Article published Sep 28, 2026. Prices below use latest available snapshots.
TEAM Price Structure
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$TEAM is pulling back inside a long uptrend: down 6.2% since August 28, though still up 125.3% since June 29 and 59.5% above its 200-day average. At the 2026-09-28 settled close, TEAM $178.54 was -5.1% versus its 20-day average and -6.2% over 30 days. The newest verified derived fourth quarter ends 2026-06-30 (filed 2026-08-14); revenue was $1.77B. Against 2025-06-30 revenue of $1.38B, that is +27.6% year over year. The year is up +8.0%, but price remains +59.5% above the 200-day and the September 11 $179.70 support just failed. The standing call is 🟡 Wait for a new base. The September 11 shelf failed at the September 28 close; the prior flag entry is inactive.
Quick Snapshot (as of 2026-09-28)
| Question | Answer |
|---|---|
| The call | 🟡 Wait for a new base. The September 11 shelf failed at the September 28 close; the prior flag entry is inactive. |
| What is Atlassian? | Team software — Jira, Confluence and related tools — sold by subscription, with a cloud migration and an AI layer (the April release cites AI-powered Remix in Confluence) on top. |
| Why look now? | Prior case (2026-09-23): The August 6 fiscal Q4 release reported subscription ARR up 23%, remaining performance obligations up 44%, margin expansion, a $1.87 EPS beat and a $250M buyback (issuer release, per the news pull). |
| What is the proof? | Latest verified period ended 2026-06-30, filed 2026-08-14: revenue $1.77B. Prior case: The price has held almost all of the post-print re-rating for seven weeks; that is demand for the shares, not proof of the business. The filed quarter is not yet on disk. |
| What is the objection? | The year is up +8.0%, but price remains +59.5% above the 200-day and the September 11 $179.70 support just failed. |
| Stock setup | The long trend remains intact; -5.1% versus the 20-day, +59.5% versus the 200-day, RSI 49.6. |
Action Matrix (reviewed 2026-09-28; levels are standing conditions)
Current status (2026-09-28): 🟡 Wait for a new base. The September 11 shelf failed at the September 28 close; the prior flag entry is inactive. The listed levels below record the prior conditional plan and require a new review before use.
| Signal | Condition | Level | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🟡 Wait | Price at the high with RSI in the mid-60s | — | Buying strength at maximum extension is the pattern the desk's call record says has not paid |
| 🟢 Buy | A multi-day pullback that holds the September 11 close | $180–$188 | September 11 was the last pullback low; a hold above it is a flag |
| 🟠 Target | First target | $230 | BTIG's published price target, per the August 20 news pull — an attributed level, not a chart level |
| 🔴 Out | A close below the September 11 close | $179.70 | Loses the last higher low |
| 🔴 Thesis breaks | Subscription ARR growth falling below 20% in the next print | — | The re-rating was paid for acceleration |
The Story Right Now (as of 2026-09-28)
$TEAM is pulling back inside a long uptrend: down 6.2% since August 28, though still up 125.3% since June 29 and 59.5% above its 200-day average.
Data as of 2026-09-28 close: TEAM $178.54, RSI 49.6, strong-up, -5.1% vs SMA20, +59.5% vs SMA200, 7D -8.8%, 30D -6.2%, 1Y +8.0%, -10.7% from the 52-week high.
Condition check. The $179.70 shelf from the prior call failed at the $178.54 close. The old flag entry needs a new base before it can be used.
Business and mechanism. Team software — Jira, Confluence and related tools — sold by subscription, with a cloud migration and an AI layer (the April release cites AI-powered Remix in Confluence) on top.
Prior case (2026-09-23). The August 6 fiscal Q4 release reported subscription ARR up 23%, remaining performance obligations up 44%, margin expansion, a $1.87 EPS beat and a $250M buyback (issuer release, per the news pull).
Prior proof (2026-09-23). The price has held almost all of the post-print re-rating for seven weeks; that is demand for the shares, not proof of the business. The filed quarter is not yet on disk.
The countercase. The year is up +8.0%, but price remains +59.5% above the 200-day and the September 11 $179.70 support just failed.
Newest statement check. The newest verified derived fourth quarter ends 2026-06-30 (filed 2026-08-14); revenue was $1.77B. Against 2025-06-30 revenue of $1.38B, that is +27.6% year over year.
News and attention check. The news search for the latest move failed; the last completed search was on 2026-09-19. No company event for TEAM was recorded between September 24 and 28.
The call: 🟡 Wait for a new base. The September 11 shelf failed at the September 28 close; the prior flag entry is inactive.
