Research Log
Article
Research Log
Research Log — 2026-04-26
| Area | Status | Headline |
|---|---|---|
| FULL WORKFLOW | ✅ Complete | Full scan #11. 29 scans, 10 active perspectives + 1 closed (BRBR/Protein Economy), holdings updated, candidates 11 themes, actions: 28 entries / 16 exit-trim / 2 critical stops. Status report, LOG.md, PERFORMANCE.md written. Today's realized P&L: +$6,597 across 4 strategies — best session ever. |
| Market | 🟢 | CHIP BLOWOFF + DEFENSE CAPITULATION + SAAS STRUCTURAL DECLINE. SPY $691 (RSI 66, near ATH). QQQ $637 (RSI 71). VXX -16% 7D = peak complacency. AMD/ARM/MRVL all RSI 87+ (parabolic). LMT/NOC RSI 18-19 (falling knife). ZS/SNOW down 30%+ (structural). BTC $77.8K cleared $75K trigger. USO cooling -10% 7D. 180 monsters (7x 26 from 04/10, zero dropouts). |
| Actions | ✅ | 28 entry zones (5 capitulation tier, 15 oversold, 8 approaching). 18 exit/trim alerts. 17 price alerts. 2 CRITICAL stops (MDT 0.4% above $83, BTC 1% above $34.04). AMZN trim mandatory (RSI 80, $10.9B insider sell). Triple-oversold pharma window: GILD/JNJ/ABBV all RSI 31-36. |
| Perspectives | ✅ | 6 SUSTAIN (Optical, AI Power, Food Security, US Energy Dominance, Gold Crash, Crypto-Geopolitics). 3 EVOLVE (War-Ends, Gulf Strike, Iran-Oil — de-escalation pricing). 1 CLOSED (BRBR/Protein Economy — thesis failed; HIMS was real winner). BTC cleared $75K crypto-geopolitics threshold. Space all golden cross first time in 12 months. |
| Paper: trader | 🟢 | +4.86% ($104,856). TRIM ARM 10sh @ $234.81 (+$857 realized, RSI 87 parabolic, +57.47%). BUY GILD/JNJ/HON/CRSP ($10K triple-oversold pharma + insider buy). 15 positions. ARM +57% leader. ABBV -2.95% laggard. 55% cash. |
| Paper: momentum | 🟢 | +3.94% ($103,940) — best session ever, +$1,923 realized. SELL META +20% ($697), GOOGL +20% ($903), TMO RSI exit ($322). BUY HON/GILD/JNJ/GD/LHX ($19K triple-oversold pharma + defense capitulation). 18 positions. CRWD +15.2%, MSFT +13.4% approaching targets. |
| Paper: yolo | 🟢 | +7.50% ($107,497) leader. SELL META +23.2% ($1,627), GOOGL +21.6% ($1,731). BUY LITE $13K MAX CONVICTION optical supercycle + RIOT/GDX/GILD $7K each. 11 positions. NUGT +14.84%, MSFT +13.37%, LABU +12.97%. 9% cash, fully deployed. +$3,358 realized today. |
| Paper: signals | 🟡 | 30.8% ledger win rate (4W/9L). +$459 ledger realized today (GOOGL +22.6%, META +23.2%). 16 new signals (GD, LHX, HON, JNJ, ITA, MCD, BRK-B, CME, XLE, FCX, DE, LITE, DDOG, TSM, ASML, URA). 51 ledger-tracked open + 88 numbered. NKE -13.8%, LULU -14.6%, ABT -10.2% in danger zone. |
| Real Holdings | 🟢 | +6.71% (~$39,872) — strongest reading in months. AMZN +29.07% (RSI 79.9 — TRIM candidate, $10.9B insider sell). NET reversal $169 → $207 (+21.8%). MDT 0.4% above stop, BTC 1% above stop — same-day decisions required. |
| Key Theme | 🟢 | The bounce playbook executed flawlessly. Bought RSI 25-28 in March, sold RSI 67-69 today — META, GOOGL, TMO all delivered. Now triple-oversold pharma + defense capitulation are the next setups. The CRSP lesson finally honored — took the money instead of round-tripping. Risk management is the job now: 180 monsters + VXX -16% 7D = peak complacency, breadth euphoria meeting selective capitulation. |
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