2026-03-12 - Daily Actions

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2026-03-12 - Daily Actions

10 tickers referenced · published Mar 12, 2026

Article published Mar 12, 2026. Prices below use latest available snapshots.

AMZN $261.31 +5.7% 30d ARM $271.43 +1.6% 30d AS $32.57 -10.6% 30d ASAN $8.83 +14.8% 30d ASML $1,883.12 +7.9% 30d BNTX $91.60 +0.1% 30d BTC $28.43 +0.2% 30d CEG $278.20 +10.2% 30d CMG $33.76 -2.0% 30d
no live data (1) — unresolved, delisted, or non-US symbols
$ALERT

MARKET CONTEXT: SPY $668.83 (-1.8% 30D, RSI 37) | QQQ $600.01 (-0.1% 30D, RSI 44) | VIXY $32.46 (+16.3% 30D, RSI 60) | GLD $470.67 (+4.3% 30D, RSI 53)

REGIME: STAGFLATION DEEPENING. Oil parabolic (USO RSI 84, +51.8% 30D), housing in free fall (ITB RSI 22, XHB RSI 24), financials cracking (XLF RSI 29, -5.4% 30D), and bonds NOT rallying alongside risk-off — gold is the only safe haven working. Life sciences tools cluster capitulation (MDT RSI 23, DHR RSI 24, A RSI 27, TMO RSI 28). Consumer discretionary in coordinated breakdown. 153 monsters on scan but dominated by energy/commodities — everything else is selling. NET held position at RSI 72.5 — overbought but strongest cloud name in a sea of death crosses.

Entry Zones (IN ZONE NOW)

EXTREME OVERSOLD (RSI < 20) — Capitulation Territory

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Source Action Notes
MDT $87.82 $86–$94 22 -12.95% biotech-scan, holdings, deep-dive ✅ Accumulate HELD POSITION (-9.9%). RSI 22.3, deepest in biotech tools cluster. Only 5.8% above $83 stop. Dividend aristocrat + PFA +80% growth intact. Near bottom of entry zone. $79 hard stop per deep dive.

OVERSOLD (RSI 20–30) — Strong Entry Zone

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Source Action Notes
DHR $187.98 $185–$200 24 -12.5% biotech-scan ✅ Strong Buy NEW. Life sciences instruments leader at RSI 24. Cluster capitulation — NIH/tariff fears. When DHR hits RSI 24, historically a strong entry. Quality compounder.
ITB $93.19 $88–$95 22 -17.1% market-pulse, macro-commodities ✅ Strong Buy NEW (updated). Housing ETF full capitulation — RSI 22, -17.1% 30D. -11.5% below SMA20. Contrarian play, needs oil reversal catalyst. Tight stop.
PPC $36.05 — 26 -13.5% defensive-scan ❌ Avoid AVOID. Death cross + -31.9% from high. Broken trend, not a bounce setup.
LOW $241.93 $235–$250 27 -15.3% retail-scan, defensive-scan ✅ Strong Buy UPDATED (was RSI 27 est). Golden cross structural positive still intact. -15.3% 30D is severe. Near SMA200 support ($244). Home improvement at cyclical low.
NKE $54.42 $50–$55 26 -10.4% bargain-bin, consumer-scan 📈 Accumulate UPDATED from RSI 29. Now RSI 26, -18.8% 3M. Death cross, -18.1% below SMA200. Tiny starter only — turnaround under maximum stress. Stop below $50.
VMC $265.03 $258–$270 28 -17.5% ai-infra ✅ Strong Buy UPDATED from RSI 30. Now RSI 27.6 — deepest oversold in infrastructure. Aggregates/materials critical for data center construction. Contrarian entry.
XHB $100.87 $95–$105 24 -15.3% market-pulse, macro-commodities 📈 Accumulate UPDATED. Homebuilder ETF at RSI 24. Diversified housing capitulation play alongside ITB. -10.7% below SMA20.
A $111.94 $108–$115 27 -10.4% biotech-scan ✅ Strong Buy UPDATED from RSI 31. Now RSI 27 — Agilent tracking DHR lower. Lab instruments in sector-wide de-rating. Quality franchise -28% from high.
TMO $476.70 $460–$490 28 -6.5% biotech-scan, bargain-bin 📈 Accumulate UPDATED. Thermo Fisher RSI 28, -26% from high. Life sciences tools leader. No insider buying yet — patience. Historically rewarded at RSI 27-29.
HD $341.42 $325–$350 29 -12.5% retail-scan, defensive-scan 📈 Accumulate UPDATED from RSI 34. Now RSI 29, death cross. Home Depot approaching capitulation. Long-term compounder. Housing headwinds cyclical, not structural. DCA slowly.

