Daily Actions — May 23, 2026 (R30-A Phase 4)

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Daily Actions — May 23, 2026 (R30-A Phase 4)

Market Regime

Bifurcated bull: AI/semiconductor/memory parabolic (ARM +108%, ALAB +80%, MU +133% vs SMA200) while defensives, healthcare, crypto, and macro commodities retreat. 202 monster-scan names (42 overbought RSI>70). Market at late-cycle momentum distribution — breadth concentrated in AI compute layer. Cybersec pre-print overhang (FTNT/CRWD/PANW/DDOG all RSI 80+). BTC RSI 37.3 $74,432 (-41% ATH), ETH RSI 28.7 approaching capitulation. Geopolitical signal contested (Iran deal — R29-C attribution unverified). Real volatility crush: VXX -52.83% from 52wk high, RSI 36. GLD pulling back to SMA200 $400.12 zone.

Regime tag: strong-up-AI / approaching-oversold-macro / pre-print-cybersec / crypto-capitulation-watch


Entry Zones

Extreme Oversold (RSI < 20)

None qualify at RSI<20 threshold across all 29 scans.

Oversold / Capitulation (RSI 20–32)

Ticker RSI Price Trend Signal Action Notes
BRBR 26 strong-down DC ⛔ PAPER HOLD ONLY bench-signals position -40.64% PnL. At RSI 26, -86% from ATH. Capitulation zone but structural damage severe. Do NOT add.
ETH-USD 28.7 $2,021.65 strong-down DC 👁 WATCH RSI 25 Approaching capitulation. -20.8% vs SMA200. Watch for RSI 25 floor signal before any staged entry.
MLM 27 $536.48 👁 WATCH $510-530 Martin Marietta near capitulation. Quality aggregates compounder. Entry only if RSI<25 and price tests $510-530.
VMC 31.6 $260.65 👁 WATCH Vulcan Materials approaching capitulation. Same thesis as MLM. Watch for RSI confirmation.
CE 31 $52.39 down DC 👁 WATCH Celanese near capitulation. -19.65% 30D. Death cross. Chemicals — idiosyncratic risk. Confirm no catalyst before entering.
REGN 31.9 strong-down DC ⛔ AVOID Regeneron falling knife. No catalyst. -44.4% from ATH. Death cross. Let it find a floor.
SRPT 32.7 strong-down DC ⛔ AVOID Sarepta falling knife. Death cross. Biotech single-drug risk. Wait for RSI stabilization above 35.
NKTR 30.6 strong-down DC ⛔ AVOID Nektar -27% 30D. Death cross. Biotech falling knife. No floor visible.
ZTS 29 strong-down DC ⛔ AVOID Zoetis -29.9% 30D, -52.8% from ATH. Death cross. Don't catch this knife.
UI 28.1 ⛔ NO SIGNAL RSI 28.1 BUT insiders net selling (-$890K). No golden signal — insider sells into oversold = structural concern.

Approaching Oversold (RSI 33–40)

Ticker RSI Price Trend Signal Action Notes
WMT 34.1 $120.27 DC 📈 ACCUMULATE Earnings shock selloff. Quality compounder at discount. RSI 34.1, -9.18% 7D. Accumulate in tranches.
DE 32.4 $529.15 DC 📈 ACCUMULATE Deere -5.64% 7D, -18% 3M. Quality at discount. Food security thesis + AI automation. Accumulate carefully; death cross overhead.
LULU 39.3 down DC 📈 ACCUMULATE CAREFULLY Lululemon approaching oversold. burry-13f paper position -27.57% PnL. Cultural thesis intact (aspirational athleisure). Confirmed pullback, not structural break. Small tranches only.
GLD 39.6 $413.82 👁 WATCH $400 Gold approaching SMA200 $400.12. If holds $400 = buy; if breaks = structural shift. KEY LEVEL THIS WEEK.
GDX 39.6 $85.02 DC 👁 WATCH Gold miners approaching oversold. Leveraged gold thesis. Watch GLD $400 first.
NOC 35 DC 👁 WATCH Northrop -28.22% from ATH, RSI 35 approaching oversold. B-21 production milestone watch as mean-reversion catalyst. No position yet.
TMO 39.9 👁 WATCH Thermo Fisher approaching oversold. Quality lab equipment compounder. Watch for RSI 35 confirmation.
NEE 38.8 GC 👁 WATCH NextEra golden cross intact but RSI falling. AI power thesis. Watch for RSI stabilization.
URA 41.2 $48.96 DC 👁 WATCH $48.19 Uranium ETF at SMA200 $48.19. If holds = accumulate; if breaks = wait. Death cross overhead.
BTC-USD 37.3 $74,432 strong-down DC 👁 WATCH $70K RSI 37.3, -41% from ATH. Approaching oversold. Watch $70K prior cycle high as structural support. Staged entry only after RSI 30 test.
EXPE 36.2 👁 WATCH Expedia approaching oversold. Travel leisure OTA. Monitor for RSI stabilization.
DPZ 38.8 DC ⛔ AVOID Domino's at RSI 38.8 but dead-cat risk. Death cross. Don't buy falling knife.

