Regime: STAGFLATION DEEPENING. VOO $615.13 (RSI 37, -1.8% 30D) — deteriorating from yesterday's $622. SPY $668.83 slipping. VIXY $32.46 (RSI 60, +16.3% 30D) — still elevated, no all-clear. GLD $470.67 (RSI 53, +4.3% 30D) — THE safe haven, bonds failing (TLT RSI 39). USO RSI 84, +51.8% 30D — oil parabolic, Iran/Hormuz crisis driving cross-asset rotation. Life sciences tools cluster capitulation (MDT RSI 22, DHR RSI 24, A RSI 27, TMO RSI 28). XLF RSI 29 — financials cracking disproportionately. ZERO golden signals for the THIRD consecutive scan. 49 of 59 insider-tracked stocks show net selling.
1. Market Weather
| Indicator |
Level |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Signal |
Note |
| VOO (S&P 500) |
$615.13 |
37 |
-1.8% |
WEAK-DOWN |
Deteriorated from $622 yesterday. Below SMA20, SMA50. |
| SPY |
$668.83 |
37 |
-1.8% |
WEAK-DOWN |
Slow bleed accelerating. RSI approaching oversold. |
| QQQ |
$600.01 |
44 |
-0.1% |
Outperforming |
Tech relative strength persists. QQQ > VOO spread widening. |
| VIXY (VIX) |
$32.46 |
60 |
+16.3% |
FEAR ELEVATED |
No all-clear. Slight pullback from RSI 62 yesterday but still regime-defining. |
| GLD (Gold) |
$470.67 |
53 |
+4.3% |
SAFE HAVEN ACTIVE |
+21% 3M structural uptrend. Golden cross. THE only safe haven working. |
| TLT (Bonds) |
~$88 |
39 |
~-2% |
BROKEN |
Bonds NOT rallying in risk-off. Stagflation signature confirmed. |
| EEM (Emerging) |
$58.68 |
45 |
-4.7% |
Fading |
Oil/dollar double pain for importers. Pulling back from overbought. |
| USO (Oil) |
$107.93 |
84 |
+51.8% |
PARABOLIC |
Iran/Hormuz. +51.8% 30D. Do NOT chase. This is the inflation driver. |
| XLF (Financials) |
$48.91 |
29 |
-5.4% |
CRACKING |
New alert — financials breaking faster than broad market. |
| ITB (Homebuilders) |
$93.19 |
22 |
-17.1% |
CAPITULATION |
Deepest housing oversold in years. Needs oil reversal catalyst. |
One-liner: Stagflation deepened today. VOO RSI 37 means the broad market is approaching oversold but NOT there yet — this is a slow grind lower, not a V-shaped capitulation bottom. Gold working (+4.3% 30D), bonds broken (TLT RSI 39), oil parabolic (USO RSI 84). Financials cracked (XLF RSI 29) — new systemic risk signal. Life sciences tools cluster at historic oversold levels is the highest-conviction contrarian entry. Portfolios responded with stop/hedge trades: TMO sold (stop proximity), GLD bought (stagflation hedge), WDAY sold (SaaS repricing), GDX bought (miner catch-up play).
