🔥 Hot Signals
Article
🔥 Hot Signals
🔥 Hot Signals — 2026-09-24
Auto-generated rollup. One pull, not five.
Sources:
exit-check,persona-consensus,convergence-db --min=2,monster-scan,entry-volume-scan,breakout-volume-scan,distribution-scan,capture-health, optionalregime-signals.Generated in 1521ms — pure aggregation, no fresh scans.
🟢 Capture health
30 sources · 24 fresh · 5 stale · 1 no captures (threshold 7d)
⚠ Stale sources mean profile + chorus output is operating on old captures. Run
deno task intake:harvestor per-source scrapers to refresh.
| Source | Type | Last capture | Days stale |
|---|---|---|---|
| dumb-money-live | podcast | 2026-03-24 | 185d |
| thediff | rss | 2026-04-29 | 149d |
| apricitas | rss | 2026-05-06 | 142d |
| sherwood | rss | 2026-08-17 | 39d |
| phynvesting | rss | 2026-09-11 | 14d |
| SecurityAnalysis | — | — |
📊 At a glance
- 0 SELL verdicts • 18 TRIM verdicts (18 from perspective fade)
- 15 convergent bull setups (3+ personas long, no shorts) • 0 divergent
- 3 tickers in 3+ independent traces
- 12 parabolic monsters (golden cross + 50%+ above SMA200)
- 2 risk-on regime gauges • 0 risk-off • 0 blocked
Regime gauges — 2026-09-24
| Gauge | State | Band | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLD vs UUP inverse | gold_breakdown_dollar_firm | risk_on | -11.18 30d spread pct pts |
| Sector ETF relative-strength rotation | cyclicals_leading_defensives | risk_on | 4.56 cyclical-minus-defensive 30d pct pts |
🟠 TRIM — 18 positions
18 of these are perspective-fading — originating thesis closing/resolved:
- XLU (bench-signals, -12.9%) — All originating theses fading — The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
- XLU (bench-signals-trail, -12.9%) — All originating theses fading — The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
- GLD (bench-signals, -6.1%) — All originating theses fading — The Gold Anomaly — Broken Safe Haven (closed). Review whether to hold.
- GLD (conviction, -5.5%) — All originating theses fading — The Gold Anomaly — Broken Safe Haven (closed). Review whether to hold.
- TLT (conviction, -3.5%) — All originating theses fading — SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed). Review whether to hold.
- AMZN (bench-signals, +0.9%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- AMZN (bench-signals-trail, +0.9%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- INDA (bench-signals, +2.1%) — All originating theses fading — Gulf Infrastructure Strike Scenario (closed). Review whether to hold.
- APD (claude-trader, +2.1%) — All originating theses fading — Gulf Infrastructure Strike Scenario (closed). Review whether to hold.
- APD (bench-signals, +2.1%) — All originating theses fading — Gulf Infrastructure Strike Scenario (closed). Review whether to hold.
- SPY (dca-larry, +6.0%) — All originating theses fading — AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed); The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
- NVDA (bench-signals, +6.4%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- NVDA (yolo, +6.4%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- AMZN (claude-trader, +7.2%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- NVDA (claude-trader, +7.3%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- NVDA (conviction, +7.8%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- QQQ (dca-larry, +10.3%) — All originating theses fading — AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed); The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
- META (bench-signals-trail, +41.4%) — All originating theses fading — SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
🎯 Convergent bulls — 15
Tickers held long by 3+ personas with no shorts. Persona-level consensus signal.
| Ticker | # bulls | Avg P&L | Long strategies |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | 11 | +11.4% | ackman-13f, atreides-13f, bench-signals (tier: HIGH), bench-signals-trail (tier: MEDIUM), claude-trader (tier: MEDIUM)... |
| GOOGL | 9 | +10.6% | atreides-13f, bench-signals (tier: HIGH), buffett-13f, claude-trader (tier: MEDIUM), gottheimer-trades (tier: LOW)... |
| NVDA | 7 | +11.8% | altimeter-13f, bench-signals (tier: HIGH), claude-trader (tier: MEDIUM), conviction (tier: MEDIUM), khanna-trades (tier: LOW)... |
| AVGO | 8 | +4.7% | altimeter-13f, bench-signals (tier: HIGH), claude-trader (tier: MEDIUM), druckenmiller-13f (tier: MEDIUM), khanna-trades (tier: LOW)... |
| V | 4 | +22.6% | atreides-13f, coatue-13f, hohn-13f, klarman-13f (tier: LOW) |
| SNDK | 4 | +143.3% | aschenbrenner-13f (tier: LOW), druckenmiller-13f (tier: MEDIUM), gottheimer-trades (tier: LOW), tepper-13f |
| BE | 3 | +124.2% | aschenbrenner-13f (tier: LOW), druckenmiller-13f (tier: MEDIUM), pelosi-trades (tier: LOW) |
| DHR | 3 | +11.7% | conviction (tier: MEDIUM), loeb-13f (tier: LOW), mccaul-trades |
| MSFT | 4 | +13.3% | ackman-13f, coatue-13f, conviction (tier: MEDIUM), tepper-13f |
| UBER | 4 | -2.3% | altimeter-13f, khanna-trades (tier: LOW), pelosi-trades (tier: LOW), tepper-13f |
| CVS | 5 | -8.6% | bench-signals (tier: HIGH), bench-signals-trail (tier: MEDIUM), claude-trader (tier: MEDIUM), claude-trader-trail (tier: LOW), yolo (tier: HIGH) |
| META | 5 | +30.3% | ackman-13f, altimeter-13f, bench-signals-trail (tier: MEDIUM), loeb-13f (tier: LOW), tepper-13f |
| MU | 5 | +171.6% | aschenbrenner-13f (tier: LOW), coatue-13f, druckenmiller-13f (tier: MEDIUM), gottheimer-trades (tier: LOW), tepper-13f |
| VST | 3 | -11.8% | atreides-13f, pelosi-trades (tier: LOW), tepper-13f |
| LITE | 3 | +49.8% | aschenbrenner-13f (tier: LOW), druckenmiller-13f (tier: MEDIUM), gottheimer-trades (tier: LOW) |
🌐 Cross-thesis hits — 3
Tickers surfaced by 3+ independent autonomous-research traces. The "shows up everywhere" signal.
