Deep Dive Ticker Tape
Article published Mar 12, 2026. Prices below use latest available snapshots.
NET Price Structure
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Conviction: High Status: Hold — RSI 72.5, price $212.78, above 52wk high, OVERBOUGHT
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🔴 RSI 72.5 — overbought. Price $212.78, -0.1% today, +10.6% 7D, +14.9% 30D. SMA20 ~$187.33 — price +13.6% ABOVE SMA. Broken above 52wk high. Extended. |
| Moat | Narrow (widening — network effects, zero-trust) |
| Key insight | NET essentially flat today ($212.78 vs $212.44 03/11) but RSI crossed into overbought territory at 72.5. Price is +13.6% above SMA and has broken above the 52wk high. This is the most extended stock in the coverage universe. Strong thesis — AI traffic layer + zero-trust — but at RSI 72 do NOT add. Hold core, stop at $170. |
Action Matrix
| Action | Level | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 🔒 Hold | RSI 72.5 overbought. Hold core position. Do NOT add or chase. |
| Entry Zone | $190 - $205 | Current price WELL ABOVE zone |
| Stop-Loss | $170 (-20%) | Comfortable buffer |
| Target | $260 (+22%) | Continued breakout |
Extended analysis
Price Data
| Stock | Price | 1D | 7D | 30D | 3M | RSI | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NET | $212.78 | -0.1% | +10.6% | +14.9% | +5.1% | 72 | 🔴 Overbought | 🔒 Hold |
Price vs Last Deep Dive (03/11)
| Metric | 03/11 | 03/12 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $212.44 | $212.78 | +$0.34 (+0.2%) |
| RSI | 66.3 | 72.5 | +6.2 (crossed overbought) |
| SMA20 | ~$186.14 | ~$187.33 | +$1.19 |
| vs SMA | +14.1% | +13.6% | Tightly extended |
Update from 03/11: Price flat but RSI crossed into overbought (72.5). This is the tipping point — NET is now overbought and +13.6% above SMA. The 52wk high breakout is confirmed. Hold but do NOT add. Consider raising stop from $170 to $185 to lock in gains.
Company Overview
One-Liner
Cloudflare is a cloud network platform providing CDN, DDoS protection, zero-trust security, and serverless computing at the network edge.
Competitive Moat
| Moat Type | Present? | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Network effects | 🟢 | 300+ POPs globally |
| Switching costs | 🟢 | Zero Trust embedded in security stack |
Moat Width: Narrow (widening)
Bull Case
- 52wk high breakout confirmed — New highs attract momentum.
- AI traffic layer — Every AI agent call routes through the internet.
- Zero Trust secular tailwind.
- Stop buffer at -20% — Comfortable risk management.
Bear Case
- RSI 72.5 = overbought — Pullback risk elevated.
- +13.6% above SMA — Most extended stock in coverage.
- Competition from Zscaler / Palo Alto.
- +14.9% 30D priced in a lot of good news.
Research Log
| Date | Update |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Created. RSI 52.9. $195.85. Hold. |
| 2026-02-22 | $177.14 (-9.6%). RSI 49.8. Hold with caution. |
| 2026-02-26 | $173.33. RSI 55.6. Stop danger. |
| 2026-03-03 | Recovery. $178.83. 30D +7.2%. Hold. |
| 2026-03-10 | Surge. $201.48 (+12.7%). RSI 61.1. Near 52wk high. Hold. |
| 2026-03-11 | BREAKOUT. $212.44 (+5.4%). RSI 66.3. Broke 52wk high. Hold; don't add. |
| 2026-03-12 | Flat. $212.78 (+0.2%). RSI 72.5 — OVERBOUGHT. Hold; raise stop to $185. |
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| RSI crossed 70 — officially overbought | Pullback risk elevated; do not add |
| $173 → $213 in 2 weeks (+23%) | Strongest move in NET history — momentum intact but extended |
| +13.6% above SMA | Most extended stock in coverage |
Open Questions
- What drove the breakout? Contract news? Analyst upgrade?
- Should stop be raised from $170 to $185 to lock in gains?
- How high can NET run before RSI 75+ pullback trigger?