Regime: STAGFLATION DEEPENING -- BREADTH COLLAPSING. VOO $609.11 (RSI 34, -3.0% 30D) -- deteriorated further from $615 yesterday. VIXY $32.46 (RSI 60, +16.3% 30D) -- fear still elevated, no all-clear. GLD $460.85 (RSI 48, +2.8% 30D) -- safe haven pulling back but structural uptrend intact. TLT RSI 39 -- bonds still broken. EEM $58.68 (RSI 45, -4.7% 30D) -- fading on oil/dollar double pain. USO RSI 86, +58.3% 30D -- oil remains parabolic. Monster breadth collapsed 56% (153 to 67 names). SaaS massacre accelerating: TEAM -53.5% 3M, WDAY -39.4% 3M, ADBE -29% 3M. Zero golden signals for the FOURTH consecutive scan. SPY RSI 34 approaching oversold. TSLA broke below SMA200 -- critical structural test.
1. Market Weather
| Indicator |
Level |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Signal |
Note |
| VOO (S&P 500) |
$609.11 |
34 |
-3.0% |
DOWN |
Deteriorated from $615 yesterday. Approaching oversold territory. |
| SPY |
$662.36 |
34 |
-3.0% |
DOWN |
RSI 34, below SMA20/50. Slow grind accelerating. |
| QQQ |
$593.72 |
40 |
-1.3% |
OUTPERFORMING |
Still relatively stronger than VOO but fading. |
| VIXY (VIX) |
$32.46 |
60 |
+16.3% |
FEAR ELEVATED |
No all-clear. Fourth scan at elevated levels. |
| GLD (Gold) |
$460.85 |
48 |
+2.8% |
SAFE HAVEN |
Pulling back from highs but golden cross intact. +67% 1Y. |
| TLT (Bonds) |
~$88 |
39 |
~-2% |
BROKEN |
Bonds NOT rallying in risk-off. Stagflation signature. |
| EEM (Emerging) |
$58.68 |
45 |
-4.7% |
FADING |
Oil/dollar double pain for importers. |
| USO (Oil) |
— |
86 |
+58.3% |
PARABOLIC |
Iran/Hormuz crisis. Do NOT chase. Inflation driver. |
| XLF (Financials) |
$48.91 |
29 |
-5.4% |
CRACKING |
Financials breaking down faster than broad market. |
| ITB (Homebuilders) |
$93.19 |
22 |
-17.1% |
CAPITULATION |
Housing oversold deepest since 2022. |
One-liner: Stagflation grind is accelerating. VOO RSI 34 (was 37) means broad market is sliding toward oversold but not there yet -- this is death by a thousand cuts, not a capitulation flush. ADBE crashed -7.7% in a single day (SaaS massacre). AVGO gave back -4.7%. Monster breadth collapsed 56% in one scan. Gold pulling back but structural uptrend intact. Life sciences cluster expanded to 5 names (MDT/DHR/TMO/A/SYK all RSI 22-27) as highest-conviction contrarian theme. Zero golden signals for 4th straight scan -- smart money still NOT buying.
