Washout Turn Scan
Washout Turn Scan
66 washout turns across 141 watchlists — deep-drawdown names (≥25% off the 52wk high, under 5% vs SMA200) with both trailing windows positive. Watch class, not an entry pool: the pop is leg 2 of bottom → pop → flag → breakout.
Saturday carries no new trading session, so this list reads the same Friday 2026-08-21 settled close as the prior report: zero new entrants, zero dropouts — all 66 names are unchanged from the last washout read, and none graduated upward past the hand-off line (5% above the 200-day) or broke back down out of the list.
The turns split into two different trend stories, and the year-over-year number is what tells them apart. A minority are proven names testing their 200-day from a genuine multi-year uptrend: HYMC (+573% over the year), UUUU (+61%, secular pedigree), AGI (+36%, secular pedigree), UEC (+33%, secular pedigree), ALB (+81%), SLV (+81%), URNM (+29%) and URA (+24%) are all still up double-to-triple digits over 12 months even though they still sit 3-15% under their 200-day right now — a deep pullback inside an intact trend, not a breakdown. The rest of the list is the opposite: names down on the year with the pop reading as a bounce inside a trend genuinely under test, not a resumption. The whole crypto/leverage complex sits here — MSTU (-95% 1Y, -59.9% vs SMA200), MSTX (-95%, -60.2%), SOXS (-97%, -84.6%), CONL (-80%), MSTY (-83%), MSTR itself (-64.7% 1Y despite secular pedigree on the 3-5Y window) — alongside mega-cap laggards ZTS (-50% 1Y), INTU (-47%), HUBS (-47%), LULU (-39%), COIN (-38%), NFLX (-34%) and MOS (-25%). For that group the RSI turn is real but the year-over-year trend is the thing still failing — treat the pop as a bounce to watch, not evidence the longer trend has turned.
Washout Turns — Broken Long-Term, Turning Short-Term
| Ticker | Price | 7D | 30D | 3M | vs SMA200 | RSI | From High | Regime | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTU | $2.73 | +59.6% | +31.9% | -56.3% | -59.9% | 64 | -95.6% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| MSTX | $12.45 | +59.0% | +32.2% | -56.5% | -60.2% | 64 | -95.6% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| CONL | $6.25 | +53.9% | +17.9% | -13.7% | -40.4% | 66 | -88.1% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| BITX | $17.18 | +48.2% | +33.5% | -3.5% | -14.1% | 79 | -74.4% | parabolic | overbought — arrived fast; death cross intact |
| DOGE-USD | $0.09 | +28.6% | +28.6% | -10.0% | +1.5% | 96 | -71.0% | parabolic | overbought — arrived fast; death cross intact |
| ETHE | $19.45 | +28.5% | +25.2% | +16.3% | +2.3% | 83 | -51.5% | parabolic | overbought — arrived fast; death cross intact |
| MSTR | $119.25 | +28.1% | +19.2% | -25.4% | -17.2% | 66 | -67.3% | downtrend | secular pedigree; death cross intact |
| ADA-USD | $0.23 | +27.8% | +35.3% | -8.0% | +2.9% | 76 | -76.0% | parabolic | overbought — arrived fast; death cross intact |
| COIN | $186.49 | +25.6% | +12.3% | +0.8% | -6.1% | 67 | -53.6% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| CRCL | $87.98 | +22.8% | +33.0% | -22.2% | +3.2% | 70 | -44.8% | pullback | death cross intact |
| IBIT | $43.68 | +22.5% | +17.0% | +1.7% | +1.6% | 80 | -39.2% | pullback | overbought — arrived fast; death cross intact |
| BTC | $34.08 | +22.5% | +16.9% | +1.6% | +1.6% | 80 | -39.1% | pullback | overbought — arrived fast; death cross intact |
| BITO | $10.41 | +22.5% | +16.3% | +0.6% | -2.2% | 79 | -51.0% | downtrend | overbought — arrived fast; death cross intact |
| GBTC | $59.63 | +22.5% | +16.7% | +1.3% | +1.0% | 80 | -39.8% | pullback | secular pedigree; overbought — arrived fast; death cross intact |
| FBTC | $67.02 | +22.4% | +16.8% | +1.6% | +1.5% | 80 | -39.2% | pullback | overbought — arrived fast; death cross intact |
| DOT-USD | $0.93 | +22.4% | +13.4% | -27.9% | -18.6% | 71 | -80.9% | downtrend | overbought — arrived fast; death cross intact |
