Market Conditions — 2026-09-30

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Article published Sep 30, 2026. Prices below use latest available snapshots.

SPY $763.25 +1.2% 30d QQQ $709.80 +0.7% 30d IWM $270.44 -4.8% 30d

A frozen snapshot: each card records its own moment and is meant to read stale later. The strip of cards, in order, is the climate history.

Gauge Read Note
Indexes (7d) SPY -0.7% · QQQ -0.2% · IWM -1.4% · RSP -1.6% 30d: SPY -0.6% · QQQ +3.2% · IWM -5.5% · RSP -5.2%
Volatility VIX 16.34 (NORMAL) · 1d +1.9% Fire-sale window closed — the trigger is a ≥30% one-day spike
Rotation In: CPU Shortage Supply Chain, Thebuildout Semiconductor Test Burn In Equipment, WFE Test Metrology, Biotech Capital Cycle, Thebuildout Dram Memory (+59 more) · Out: Alt Managers, Nuclear Fuel Cycle, Livestock Disease, Trace Lng Liquefaction Shipping And Regasification, Lazarus (+33 more) 64 in / 38 out / 0 emerging of 123 tracked themes · ranked on trailing 30d strength vs SPY
Credit (7d) HYG -1.1% · LQD -1.6% · IEF -1.0% Orderly credit means the selling is positioning, not a credit event
Hard assets (7d) GLD -3.1% · USO -2.1% · COPX -2.7% Gold · oil · copper miners

Sources

  • market-pulse + rotation-map.json · data/state/vix-gate.json (all numbers code-computed and frozen at emit)