2. Sector Heat Map
Overbought (Don't Chase)
| Sector |
Ticker/ETF |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Signal |
| Oil / Energy |
USO |
86 |
+58.3% |
PARABOLIC -- do NOT chase. Iran/Hormuz. |
| Agriculture |
SOYB |
78 |
— |
Commodity inflation spreading. |
| Dollar |
UUP |
73 |
+2.3% |
Strong-up. Amplifying EM/importer pain. |
| Defense |
LMT/NOC |
45-56 |
+28-34% 3M |
War premium structural. Healthy consolidation. |
| Memory/Storage |
MU/WDC/STX |
48-57 |
+55-91% 3M |
Most durable monster theme. Healthy RSI. |
Oversold (Opportunity Zone)
| Sector |
Ticker/ETF |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Signal |
| Life Sciences Tools |
MDT/DHR/TMO/A/SYK |
22-27 |
-7 to -13% |
CLUSTER CAPITULATION -- 5 names now. Highest conviction. |
| Homebuilders |
ITB/XHB |
22-24 |
-15 to -17% |
Full capitulation. Needs oil reversal catalyst. |
| Financials |
XLF |
29 |
-5.4% |
Cracking faster than SPY. Systemic risk watch. |
| Consumer Discretionary |
NKE/CMG/LULU |
25-30 |
-8 to -16% |
Broad consumer pain. Trade-down in effect. |
| Home Improvement |
LOW/HD |
25-29 |
-11 to -16% |
Joining housing capitulation. |
| Infrastructure Materials |
VMC/MLM |
28-30 |
-10 to -18% |
AI data center pick-and-shovel. Overlooked. |
Recovering / Neutral
| Sector |
Status |
| Cloud/SaaS |
Structural repricing confirmed. 14 death crosses. NET lone exception. TEAM -54%, ADBE -29% 3M. Not a dip. |
| Big Tech |
MSFT $396 (RSI 56), GOOGL $302 (RSI 41), AMZN $208 (RSI 42). Holding but weakening. |
| Semis |
SMH RSI ~48. AVGO +2.7%. Neutral, gave back gains. |
| Biotech |
XBI RSI ~54. CRSP $48.75 (RSI 39). Gene editing without clear catalyst. |
3. Top 5 Opportunities
| Rank |
Ticker |
Price |
RSI |
Entry Zone |
Conviction |
Why |
| 1 |
Life Sciences Cluster |
MDT $87/DHR $188/TMO $464/A $112/SYK $337 |
22-27 |
Various |
Strong Buy |
Five quality names simultaneously at historic oversold. Sector-wide de-rating, not structural impairment. Highest-conviction contrarian entry in market. |
| 2 |
ITB/XHB |
$93/$101 |
22-24 |
$88-$95/$95-$105 |
Strong Buy (contrarian) |
Housing ETFs at deepest oversold since 2022. Needs oil reversal for catalyst but risk/reward compelling for patient capital. |
| 3 |
NKE |
$53.98 |
25 |
$50-$54 |
Strong Buy |
-33% from high, death cross, but brand power intact. Capitulation territory. Tiny starter only. |
| 4 |
VMC/MLM |
$265/$591 |
28-30 |
$258-$270/$580-$600 |
Strong Buy |
Infrastructure materials for AI data center construction. Overlooked oversold. |
| 5 |
V/MA |
$307/$498 |
34 |
$300-$310/$490-$510 |
Watch |
Payment duopoly simultaneously at rare oversold. Death crosses present but franchise quality unquestionable. |
Theme: life sciences cluster is expanding (not contracting), housing at historic oversold, and quality franchises being indiscriminately sold. Zero golden signals means patience -- accumulate slowly.
4. Top Risks
Stop-Loss Proximity (Paper Portfolios)
| Stock |
Strategy |
Entry |
Stop |
Current |
Distance |
Status |
| LULU |
claude-trader |
$177.34 |
$150.74 (-15%) |
$157.78 |
4.5% above |
CRITICAL -- deepened from 5.9%. Only ~$7 from stop trigger. |
| ADBE |
claude-trader |
$269.39 |
$228.98 (-15%) |
$249.32 |
8.2% above |
Watch -- crashed -7.7% in one day. SaaS massacre. |
| CRSP |
claude-trader |
$51.31 |
$43.61 (-15%) |
$48.75 |
10.6% above |
Watch -- insider buying $28M provides floor. |
| ARKK |
yolo |
$74.36 |
$59.49 (-20%) |
$70.21 |
18.0% above |
Watch -- innovation in wrong regime. |
| CRSP |
yolo |
$51.31 |
$41.05 (-20%) |
$48.75 |
18.8% above |
Watch -- YOLO stop wider but narrowing. |
| LOW |
yolo |
$250.22 |
$200.18 (-20%) |
$237.64 |
18.7% above |
Watch -- housing capitulation deepening. |
bench-signals Danger Zone
| Stock |
Entry |
Current |
