raw scansnapshot — prices as of scan date, not live32 rows · screens, not recommendations
Broad crypto washout — every spot coin and every ETF wrapper is strong-down + death cross, deep below SMA200. BTC RSI 29.9 (-21.6% 30d, -52.9% from high), ETH 33.6, MSTR 24.6 (-46% 30d, the worst), ADA 25.3 / DOT 26.5 the most washed alts. The ONLY green structure is the miners — MARA (51.2), RIOT (59.1), CLSK (48.6) are strong-up + golden cross + above SMA200, diverging hard from the coins they mine. Per the BTC 4-year halving stance, this tracks the drawdown-into-Q4-bottom; deep RSI here is washed-but-broken, not a confirmed entry.
Crypto context: workspace BTC stance = real halving rhythm (bottoms 2018/2022/2026) but fragile (n=3, ETF-era regime break) — NOT a date-matrix to trade. The spot coins and direct wrappers are falling knives (death cross, below SMA200). The miner divergence is the only thing that reads like trend-hold material — and even that is high-beta. No confirmed bottom→pop→flag yet.
Quick Snapshot
Metric
Reading
Scan date
2026-06-25 (latest bar 06-25)
Data source
crypto.json (19 names)
Extreme oversold (RSI <30)
MSTR (24.6), ADA (25.3), DOT (26.5), BTC (29.9)
Oversold (RSI 30-35)
ETHE (31.2), BITO (31), GBTC (31.5), IBIT (31.7), LINK (32.5), DOGE (33.7), ETH (33.6), COIN (34), XRP (34.4)
Deepest from 52wk high
ADA (-85.5%), SOL (-72.7%), DOGE (-75.2%), DOT (-82%), AVAX (-82.2%), MSTR (-81.1%)
CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT / NEUTRAL-STRENGTH — RIOT (59.1), MARA (51.2), CLSK (48.6). The miners are the only structurally healthy crypto exposure: strong-up, golden cross, above SMA200, +60-98% 3M. RIOT is the cleanest (RSI 59, only -8% from high). This is a striking divergence — the miners are trend-up while every coin they mine is in a death-cross washout. Watch for a flag-break continuation; high-beta, size accordingly.
BROKEN/AVOID — MSTR (24.6), ADA (25.3), DOT (26.5), COIN (34), BTC (29.9), ETH (33.6), and every spot coin + direct ETF. Death cross + deep below SMA200 + still falling. MSTR is the worst (-46% 30d, -54% vs SMA200). ADA/DOT/AVAX/SOL down 72-86% from highs — falling knives, not capitulation entries. Low RSI here = broken, not buyable.
EXTENDED/TRIM — none. No overbought names; the only green is the constructive miners, not extended.
OVERSOLD-QUALITY — none on the coin/ETF side. Nothing pairs an oversold RSI with an intact uptrend; BITQ (RSI 41, above SMA200) is the closest to neutral but still weak-down.
Action Matrix
Action
Assets
Rationale
🔍 Watch
RIOT, MARA, CLSK, BTC, IBIT, BITQ
Miners = only healthy structure (golden cross); BTC/IBIT track for halving-cycle bottom watch only
⚠️ Avoid
ETH, SOL, XRP, AVAX, LINK, GBTC, BITO, ETHE
Death-cross washout below SMA200 — falling knives
❌ Don't Buy
MSTR, COIN, ADA, DOGE, DOT
Worst structure / near-zero collapse (-46% to -86% drawdowns)
What Changed
MSTR -46% 30d — the single worst name in the scan (RSI 24.6, -54% vs SMA200); leveraged-BTC-proxy taking the brunt of the washout.
BTC RSI 29.9, -21.6% 30d, -52.9% from high — tracks the workspace halving-cycle drawdown-into-Q4-bottom thesis; oversold but death-cross broken.
ADA / DOT / AVAX collapse — alts down 30-38% in 30d, 72-86% from highs; near-zero territory.
Miner divergence sharpens — RIOT +98% 3M, CLSK +71%, MARA +61%, all golden cross, while coins death-cross. The cleanest crypto-adjacent exposure by a wide margin.
The Gold
Key Discoveries
Discovery
Implication
Miners (RIOT/MARA/CLSK) are strong-up + golden cross while every coin is death-cross washout
The miner divergence is the only trend-hold-shaped exposure in crypto right now
BTC RSI 29.9 / -52.9% from high tracks the halving-cycle drawdown stance
Consistent with the workspace Q4-bottom watch — but a watch, not a confirmed entry
MSTR -46% 30d is the worst, far below the spot BTC drawdown
Leveraged proxies amplify the washout — avoid the BTC-treasury equities into weakness
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
Mistake
Lesson
Buying ADA/DOT/MSTR because RSI <27 looks capitulated
Death cross + 80%+ drawdown = falling knife; deep RSI in crypto washout is not a buy signal
Open Questions
Does the miner divergence (RIOT/MARA/CLSK up, coins down) hold, or do the miners eventually capitulate with BTC?
Does BTC's RSI-30 / -53%-from-high reading mark the halving-cycle Q4 bottom the workspace thesis expects, or is there another leg down?
No direct external sources are attached to this read.