Extended analysis
Price Data (live — latest settled close)
A live table: every cell shows the latest settled close, named in the first row. Dated readings live in the Research Log.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| As of (settled close) | 2026-10-16 |
| Price ($) | 207.82 |
| RSI (14) | 60.8 |
| 20-day average ($) | 195.68 |
| vs 20-day (%) | 6.2 |
| 50-day average ($) | 183.99 |
| vs 50-day (%) | 13 |
| 200-day average ($) | 114.44 |
| vs 200-day (%) | 81.6 |
| 1D (%) | -4.28 |
| 7D (%) | 0.5 |
| 30D (%) | 9.22 |
| 3M (%) | 122.77 |
| 1Y (%) | 38.43 |
| 1Y vs benchmark (points) | 22.89 |
| From 52-week high (%) | -7.1 |
Financial Proof
Filed-period check (as of 2026-09-28): The newest verified derived fourth quarter ended 2026-06-30 and was filed 2026-08-14. Revenue was $1.77B (FY $6.57B less nine months to 2026-03-31 $4.81B). Source: SEC key financials and the filing. Dated historical tables below retain their own period basis.
The recent filed revenue series shows the direction of the business; missing cells are left unavailable.
| Period end | Revenue | YoY | Operating income | GAAP net income | Filing date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-31 | $1.29B | — | −$57.5M | −$38.2M | 2025-01-31 |
| 2025-03-31 | $1.36B | — | −$12.5M | −$70.8M | 2025-05-02 |
| 2025-09-30 | $1.43B | — | −$96.3M | −$51.9M | 2025-10-31 |
| 2025-12-31 | $1.59B | +23.3% | −$47.7M | −$42.6M | 2026-02-06 |
| 2026-03-31 | $1.79B | +31.7% | −$56.3M | −$98.4M | 2026-05-01 |
| 2026-06-30 (FY less nine months) | $1.77B | — | unavailable | unavailable | 2026-08-14 |
Research Log
| Date | Update |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | TEAM $107.61, RSI 72.5, weak-up; +56.89% 30D (+87% off Apr 10 low at $57.58). No new fundamentals re-researched. |
| 2026-06-16 | TEAM $87.95, RSI 46.5; -6.45% 7D, -1.65% 30D, -6.7% below SMA20. Overbought RSI from 05/29 has fully unwound. Digestion period flagged on 05/29 has arrived. From 52wk high -60.49%. No new fundamentals re-researched. |
| 2026-07-11 | TEAM $88.86, RSI 53.9, weak-up trend; +5.26% 7D, -0.38% 30D, reclaimed SMA20 (+5.6%) and SMA50 (+0.8%) but still -21.8% below SMA200 with a death cross (regime: downtrend). From 52wk high -56.86%. No new fundamentals re-researched. |
| 2026-07-17 | TEAM $93.29, RSI 56.6, weak-up trend; +4.99% 7D, +12.78% 30D, extended further above SMA20 (+9.5%) and SMA50 (+4.6%), still -16.5% below SMA200 with a death cross. From 52wk high -54.71%. No new fundamentals re-researched. |
| 2026-07-25 | TEAM $86.88, RSI 49.2, strong-down trend; -6.87% 7D, +6.54% 30D (moderated), slipped below SMA20 (-0.4%) and SMA50 (-2.4%) for the first time in this series, still -21.1% below SMA200 with a death cross. From 52wk high -61.09% (widened materially). No new fundamentals re-researched. |
| 2026-07-28 | TEAM $99.98, RSI 60.1, weak-up trend; +10.35% 7D, +26.14% 30D (extended), reclaimed SMA20 (+12.2%) and SMA50 (+11.4%) decisively, now -8.8% below SMA200 with a death cross (narrowed from -21.1%). From 52wk high -51.14% (narrowed materially). News not checked this cycle (tape-only refresh; corrected 2026-08-03); no new fundamentals re-researched. |
| 2026-07-31 | TEAM $101.01, RSI 58.4, weak-up; 7D +16.26%; 30D +21.45%; 3M +13.65%; -46.83% from 52wk high. No new fundamentals re-researched. |
| 2026-08-08 | TEAM $149.07, RSI 78.5, up; 7D +47.58%; 30D +74.41%; 3M +62.74%; -40.26% from 52wk high. Earnings-driven: FQ4 beat (EPS $1.87 vs $1.50) reported 08-06, ~+31.5% across the print per the desk's event record; no filed quarter yet. |
| 2026-08-14 | TEAM $162.22, RSI 78.9, up; 7D +8.82%; 30D +76.77%; 3M +85.48%; -9.79% from 52wk high. No new fundamentals re-researched. |
| 2026-08-22 | TEAM $171.81, RSI 76.6, up; 7D +5.78%; 30D +101.18%; 3M +101.14%; -6.62% from 52wk high. 1Y +4.39%, vs SMA200 +59.20%. No new fundamentals re-researched. |
| 2026-08-28 | TEAM $190.42, RSI 79.1, strong-up; 7D +10.98%; 30D +82.60%; 3M +76.95%; -2.33% from 52wk high. 1Y +7.72%, vs SMA200 +75.8%. No new fundamentals re-researched. |
