Why now: campaign-01: capital deployment window 2026-09-08

What was noticed?

Gold remains inside the registered weakness condition, while recovery and dollar-decoupling conditions are inactive; safe-haven attribution remains unresolved.

Why might it matter?

The campaign verdict is INTACT, narrow anomaly. The unresolved branch cannot be promoted from a price move or a historical model alone.

What evidence is real, and what is still only a pointer?

Receipt selector: U:GLD in the campaign thesis review and its accompanying receipts.

Still required: Dated risk and dollar windows with bullion and miners separated.

Which existing research does it update or duplicate?

The registered gold-crash perspective. This question tracks the unresolved branch of the campaign review, not a duplicate completed finding.

What should be written if the evidence clears?

A sourced perspective update adjudicating this exact test: Complete the registered recovery or dollar-decoupling condition in a dated event window.

Reviewed September 6 using September 4 settled prices. September 7 is the U.S. Labor Day holiday; the decision window is September 8.