Exit Alerts

Cybersec Pre-Print Trim (RSI 80+ Blowoff)

Ticker RSI Print Date Action Notes
FTNT 88.5 ✂️ TRIM Highest RSI in cybersec. Extended. Trim 25-30% of position into strength. Not a full exit — secular thesis intact.
CRWD 87.4 6/3 ✂️ TRIM BEFORE PRINT CrowdStrike printing 6/3. RSI 87.4 at near-ATH. High sell-the-news risk. Trim 20-25% before print. Hold core. Insiders net selling -$433M.
PANW 84 6/2 ✂️ TRIM BEFORE PRINT Palo Alto printing 6/2. RSI 84. Insider selling -$1.7B into strength. Trim 20% before print.
DDOG 84.4 ✂️ TRIM Datadog RSI 84.4, +73.9% 30D. Insiders sold -$586M. Extended — trim 20%.
CSCO 81 👁 WATCH Cisco RSI 81. Monitor for RSI rollover. Trim on any technical breakdown.
ZS 73.6 5/26 👁 WATCH PRINT Zscaler printing 5/26. RSI 73.6 — most room for recovery post-print. Hold but watch reaction.

Memory Parabolic (Extreme SMA200 Extension)

Ticker RSI vs SMA200 Action Notes
MU 65 +132.9% 🔒 HOLD Best entry if RSI cools to 55. SMA20 pullback ~$650 is the zone. No new positions at current levels.
STX 68.4 +130.5% 🔒 HOLD Near ATH (-3.4%). Don't add. Hold with SMA20 trailing stops.
WDC 63.5 +118.8% 🔒 HOLD Near ATH (-7.8%). Don't add. Steady.
ALAB 79 +79.7% ✂️ TRIM Astera Labs RSI 79, +43% 7D. Monster-scan candidate for trim. Take 20-25% off table.
ARM 76.6 +108.4% 🔒 HOLD ONLY Still extended at RSI 76.6. +48.7% 7D. No new positions. Hold with stops at SMA20.
SMTC 77 ✂️ TRIM Semtech RSI 77. Trim into strength.

Parabolic Momentum (Other Extended Names)

Ticker RSI Action Notes
ENPH 78.1 ⛔ AVOID Enphase +77.1% 30D. RSI 78.1 — don't chase.
WOLF 76.3 ⛔ AVOID Wolfspeed +154% 30D. Momentum spike — extreme extension vs SMA200.
DDOG 84.4 ✂️ TRIM See cybersec table above.
BB 85.1 ✂️ TRIM BlackBerry RSI 85.1. Monster-scan trim candidate.

Real-Money USER Advisories (NOT auto-sell — yawnxyz-active)

GUARDRAIL: yawnxyz-active is a real account. These are informational advisories only. User must make all decisions.

