Article published Apr 29, 2026. Prices below use latest available snapshots.
Mid-flight review. Read this, pick 1-3 items, open a session to dig in. Pure aggregation โ no fresh scans, no LLM. The reasoning happens collaboratively.
๐ At a glance
- 8 in-flight conviction docs (HIGH/MEDIUM, no verdict yet)
- 1 close-call FIZZLEDs (direction right, missed target)
- 0 stale perspectives (last_refreshed >14d ago)
- 5 held paper positions w/ thesis drift (0 closing, 5 resolved) ยท 64 orphaned (filtered by default)
๐ข Bucket 1 โ In-flight conviction docs (8)
Active theses with HIGH or MEDIUM conviction that haven't verdict-tagged yet.
| Ticker | Emitter | Days | Tier | Status | From entry | To target | To stop | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LITE | community:frank | 29d | HIGH | (no targets) | โ | โ | โ | frank โ optical supercycle analysis |
| EOPSF | community:grants37 | 20d | HIGH | (no targets) | โ | โ | โ | grants37 โ EOS drone laser analysis |
| HON | full-scan | 0d | HIGH | (no targets) | โ | โ | โ | April 26 full scan |
| ABBV | full-scan | 0d | HIGH | (no targets) | โ | โ | โ | April 26 full scan |
| JNJ | full-scan | 0d | HIGH | (no targets) | โ | โ | โ | April 26 full scan |
| GILD | full-scan | 0d | MEDIUM | (no targets) | โ | โ | โ | April 26 full scan |
| LHX | full-scan | 0d | MEDIUM | (no targets) | โ | โ | โ | April 26 full scan |
| GD | full-scan | 0d | MEDIUM | (no targets) | โ | โ | โ | April 26 full scan |
๐ค Bucket 2 โ Close-call FIZZLEDs (1)
Theses where direction was right (P&L โฅ +5%) but the target wasn't quite hit. Worth asking: was the target too aggressive, or is the catalyst still playing out?
| Ticker | Emitter | Days held | P&L at verdict | Verdict price | Nearest target | Missed by | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APD | community:revan | 45d | +10.7% | $303.35 | $308.00 | $4.65 (+1.5%) | revan โ APD helium/Iran analysis |
๐ฐ Bucket 3 โ Stale perspectives
All active perspectives refreshed within 14 days.
๐ Bucket 4 โ Held paper positions w/ thesis drift (5)
Held paper positions whose covering perspective is closing or resolved. The exit-check verdict is a static rule; thesis drift is the human-judgment override signal โ when a perspective dies, exit-check still runs on stale rules until the next full scan.
64 positions are orphaned (no covering perspective in ACTIVE.json) โ typically bench/momentum picks not tied to a thesis. Use --include-orphans to surface.
| Persona | Ticker | Days held | P&L | Thesis | Covering | Exit verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| claude-trader | LLY | 40d | -3.3% | ๐ซ resolved | protein-economy | TRIM |
| claude-momentum | LLY | 40d | -3.3% | ๐ซ resolved | protein-economy | TRIM |
| bench-signals | LLY | 40d | -3.3% | ๐ซ resolved | protein-economy | TRIM |
| yolo | LLY | 40d | -3.3% | ๐ซ resolved | protein-economy | TRIM |
| bench-signals | BRBR | 16d | +12.8% | ๐ซ resolved | protein-economy | TRIM |
Action prompts
- APD close-call: +10.7% P&L, missed $308.00 target by +1.5% โ re-emit with adjusted target, or thesis stalled?
- LLY (claude-trader, 40d held, -3.3%) โ thesis resolved; exit-check says TRIM. Override exit rules or hold?
- LLY (claude-momentum, 40d held, -3.3%) โ thesis resolved; exit-check says TRIM. Override exit rules or hold?
- LLY (bench-signals, 40d held, -3.3%) โ thesis resolved; exit-check says TRIM. Override exit rules or hold?
Pure aggregation of existing thesis data โ no fresh scans, no LLM. Pick 1-3 items and dig in.