Trump Policy Ticker Catalysts — Source-Tier Event Study · Campaigns
Trump Policy Ticker Catalysts — Source-Tier Event Study
closed · Policy
Reviews
The case as it stood at each review, with the original call references and current outcomes.
Scope review: trump-policy-ticker-catalyst-watch
Campaign review · 2026-09-06 · data as of 2026-09-04
Retire the general policy watch as a campaign. Direct statements remain research inputs; each concrete economic claim must earn its own case.
Retire the general policy watch as a campaign. Direct statements remain research inputs; each concrete economic claim must earn its own case. Scope reviewed on September 6; source dates remain original. This is a research-priority and evidence-boundary review, not an entry call or a fresh historical performance grade.
0 original calls referenced · 0/0 directional calls have 30-day outcomes · 0/0 directional calls have 90-day outcomes
Case at review: Historical hypothesis, now retired from live research: The narrow event study tests direct presidential statements against ticker moves, accounting for earnings, analyst and sector confounds.
Retire the general policy watch as a campaign. Direct statements remain research inputs; each concrete economic claim must earn its own case.
Horizon: A future policy event needs its own bounded window.
Failure conditions: The closure is a research-priority decision, not a new market falsification verdict. Original evidence gaps and outcomes remain as recorded.
- A direct primary policy action with a specific economic transmission and a response surviving earnings and sector confounds would justify a successor.