Editorial Note: TSLA at $343.96 RSI 34 is in confirmed downtrend collapse. Death cross active, strong-down, -13.4% vs SMA200, -31% from 52wk high. The golden cross that survived through March has flipped to death cross. -3.7% 7D while the broad market rallied +3.3%. TSLA is the only Mag7 name declining for the second consecutive week. Musk distraction, tariff headwinds on supply chain, and China EV competition are all compressing. The story has shifted from "will the golden cross hold?" to "where does the death cross bottom?"
Quick Snapshot
| Indicator |
Value |
Signal |
| RSI (14) |
34.4 |
Approaching oversold |
| Trend |
Strong-down |
Bearish |
| Death cross |
Yes |
Confirmed (was golden cross on 04/03) |
| SMA20 vs Price |
-7.2% below |
Deeply below moving average |
| SMA200 vs Price |
-13.4% below |
Structural damage |
| 1Y return |
+37.0% |
Still positive but deteriorating |
| From 52wk High |
-31.0% |
Deep correction |
Action Matrix
| Scenario |
Level |
Notes |
| Entry zone |
$300–$340 |
Below current; wait for RSI 30 or stabilization |
| Stop-loss |
$275 |
-20% from current |
| Target (base) |
$397 |
SMA200 area |
| Target (bull) |
$499 |
Prior 52wk high |
Price Data
| Metric |
Value |
| Price |
$343.96 |
| RSI (14) |
34.4 (approaching oversold) |
| SMA20 |
$370.60 (-7.2%) |
| SMA50 |
$394.21 (-12.7%) |
| SMA200 |
$397.33 (-13.4%) |
| Trend |
Strong-down |
| Signal |
Death cross (confirmed) |
| 7D |
-3.7% |
| 30D |
-13.9% |
| 3M |
-23.4% |
| 1Y |
+37.0% |
| 3Y |
+86.8% |
| 5Y |
+53.2% |
| Alpha 1Y vs SPY |
+8.3% |
| From 52wk High |
-31.0% |
Key Changes vs 04/03
| Metric |
04/03 |
04/10 |
Change |
| Price |
$360.59 |
$343.96 |
-4.6% |
| RSI |
38.8 |
34.4 |
Continued deterioration |
| Cross |
Golden |
Death |
FLIPPED — structural downgrade |
| vs SMA200 |
-9.2% |
-13.4% |
Significantly worse |
| Verdict |
Golden cross broke. Death cross confirmed. Only Mag7 declining for 2nd straight week. Avoid. |
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