2. Sector Heat Map
Overbought (Don't Chase)
| Sector |
Ticker/ETF |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Signal |
| Oil / Energy |
USO |
84 |
+51.8% |
PARABOLIC — do NOT chase. Iran/Hormuz. |
| Energy Equities |
XLE |
~60 |
+22% 3M |
Strong-up. Healthy consolidation. |
| Dollar |
UUP |
66 |
+2.3% |
Strong-up. Amplifying EM/oil importer pain. |
| Utilities |
XLU |
58 |
+4.4% |
Strong-up. Defensive rotation intact. |
| Defense |
LMT/ITA |
45-56 |
+15-37% 3M |
War premium structural. Consolidating at RSI. |
| Optical/Networking |
AAOI/LITE/CIEN |
53-70 |
+60%+ above SMA200 |
AI traffic demand surge. Hold, don't chase. |
Oversold (Opportunity Zone)
| Sector |
Ticker/ETF |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Signal |
| Life Sciences Tools |
MDT/DHR/A/TMO |
22-28 |
-6 to -13% |
CLUSTER CAPITULATION — highest conviction entry |
| Homebuilders |
ITB |
22 |
-17.1% |
Full capitulation. Needs oil reversal. |
| Homebuilders |
XHB |
24 |
-15.3% |
Same thesis. |
| Financials |
XLF |
29 |
-5.4% |
NEW — cracking faster than SPY. Watch systemic signal. |
| Infrastructure Materials |
VMC/MLM |
28-30 |
-10-17% |
AI data center pick-and-shovel. Overlooked oversold. |
| Consumer |
NKE/CMG/XLY |
26-33 |
-8-18% |
Under max stress. Selective entries only. |
Recovering / Neutral
| Sector |
Status |
| Cloud/SaaS |
Structural repricing confirmed. 14 death crosses. NET lone exception (RSI 72.5). WDAY/TEAM/MDB carnage. Not a dip. |
| Big Tech |
MSFT $405 (RSI 56), GOOGL $303 (RSI 45), AMZN $210 (RSI 44). Holding but AMZN death cross formed. |
| Semis |
SMH RSI 48. AVGO +7.8%. Neutral. AI ASIC thesis intact for select names. |
| Biotech |
XBI RSI 54. CRSP $48.87 (RSI 39). Gene editing oversold but no clear catalyst. |
| Communication |
XLC above peers. NET overbought RSI 72.5. |
3. Top 5 Opportunities
| Rank |
Ticker |
Price |
RSI |
Entry Zone |
Conviction |
Why |
| 1 |
MDT |
$87.82 |
22 |
$86–$94 |
Strong Buy (HELD) |
Life sciences tools deepest oversold in cluster. RSI 22 is extreme for a dividend aristocrat. 5.8% above $83 stop. Pacemaker franchise + PFA +80% growth intact. |
| 2 |
DHR |
$187.98 |
24 |
$185–$200 |
Strong Buy |
Life sciences instruments leader at RSI 24. Historic extreme for quality compounder. Bought across momentum + signals strategies. |
| 3 |
A (Agilent) |
$111.94 |
27 |
$108–$115 |
Strong Buy |
Tracking DHR lower in sector-wide de-rating. -28% from high. Lab instruments quality franchise. Bought in momentum today. |
| 4 |
ITB |
$93.19 |
22 |
$88–$95 |
Strong Buy (contrarian) |
Housing ETF at deepest oversold since 2022 rate shock. RSI 22, -17.1% 30D. Needs oil reversal catalyst — patience required. New signal in bench. |
| 5 |
VMC |
$265.03 |
28 |
$258–$270 |
Strong Buy |
Vulcan Materials — pick-and-shovel for AI data center construction. RSI 27.6, -17.5% 30D. Overlooked infrastructure play. New signal in bench. |
All five are contrarian entries into oversold quality. The theme is clear: life sciences tools cluster + housing capitulation + infrastructure materials. Zero golden signals means patience; these are "accumulate" entries, not all-in bets.
4. Top Risks
Stop-Loss Proximity (Paper Portfolios)
| Stock |
Strategy |
Entry |
Stop |
Current |
Distance |
Status |
| LULU |
claude-trader |