APPROACHING OVERSOLD (RSI 30–40) — Watch Closely

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Source Action Notes
AS $32.80 — 31 -14.85% holdings, consumer-scan ⚠️ WARNING HELD POSITION (-9.2%). RSI 31, only 6.8% above $30.71 stop. -14.85% 30D accelerating. DO NOT ADD. Let stop work.
MLM $591.33 $580–$600 30 -10.3% ai-infra 📈 Accumulate UPDATED from RSI 33. Now RSI 29.7. Martin Marietta — construction materials for AI infrastructure. Same thesis as VMC.
XLF $48.91 $47–$50 29 -5.4% market-pulse 📈 Accumulate NEW. Financials sector ETF oversold at RSI 29. -5.4% 30D, -4.6% below SMA20. Cyclical recovery play if rates stabilize.
CMG $32.83 $30–$33 29 -8.4% consumer-scan 🔍 Watch NEW. Death cross, -42.2% from 52wk high. First time at RSI 28.7 — approaching capitulation. Wait for stabilization above 30 first. Value trap risk.
BNTX $88.80 $85–$92 33 -16.0% biotech-scan, bargain-bin 🔍 Research UPDATED from RSI 23 (05/11). Now RSI 33.3 — some recovery. -32% from 52wk high. mRNA portfolio transition. Pipeline pivot thesis — cash provides floor.
LULU $160.16 $155–$165 32 -5.5% bargain-bin, consumer-scan 🔍 Watch UPDATED. RSI 31.5, death cross, -54% from ATH. Long turnaround runway. Multiple reset ongoing. Watch for RSI <30.
QCOM $131.50 $125–$135 31 -4.4% bargain-bin 🔍 Watch RETURNING. RSI 31.4, -25.8% 3M. Mobile AI/auto moats but ARM competition risk. Speculative — small size only.
ECL $277.20 $270–$282 32 -7.8% defensive-scan, ai-infra 🔍 Watch UPDATED from RSI 35. Now RSI 31.7. Ecolab approaching interesting zone. Golden cross intact.
TEL $198.74 $192–$205 34 -11.6% ai-infra 🔍 Watch UPDATED. Connectors in deeper oversold. -10.3% below SMA20. Data center interconnect demand support.
ASAN $6.97 $6.50–$7.50 33 -7.4% bargain-bin, insider 📈 Accumulate RETURNING. ONLY bargain bin stock with insider buying (+$8.3M). -51.9% 3M. Closest to golden signal. High risk, speculative.
V $306.78 $300–$310 34 -5.4% bargain-bin 🔍 Watch NEW. Payment monopoly at rare oversold. Death cross present. Build position on long-term horizon.
MA $498.33 $490–$510 34 -5.5% bargain-bin 🔍 Watch NEW. Same thesis as V. Mastercard quality franchise being indiscriminately sold. -12.7% 3M.
INDA $48.68 $47–$50 24 -8.3% macro-commodities 🔍 Watch UPDATED from RSI 30. Now RSI 23.5 — deeper oversold. India oil importer + strong dollar double pain. Falling knife.
TSLA $399.93 $380–$400 44 -4.1% insider-scan 🔍 Watch RETURNING. RSI recovered to 44 (was 48 → tested SMA200 at $393). +$191M insider buying. Golden cross intact. Not oversold but accumulation signal. Wait for re-test of $393 SMA200.
NVO $38.11 — 33 -22.1% biotech-scan ❌ Avoid RETURNING. Structural decline — -53% from high. Death cross. GLP-1 competitive pressure ongoing. Not a bounce candidate.
DECK $102.39 $98–$105 33 -11.8% retail-scan, consumer 🔍 Watch UPDATED. Golden cross intact; Hoka brand thesis. Watch $100 support. Near oversold.
IQV $165.12 $155–$175 50 -2.2% holdings, deep-dive 🔍 Watch HELD POSITION (+0.3%). RSI divergence (RSI rising while price fell) — mild positive signal. But -7.5% 7D still weak. Wait for $165 to hold multiple days. 17.9% above $140 stop.

