Conviction: Low (speculative)
Status: Researching — RSI 35.7, price $1.16, near all-time lows, -56.4% 3M
Quick Snapshot
| Signal |
Reading |
| Overall |
🟡 RSI 35.7 (computed) — approaching oversold. Price $1.16, -0.9% today, -6.5% 7D, -12.8% 30D. SMA20 ~$1.22 — price -4.9% below SMA. Death cross active. |
| Moat |
None (commodity live TV streaming) |
| Key insight |
FUBO at $1.16 — flat from $1.17 (03/11). RSI improved from 22.4 to 35.7 but still below SMA. Sub-$2 stock with death cross, no moat, and -56.4% 3M. This is a speculative situation only. Sports streaming rights are expensive and the business model has not proven sustainable. Avoid unless pure speculation. |
Action Matrix
| Action |
Level |
Why |
| Current |
❌ Don't Buy |
Sub-$2, death cross, no moat, cash concerns. Avoid. |
| Entry Zone |
N/A |
Not recommended for investment |
| Stop-Loss |
N/A |
|
| Target |
N/A |
|
Price Data
| Stock |
Price |
1D |
7D |
30D |
3M |
52wkHi |
RSI |
Status |
Action |
| FUBO |
$1.16 |
-0.9% |
-6.5% |
-12.8% |
-56.4% |
— |
36 |
🟡 Approaching Oversold |
❌ Don't Buy |
Price vs Last Deep Dive (03/11)
| Metric |
03/11 |
03/12 |
Change |
| Price |
$1.17 |
$1.16 |
-$0.01 (-0.9%) |
| RSI |
22.4 |
35.7 |
+13.3 (technical bounce but at same price) |
Update from 03/11: Essentially flat at $1.16. RSI bounced from 22.4 to 35.7 — technical relief without price movement. Still sub-$2, still in death cross territory. Avoid.
Company Overview
One-Liner
fuboTV is a sports-focused live TV streaming service competing with YouTube TV, Hulu Live, and traditional cable.
Bull Case
- RSI recovering from 22 — Technical relief bounce possible.
- Sports streaming demand — Live sports is valuable content.
- Subscriber growth — If churn stabilizes, valuation is depressed.
Bear Case
- Sub-$2 stock — Potential delisting risk.
- -56.4% 3M — Complete collapse.
- No moat — Sports rights are expensive and non-exclusive.
- Cash burn — Unsustainable unit economics.
- Competition — YouTube TV, Hulu Live, ESPN+ all better funded.
- Death cross — Long-term trend completely broken.
Thesis Killers
- Delisting
- Bankruptcy
- Loss of major sports rights
Research Log
| Date |
Update |
| 2026-03-11 |
Created. RSI 22.4. $1.17. Sub-$2 stock. Avoid. |
| 2026-03-12 |
Flat. $1.16 (-0.9%). RSI 35.7. Technical bounce without price improvement. Still avoid. |
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery |
Implication |
| $1.16 — sub-$2 territory |
Delisting risk, institutional investors can't hold |
| RSI 22 → 36 but price flat |
Technical RSI bounce without price confirmation |
| -56.4% 3M |
Capital destruction — avoid |
Open Questions
- What is cash runway?
- Is there merger/acquisition speculation?
- Has management addressed delisting risk?