🔥 Hot Signals — 2026-09-25

Auto-generated rollup. One pull, not five.

Sources: exit-check, persona-consensus, convergence-db --min=2, monster-scan, entry-volume-scan, breakout-volume-scan, distribution-scan, capture-health, optional regime-signals.

Generated in 1773ms — pure aggregation, no fresh scans.

🟢 Capture health

30 sources · 24 fresh · 5 stale · 1 no captures (threshold 7d)

⚠ Stale sources mean profile + chorus output is operating on old captures. Run deno task intake:harvest or per-source scrapers to refresh.

📊 At a glance

• 0 SELL verdicts • 19 TRIM verdicts (17 from perspective fade)
• 15 convergent bull setups (3+ personas long, no shorts) • 0 divergent
• 3 tickers in 3+ independent traces
• 12 parabolic monsters (golden cross + 50%+ above SMA200)
• 3 risk-on regime gauges • 0 risk-off • 0 blocked

Regime gauges — 2026-09-25

🟠 TRIM — 19 positions

17 of these are perspective-fading — originating thesis closing/resolved:

• XLU (bench-signals, -12.5%) — All originating theses fading — The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
• XLU (bench-signals-trail, -12.5%) — All originating theses fading — The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
• GLD (bench-signals, -5.7%) — All originating theses fading — The Gold Anomaly — Broken Safe Haven (closed). Review whether to hold.
• GLD (conviction, -5.1%) — All originating theses fading — The Gold Anomaly — Broken Safe Haven (closed). Review whether to hold.
• TLT (conviction, -3.6%) — All originating theses fading — SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed). Review whether to hold.
• AMZN (bench-signals, +1.0%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
• AMZN (bench-signals-trail, +1.0%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
• APD (bench-signals, +1.1%) — All originating theses fading — Gulf Infrastructure Strike Scenario (closed). Review whether to hold.
• INDA (bench-signals, +2.7%) — All originating theses fading — Gulf Infrastructure Strike Scenario (closed). Review whether to hold.
• SPY (dca-larry, +6.6%) — All originating theses fading — AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed); The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
• NVDA (bench-signals, +6.6%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
• NVDA (yolo, +6.6%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
• AMZN (claude-trader, +7.3%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
• NVDA (claude-trader, +7.6%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
• NVDA (conviction, +8.0%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
• QQQ (dca-larry, +10.8%) — All originating theses fading — AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed); The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
• META (bench-signals-trail, +36.7%) — All originating theses fading — SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.

Other trims (rule-based):

🎯 Convergent bulls — 15

Tickers held long by 3+ personas with no shorts. Persona-level consensus signal.

🌐 Cross-thesis hits — 3

Tickers surfaced by 3+ independent autonomous-research traces. The "shows up everywhere" signal.

🚀 Monsters — top 12

Parabolic stocks: golden cross + 50%+ above SMA200. Top by 3-month change.

🎯 Entry + Volume setups — top 2

Good entry zone (uptrend, not extended, at a volume shelf) AND volume confirming. The dip-at-shelf buy radar.

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Sources

• research/market-engine/data/summaries/*.json (precomputed settled-close summaries — all prices/RSI/percentages above)

Re-run with deno task hot-signal-rollup.