Price Alerts (Waiting for Entry)

Stock Alert Entry Zone Source Set Date Status
ARM $110–118, RSI < 35 Below SMA200, death cross nvda-ecosystem 2026-02-16 ⏳ Watching — above range, RSI recovered.
NVDA $175–178, RSI < 35 Dead neutral at SMA20/50 nvda-ecosystem 2026-02-22 ⏳ Watching — $184.12, RSI 50. Not in zone.
TSM $330–345 Foundry monopoly, secular bull nvda-ecosystem 2026-02-16 ⏳ Watching — $339.35, RSI 49. Near bottom of range.
ASML $1,280–1,350 EUV monopoly below SMA20 ai-scan 2026-03-03 ⏳ Watching — above range.
MRVL $80–88 after pullback +15.4% 7D, don't chase ai-infra 2026-03-03 ⏳ Waiting — RSI extended. Wait for pullback.
CEG $285–300, RSI < 50 Nuclear AI power, weak-up ai-infra 2026-02-26 ⏳ Watching — $308.17, RSI 50. Above range.
GOOGL $295–308 Secular monster, weak-down monster-scan 2026-03-03 ⏳ IN ZONE — $303.56, RSI (est) ~45. Watching.
DDOG pullback $115–$120 V-shaped recovery needs consolidation cloud-etfs 2026-03-10 ⏳ Waiting — above range.
NET pullback $195–$205 on dip RSI 72.5, +20% position, overbought cloud-etfs, holdings 2026-03-10 ⏳ POSITION HELD. NET now overbought. Do NOT chase. Trim target at $231.
INTU pullback $440–$450 Strong-down, death cross cloud-etfs 2026-03-10 ⏳ Watching — $440.65, near zone. Death cross still active.
ISRG <$480, RSI < 35 Surgical robotics monopoly bargain-bin, biotech 2026-03-11 ⏳ IN ZONE — $478.70, RSI 37.8. Approaching entry.
RKLB <$70, RSI < 40 Golden cross, secular monster monster-scan 2026-03-11 ⏳ Watching — $70.30, RSI 49. Near threshold.
CRSP $45–$52 Gene editing, +$28M insider buying insider-scan, biotech 2026-03-11 ⏳ IN ZONE — $48.87, RSI 39.4. -13.9% 7D flush. Insider buying confirmed.
GLD $455–$475 Safe haven + golden cross + RSI 53 macro-commodities 2026-03-12 ⏳ IN ZONE — $470.67, RSI 53. Steady accumulation setup. NEW.
GDX $95–$100 Miners lagging gold ~15% — catch-up trade macro-commodities 2026-03-12 ⏳ IN ZONE — $99.64, RSI 44. Miner/metal divergence. NEW.

Exit Alerts (Holdings)

Stock Alert Type Entry Current P&L Set Date Status
MDT $83 (raised from $83) Stop-loss $97.49 $87.82 -9.9% — 🔴 CRITICAL — RSI 22.3, only 5.8% above stop. Active sustained selling. Deep dive confirms entry zone but stop is real. Let stop work. Deep dive stop at $79.
AS $30.71 Stop-loss $36.13 $32.80 -9.2% — 🔴 ALERT — RSI 31, only 6.8% above stop. -14.85% 30D, -8.0% 7D. Accelerating. DO NOT ADD.
NET $185 (raised from $180) Stop-loss $177.38 $212.78 +20.0% 2026-01-26 🟢 Strong — RSI 72.5, +10.9% 7D. Only $18 from +30% target ($231). Overbought. Raise stop to $185. Insider selling (-$741.8M) is a caution flag. Consider partial at $231.
IQV $140 Stop-loss (-15%) $164.63 $165.12 +0.3% — 🟡 Weakening — RSI 50 (RSI/price divergence). -7.5% 7D. 17.9% above stop. RSI rising while price fell = possible seller exhaustion.
PLTR $119 Stop-loss (-15%) $140.04 $154.74 +10.5% — 🟢 Healthy — RSI 57. +19.8% 30D. 30.0% above stop. Insider selling -$3.7B is headwind.
SHOP $95 Stop-loss (-15%) $112.39 $126.83 +12.9% — 🟢 Healthy — RSI 49. +14.6% 30D. 33.5% above stop. Death cross — watch structural trend.
VOO — Core position $628.94 $615.13 -2.2% — 🟡 Softening. RSI 37. DCA only. Not selling core.
WMT $108.86 Stop-loss (-15%) $128.07 $124.48 -2.8% 2026-02-03 🟡 Below entry. 14.3% above stop. Golden cross intact, -6.9% 30D.
AMZN — Core hold $204.53 $210.18 +2.8% — 🟡 Above entry. RSI 44. Death cross (-$10.9B insider selling). Watch.
CRM — Watch $190.96 $199.83 +4.6% — 🟡 Above entry. RSI 50, death cross. -25.9% 3M. Monthly recovery in place.
BTC — Hold $40.05 (GBTC) $31.15 -22.2% — 🔴 Deep underwater. +7.75% 30D partial recovery. Small allocation (2%).

