Market Regime
Bifurcated bull: AI/semiconductor/memory parabolic (ARM +108%, ALAB +80%, MU +133% vs SMA200) while defensives, healthcare, crypto, and macro commodities retreat. 202 monster-scan names (42 overbought RSI>70). Market at late-cycle momentum distribution — breadth concentrated in AI compute layer. Cybersec pre-print overhang (FTNT/CRWD/PANW/DDOG all RSI 80+). BTC RSI 37.3 $74,432 (-41% ATH), ETH RSI 28.7 approaching capitulation. Geopolitical signal contested (Iran deal — R29-C attribution unverified). Real volatility crush: VXX -52.83% from 52wk high, RSI 36. GLD pulling back to SMA200 $400.12 zone.
Regime tag: strong-up-AI / approaching-oversold-macro / pre-print-cybersec / crypto-capitulation-watch
Entry Zones
Extreme Oversold (RSI < 20)
None qualify at RSI<20 threshold across all 29 scans.
Oversold / Capitulation (RSI 20–32)
| Ticker |
RSI |
Price |
Trend |
Signal |
Action |
Notes |
| BRBR |
26 |
— |
strong-down |
DC |
⛔ PAPER HOLD ONLY |
bench-signals position -40.64% PnL. At RSI 26, -86% from ATH. Capitulation zone but structural damage severe. Do NOT add. |
| ETH-USD |
28.7 |
$2,021.65 |
strong-down |
DC |
👁 WATCH RSI 25 |
Approaching capitulation. -20.8% vs SMA200. Watch for RSI 25 floor signal before any staged entry. |
| MLM |
27 |
$536.48 |
— |
— |
👁 WATCH $510-530 |
Martin Marietta near capitulation. Quality aggregates compounder. Entry only if RSI<25 and price tests $510-530. |
| VMC |
31.6 |
$260.65 |
— |
— |
👁 WATCH |
Vulcan Materials approaching capitulation. Same thesis as MLM. Watch for RSI confirmation. |
| CE |
31 |
$52.39 |
down |
DC |
👁 WATCH |
Celanese near capitulation. -19.65% 30D. Death cross. Chemicals — idiosyncratic risk. Confirm no catalyst before entering. |
| REGN |
31.9 |
— |
strong-down |
DC |
⛔ AVOID |
Regeneron falling knife. No catalyst. -44.4% from ATH. Death cross. Let it find a floor. |
| SRPT |
32.7 |
— |
strong-down |
DC |
⛔ AVOID |
Sarepta falling knife. Death cross. Biotech single-drug risk. Wait for RSI stabilization above 35. |
| NKTR |
30.6 |
— |
strong-down |
DC |
⛔ AVOID |
Nektar -27% 30D. Death cross. Biotech falling knife. No floor visible. |
| ZTS |
29 |
— |
strong-down |
DC |
⛔ AVOID |
Zoetis -29.9% 30D, -52.8% from ATH. Death cross. Don't catch this knife. |
| UI |
28.1 |
— |
— |
— |
⛔ NO SIGNAL |
RSI 28.1 BUT insiders net selling (-$890K). No golden signal — insider sells into oversold = structural concern. |
Approaching Oversold (RSI 33–40)
| Ticker |
RSI |
Price |
Trend |
Signal |
Action |
Notes |
| WMT |
34.1 |
$120.27 |
— |
DC |
📈 ACCUMULATE |
Earnings shock selloff. Quality compounder at discount. RSI 34.1, -9.18% 7D. Accumulate in tranches. |
| DE |
32.4 |
$529.15 |
— |
DC |
📈 ACCUMULATE |
Deere -5.64% 7D, -18% 3M. Quality at discount. Food security thesis + AI automation. Accumulate carefully; death cross overhead. |
| LULU |
39.3 |
— |
down |
DC |
📈 ACCUMULATE CAREFULLY |
Lululemon approaching oversold. burry-13f paper position -27.57% PnL. Cultural thesis intact (aspirational athleisure). Confirmed pullback, not structural break. Small tranches only. |
| GLD |
39.6 |
$413.82 |
— |
— |
👁 WATCH $400 |
Gold approaching SMA200 $400.12. If holds $400 = buy; if breaks = structural shift. KEY LEVEL THIS WEEK. |
| GDX |
39.6 |
$85.02 |
— |
DC |
👁 WATCH |
Gold miners approaching oversold. Leveraged gold thesis. Watch GLD $400 first. |
| NOC |
35 |
— |
— |
DC |
👁 WATCH |
Northrop -28.22% from ATH, RSI 35 approaching oversold. B-21 production milestone watch as mean-reversion catalyst. No position yet. |
| TMO |
39.9 |
— |
— |
— |
👁 WATCH |
Thermo Fisher approaching oversold. Quality lab equipment compounder. Watch for RSI 35 confirmation. |