Unrealized |
Status |
| TMO |
$542.36 |
$464.38 |
-14.4% |
0.7% from -15% stop. CRITICAL DANGER. |
| NKE |
$61.00 |
$53.98 |
-11.5% |
3.4% from -15% stop. DANGER. |
| GIS |
$44.85 |
$39.78 |
-11.3% |
3.5% from -15% stop. DANGER. |
| ESTC |
$59.00 |
$52.52 |
-11.0% |
3.8% from -15% stop. DANGER. |
| LULU |
$177.00 |
$157.78 |
-10.9% |
3.9% from -15% stop. DANGER. |
| AMD |
$216.25 |
$193.39 |
-10.6% |
4.2% from -15% stop. |
| AS |
$36.00 |
$32.33 |
-10.2% |
4.6% from -15% stop. |
Real Portfolio Alerts
| Stock |
Alert |
Status |
| AS (holdings) |
$30.71 stop |
AT STOP -- RSI 30, -19.7% 30D. EXIT DECISION REQUIRED. |
| MDT (holdings) |
$83 stop |
CRITICAL -- RSI 22, 3.6% from stop. Life sciences selloff. |
| NET (holdings) |
$185 stop (raised) |
STRONG -- +19.7%. Insider selling -$741.8M. Partial target $231. |
5. Actions Log
Trades Executed 03/13
| Strategy |
Trade |
Ticker |
Price |
Shares |
Value |
Rationale |
| claude-trader |
BUY |
SYK |
$336.71 |
7.42 |
$2,498 |
Life sciences cluster -- RSI 26.5 medtech capitulation. Replacing TMO exposure with medtech diversification. |
| claude-momentum |
BUY |
TMO |
$464.38 |
6.46 |
$3,000 |
RSI 24.4 extreme capitulation. Life sciences monopoly. Cluster trade with DHR+A+SYK. |
| claude-momentum |
BUY |
SYK |
$336.71 |
8.91 |
$3,000 |
RSI 26.5 medtech capitulation. Diversifies life sciences cluster. |
| yolo |
BUY |
SOXS |
$41.26 |
169.66 |
$7,000 |
FIRST LEVERAGED INVERSE PLAY. Semis in structural downtrend. VIXY > 50 regime rule. |
| bench-signals |
BUY |
SYK |
$336.71 |
2.97 |
$1,000 |
Medtech capitulation RSI 26.5. New signal #56. |
| bench-signals |
BUY |
A |
$111.94 |
8.93 |
$1,000 |
Lab instruments RSI 26.5. New signal #57. |
| bench-signals |
BUY |
XHB |
$100.87 |
9.91 |
$1,000 |
Homebuilder ETF RSI 24. New signal #58. |
| bench-signals |
BUY |
XLF |
$48.91 |
20.45 |
$1,000 |
Financials ETF RSI 29. New signal #59. |
New Entry Zones Added 03/13 (vs 03/12)
| Ticker |
RSI |
Entry Zone |
Change |
| SYK |
27 |
$330-$340 |
NEW -- Medtech capitulation. Added to life sciences cluster. |
| AAPL |
35 |
$240-$250 |
NEW -- Consumer tech bellwether approaching oversold. |
| META |
36 |
$600-$615 |
NEW -- AI capex thesis approaching value territory. |
| CROX |
37 |
$78-$82 |
NEW -- Death cross, -33% from high. Brand momentum uncertain. |
| ON |
36 |
$55-$58 |
NEW -- Power semis weak, RSI 35.6. |
Profit Target / Stop Events 03/13
| Stock |
Strategy |
Status |
Notes |
| AMKR |
bench-signals |
+47.4% -- PAST +20% target |
Close as WIN next session. |
| TMO |
bench-signals |
-14.4% -- 0.7% from -15% stop |
CRITICAL. Next session stop candidate. |
6. Portfolio Pulse
Leaderboard
| Rank |
Strategy |
Return |
Value |
Cash |
Positions |
Trades Today |
Trend |
| 1 |
claude-trader |
+1.58% |
$101,582 |
$52,384 (52%) |
22 |
1 (BUY SYK) |
DOWN (was +2.21%) |
| 2 |
bench-signals |
-1.0% open / -1.9% net |
~$50,505 on $50K |
-- |
50 open / 7 closed |
4 (BUY SYK/A/XHB/XLF) |
DOWN (TMO at critical stop) |
| 3 |
claude-momentum |
-0.57% |
$99,427 |
$65,371 (66%) |
10 |
2 (BUY TMO/SYK) |
DOWN (was -0.20%) |
| 4 |
yolo |
-2.41% |
$97,587 |
$34,649 (35%) |
9 |
1 (BUY SOXS) |
DOWN (was -1.49%) |
Overall narrative: All four strategies declined as the broad selloff deepened. Claude-trader slipped from +2.21% to +1.58% -- still the only positive strategy. ADBE crashed -7.7% in a single day, AVGO gave back -4.7%, and LULU deepened to -11.0% (CRITICAL at 4.5% above stop). Momentum went deeper negative as new life sciences cluster positions (TMO + SYK) entered at today's prices. YOLO added its first inverse leveraged play (SOXS) -- the "anti-trade" thesis in stagflation. Bench-signals has TMO at -14.4%, just 0.7% from the -15% stop -- likely next loss. AMKR at +47.4% needs to be closed as a WIN.