Sector Rotation Signals

Signal Trigger What It Means Status
Oil shock parabolic USO RSI 84, +51.8% 30D Iran/Hormuz crisis driving entire cross-asset rotation. Do NOT chase. 🔴 ACTIVE — DO NOT CHASE
Housing capitulation ITB RSI 22, XHB RSI 24, -15-17% 30D Deepest housing oversold in years. Contrarian entry forming but oil reversal needed. 🟢 ACTIVE — Entry zone forming
Life sciences tools cluster capitulation MDT RSI 23, DHR RSI 24, A RSI 27, TMO RSI 28 All four simultaneously oversold. Sector-wide de-rating — NIH/tariff/macro. Best entry in tools in years. 🟢 NEW — High conviction entry zone
Financials cracking XLF RSI 29, -5.4% 30D Banks breaking down faster than broad market. Structural or cyclical? Watch for systemic signal. 🔴 NEW — Emerging risk
Gold safe haven working GLD RSI 53, +4.3% 30D, +21% 3M THE safe haven. Bonds NOT rallying (TLT RSI 39). Stagflation signal confirmed. 🟢 ACTIVE — Add on dips
SaaS/cloud structural repricing Death crosses dominating, NET lone exception Not a dip — sector-wide repricing. TEAM -52.9% 3M, MDB -26.5% 30D, WDAY -39.4% 3M. 🔴 ACTIVE — Avoid catching knives
Defense consolidation LMT +36.9%, NOC/GD golden crosses War premium structural, +15-37% 3M. Healthy consolidation at RSI 45-56. 🟢 ACTIVE — Accumulate on dips
AI infra two-speed market LITE +94.9%, FIX +42.9%, VRT +67% 3M vs SMR -78.9%, OKLO -68.6% Physical infra (fiber, cooling, data centers) winning; speculative nuclear wrecked. 🟢 ACTIVE — Hold leaders, avoid spec
Optical/AI networking surge AAOI RSI 70, LITE RSI 53, CIEN RSI 59, COHR RSI 51 Optical connectivity parabolic on AI traffic demand. All 60%+ above SMA200. 🟠 ACTIVE — Hold, do not chase
Consumer capitulation NKE RSI 26, CMG RSI 29, XLY RSI 33 Consumer discretionary under maximum stress. Payment duopoly (V/MA) oversold simultaneously. 🔴 ACTIVE — Selective entries only
Stagflation confirmed USO +51.8%, COPX -7.9%, WEAT +8.1%, TLT -2.1% Cost-push squeeze + growth deterioration + bonds failing safe-haven role. 🔴 ACTIVE — Defensive posture

Insider Activity Summary

Signal Stocks Implication
🏆 ZERO GOLDEN SIGNALS None — closest: ASAN (RSI 33 + buying) Third consecutive scan. No RSI<30 + insider buying. Smart money NOT buying capitulation.
🟢 BUYING TSLA (+$191.3M), CRSP (+$28M), ASAN (+$8.3M) Only 3 names with net buying. ASAN closest to golden. CRSP buying into -13.9% weekly flush.
🔴 SELLING INTO DIP ZM (-$210M at RSI 35), EOSE (-$22M at RSI 31) Classic value trap signals — insiders abandoning oversold positions. AVOID both.
🔴 HEAVY SELLING AMZN (-$10.9B), LLY (-$4.8B), PLTR (-$3.7B), NVDA (-$3.1B), NFLX (-$1.3B), NET (-$741.8M) Mega-cap distribution broadening. NET insiders trimming into the breakout is a caution.
🔴 POSTURE 49 of 59 stocks show net selling Persistent bearish insider posture. No capitulation buy signal from smart money.