$177.34 |
$150.74 (-15%) |
$160.16 |
5.9% above |
CRITICAL — death cross, RSI 32, -54% from ATH. -9.7% from entry. |
| CRSP |
claude-trader |
$51.31 |
$43.61 (-15%) |
$48.87 |
10.8% above |
Watch — insider buying $28M at level but RSI 39, -13.9% 7D flush |
| CRSP |
yolo |
$51.31 |
$41.05 (-20%) |
$48.87 |
19.0% above |
Watch — 20% YOLO stop is wider but narrowing. |
| ARKK |
yolo |
$74.36 |
$59.49 (-20%) |
$71.18 |
19.7% above |
Watch — innovation basket correlates to risk-off. |
| WDAY |
claude-trader |
$138.57 |
$117.78 (-15%) |
$136.05 |
13.4% above |
OK but SaaS repricing structural risk ongoing. |
bench-signals Danger Zone
| Stock |
Entry |
Current |
Unrealized |
Status |
| TMO |
$542.36 |
$476.70 |
-12.1% |
3.3% from -15% stop. DANGER — life sciences selloff accelerating. |
| ESTC |
$59.00 |
$52.52 |
-11.0% |
3.8% from -15% stop. DANGER — SaaS repricing. |
| GIS |
$44.85 |
$39.78 |
-11.3% |
3.5% from -15% stop. DANGER — consumer staples selloff. |
| NKE |
$61.00 |
$54.42 |
-10.8% |
4.1% from -15% stop. DANGER — consumer under max stress. |
| ZS |
$169.39 |
$151.38 |
-10.6% |
4.2% from -15% stop. Cybersec holding better than SaaS peers. |
Real Portfolio Alerts
| Stock |
Alert |
Status |
| MDT (holdings) |
$83 stop |
CRITICAL — RSI 22, 5.8% from stop. Life sciences selloff. Let stop work. |
| AS (holdings) |
$30.71 stop |
CRITICAL — RSI 31, 6.8% from stop. -14.85% 30D accelerating. DO NOT ADD. |
| NET (holdings) |
$185 stop (raised) |
STRONG — +20% position at $212.78. Insider selling -$741.8M. Partial at $231. |
5. Actions Log
Trades Executed 03/12
| Strategy |
Trade |
Ticker |
Price |
Shares |
Value |
Rationale |
| claude-trader |
SELL |
TMO |
$476.70 |
3 |
$1,430 |
Stop proximity rule — only 3.1% above stop with single-day -3.8% drop. Life sciences selloff accelerating. Realized -$202.47 (-12.4%). |
| claude-trader |
BUY |
GLD |
$470.67 |
4 |
$1,883 |
Stagflation safe haven. TLT RSI 39 failing, GLD +21% 3M, golden cross. In zone $455-$475. |
| claude-momentum |
SELL |
ORCL |
$159.93 |
25 |
$3,998 |
RSI recovery exit — bought RSI 15, sold RSI 61. Bounce play complete. +$174.50. |
| claude-momentum |
SELL |
CRM |
$199.83 |
10 |
$1,998 |
RSI recovery exit — bought RSI 18, sold RSI 61. +$98.60. |
| claude-momentum |
BUY |
DHR |
$187.98 |
17 |
$3,196 |
RSI 20 extreme capitulation. Life sciences tools cluster. Actions: Strong Buy. |
| claude-momentum |
BUY |
A |
$111.94 |
26 |
$2,910 |
RSI 27 bounce play. Agilent tracking DHR lower in cluster. -28% from high. |
| yolo |
SELL |
WDAY |
$136.05 |
72 |
$9,796 |
SaaS structural repricing — 14 death crosses in cloud. Not a dip. -1.3% loss. |
| yolo |
BUY |
GLD |
$470.67 |
17 |
$8,001 |
Stagflation safe haven. Same thesis as trader portfolio. 8% position. |
| yolo |
BUY |
GDX |
$99.64 |
60 |
$5,978 |
Gold miners catch-up trade. GLD +21% 3M, GDX lagging ~15%. RSI 39.3 IN ZONE. |
| bench-signals |
SELL |
ASX |
$21.14 |
— |
+$922 |
+92.2% WIN. Best trade to date. Closed way past +20% target. |
| bench-signals |
SELL |
PINS |
$18.24 |
— |
-$171 |
-17.1% LOSS. Stop-loss hit. Consumer crushing in stagflation. 6th loss. |
| bench-signals |
BUY |
ITB |
$93.19 |
— |
$1,000 |
Housing capitulation RSI 22. Contrarian entry zone. |
| bench-signals |
BUY |
VMC |
$265.03 |
— |
$1,000 |