Ticker Status Advisory
MDT 🚨 STOP BREACHED April actions set stop at $83. Current price: $78.60 (-$4.40 below stop). RSI 44.5, death cross, -19.6% 3M, -26.1% from ATH. USER DECISION REQUIRED: (1) Accept the loss and exit, (2) Re-evaluate stop to $75-76 SMA-based level, or (3) Average down with conviction. This is not a trivial gap — $78.60 represents structural deterioration. Recommend reviewing MDT thesis freshness before deciding.
BTC (GBTC mini) ⚠️ BELOW PRIOR REFERENCE BTC now $74,432 (-41% from ATH). April reference had GBTC mini stop at $34.04. BTC has continued lower. USER DECISION REQUIRED: (1) Has stop been triggered / did you exit? (2) If still holding, reassess risk tolerance vs current level. RSI 37.3 approaching oversold — not yet capitulation (RSI 25-30 is the floor zone). Do not add until RSI approaches 30 or breaks $70K support holds.

Price Alerts

Level Ticker Direction Catalyst Date
$215 SMA20 NVDA HOLD Pre-print consolidation level. Print 5/28. Hold all AI ecosystem through print. 5/28
$78.20 SMA50 ZS WATCH Zscaler print 5/26. RSI 73.6 — healthiest cybersec setup. 5/26
RSI 90 rollover PANW TRIM TRIGGER RSI 84 → if approaches 90 and rolls, accelerate trim. Print 6/2. 6/2
RSI 90 rollover CRWD TRIM TRIGGER RSI 87.4 → highest sell-the-news risk in cybersec. Print 6/3. 6/3
$400.12 SMA200 GLD BUY/BREAK Gold SMA200 at $400.12. Hold above = accumulate; break below = structural bear signal for gold. ongoing
$48.19 SMA200 URA ACCUMULATE/BREAK Uranium ETF at SMA200. Hold = accumulate; break = wait for stabilization. ongoing
$70,000 BTC SUPPORT Prior cycle high as structural floor. Break below = accelerated drawdown risk. RSI 37 approaching oversold. ongoing
$85,000 BTC BULL RESUMPTION BTC bull resumption signal if reclaims $85K with RSI>50. ongoing
RSI 25 ETH-USD CAPITULATION ENTRY Watch RSI 25 floor on ETH for staged entry signal. Current RSI 28.7. ongoing
$510-530 MLM ENTRY ZONE MLM aggregates entry only if RSI<25 AND price tests $510-530. Current RSI 27. ongoing
$338-341 GD ENTRY ZONE General Dynamics lone defense GC outperformer. Entry zone active. ongoing
$154.03 ANET ACCUMULATE Arista healthiest networking RSI (53.9). Accumulate on dips to SMA20. ongoing
$650+ MU ENTRY ZONE MU SMA20 pullback = entry zone for best memory thesis. Current $751. ongoing
$87.20 P (Everpure) WATCH New AI storage play (fka PSTG). RSI 67.9, +24.6% 30D. Death cross still active — watch for trend flip before adding. ongoing

Carry-Forward from 2026-04-26 Actions

Evolved / Status Updated

Alert April Status Current Status
MDT $83 stop ACTIVE 🚨 BREACHEDMDT at $78.60. USER advisory above.
BTC GBTC mini $34.04 ACTIVE ⚠️ EVOLVEDBTC lower at $74,432. USER advisory above.
AMZN trim alert (RSI 80) ACTIVE RESOLVEDAMZN RSI reset to 58.3. Trim likely triggered. Now golden cross, healthy.
ARM $190 entry alert ACTIVE TRIGGERED/EXPIREDARM at $306.51. Well above $190 — alert no longer relevant.
AMD $280-300 zone ACTIVE TRIGGERED/EXPIREDAMD at $467.51. Well above zone.
RKLB RSI 50 reclaim ACTIVE TRIGGEREDRKLB RSI 68.8. Reclaimed RSI 50+.

Still Active (Copy Forward)

Alert Level Status Notes
GLD SMA200 watch $400.12 🔄 ACTIVE Gold approaching SMA200. See Price Alerts above.
BTC $80K resistance $80,000 🔄 ACTIVE BTC at $74,432 — still below $80K resistance. Bull resumption signal if reclaims.
NVDA SMA20 pullback SMA20 ~$215 🔄 ACTIVE NVDA at $215.33 RSI 53.6. Pre-print consolidation. Print 5/28.
Defense GD entry $338-341 🔄 ACTIVE GD RSI 53, only defense golden cross. Entry zone still valid.
LMT/NOC RSI upturn RSI watch 🔄 ACTIVE — EVOLVING NOC RSI now 35 (approaching oversold). B-21 milestone watch active. LMT RSI 47.1.
LITE accumulate zone SMA20 dip 🔄 ACTIVE LITE RSI 53.1, +13.1% 30D. Optical supercycle thesis. Accumulate on dips.
MOS Stage-4 trigger Watch 🔄 ACTIVE MOS death cross, -41% from ATH. Stage-4 breakdown confirmed. DO NOT BUY — food security names broken.
TSM SMA20 add $343 🔄 ACTIVE — ABOVE TSM at $404.52, RSI 55.2. Still accumulate thesis but above original $343 alert. Update level to SMA20 (~$380).