Pending Research Actions

Action Source Priority Status
MDT stop watch — RSI 22, 5.8% from $83 stop holdings, deep-dive CRITICAL ⏳ Active — Let stop work. Deep dive suggests $79 as hard stop with entry zone $86-94. Near bottom of zone.
AS stop watch — RSI 31, 6.8% from $30.71 stop holdings, consumer-scan CRITICAL ⏳ Active — -14.85% 30D accelerating. Golden cross structural positive but cannot override stop discipline.
NET raise stop to $185, evaluate partial at $231 holdings, deep-dive HIGH ⏳ Action needed — RSI 72.5 overbought, +20% position. Deep dive recommends $185 stop. Target $231 = $18 away.
Research DHR RSI 24 — life sciences tools entry biotech-scan HIGH ⏳ Todo — Cluster capitulation with MDT/TMO/A. Best of the four for new entry — no held position overhang.
Research V/MA at RSI 34 — payment duopoly entry bargain-bin HIGH ⏳ Todo — Both simultaneously oversold, rare setup. Death crosses present. 12-month thesis vs near-term risk.
Research BNTX RSI 33 — pipeline update biotech-scan, bargain-bin HIGH ⏳ Ongoing — -32% from 52wk high. Cancer vaccine pipeline is the thesis. Cash floor.
Monitor IQV RSI/price divergence holdings, deep-dive MEDIUM ⏳ Active — RSI rising while price fell today. Positive divergence. Wait for $165 to hold multiple days.
Research VMC/MLM simultaneous capitulation ai-infra MEDIUM ⏳ Todo — Infrastructure materials both at RSI 27-30. Is this sector rotation or capex slowdown signal?
Research CMG RSI 29 — value trap vs entry consumer-scan MEDIUM ⏳ Todo — First time at near-capitulation. Death cross makes this a falling knife. Need RSI stabilization >30.
Research MDB -26.5% 30D crash bargain-bin MEDIUM ⏳ Ongoing — No insider buying. Distinguish earnings miss vs structural cloud pullback.
Watch AMZN death cross + insider selling holdings MEDIUM ⏳ Active — -$10.9B insider selling continues. Death cross intact. SMA200 support is key.
Monitor SHOP trailing stop holdings MEDIUM ⏳ Watching — +12.9% position. Death cross is structural caution. Consider raising stop toward $107-110.
Add IDXX to a watchlist ideas LOW ⏳ Todo — RSI 34, -15.4% 3M. No summary data available.
Research INDA RSI 23.5 — India oversold macro-commodities LOW ⏳ Monitoring — India oil importer + strong dollar double pain. Wait for stabilization.

The Gold

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
Life sciences tools (MDT RSI 23, DHR RSI 24, A RSI 27, TMO RSI 28) — all four simultaneously Cluster capitulation is the highest-conviction entry theme in the market today. NIH/tariff/macro fears, not company implosions.
TLT RSI 39 while USO RSI 84 and GLD RSI 53 The traditional bond safe-haven is broken this cycle. Gold IS the safe haven. Stagflation confirmed: oil up, bonds down, equities weak.
XLF RSI 29 breaking faster than SPY (-1.8% 30D) Financials cracking disproportionately — watch for systemic signal. This divergence was not present in prior week.
V and MA simultaneously at RSI 34 Payment duopoly oversold together — rare structural setup for long-term builders. Death crosses add near-term risk.
Housing (ITB RSI 22, XHB RSI 24) at deepest oversold since 2022 rate shock Either the best contrarian entry in the market or a leading indicator of economic slowdown. Oil reversal = housing bounce.
NET RSI 72.5 with -$741.8M insider selling Position winning (+20%) but insiders trimming into the breakout. Raise stop to $185, take partial at $231.
153 monsters on scan — dominated by energy/commodities USO +51.8%, CF +44.6%, OXY +30.0%, CNQ +20.8%. This is the oil shock in data form. All parabolic — do NOT chase.
ZERO golden signals for third consecutive scan Smart money is NOT buying this capitulation. Most bearish insider posture in months. Implies bottom may not be in.
VMC RSI 27.6 + MLM RSI 29.7 simultaneously Infrastructure materials are the overlooked oversold play — the pick-and-shovel input to AI data center construction.

Sources

19 sector scans and 1 holdings file, both dated 2026-03-12, plus 26 deep-dive files. OHLC cross-checked against validated daily summaries (summaries). Previous actions: 2026-03-11-actions.md (archived).