Infrastructure materials RSI 27.6. Data center build thesis. |
| bench-signals |
BUY |
MLM |
$591.33 |
— |
$1,000 |
Martin Marietta RSI 29.7. Same infrastructure thesis. |
New Entry Zones Added 03/12 (vs 03/11)
| Ticker |
RSI |
Entry Zone |
Change |
| GLD |
53 |
$455–$475 |
NEW ALERT — IN ZONE. Stagflation safe haven accumulation. |
| GDX |
39-44 |
$95–$100 |
NEW ALERT — IN ZONE. Miners catch-up trade. |
| XLF |
29 |
$47–$50 |
NEW — Financials sector ETF oversold. Watch for systemic signal. |
| CMG |
29 |
$30–$33 |
NEW — Death cross + -42% from high. Wait for RSI stabilization >30. |
| V/MA |
34 |
$300–$310 / $490–$510 |
NEW — Payment duopoly simultaneously oversold. Long-term thesis. |
Profit Target / Stop Events 03/12
| Stock |
Strategy |
Entry |
Exit |
Gain/Loss |
Reason |
| TMO |
claude-trader |
$544.19 |
$476.70 |
-12.4% LOSS |
Stop proximity. Life sciences selloff accelerating. 3rd closed position. |
| ASX |
bench-signals |
$11.00 |
$21.14 |
+92.2% WIN |
Best trade to date. Way past +20% target. +$922. |
| PINS |
bench-signals |
$22.00 |
$18.24 |
-17.1% LOSS |
6th bench loss. Consumer capitulation. |
| ORCL |
claude-momentum |
$152.95 |
$159.93 |
+4.6% WIN |
RSI recovery exit. Bounce play complete. |
| CRM |
claude-momentum |
$189.97 |
$199.83 |
+5.2% WIN |
RSI recovery exit. Bounce play complete. |
| WDAY |
yolo |
$138.57 |
$136.05 |
-1.3% LOSS |
SaaS structural repricing. Disciplined exit. |
6. Portfolio Pulse
Leaderboard
| Rank |
Strategy |
Return |
Value |
Cash |
Positions |
Trades Today |
Trend |
| 1 |
claude-trader |
+2.21% |
$102,214 |
$54,882 (46%) |
21 |
2 (SELL TMO, BUY GLD) |
DOWN (was +2.81%) |
| 2 |
bench-signals |
-1.0% open / -0.1% net |
~$46,533 on $47K |
— |
47 open / 8 closed |
5 (ASX WIN, PINS LOSS, ITB/VMC/MLM) |
MIXED (ASX +$922 swings net to near-flat) |
| 3 |
claude-momentum |
-0.20% |
$99,797 |
$71,371 (71%) |
8 |
4 (SELL ORCL/CRM, BUY DHR/A) |
SLIGHTLY DOWN (was -0.11%) |
| 4 |
yolo |
-1.49% |
$98,515 |
$41,649 (42%) |
8 |
3 (SELL WDAY, BUY GLD/GDX) |
DOWN (was -0.81%) |
Overall narrative: A day of active rebalancing. Claude-trader slipped from peak +3.85% (03/10) to +2.21% as stagflation claims TMO, but GLD hedge now in place. Momentum executed two clean RSI bounce exits (ORCL +4.6%, CRM +5.2%) and pivoted capital into the life sciences cluster (DHR + A). YOLO absorbed its SaaS loss (WDAY -1.3%), shed sector exposure, and doubled into precious metals (GLD + GDX). Bench-signals had its BEST SINGLE TRADE in ASX +92.2% (+$922), which nearly wipes out all prior losses in one shot — net realized improved from -$800 to -$49.
claude-trader Positions (21) — $102,214 (+2.21%)
| Stock |
Shares |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
% |
Status |
| NFLX |
24 |
$80.78 |
$94.64 |
+$333 |
+17.2% |
LEADER — approaching +30% target ($105.01). RSI 70+ overbought zone. |
| INTU |
10 |
$389.98 |
$438.47 |
+$485 |
+12.4% |
Pulled back from +21.5% to +12.4%. Death cross — monitor. |
| NOW |
19 |
$102.63 |
$113.78 |
+$212 |
+10.9% |
Holding strong. Cloud resilience. |
| AVGO |
9 |
$313.78 |
$338.17 |
+$220 |
+7.8% |
AI ASIC thesis intact. RSI 53. |
| ORCL |
13 |
$152.95 |
$159.93 |
+$91 |
+4.6% |
Earnings gap validated thesis. RSI 61. |
| SNOW |
12 |
$170.57 |
$177.92 |
+$88 |
+4.3% |
