Source

New Conviction Docs (since April 11)

Revan — Food Security / Agriculture Conviction Doc

• Thesis: geopolitical situations driving up agriculture and fertilizer production companies
• Picks in #conviction-doc-chat
• Integration: Already captured and integrated into our Food Security Cascade perspective. Validates our CF/NTR/MOS thesis.

Dan — Iran Military Escalation Thesis

• Google Doc: perspective on asymmetric risk of military escalation relative to prior ME/SA conflicts
• Also mentioned Howmet as "another good one"
• Action: Read this doc — may offer escalation scenario angles we haven't considered

BoredBank — Energy Play Doc

• Looking for cheaper opportunities outside GEV industrials
• Action: Quick scan — may surface tickers we don't track

Tom Conklin — NIQ (NielsenIQ) Consumer Intelligence Buy Thesis

• Global leader in consumer purchase measurement
• Tracks $7.4T in retail sales across 90 countries, 23K clients (every major CPG brand)
• Action: Interesting picks-and-shovels for consumer trend tracking. Research for potential cultural-thesis integration.

bluetuna — Busch Apple ($BUD) Cultural Signal

• Busch Apple previously extremely popular among college students, unavailable since 2022, returning
• Nolan notes alcohol consumption declining macro — short-term play at best, $BUD has significant debt
• Action: Classic cultural arbitrage signal but weak fundamentals. Ski...