI | 53.6 |
| vs SMA20 | +2.5% above |
| 30D Change | +2.1% |
| 3M Change | -5.9% |
| Entry Zone | $310-330 (pullback zone) |
| Stop-Loss | $256 (-24%) |
| Target | $416 (+23%) |
| Conviction | 🟢 High |
Extended analysis
Price Data
| Stock | Price | 1D | 7D | 30D | 3M | RSI | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVGO | $338.17 | -1.0% | +1.6% | +2.1% | -5.9% | 54 | 🟡 Neutral | 🔒 Hold |
Price vs Last Deep Dive (03/11)
| Metric | 03/11 | 03/12 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $341.50 | $338.17 | -$3.33 (-1.0%) |
| RSI | 55.4 | 53.6 | -1.8 (flat) |
| SMA20 | ~$330.22 | ~$329.97 | ~flat |
Update from 03/11: Minor continued pullback from $341.50 to $338.17 (-1.0%). RSI essentially flat at 53.6. Still near 52wk high. FQ1'26 earnings catalyst fully absorbed. Action: Hold; add on pullback to $320-330.
Company Overview
Broadcom is one of the largest semiconductor companies ($1.6T market cap). Two segments:
- Semiconductor Solutions (~57%): Custom AI accelerators (Google TPU, Meta MTIA), networking chips.
- Infrastructure Software (~43%): VMware (acquired $69B), CA Technologies, Symantec.
Bull Case
- AI ASIC dominance — $8.2B AI revenue, $73B backlog.
- VMware margin expansion — Gross margins toward 70%.
- FCF machine — 40.7% margin.
- Earnings catalyst played out positively — Post-FQ1'26 surge intact.
Bear Case
- Insider selling -$1.1B — Notable magnitude.
- Customer concentration — Google, Meta = large AI revenue share.
- VMware integration risk — $69B acquisition still digesting.
Research Log
| Date | Update |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Created. Price $320.42, RSI 33.3. Accumulate. |
| 2026-03-10 | Post-earnings surge. $345.75 (+7.9%). RSI 55.9. Near 52wk high. |
| 2026-03-11 | Minor pullback. $341.50 (-1.2%). RSI 55.4 (computed). Holding near highs. Action: Hold. |
| 2026-03-12 | Continued minor pullback. $338.17 (-1.0%). RSI 53.6. Consolidating near highs. Hold. |
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| Post-earnings rally holding | Market validated FQ1'26 results |
| RSI stable at 53-55 after surge | Healthy consolidation, not reversal |
Open Questions
- What is FQ2'26 AI revenue guidance?
- VMware integration milestones on track?
Sources
- Fundamentals figures: company-reported results (quarterly/annual filings) as available at the artifact date; predates the desk's EDGAR reconciliation gate — figures not re-verified after publication.