Pulling back slightly but holding. |
| MSFT |
5 |
$390.00 |
$405.01 |
+$75 |
+3.8% |
Steady. RSI 56. |
| WCLD |
70 |
$27.88 |
$28.62 |
+$52 |
+2.7% |
Cloud ETF baseline. |
| CRM |
10 |
$193.75 |
$199.83 |
+$61 |
+3.1% |
RSI 61.5 — fully recovered. |
| ISRG |
4 |
$476.32 |
$478.70 |
+$10 |
+0.5% |
Approaching entry zone on pullback. |
| ADBE |
7 |
$269.39 |
$270.26 |
+$6 |
+0.3% |
Flat. Holding. |
| AMZN |
9 |
$210.10 |
$210.18 |
+$1 |
+0.04% |
Near flat. Death cross — watch. |
| GLD |
4 |
$470.67 |
$470.67 |
$0 |
0.0% |
NEW TODAY — stagflation hedge. |
| IGV |
25 |
$85.02 |
$85.62 |
+$15 |
+0.7% |
Cloud ETF. |
| WDAY |
21 |
$138.57 |
$136.05 |
-$53 |
-1.8% |
SaaS risk. 13.4% above stop. |
| GOOGL |
6 |
$305.72 |
$303.56 |
-$13 |
-0.7% |
Near flat. Death cross formed. |
| LOW |
10 |
$246.81 |
$241.93 |
-$49 |
-2.0% |
RSI 14.9 extreme oversold — IS the bounce thesis. |
| DHR |
12 |
$195.22 |
$187.98 |
-$87 |
-3.7% |
RECENT BUY — life sciences cluster. RSI 24. |
| CLX |
22 |
$115.50 |
$110.83 |
-$103 |
-4.0% |
Consumer staples. RSI 31. |
| CRSP |
40 |
$51.31 |
$48.87 |
-$98 |
-4.8% |
Gene editing. RSI 39. Insider buying $28M. |
| LULU |
11 |
$177.34 |
$160.16 |
-$189 |
-9.7% |
CRITICAL — 5.9% above $150.74 stop. Death cross. |
claude-momentum Positions (8) — $99,797 (-0.20%)
| Stock |
Shares |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
% |
Status |
| SNOW |
19 |
$156.71 |
$177.92 |
+$403 |
+13.5% |
APPROACHING +20% TARGET ($188.05) — 5.7% away |
| AVGO |
15 |
$313.84 |
$338.17 |
+$365 |
+7.8% |
AI ASIC thesis. RSI 53. |
| AMZN |
10 |
$198.79 |
$210.18 |
+$114 |
+5.7% |
Above entry. Death cross watch. |
| IGV |
35 |
$82.77 |
$85.62 |
+$100 |
+3.4% |
Cloud ETF baseline. |
| WDAY |
36 |
$138.57 |
$136.05 |
-$91 |
-1.8% |
8.3% above -10% stop. WATCH. RSI 48. |
| LOW |
16 |
$246.81 |
$241.93 |
-$78 |
-2.0% |
RSI 14.9 extreme — bounce thesis. 8.2% above stop. |
| DHR |
17 |
$187.98 |
$187.98 |
$0 |
0.0% |
NEW TODAY — RSI 20 capitulation entry. |
| A |
26 |
$111.94 |
$111.94 |
$0 |
0.0% |
NEW TODAY — RSI 27 life sciences tools. |
yolo Positions (8) — $98,515 (-1.49%)
| Stock |
Shares |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
% |
Status |
| AVGO |
32 |
$313.78 |
$338.17 |
+$781 |
+7.8% |
BEST — AI ASIC. RSI 53. Thesis intact. |
| ORCL |
50 |
$152.95 |
$159.93 |
+$349 |
+4.6% |
Earnings gap. Target $183.54 (+20%). |
| GLD |
17 |
$470.67 |
$470.67 |
$0 |
0.0% |
NEW — stagflation safe haven. 8% position. |
| GDX |
60 |
$99.64 |
$99.64 |
$0 |
0.0% |
NEW — gold miners catch-up. RSI 39. |
| TQQQ |
100 |
$48.78 |
$47.35 |
-$143 |
-2.9% |
Leveraged. Tech/QQQ selling off. RSI 43. |
| ARKK |
67 |
$74.36 |
$71.18 |
-$213 |
-4.3% |
19.7% above -20% stop. WATCH. |
| CRSP |
100 |
$51.31 |
$48.87 |
-$244 |
-4.8% |
19.0% above -20% stop. Narrowing. |
| LOW |
40 |
$250.22 |
$241.93 |
-$332 |
-3.3% |
RSI 14.9 extreme. 20.9% above stop. |
bench-signals Top Movers (47 open signals, 8 closed)
Closed today: ASX +92.2% WIN (+$922), PINS -17.1% LOSS (-$171).
New signals today: ITB (RSI 22, housing), VMC (RSI 27.6, infra), MLM (RSI 29.7, infra).
Closed record: 2W / 6L. Realized: -$49 net (+$1,124 wins, -$1,173 losses). Near-breakeven thanks to ASX.
Danger zone: TMO -12.1%, GIS -11.3%, ESTC -11.0%, NKE -10.8% — all within 4% of -15% stop.
