raw scansnapshot — prices as of scan date, not live34 rows · screens, not recommendations
Washout continues — BTC RSI 31.7 ticks barely above 30 (was 29.9 yesterday) but all spot coins and ETF wrappers remain death-cross / collapse. The miner divergence is sharpening: RIOT +123.2% 3m / RSI 62.5 / only -5.77% from its 52wk high while BTC sits -52.47% from its high. MSTR -26.3% in one week with RSI 23.6 is the most extreme single-week collapse in the set. DOT RSI 25.6 is the most washed alt. HOOD gave back -13.61% 7d after a +29.46% 30d run — retail crypto interest fading into week-end.
Crypto context: workspace BTC stance = real halving rhythm (bottoms 2018/2022/2026) but fragile (n=3, ETF-era regime break) — NOT a date-matrix to trade. Coins and wrappers are falling knives (death cross, below SMA200). The miner divergence (RIOT/MARA/CLSK all golden cross + above SMA200) is the ONLY trend-hold-shaped exposure in crypto. Watch miners for a confirmed flag-break; don't chase coins on RSI bounces.
Quick Snapshot
Metric
Reading
Scan date
2026-06-26 (latest bar 2026-06-26)
Data source
crypto.json (20 names)
Extreme oversold (RSI <25)
MSTR (23.6), DOT (25.6)
Oversold (RSI 25-35)
BTC (31.7), ETH (32.0), ADA (32.2), XRP (32.8), GBTC (32.9), ETHE (32.8), BITO (32.6), IBIT (33.4), LINK (33.9)
BTC 7D / 30D / 52wkHi
-5.14% / -19.32% / -52.47%
Only strong-up / golden cross
RIOT (62.5), MARA (56.5), CLSK (51.6), BITQ (43.9 weak)
CONFIRMED TREND / WATCH FOR FLAG — RIOT (RSI 62.5, -5.77% from high, +123.2% 3m). The cleanest crypto name in the scan — strong-up, golden cross, above SMA200, only 5.77% from its 52wk high while BTC is -52.47% from its high. The miner divergence just sharpened significantly from the prior session (+123.2% 3m vs +98.14% 3m). MARA and CLSK are the same structure but with deeper pullbacks (-38% and -31% from highs). All three pulled back -13-14% this week after massive 3M runs; watch for flag/base setup before adding.
BROKEN/AVOID — MSTR (RSI 23.6), DOT (RSI 25.6), ADA (RSI 32.2), COIN (38.7), and all coins/ETFs.MSTR is the worst collapse in this scan (-26.3% in ONE WEEK, -82% from high). The leveraged BTC proxy amplifies every down move. Death cross + still-falling = falling knife, not capitulation entry. Low RSI here = broken, not buyable.
CAUTION / HOOD FADING — HOOD -13.61% 7d after the +29.46% 30d run. Retail crypto interest that drove HOOD higher this month is fading as BTC fails to bounce meaningfully. Death cross structure signals this one hasn't bottomed yet either.
NO CONFIRMED BOTTOM IN COINS/ETFs.BTC RSI ticked from 29.9 to 31.7 — barely above oversold threshold, but not a reversal signal with a death cross in place. Halving-cycle Q4-bottom watch stays on, but this is a watch, not a buy.
Action Matrix
Action
Assets
Rationale
🔍 Watch
RIOT, MARA, CLSK, BTC, IBIT, BITQ, HOOD
Miners = only healthy structure (golden cross); BTC/IBIT for halving-cycle bottom watch; HOOD for crypto-retail sentiment signal
⚠️ Avoid
ETH, SOL, XRP, AVAX, LINK, GBTC, BITO, ETHE
Death-cross washout below SMA200 — falling knives
❌ Don't Buy
MSTR, COIN, ADA, DOGE, DOT
Worst structure / near-zero collapse; MSTR -26.3% this week alone
What Changed This Week
MSTR -26.3% 7d — the worst single-week drop in the set; leveraged BTC proxy accelerating to the downside as BTC holds ~$60K range with no bounce.
RIOT +123.2% 3m vs +98.14% on 06-25 — miner divergence is sharpening session-over-session. RIOT is approaching its 52wk high while BTC is -52% from its equivalent.
DOT -14.29% 7d to RSI 25.6 — most washed alt coin this week; -82.52% from its 52wk high.
BTC RSI 31.7 (vs 29.9 yesterday) — slight bounce above oversold threshold, but no structural change; death cross intact.
HOOD -13.61% 7d after the month's crypto-retail enthusiasm fades; still +29.46% 30d but weekly reversal is notable.
All miners pulled back -13-14% this week (MARA -13.99%, CLSK -13.71%) — profit-taking into the 3M strength surge; golden cross structure intact.
The Gold
Key Discoveries
Discovery
Implication
RIOT +123.2% 3m / -5.77% from high — miner divergence widens daily vs coin washout
Structurally, miners are acting like a separate asset class from the coins they mine; RIOT is the only crypto-adjacent name approaching all-time highs
MSTR -26.3% in ONE WEEK to RSI 23.6
Leveraged BTC proxies are the most dangerous position in crypto — single-week loss compounds an 82%-from-high drawdown
BTC RSI 31.7 — ticked above 30 but no structural reversal
RSI bouncing from oversold ≠ confirmed bottom; death cross still in place; workspace halving-cycle Q4-bottom is a watch, not a buy trigger
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
Mistake
Lesson
Buying MSTR/COIN because RSI <25 looks "capitulated"
In leveraged or broken names with death cross, RSI <30 is not a buy signal — it's confirmation the structure is broken
Treating HOOD as a BTC-thesis proxy hold
HOOD is a retail brokerage; it caught a 30d crypto sentiment wave but is now fading; it's not a halving-cycle hold
Open Questions
Does the miner divergence (RIOT near ATH, BTC -52% from ATH) compress or continue? If BTC gets another leg down, do miners follow, or do they hold their golden-cross structure?
Does BTC's RSI ~31 mark the base for the workspace halving-cycle Q4-bottom thesis, or does another leg down test RSI 20?
No direct external sources are attached to this read.