claude-trader Positions (22) -- $101,582 (+1.58%)
| Stock |
Shares |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
% |
Status |
| NFLX |
24 |
$80.78 |
$94.64 |
+$333 |
+17.2% |
LEADER -- approaching +30% target ($105.01) |
| INTU |
10 |
$389.98 |
$438.47 |
+$485 |
+12.4% |
Pulled back from +21.5%. Death cross monitor. |
| NOW |
19 |
$102.63 |
$113.60 |
+$208 |
+10.7% |
Cloud resilience. |
| SNOW |
12 |
$170.57 |
$178.62 |
+$97 |
+4.7% |
Approaching +30% target area. |
| ORCL |
13 |
$152.95 |
$159.93 |
+$91 |
+4.6% |
Earnings validated. |
| AVGO |
9 |
$313.78 |
$322.16 |
+$75 |
+2.7% |
Gave back from +7.8%. AI ASIC thesis intact. |
| MSFT |
5 |
$390.00 |
$395.55 |
+$28 |
+1.4% |
Steady. |
| WCLD |
70 |
$27.88 |
$28.28 |
+$28 |
+1.4% |
Cloud ETF baseline. |
| SYK |
7.42 |
$336.71 |
$336.71 |
$0 |
0.0% |
NEW TODAY -- life sciences cluster. |
| GLD |
4 |
$470.67 |
$460.85 |
-$39 |
-2.1% |
Gold pulling back. |
| CRM |
10 |
$193.75 |
$192.80 |
-$10 |
-0.5% |
Flat. |
| ISRG |
4 |
$476.32 |
$472.16 |
-$17 |
-0.9% |
Approaching entry zone. |
| IGV |
25 |
$85.02 |
$84.19 |
-$21 |
-1.0% |
Cloud ETF. |
| GOOGL |
6 |
$305.72 |
$302.28 |
-$21 |
-1.1% |
Death cross formed. |
| AMZN |
9 |
$210.10 |
$207.67 |
-$22 |
-1.2% |
Near flat. Death cross. |
| WDAY |
21 |
$138.57 |
$136.05 |
-$53 |
-1.8% |
SaaS risk. |
| LOW |
10 |
$246.81 |
$237.64 |
-$92 |
-3.7% |
Housing weakness. |
| DHR |
12 |
$195.22 |
$187.98 |
-$87 |
-3.7% |
Life sciences cluster. |
| CLX |
22 |
$115.50 |
$110.83 |
-$103 |
-4.0% |
Consumer staples. |
| CRSP |
40 |
$51.31 |
$48.75 |
-$102 |
-5.0% |
Gene editing. Insider buying $28M. |
| ADBE |
7 |
$269.39 |
$249.32 |
-$141 |
-7.5% |
SaaS massacre -- crashed -7.7% in one day. |
| LULU |
11 |
$177.34 |
$157.78 |
-$215 |
-11.0% |
CRITICAL -- 4.5% above stop ($150.74). |
claude-momentum Positions (10) -- $99,427 (-0.57%)
| Stock |
Shares |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
% |
Status |
| SNOW |
19 |
$156.71 |
$178.62 |
+$416 |
+14.0% |
