R12 perspective-refresh — concentrated longs holding; naming-fork resolved

Update

R12 perspective-refresh — concentrated longs holding; naming-fork resolved

  • Type: refresh (subtype: re-grade + naming-resolution)
  • event_id: 2026-05-19-war-ends-playbook-r12-naming-fork-resolved
  • Source: R12 post-R11 perspective-refresh fanout — workflow/RUNS.md 2026-05-19 r12-perspective-refresh-fanout; tape from published/research-notes/2026-05-19-r11-stale-thesis-check.md (2026-05-18 closes).
  • Shift: The concentrated long cohort is still working — GOOGL RSI 70.4 +31% 3M, AMZN/NVDA/MSFT/TSM/EWY/EWT all strong-up. GE strong-down -14% 3M remains the one laggard (flagged as fading since the 2026-05-01 refresh — now confirmed). No re-grade to the thesis; the tape carries the projection.
  • Naming-fork resolution: The body and the 2026-05-03 conversion note have flagged a fork since conversion ("fork risk-on-tech-rotation active + war-ends-playbook closed-with-verdict archive"). R12 resolves it without creating a 12th perspective directory — ACTIVE is at 11 active vs the editorial-playbook 8-active soft cap; a new dir is the wrong direction. Resolution: the original "war winds down / ceasefire" trigger is declared formally retired — never fired (the closed-with-verdict the body wanted; the codified 3-5-picks meta-lesson is preserved at the 2026-04-26 retrospective). The perspective continues, unchanged in cohort and id (war-ends-playbook kept for stable cross-references), under an updated name reflecting what it actually is: a concentrated risk-on / AI-supercycle tech-rotation thesis.
  • Effect on thesis: STABLE. name updated in ACTIVE.json + README banner; no cohort change. NVDA Q1 FY27 earnings 2026-05-28 remains the live catalyst.
  • Per-ticker: GOOGL ↑ (RSI 70.4, +31% 3M, hot), AMZN ↑ / NVDA ↑ / MSFT ↑ / TSM ↑ (strong-up), EWY ↑ / EWT ↑ (Asian semis strong-up), GE ↓ (strong-down -14% 3M — laggard confirmed)
5 events
DateTypeEvent
May 28 CatalystNVDA Q1 FY27 Earnings (superseded cadence date — 2026-05-28) May 29 ScanBargain Bin Scan May 29 ScanTech Insider Buys Scan May 29 ScanAI Scan May 29 ScanInsider Scan

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