7. Key Numbers
| Metric |
Value |
Context |
| Most Oversold (quality) |
LOW RSI 14.9 |
Extreme oversold. Most oversold position across all strategies. |
| Life Sciences Cluster |
MDT RSI 22 / DHR 24 / A 27 / TMO 28 |
Simultaneous cluster capitulation — highest conviction entry in market |
| Golden Signals |
ZERO |
Third consecutive scan. Smart money NOT buying. Bottom may not be in. |
| Most Overbought |
USO RSI 84 |
Oil parabolic +51.8% 30D. Do NOT chase. |
| Gold |
$470.67 (RSI 53) |
+21% 3M structural safe haven. Golden cross. Bonds failing (TLT RSI 39). |
| VIXY |
$32.46 (RSI 60) |
Fear elevated. No all-clear. +16.3% 30D. |
| VOO |
$615.13 (RSI 37) |
Deteriorating. Below SMA20/50. Approaching oversold but not yet. |
| XLF |
$48.91 (RSI 29) |
NEW RISK — financials cracking disproportionately. Watch for systemic signal. |
| Insider Posture |
49 selling, 3 buying |
Only TSLA (+$191M), CRSP (+$28M), ASAN (+$8.3M) with net buying. |
| Entry Zones Active |
24 |
1 extreme (<RSI 23), 10 oversold (RSI 23-30), 13 approaching (RSI 30-40) |
| Signals (bench) |
55 total (47 open, 8 closed) |
2W/6L. Net realized improved to -$49 from -$800 (ASX win!). |
| Best Strategy |
claude-trader +2.21% |
Leader since inception. |
| NFLX (trader) |
+17.2% |
Leading position. Approaching +30% target ($105.01). |
| SNOW (momentum) |
+13.5% |
5.7% from +20% target ($188.05). Next profit target candidate. |
| ASX (bench WIN) |
+92.2% closed |
Best trade to date — +$922 in single signal. Offset nearly all prior losses. |
| Stagflation Signal |
USO +51.8% + TLT RSI 39 + ITB RSI 22 |
Oil up, bonds broken, housing destroyed = cost-push stagflation signature. |
| CRSP/ARKK (yolo) |
Both ~20% from -20% stop |
Narrowing. CRSP +28M insider buying is the key floor signal. |
8. What Changed (03/12 vs 03/11)
TMO sold, GLD added across strategies. Claude-trader executed stop proximity discipline on TMO (3.1% above stop, -3.8% single-day, life sciences selloff accelerating). GLD bought as stagflation hedge — the only asset with confirmed positive momentum as bonds fail (TLT RSI 39 is the tell). YOLO did the same: sold WDAY (SaaS structural repricing), bought GLD + GDX. The portfolio regime pivot is complete — precious metals are now explicit hedges.
YOLO pivots to precious metals. WDAY sold (-1.3%, disciplined exit before deeper SaaS losses) and GLD + GDX bought. Portfolio is now 2:1 tilted toward gold plays (GLD + GDX = ~$14K, 14% of YOLO). This is a regime-appropriate rebalance: 153 monsters on scan are dominated by energy/commodities.
Momentum completed two clean RSI bounce exits. ORCL sold at RSI 61 (+4.6% from RSI 15 entry) and CRM sold at RSI 61 (+5.2% from RSI 18 entry). These are textbook momentum plays — bought extreme oversold, sold at recovery. Proceeds rotated into DHR + A (life sciences tools cluster, both at RSI 20-27). The strategy shift: from "catch the SaaS bounce" to "ride the life sciences tools capitulation recovery."
bench-signals near-breakeven thanks to ASX +92.2%. The ASX win (+$922) nearly wiped out all prior accumulated losses (-$800 realized) in a single trade. Net realized improved from -$800 to -$49. Record is now 2W/6L but the dollar-weighted win rate looks better. Three new signals added (ITB, VMC, MLM) for infrastructure/housing contrarian plays.
LULU remains the #1 risk in claude-trader. At $160.16, it is only 5.9% above the $150.74 stop (-15%). Death cross, RSI 32, -54% from ATH. The "multiple reset" thesis is competing against the stop discipline. If it touches ~$152, the stop triggers.
Financials cracking is the new systemic risk signal. XLF RSI 29 breaking faster than the broad market (SPY RSI 37) was NOT in yesterday's status. This asymmetric breakdown is worth watching — if financials accelerate lower while SPY holds, it's a systemic warning signal.
SNOW approaching its +20% target. At $177.92, it is 5.7% from the $188.05 target. The exit trigger is RSI fade or a price touch of $188.
Sources
Generated 2026-03-12 from pre-computed summaries, portfolio files, actions, and scan data. Previous status: the March 11 daily status.
Price truth: validated daily summaries (summaries).