CLOSEST TO +20% TARGET ($188.05) -- 5.3% away |
| AMZN |
10 |
$198.79 |
$207.67 |
+$89 |
+4.5% |
Death cross watch. |
| AVGO |
15 |
$313.84 |
$322.16 |
+$125 |
+2.7% |
Gave back from +7.8%. |
| IGV |
35 |
$82.77 |
$84.19 |
+$50 |
+1.7% |
Cloud ETF. |
| SYK |
8.91 |
$336.71 |
$336.71 |
$0 |
0.0% |
NEW TODAY. |
| TMO |
6.46 |
$464.38 |
$464.38 |
$0 |
0.0% |
NEW TODAY -- life sciences monopoly. |
| DHR |
17 |
$187.98 |
$187.98 |
$0 |
0.0% |
Life sciences cluster. |
| A |
26 |
$111.94 |
$111.94 |
$0 |
0.0% |
Lab instruments cluster. |
| WDAY |
36 |
$138.57 |
$136.05 |
-$91 |
-1.8% |
SaaS risk. 8.3% above -10% stop. |
| LOW |
16 |
$246.81 |
$237.64 |
-$147 |
-3.7% |
Housing weakness. 6.5% above stop. |
yolo Positions (9) -- $97,587 (-2.41%)
| Stock |
Shares |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
% |
Status |
| ORCL |
50 |
$152.95 |
$159.93 |
+$349 |
+4.6% |
BEST -- earnings gap validated. |
| AVGO |
32 |
$313.78 |
$322.16 |
+$268 |
+2.7% |
Gave back from +7.8%. AI ASIC. |
| SOXS |
169.66 |
$41.26 |
$41.26 |
$0 |
0.0% |
NEW -- inverse semi leverage. |
| GDX |
60 |
$99.64 |
$99.64 |
$0 |
0.0% |
Gold miners catch-up. |
| GLD |
17 |
$470.67 |
$460.85 |
-$167 |
-2.1% |
Gold pulling back. |
| TQQQ |
100 |
$48.78 |
$47.35 |
-$143 |
-2.9% |
Leveraged tech. |
| CRSP |
100 |
$51.31 |
$48.75 |
-$256 |
-5.0% |
18.8% above -20% stop. |
| LOW |
40 |
$250.22 |
$237.64 |
-$503 |
-5.0% |
Housing capitulation. |
| ARKK |
67 |
$74.36 |
$70.21 |
-$278 |
-5.6% |
18.0% above -20% stop. Watch. |
bench-signals Top Movers (50 open signals, 7 closed)
New signals today: SYK (RSI 27, medtech), A (RSI 27, lab instruments), XHB (RSI 24, homebuilders), XLF (RSI 29, financials).
Pending closes: AMKR +47.4% -- close as WIN next session. TMO -14.4% -- 0.7% from -15% stop, likely next loss.
Closed record: 1W / 6L. Realized: -$971 net (+$202 wins, -$1,173 losses).
Danger zone: TMO -14.4% (CRITICAL), NKE -11.5%, GIS -11.3%, ESTC -11.0%, LULU -10.9%, AMD -10.6%, AS -10.2% -- 7 signals within 5% of -15% stop.
