Deep Dive Ticker Tape
Article published Mar 12, 2026. Prices below use latest available snapshots.
PLTR Price Structure
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Conviction: Medium-High Status: Watch — RSI 71.5, price $154.74, approaching overbought, +19.8% 30D
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟠 RSI 71.5 — near overbought. Price $154.74, +2.1% today, +1.4% 7D, +19.8% 30D. SMA20 ~$141.76 — price +9.2% ABOVE SMA. Pushing toward 52wk highs. |
| Moat | Narrow (government: Wide; commercial: Narrow via AIP) |
| Key insight | PLTR reversed its pullback — from $151.61 (03/11) to $154.74 (+2.1%). RSI jumped from 54.3 to 71.5 — approaching overbought. The +19.8% 30D is the strongest 30D return among the core tech names. AIP commercial growth at +121% YoY remains the driver. At RSI 71.5 and +9.2% above SMA, hold but do NOT add. |
Action Matrix
| Action | Level | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 🔒 Hold | RSI 71.5 approaching overbought. Do NOT add. |
| Add Zone | $135 - $145 | Wait for deeper pullback |
| Stop-Loss | $125 (-19%) | Below consolidation floor |
| Target | $200 (+29%) | AIP commercial acceleration |
Extended analysis
Price Data
| Stock | Price | 1D | 7D | 30D | 3M | RSI | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR | $154.74 | +2.1% | +1.4% | +19.8% | -15.7% | 71 | 🟠 Near Overbought | 🔒 Hold |
Price vs Last Deep Dive (03/11)
| Metric | 03/11 | 03/12 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $151.61 | $154.74 | +$3.13 (+2.1%) |
| RSI | 54.3 | 71.5 | +17.2 (major jump toward overbought) |
| SMA20 | ~$140.81 | ~$141.76 | +$0.95 |
| vs SMA | +7.7% | +9.2% | More extended |
Update from 03/11: PLTR bounced sharply. RSI jumped from 54.3 to 71.5 in one day — now approaching overbought. Price at $154.74 near 52wk highs. +19.8% 30D is the strongest core-tech 30D in coverage. AIP thesis intact but RSI 71 = don't add. Hold and watch for either RSI > 75 (reduce exposure) or pullback to $140s (add).
Bull Case
- US Commercial AIP +121% YoY.
- Government AI tailwind — TITAN, DoD.
- 30D +19.8% — Strongest momentum in core tech.
Bear Case
- Karp $4.7B selling — Persistent supply pressure.
- 40x+ revenue valuation — Any miss = large selloff.
- 121% growth unsustainable — Deceleration expected.
- RSI 71.5 — Near overbought; pullback risk.
Research Log
| Date | Update |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Created. RSI 29.7. $131.41. Hold. |
| 2026-02-22 | $135.24 (+2.9%). RSI 42.2. Recovery. |
| 2026-02-26 | $134.49. RSI 54.9. Approaching SMA. |
| 2026-03-03 | $147.22 (+9.5%). AT 52wk high. Hold. |
| 2026-03-10 | $156.43. RSI 66.3. Near overbought. Hold. |
| 2026-03-11 | $151.61 (-3.1%). RSI 54.3. Healthy pullback. Hold. |
| 2026-03-12 | $154.74 (+2.1%). RSI 71.5. Near overbought. Hold; do not add. |
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| RSI oscillating 54 → 71 | Volatile RSI swings — PLTR is a high-beta name |
| +19.8% 30D — best in core tech | Momentum remains strong |
| Near overbought two days in a row | Pullback risk elevated; wait for RSI < 60 to add |
Open Questions
- Is Karp's selling schedule known?
- What are DOGE impacts on government contracts?