Action Matrix

Priority Action Ticker(s) Rationale
🚨 P0 USER DECISION: MDT real-money stop MDT $78.60 vs $83 stop. Breached. Review thesis + decide exit/reset/average.
🚨 P0 USER DECISION: BTC GBTC mini BTC $74,432 vs $34.04 prior stop. Well below. Assess position status.
✂️ TRIM Pre-print cybersec FTNT, CRWD, PANW, DDOG RSI 84-89. Print dates 5/26-6/3. Trim 20-25% before prints. Insider selling confirms.
✂️ TRIM Optical/memory extended ALAB, SMTC, BB RSI 77-85. Monster-scan trim candidates. Take profits.
🔒 HOLD AI infra core NVDA, TSM, ASML, AMZN RSI 53-62. Healthy structure. Hold and add on SMA20 pullbacks. Print 5/28 for NVDA.
🔒 HOLD Memory core MU, STX, WDC RSI 63-68. Parabolic but intact. Hold with SMA20 trailing stops. No new entries at +118-133% vs SMA200.
📈 ACCUMULATE WMT earnings shock WMT RSI 34.1, -9.18% 7D. Quality compounder at discount. Accumulate tranches.
📈 ACCUMULATE Deere quality dip DE RSI 32.4, -18% 3M. Food security + AI automation thesis. Tranches; death cross overhead.
📈 ACCUMULATE LULU carefully LULU RSI 39.3. Paper position already. Cultural thesis intact. Small tranches only.
📈 ACCUMULATE ASML cleanest AI entry ASML RSI 62, near ATH (-1.3%), +39.1% vs SMA200. Best risk/reward in AI infra.
📈 ACCUMULATE BITQ crypto exposure BITQ RSI 58.1, golden cross. Best risk-adjusted crypto play vs direct BTC/ETH.
📈 ACCUMULATE DRAM ETF passive memory DRAM RSI 65.9, +45.3% 30D. Passive memory thesis without single-stock risk.
👁 WATCH GLD SMA200 GLD $400.12 is the line. Buy above; respect break below.
👁 WATCH ETH capitulation ETH-USD RSI 28.7. Watch RSI 25 floor for staged entry. Not yet.
👁 WATCH BTC $70K support BTC-USD RSI 37. Watch $70K prior cycle high. Below = accelerated drawdown.
👁 WATCH URA SMA200 URA At $48.19 SMA200. Hold = accumulate; break = wait.
👁 WATCH NOC B-21 catalyst NOC RSI 35 approaching oversold. Mean-reversion setup if B-21 milestone announced.
👁 WATCH MLM capitulation MLM RSI 27, entry only at RSI<25 + $510-530 zone. Aggregates quality compounder.
⛔ AVOID Falling knives ZTS, REGN, SRPT, NKTR, NIO, LI RSI 28-33 WITH death cross AND no catalyst. Don't catch.
⛔ AVOID Extended RSI blowoffs ENPH, WOLF, ARM (new entries) RSI 76-81. Don't chase momentum at +108%+ vs SMA200.
⛔ AVOID Crypto broad COIN, MSTR, GBTC, XRP, ADA BTC/ETH retreating. Wait for floor before adding any crypto exposure.
⛔ AVOID Food security broken MOS, FMC Death crosses, -41% and -71% from ATH. Stage-4 breakdowns.

R30-A Phase 4. Sources: 29 scan files + candidate files (ai-infra, memory, crypto) + 2026-04-26 actions carry-forward + positions JSON. Date: 2026-05-23.

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/trend figures): desk pre-computed watchlist summaries as of the artifact date — *.
3 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.