Leu Alarm Without Long Horizon Confirmation — Divergence Signal

Leu Alarm Without Long Horizon Confirmation — Divergence Signal

Market Signal

The alarm is real but the trend behind it is not confirmed. LEU raised 3 to 4 bells on research, trigger (186.26 at or above the 177 entry level), tape (origination screens B, graduated 2026-08-13) and market backdrop (VIX band NORMAL); only advisory is unlit. The long horizon disagrees: LEU is up just 5.07 percent over the trailing year and sits 13.7 percent BELOW its 200-day with a weak-up short tag. Under the horizon-mismatch rule (DEFECTS D067) that is a trend UNDER TEST, not an intact uptrend, and a 4-bell reading argued from a numeric entry trigger plus a graduated screen is exactly the promotion a short-window frame waves through. Compare NVDA, which raised to 4 bells in the same batch and DOES confirm: plus 22.87 percent 1Y, 10.0 percent above its 200-day, strong-up. Verdict: hold LEU at watch, do not treat the bell count as conviction, and require a reclaim of the 200-day before the alarm reads as an entry.

1 event

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