Iran War Oil Shock (absorbed) · Campaigns
Iran War Oil Shock (absorbed)
closed · Energy
Historical Iran-related oil supply-shock scenario, previously absorbed. No new call is issued.
- Why now
- Review archival scope only. Preserve the existing closure date, reason, history and calls; do not reconstruct unreviewed historical thesis details.
- In scope
- Identity, topic and existing closed disposition
- Out of scope
- Fresh thesis validation · Reopening or regrading historical calls
- Expected horizon
- Historical window; exact original timing remains in the archive and is not re-established by this review.
- What supports it
- No fresh supporting-evidence verdict; original source history is preserved.
- What would break it
- No live claim to invalidate; a new case requires fresh evidence and its own failure tests.
Next review On condition · No standing review. A user-requested historical audit or a new evidence-backed successor is required.
Closed 2026-04-26 · Absorbed into us-energy-dominance during the 2026-04-26 retrospective. Camp 2 (nonlinear $200 oil crisis) demoted to oil-200-scenario; Camp 1 (blockade-as-leverage US-benefits) rolled into us-energy-dominance.
Latest change
2026-09-06 · Attach the scope decision and evidence boundaries without promoting a working note to primary evidence.
Preserved perspective history
The original identity, dates and closure record remain available.
Absorbed into us-energy-dominance during the 2026-04-26 retrospective. Camp 2 (nonlinear $200 oil crisis) demoted to oil-200-scenario; Camp 1 (blockade-as-leverage US-benefits) rolled into us-energy-dominance.