Nearline storage: density and supplier discipline · Campaigns

Campaign

Nearline storage: density and supplier discipline

active · AI · Storage

Horizon 6–24 months; review demand, capacity and margins at each quarterly release. Last research review Latest evidence Priority high

Ideas and calls

Long, bearish, hedge and relative-value ideas can coexist. Only explicitly issued calls enter the existing scoreboard; short and hedge performance is not graded.

Issued calls · returns compare the symbol with SPY after 30 and 90 days. Positive excess supports a BUY; negative excess supports TRIM or SELL. WAIT and research ideas have no score. These are call outcomes, not a campaign return.

Entry and invalidationHorizon / review30 days90 days
MUWAIT2026-08-08 · resolved:closedOriginal call

reclaims and holds the 20-day ($888.26) with RSI back above 50

Invalidation: RSI falls back under 40 while price stays below the 20-day

Not recordedReview 2026-09-11
Not gradedNot graded
SIMOWAIT2026-08-08 · resolved:hitOriginal call

price back above the 20-day ($264.25) with the 30-day loss narrowing

Invalidation: RSI below 40

Not recordedReview 2026-09-11
Not gradedNot graded
SNDKPASS2026-08-08 · resolved:closedOriginal call

no entry while price sits 13.0% below the 20-day ($1,393.06) and 28.2% below the 50-day

Invalidation: a base built back above the 20-day on rising volume forces a re-look

Not recordedReview 2026-09-11
Not gradedNot graded
STXWAIT2026-08-08 · resolved:hitOriginal call

holds the 20-day ($834.21) and turns RSI back above 50

Invalidation: either drive maker signals added unit or greenfield capacity, or a close below the 200-day ($533.00)

Not recordedReview 2026-09-11
Not gradedNot graded
WDCWAIT2026-08-08 · resolved:closedOriginal call

not before the Aug 5 call's allocation and gross-margin language is public and read; then a reclaim of the 20-day ($511.47)

Invalidation: any unit- or greenfield-capacity addition signalled by either drive maker — the supply-discipline pillar fails

Not recordedReview 2026-09-11
Not gradedNot graded
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