7. Key Numbers
| Metric |
Value |
Context |
| Most Oversold (quality) |
MDT RSI 22 |
Deepest oversold in life sciences cluster. Dividend aristocrat. |
| Life Sciences Cluster |
MDT 22 / DHR 24 / TMO 24 / A 27 / SYK 27 |
FIVE names now. Expanding, not contracting. Highest conviction. |
| Golden Signals |
ZERO |
Fourth consecutive scan. Smart money NOT buying. |
| Most Overbought |
USO RSI 86 |
Oil parabolic +58.3% 30D. Do NOT chase. |
| Gold |
$460.85 (RSI 48) |
Pulling back but +67% 1Y structural uptrend. Golden cross intact. |
| VIXY |
$32.46 (RSI 60) |
Fear elevated. No all-clear. |
| VOO |
$609.11 (RSI 34) |
Deteriorating further. Approaching oversold. |
| SPY 30D |
-3.0% |
Accelerating decline from -1.8% yesterday. |
| XLF |
$48.91 (RSI 29) |
Financials cracking -- systemic risk watch. |
| Monster Breadth |
67 (was 153) |
-56% collapse in one scan. Market narrowing sharply. |
| Insider Posture |
49 selling, 3 buying |
Only TSLA, CRSP, ASAN with net buying. |
| Entry Zones Active |
21 oversold + 17 approaching |
38 total. Broad capitulation across sectors. |
| TSLA vs SMA200 |
$391.20 vs $393.45 |
BELOW SMA200. Golden cross at risk. |
| Signals (bench) |
57 total (50 open, 7 closed) |
1W/6L. AMKR +47.4% pending close as WIN. |
| Best Strategy |
claude-trader +1.58% |
Still leader but declining. |
| NFLX (trader) |
+17.2% |
Leading position. Approaching +30% target. |
| SNOW (momentum) |
+14.0% |
5.3% from +20% target ($188.05). Next profit exit. |
| LULU (trader) |
-11.0% |
#1 risk. 4.5% above stop. CRITICAL. |
| Stagflation Signal |
USO +58.3% + TLT 39 + ITB 22 |
Oil parabolic, bonds broken, housing destroyed. |
8. What Changed (03/13 vs 03/12)
All four strategies declined further as selloff broadened. Claude-trader fell from +2.21% to +1.58%, momentum from -0.20% to -0.57%, YOLO from -1.49% to -2.41%. The broad market grind lower is eating into every portfolio. ADBE crashed -7.7% in one day (SaaS massacre accelerating), AVGO gave back -4.7%, META dropped -6.4%. Even defensive plays weakened -- GLD pulled back -2.1% from entry.
LULU is now CRITICAL at 4.5% above stop. Deepened from -9.7% to -11.0% ($157.78). Only ~$7 from the $150.74 stop trigger. Death cross, RSI 30, -55% from ATH. If it falls another $7, the stop fires. This is the highest-risk position in the entire system.
Life sciences cluster expanded to 5 names and became the dominant buying theme. Claude-trader added SYK ($2,498), momentum added TMO + SYK ($6,000 total). The cluster (MDT RSI 22, DHR RSI 24, TMO RSI 24, A RSI 27, SYK RSI 27) is the highest-conviction contrarian entry -- momentum now has 40% of invested capital in life sciences (DHR + A + TMO + SYK = $12K). This is a concentrated bet on the sector-wide de-rating being cyclical, not structural.
YOLO went inverse for the first time. Bought SOXS ($7,000) -- inverse semi ETF at $41.26. Semis in structural downtrend (SOXL -16% below SMA20). Combined with TQQQ (long tech), the portfolio has partially offsetting leveraged positions. Leveraged exposure now 12% of portfolio. This is the "anti-trade IS the trade" thesis in stagflation.
Monster breadth collapsed 56% (153 to 67 names). Sharpest single-day culling yet. Photonics cluster gutted, gold miners purged, chemicals dropped. Only memory (MU +91%, WDC +84%), AI infrastructure (VRT +65%, FIX +43%), and oil/energy survived. Market is narrowing to a handful of themes.
TMO in bench-signals is 0.7% from -15% stop -- next loss imminent. At $464.38 vs $542.36 entry (-14.4%), TMO is the closest signal to triggering a stop. Meanwhile, AMKR at +47.4% ($28 to $41.27) needs to be closed as WIN -- well past the +20% target. Seven signals total in the danger zone (-10% to -14.4%).
SPY RSI 34 and VOO RSI 34 -- broad market approaching oversold. Was RSI 37 yesterday. The slow grind is becoming a faster slide. Still NOT at capitulation levels (RSI < 30) but getting there. Everything is weaker than 24 hours ago. Zero golden signals for the 4th straight scan means smart money is still sitting out.
Sources
Generated 2026-03-13 from pre-computed summaries, portfolio files, actions, and scan data. Previous status: the March 12 daily status.
Price truth: validated daily summaries (summaries).