| MSTY | $14.40 | +20.8% | +8.1% | -36.6% | -40.6% | 61 | -83.7% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| AVAX-USD | $7.57 | +19.6% | +20.9% | -19.3% | -7.5% | 69 | -78.9% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| CONY | $21.43 | +19.6% | +5.5% | -12.8% | -29.6% | 64 | -72.6% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| SOXS | $47.03 | +17.0% | +5.6% | -39.2% | -84.6% | 50 | -97.0% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| PPC | $32.25 | +15.6% | +13.4% | +13.3% | -7.3% | 70 | -32.4% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| UEC | $12.76 | +13.6% | +31.1% | -2.0% | -3.8% | 68 | -37.3% | downtrend | secular pedigree; death cross intact |
| QSI | $0.84 | +13.5% | +5.0% | -20.8% | -18.8% | 56 | -72.9% | collapse | death cross intact |
| AGI | $37.86 | +13.4% | +24.0% | -1.3% | -2.6% | 73 | -31.7% | downtrend | secular pedigree; overbought — arrived fast; death cross intact |
| MOS | $24.41 | +13.1% | +7.2% | +8.4% | -0.7% | 63 | -34.0% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| BKKT | $8.59 | +12.1% | +7.8% | -27.7% | -20.4% | 60 | -82.8% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| WW | $15.71 | +12.0% | +6.5% | +22.8% | -18.0% | 54 | -59.1% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| RXRX | $3.50 | +10.4% | +17.4% | +16.3% | -5.5% | 59 | -51.3% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| INFQ | $14.12 | +9.6% | +37.9% | -13.6% | +4.6% | 65 | -48.6% | pullback | death cross intact |
| BTU | $27.61 | +8.3% | +15.6% | +12.5% | -4.9% | 69 | -32.9% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| MAZE | $29.43 | +8.2% | +3.3% | +14.2% | -14.4% | 57 | -45.1% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| NTLA | $12.84 | +7.9% | +15.4% | +1.9% | +3.4% | 55 | -54.5% | pullback | — |
| SLV | $62.72 | +7.3% | +16.3% | -8.3% | -2.8% | 67 | -42.9% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| HUBS | $240.01 | +7.2% | +17.1% | +18.8% | -10.6% | 56 | -54.3% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| URNM | $58.19 | +6.8% | +13.9% | -0.1% | -4.2% | 64 | -31.5% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| LI | $13.05 | +6.3% | +7.7% | -17.9% | -20.2% | 55 | -51.9% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| INTU | $367.00 | +6.1% | +29.0% | +14.7% | -17.1% | 68 | -48.0% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| PAHC | $36.32 | +5.7% | +7.4% | +9.2% | -13.9% | 61 | -39.5% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| MJ | $26.35 | +5.4% | +12.7% | +5.5% | -0.3% | 68 | -43.6% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| ZTS | $77.73 | +5.3% | +4.8% | -4.4% | -26.1% | 55 | -51.1% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| ALB | $143.25 | +5.3% | +22.0% | -16.5% | -7.6% | 68 | -35.2% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| ALT | $3.11 | +5.1% | +10.7% | +7.2% | -15.7% | 56 | -51.7% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| HSAI | $19.10 | +5.0% | +28.4% | -7.4% | -10.2% | 60 | -38.1% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| ACN | $185.28 | +4.7% | +32.3% | +3.4% | -9.9% | 67 | -36.4% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| IONS | $59.74 | +4.5% | +10.6% | -20.9% | -19.3% | 53 | -31.1% | collapse | death cross intact |
| ADBE | $275.30 | +4.3% | +26.1% | +12.5% | +1.8% | 63 | -25.8% | pullback | death cross intact |
| PDD | $88.38 | +4.2% | +5.7% | -6.5% | -12.1% | 52 | -36.6% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| SRPT | $18.79 | +3.8% | +18.8% | +11.8% | -1.2% | 59 | -25.8% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| AA | $51.85 | +3.8% | +12.3% | -27.4% | -9.1% | 55 | -38.5% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| AI | $10.30 | +3.7% | +25.8% | +10.9% | -5.2% | 60 | -49.1% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| SOFI | $18.91 | +3.4% | +10.8% | +21.1% | -7.8% | 58 | -42.2% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| AAUC | $23.58 | +3.3% | +8.7% | -13.7% | -9.2% | 59 | -26.8% | pullback | death cross intact |
