🔥 Hot Signals
Article
🔥 Hot Signals
🔥 Hot Signals — 2026-10-06
Auto-generated rollup. One pull, not five.
Sources:
exit-check,persona-consensus,convergence-db --min=2,monster-scan,entry-volume-scan,breakout-volume-scan,distribution-scan,capture-health, optionalregime-signals.Generated in 1537ms — pure aggregation, no fresh scans.
🟢 Capture health
30 sources · 24 fresh · 5 stale · 1 no captures (threshold 7d)
⚠ Stale sources mean profile + chorus output is operating on old captures. Run
deno task intake:harvestor per-source scrapers to refresh.
| Source | Type | Last capture | Days stale |
|---|---|---|---|
| dumb-money-live | podcast | 2026-03-24 | 196d |
| thediff | rss | 2026-04-29 | 160d |
| sherwood | rss | 2026-08-17 | 50d |
| phynvesting | rss | 2026-09-11 | 25d |
| yahoofinance | rss | 2026-09-24 | 12d |
| SecurityAnalysis | — | — |
📊 At a glance
- 0 SELL verdicts • 18 TRIM verdicts (18 from perspective fade)
- 15 convergent bull setups (3+ personas long, no shorts) • 0 divergent
- 3 tickers in 3+ independent traces
- 12 parabolic monsters (golden cross + 50%+ above SMA200)
- 2 risk-on regime gauges • 2 risk-off • 0 blocked
Regime gauges — 2026-10-06
| Gauge | State | Band | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GDX/GLD miners-vs-metal | miners_lagging_metal | risk_off | 0.23 ratio |
| GLD vs UUP inverse | gold_breakdown_dollar_firm | risk_on | -8.94 30d spread pct pts |
| VIXY fear proxy | vol_compressed | risk_on | -59.4 pct from 52w high |
| Broad-market ETF breadth | breadth_deteriorating | risk_off | 33.3 pct above SMA50 |
🟠 TRIM — 18 positions
18 of these are perspective-fading — originating thesis closing/resolved:
- XLU (bench-signals, -8.9%) — All originating theses fading — The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
- XLU (bench-signals-trail, -8.9%) — All originating theses fading — The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
- GLD (bench-signals, -8.3%) — All originating theses fading — The Gold Anomaly — Broken Safe Haven (closed). Review whether to hold.
- GLD (conviction, -7.8%) — All originating theses fading — The Gold Anomaly — Broken Safe Haven (closed). Review whether to hold.
- TLT (conviction, -6.1%) — All originating theses fading — SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed). Review whether to hold.
- TSLA (lag6-cal-v1, -0.4%) — All originating theses fading — Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed). Review whether to hold.
- INDA (bench-signals, +0.3%) — All originating theses fading — Gulf Infrastructure Strike Scenario (closed). Review whether to hold.
- APD (bench-signals, +0.8%) — All originating theses fading — Gulf Infrastructure Strike Scenario (closed). Review whether to hold.
- AMZN (bench-signals, +3.7%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- AMZN (bench-signals-trail, +3.7%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- SPY (dca-larry, +6.8%) — All originating theses fading — AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed); The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
- AMZN (claude-trader, +10.1%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- QQQ (dca-larry, +11.6%) — All originating theses fading — AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed); The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
- NVDA (bench-signals, +13.3%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- NVDA (yolo, +13.3%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- NVDA (claude-trader, +14.3%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- NVDA (conviction, +14.8%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- META (bench-signals-trail, +34.4%) — All originating theses fading — SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
🎯 Convergent bulls — 15
Tickers held long by 3+ personas with no shorts. Persona-level consensus signal.
| Ticker | # bulls | Avg P&L | Long strategies |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | 11 | +12.6% | ackman-13f, atreides-13f, bench-signals (tier: HIGH), bench-signals-trail (tier: MEDIUM), claude-trader (tier: MEDIUM)... |
| SPCX | 6 | +0.7% | altimeter-13f, atreides-13f, coatue-13f, greenoaks-13f, loeb-13f (tier: LOW)... |
| GOOGL | 11 | +7.4% | altimeter-13f, atreides-13f, bench-signals (tier: HIGH), buffett-13f, claude-trader (tier: MEDIUM)... |
| MU | 5 | +47.0% | altimeter-13f, aschenbrenner-13f (tier: LOW), coatue-13f, gottheimer-trades (tier: LOW), tepper-13f |
| NVDA | 7 | +19.1% | altimeter-13f, bench-signals (tier: HIGH), claude-trader (tier: MEDIUM), conviction (tier: MEDIUM), khanna-trades (tier: LOW)... |
| SNDK | 3 | +92.0% | aschenbrenner-13f (tier: LOW), druckenmiller-13f (tier: MEDIUM), gottheimer-trades (tier: LOW) |
| AVGO | 6 | +6.6% | bench-signals (tier: HIGH), claude-trader (tier: MEDIUM), khanna-trades (tier: LOW), pelosi-trades (tier: LOW), tepper-13f... |
| DHR | 4 | +9.0% | conviction (tier: MEDIUM), druckenmiller-13f (tier: MEDIUM), loeb-13f (tier: LOW), mccaul-trades |
| TSM | 7 | +15.7% | altimeter-13f, aschenbrenner-13f (tier: LOW), coatue-13f, druckenmiller-13f (tier: MEDIUM), greenoaks-13f... |
| MSFT | 3 | +23.1% | ackman-13f, coatue-13f, conviction (tier: MEDIUM) |
| UBER | 4 | -2.5% | altimeter-13f, khanna-trades (tier: LOW), pelosi-trades (tier: LOW), tepper-13f |
| META | 5 | +25.9% | ackman-13f, altimeter-13f, atreides-13f, bench-signals-trail (tier: MEDIUM), tepper-13f |
| CVS | 5 | -7.1% | bench-signals (tier: HIGH), bench-signals-trail (tier: MEDIUM), claude-trader (tier: MEDIUM), claude-trader-trail (tier: LOW), yolo (tier: HIGH) |
| INTC | 3 | +35.5% | atreides-13f, coatue-13f, pelosi-trades (tier: LOW) |
| PANW | 3 | +69.9% | atreides-13f, druckenmiller-13f (tier: MEDIUM), gottheimer-trades (tier: LOW) |
🌐 Cross-thesis hits — 3
Tickers surfaced by 3+ independent autonomous-research traces. The "shows up everywhere" signal.