| 2026-09-04 | TEAM $189.58, RSI 70.3, strong-up; 7D -0.40%; 30D +67.30%; 3M +90.59%; -4.54% from 52wk high. 1Y +12.79%, vs SMA200 +73.50%. News not pulled for this move (last fetched 2026-08-28, predates this window). |
| 2026-09-11 | TEAM $179.70, RSI 61.0, strong-up; 7D -5.21%; 30D +15.76%; 3M +103%; -9.52% from 52wk high. 1Y +1.69% (decelerated sharply from +12.79%), vs SMA200 +63.5%. Fiscal Q4 2026 (reported 08-06) still not on the massive/EDGAR caches 36 days after the print — fiscal Q3 2026 (ended 03-31) remains the newest filed quarter. News not pulled for this move (last fetched 2026-08-28, now roughly two weeks stale). |
| 2026-09-18 | TEAM $192.02, RSI 65.7, strong-up; 1D -0.26%; 7D +6.86%; 30D +10.21%; 3M +132.13%; -3.31% from 52wk high. 1Y +13.20% with alpha1y -1.81 and price +73.0% above the 200-day — an intact and very extended uptrend whose entire twelve-month gain is the last quarter's. The name sits in the most extended tier of this week's extension board. Volume ran 2.5 times the average into Friday's quarterly options expiry. Stock-events checked: no TEAM row dated 2026-09-12 to 2026-09-18. News not pulled for this move — receipt last written 2026-08-28. Fiscal Q4 2026 (reported 08-06) is still absent from the filing caches 43 days after the print; fiscal Q3 2026, ended 2026-03-31, remains the newest filed quarter. |
| 2026-09-23 | TEAM $195.08, RSI 64.2, strong-up; 1D +3.41%; 7D +2.52%; 30D +13.86%; 3M +139.22%; -2.46% from 52wk high. 1Y +17.75% with a one-year excess return of +1.97 points; price +74.9% above the 200-day — an intact, very extended uptrend. Top rewritten with a flag-entry call keyed to the 2026-09-11 close ($179.70). Two insider Form 4 filings logged 2026-09-22. Stock-events checked: no TEAM row dated 2026-09-19 to 2026-09-23. News pulled 2026-09-19 (aggregator pages only) — news not pulled for the September 21–23 sessions. Fiscal Q4 2026 (reported 2026-08-06) is still absent from the filing caches 48 days after the print; the newest filed quarter still ends 2026-03-31, filed 2026-05-01. |
| 2026-09-28 | TEAM $178.54, RSI 49.6, -5.1% vs SMA20, 30D -6.2%. The long trend remains intact; The newest verified derived fourth quarter ends 2026-06-30 (filed 2026-08-14); revenue was $1.77B. Against 2025-06-30 revenue of $1.38B, that is +27.6% year over year. The news search for the latest move failed; the last completed search was on 2026-09-19. No company event for TEAM was recorded between September 24 and 28. |
Sources
- Extension-tier placement and the options-expiry note: 2026-09-18-monster-scan and 2026-09-17-market-brief.
- News receipt: latest (fetched 2026-09-19; quote/aggregator pages plus the 2026-08-06 issuer release and an August 20 page citing BTIG's $230 target).
- Q4 FY2026 release: Atlassian, 2026-08-06; BTIG target via Investing.com.
- Insider filings: 2026-09-22-market-brief (two TEAM Form 4 filings, 2026-09-22).
- Scheduled-event check:
research/stock-events/— no TEAM row dated 2026-09-12 to 2026-09-23. - Prior-cycle history: this file's dated update log.
2026-09-28 refresh receipts
2026-09-28 settled-close receipt: *, TEAM row dated 2026-09-28; tape values above are bound to the current summary fields.
2026-09-28 financial-period check: income-statements and key-financials; newest verified 2026-06-30 period, filed 2026-08-14 (SEC XBRL FY less nine months).
2026-09-28 news receipt check: latest, fetched 2026-09-19; receipt is not current; latest-session cause remains unassigned.
2026-09-28 stock-event scan:
research/stock-events/, no TEAM row dated 2026-09-24 through 2026-09-28.2026-09-28 captured-follows scan: tweets has 0 September 24–28 document(s) tagging TEAM.
Retrospective social-search receipt (captured 2026-09-29): 2026-09-29-social-search-team; quality/attention check only, not a September 28 event or price source.
2026-09-29 browser discovery check for TEAM: news-discovery-google-sep29 (key
TEAM); search links only, not evidence of an event or of absence of news.