| LYSDY | $12.00 | +2.6% | +11.5% | -10.6% | +2.7% | 60 | -25.8% | pullback | death cross intact |
| URA | $46.07 | +2.5% | +12.4% | -5.9% | -5.1% | 60 | -26.0% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| MP | $60.05 | +2.2% | +31.5% | -6.8% | +4.0% | 65 | -40.1% | pullback | death cross intact |
| NFLXE | $79.59 | +1.8% | +16.1% | -10.2% | -10.0% | 62 | -37.2% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| NLR | $119.94 | +1.5% | +7.7% | -8.3% | -9.0% | 58 | -28.7% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| LULU | $121.07 | +1.3% | +6.8% | -4.8% | -22.0% | 52 | -46.4% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| JBS | $13.82 | +1.2% | +12.8% | +4.6% | -4.6% | 58 | -25.9% | pullback | death cross intact |
| FUBO | $10.23 | +0.7% | +13.8% | +4.9% | -44.7% | 55 | -81.9% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| IBM | $235.68 | +0.6% | +14.5% | -7.2% | -11.4% | 50 | -29.1% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| KBR | $38.58 | +0.5% | +8.3% | +15.3% | +0.2% | 59 | -26.1% | pullback | death cross intact |
| SMR | $9.40 | +0.3% | +8.3% | -17.5% | -32.7% | 52 | -83.6% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| UUUU | $15.14 | +0.3% | +23.0% | -16.1% | -13.1% | 59 | -45.7% | downtrend | secular pedigree; death cross intact |
| CG | $49.37 | +0.2% | +12.0% | +8.7% | -3.5% | 56 | -29.3% | downtrend | death cross intact |
| HYMC | $27.07 | +0.0% | +24.8% | -16.2% | -7.0% | 58 | -53.9% | downtrend | secular pedigree; death cross intact |
New Entrants, Dropouts, Graduations
No new entrants and no dropouts this session — the underlying tape is Friday's settled close both times, and Saturday adds no fresh bar. No name graduated past the 5%-above-200-day hand-off line into climber territory, and none broke back down out of the list.
Lane Clusters (cross-read vs the rotation map)
The rotation map's early-turn strip is empty today — zero lanes sit in that phase. The map carries exactly one emerging lane, Food Security (accelerating +6.3, 70% of members up), which brushes this list through MOS (potash, still -25% over the year and turning on the week). Everything else on this board sits in lanes the map already calls confirmed rather than early: the crypto/leverage complex (MSTU, MSTX, CONL, BITX, MSTY, MSTR, the coin ETFs) lines up with the map's Crypto lane, which the map already ranks as leading (30-day relative strength +15.5, accelerating +18.5) — the bounce here is a stock-level echo of a move the lane-level board has already confirmed, not a hidden early signal. Biotech-adjacent names (SRPT, NTLA, IONS, RXRX) sit in a Biotech lane the map also already calls leading. The uranium/nuclear cluster (UEC, URNM, URA, UUUU) is turning at the stock level while its lane, Nuclear Fuel Cycle, still reads flat on the map — worth watching for lane confirmation, but not there yet.
Caveats
- Leveraged/inverse decay. MSTU, MSTX, MSTY, CONL, CONY, BITX and SOXS
are all levered products carrying death crosses; their 1-year returns (MSTU -95%, MSTX -95%, SOXS -97%, CONL -80%, MSTY -83%) are decay evidence, not just drawdown — a 7-day pop in a levered product turns violently in both directions and is the least trustworthy row class on this board.
- Overbought-on-arrival. 11 of the 66 rows are tagged overbought — they
arrived at this list the fast way (DOGE-USD RSI 96, IBIT/BTC/FBTC/GBTC RSI 80, BITX RSI 79, ADA-USD RSI 76, ETHE RSI 83, BITO RSI 79) — a strong RSI reading here is not confirmation, it is a name that moved fast enough to already look extended within its own washout.
- This is a WATCH class, not an entry pool — no row here is a buy signal;
the flag/higher-low discipline still applies before any entry.
Generated 2026-08-23T00:45:44.733Z — internal price truth: all rows computed from the desk's benchmark-anchored watchlist summaries.
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.