Historical hypothesis, now retired from live research: The historical anomaly concerns whether gold reliably responds to risk-off catalysts and a softer dollar; recovery and miners-versus-metal are distinct tests.

Why now

Retire a price anomaly that has not established safe-haven attribution or a separate investable mechanism; preserve the historical observations.

In scope

The historical anomaly concerns whether gold reliably responds to risk-off catalysts and a softer dollar; recovery and miners-versus-metal are distinct tests.

Out of scope

No current campaign-level investment recommendation · No reconstruction of past returns or reassignment of original calls

Expected horizon

Historical anomaly window; no standing campaign review date.

What supports it

Registered fixed gates: GLD below410; recovery GLD above445 with RSI above55; UUP below27.10 with gold failing to bid tests dollar decoupling. Verify multi-session behavior and event context.

What would break it

The closure is a research-priority decision, not a new market falsification verdict. Original evidence gaps and outcomes remain as recorded.

Next review On condition · A defined event study separating dollar, rates and risk effects plus an actionable claim could support a successor.

Closed 2026-09-06 · Retire a price anomaly that has not established safe-haven attribution or a separate investable mechanism; preserve the historical observations.