| Ticker | Company | # traces | Theses |
|---|---|---|---|
| COHR | Coherent Corp (formerly II-VI) | 4 | quantum computing physical bot...; military drone supply chain an...; HBM high-bandwidth memory equi... |
| LIN | Linde plc | 3 | quantum computing physical bot...; LNG liquefaction shipping and ...; helium supply chain for semico... |
| APD | Air Products and Chemicals | 3 | quantum computing physical bot...; LNG liquefaction shipping and ...; helium supply chain for semico... |
🚀 Monsters — top 12
Parabolic stocks: golden cross + 50%+ above SMA200. Top by 3-month change.
| Ticker | Price | RSI | 3M | 30D | vs SMA200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZCSH | $124.69 | 79.6 | +376.5% | +97.6% | +250% |
| BWET | $684.29 | 57.0 | +356.2% | +52.5% | +261% |
| MRNA | $194.82 | 75.1 | +226.1% | +22.7% | +207% |
| ASST | $29.94 | 72.8 | +162.6% | +40.0% | +97% |
| TEAM | $192.61 | 61.8 | +157.9% | +15.7% | +72% |
| IOVA | $10.80 | 73.1 | +156.5% | +28.0% | +145% |
| TXG | $84.11 | 72.7 | +135.4% | +30.0% | +158% |
| CDNA | $61.37 | 76.8 | +120.4% | +20.8% | +124% |
| ATRC | $60.77 | 81.9 | +116.0% | +24.8% | +70% |
| TWST | $184.03 | 74.4 | +90.4% | +21.5% | +154% |
| ABCL | $12.65 | 64.7 | +89.9% | +1.2% | +123% |
| GRAL | $125.21 | 86.4 | +88.1% | +51.7% | +73% |
🎯 Entry + Volume setups — top 2
Good entry zone (uptrend, not extended, at a volume shelf) AND volume confirming. The dip-at-shelf buy radar.
| Ticker | Price | RSI | vs SMA200 | Froth | RelVol | Zone | In |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IONQ | $44.98 | 62 | +3.0% | -8.0% | 2.0× | VA | ai-scan, focus |
| HIMS | $29.28 | 51 | +5.3% | -5.5% | 1.7× | VA | consumer, cultural-thesis |
📈 Breakout + Volume — top 1
Pushing to highs / above the volume shelf WITH a volume spike. The breakout buy radar.
| Ticker | Price | RSI | vs SMA200 | →52wkH | RelVol | Kind | In |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADPT | $29.57 | 73 | +61.9% | -0.0% | 1.7× | highs | monster-discoveries |
⚠️ Distribution / trim watch — top 3
Mechanism: high-volume churn while EXTENDED (overbought + stretched). Running hot — trim into strength, don't add. ⤵ = rolling over on volume.
| Ticker | Price | RSI | Froth | vs SMA20 | RelVol | 7D | In |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDNA (also in monsters — extension + churn) | $61.37 | 77 | +128.5% | +17.4% | 2.1× | +13.1% | monster-discoveries |
| GRAL (also in monsters — extension + churn) | $125.21 | 86 | +69.8% | +48.9% | 3.0× | +56.6% | biotech-scan, monster-discoveries |
| DNA | $10.25 | 72 | +11.2% | +37.5% | 3.1× | +30.7% | biotech-capital-cycle, biotech-scan |
Sources
research/market-engine/data/summaries/*.json(precomputed settled-close summaries — all prices/RSI/percentages above)
Re-run with deno task hot-signal-rollup.
No direct external sources are attached to this read.