| Ticker | Company | # traces | Theses |
|---|---|---|---|
| COHR | Coherent Corp (formerly II-VI) | 4 | quantum computing physical bot...; military drone supply chain an...; HBM high-bandwidth memory equi... |
| LIN | Linde plc | 3 | quantum computing physical bot...; LNG liquefaction shipping and ...; helium supply chain for semico... |
| APD | Air Products and Chemicals | 3 | quantum computing physical bot...; LNG liquefaction shipping and ...; helium supply chain for semico... |
🚀 Monsters — top 12
Parabolic stocks: golden cross + 50%+ above SMA200. Top by 3-month change.
| Ticker | Price | RSI | 3M | 30D | vs SMA200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWET | $949.50 | 72.2 | +434.6% | +88.0% | +330% |
| IOVA | $12.96 | 65.7 | +197.9% | +47.4% | +168% |
| ZCSH | $36.07 | 58.5 | +194.7% | +29.2% | +179% |
| KOD | $92.34 | 82.1 | +141.1% | +161.1% | +154% |
| MRNA | $187.46 | 60.4 | +135.0% | +28.8% | +168% |
| ASST | $29.75 | 66.5 | +134.3% | +9.6% | +90% |
| CDNA | $63.79 | 63.3 | +125.3% | +25.4% | +118% |
| TEAM | $193.98 | 59.0 | +119.5% | +2.3% | +72% |
| TXG | $80.66 | 52.9 | +113.2% | +28.8% | +127% |
| CVI | $57.42 | 79.0 | +100.4% | +29.0% | +76% |
| GRAL | $137.28 | 68.0 | +99.6% | +70.9% | +85% |
| P | $147.20 | 81.0 | +88.1% | +47.9% | +85% |
🎯 Entry + Volume setups — top 3
Good entry zone (uptrend, not extended, at a volume shelf) AND volume confirming. The dip-at-shelf buy radar.
| Ticker | Price | RSI | vs SMA200 | Froth | RelVol | Zone | In |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRSP | $54.00 | 46 | +1.3% | -2.4% | 1.6× | POC | biotech, biotech-scan |
| PG | $148.41 | 56 | +0.5% | +0.5% | 1.4× | POC | consumer-staples, volume-setups |
| ARKX | $33.23 | 60 | +2.2% | +1.7% | 1.5× | POC | ark, holdings-etfs |
📈 Breakout + Volume — top 3
Pushing to highs / above the volume shelf WITH a volume spike. The breakout buy radar.
| Ticker | Price | RSI | vs SMA200 | →52wkH | RelVol | Kind | In |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH.TO | $12.23 | 72 | +22.4% | -4.9% | 5.8× | highs | canadian-og |
| HACK | $127.66 | 67 | +37.0% | -0.9% | 1.6× | highs | cybersec |
| VGT | $129.80 | 71 | +21.4% | -0.7% | 1.7× | highs | etf-ideas |
⚠️ Distribution / trim watch — top 6
Mechanism: high-volume churn while EXTENDED (overbought + stretched). Running hot — trim into strength, don't add. ⤵ = rolling over on volume.
| Ticker | Price | RSI | Froth | vs SMA20 | RelVol | 7D | In |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PACB | $2.70 | 80 | +51.3% | +56.0% | 3.2× | +47.5% | biotech-capital-cycle, ibb |
| ATH.TO | $12.23 | 72 | +27.4% | +14.3% | 5.8× | +19.9% | canadian-og |
| 6762.T | $3628.00 | 77 | +31.3% | +22.4% | 3.0× | +24.3% | ai-bottlenecks |
| TLN | $373.11 | 74 | +3.7% | +21.0% | 3.1× | +18.5% | ai-bottlenecks, ai-infrastructure |
| VST | $160.50 | 72 | +0.1% | +12.6% | 3.3× | +14.0% | ai-bottlenecks, ai-infrastructure |
| 322310.KS | $16730.00 | 71 | -40.1% | +22.7% | 2.1× | +12.6% | ai-bottlenecks |
Sources
research/market-engine/data/summaries/*.json(precomputed settled-close summaries — all prices/RSI/percentages above)
Re-run with deno task hot-signal-rollup.
No direct external sources are attached to this read.