| NEE |
38.8 |
— |
— |
GC |
👁 WATCH |
NextEra golden cross intact but RSI falling. AI power thesis. Watch for RSI stabilization. |
| URA |
41.2 |
$48.96 |
— |
DC |
👁 WATCH $48.19 |
Uranium ETF at SMA200 $48.19. If holds = accumulate; if breaks = wait. Death cross overhead. |
| BTC-USD |
37.3 |
$74,432 |
strong-down |
DC |
👁 WATCH $70K |
RSI 37.3, -41% from ATH. Approaching oversold. Watch $70K prior cycle high as structural support. Staged entry only after RSI 30 test. |
| EXPE |
36.2 |
— |
— |
— |
👁 WATCH |
Expedia approaching oversold. Travel leisure OTA. Monitor for RSI stabilization. |
| DPZ |
38.8 |
— |
— |
DC |
⛔ AVOID |
Domino's at RSI 38.8 but dead-cat risk. Death cross. Don't buy falling knife. |
Exit Alerts
Cybersec Pre-Print Trim (RSI 80+ Blowoff)
| Ticker |
RSI |
Print Date |
Action |
Notes |
| FTNT |
88.5 |
— |
✂️ TRIM |
Highest RSI in cybersec. Extended. Trim 25-30% of position into strength. Not a full exit — secular thesis intact. |
| CRWD |
87.4 |
6/3 |
✂️ TRIM BEFORE PRINT |
CrowdStrike printing 6/3. RSI 87.4 at near-ATH. High sell-the-news risk. Trim 20-25% before print. Hold core. Insiders net selling -$433M. |
| PANW |
84 |
6/2 |
✂️ TRIM BEFORE PRINT |
Palo Alto printing 6/2. RSI 84. Insider selling -$1.7B into strength. Trim 20% before print. |
| DDOG |
84.4 |
— |
✂️ TRIM |
Datadog RSI 84.4, +73.9% 30D. Insiders sold -$586M. Extended — trim 20%. |
| CSCO |
81 |
— |
👁 WATCH |
Cisco RSI 81. Monitor for RSI rollover. Trim on any technical breakdown. |
| ZS |
73.6 |
5/26 |
👁 WATCH PRINT |
Zscaler printing 5/26. RSI 73.6 — most room for recovery post-print. Hold but watch reaction. |
Memory Parabolic (Extreme SMA200 Extension)
| Ticker |
RSI |
vs SMA200 |
Action |
Notes |
| MU |
65 |
+132.9% |
🔒 HOLD |
Best entry if RSI cools to 55. SMA20 pullback ~$650 is the zone. No new positions at current levels. |
| STX |
68.4 |
+130.5% |
🔒 HOLD |
Near ATH (-3.4%). Don't add. Hold with SMA20 trailing stops. |
| WDC |
63.5 |
+118.8% |
🔒 HOLD |
Near ATH (-7.8%). Don't add. Steady. |
| ALAB |
79 |
+79.7% |
✂️ TRIM |
Astera Labs RSI 79, +43% 7D. Monster-scan candidate for trim. Take 20-25% off table. |
| ARM |
76.6 |
+108.4% |
🔒 HOLD ONLY |
Still extended at RSI 76.6. +48.7% 7D. No new positions. Hold with stops at SMA20. |
| SMTC |
77 |
— |
✂️ TRIM |
Semtech RSI 77. Trim into strength. |
Parabolic Momentum (Other Extended Names)
| Ticker |
RSI |
Action |
Notes |
| ENPH |
78.1 |
⛔ AVOID |
Enphase +77.1% 30D. RSI 78.1 — don't chase. |
| WOLF |
76.3 |
⛔ AVOID |
Wolfspeed +154% 30D. Momentum spike — extreme extension vs SMA200. |
| DDOG |
84.4 |
✂️ TRIM |
See cybersec table above. |
| BB |
85.1 |
✂️ TRIM |
BlackBerry RSI 85.1. Monster-scan trim candidate. |
Real-Money USER Advisories (NOT auto-sell — yawnxyz-active)
GUARDRAIL: yawnxyz-active is a real account. These are informational advisories only. User must make all decisions.
| Ticker |
Status |
Advisory |
| MDT |
🚨 STOP BREACHED |
April actions set stop at $83. Current price: $78.60 (-$4.40 below stop). RSI 44.5, death cross, -19.6% 3M, -26.1% from ATH. USER DECISION REQUIRED: (1) Accept the loss and exit, (2) Re-evaluate stop to $75-76 SMA-based level, or (3) Average down with conviction. This is not a trivial gap — $78.60 represents structural deterioration. Recommend reviewing MDT thesis freshness before deciding. |
| BTC (GBTC mini) |
⚠️ BELOW PRIOR REFERENCE |
BTC now $74,432 (-41% from ATH). April reference had GBTC mini stop at $34.04. BTC has continued lower. USER DECISION REQUIRED: (1) Has stop been triggered / did you exit? (2) If still holding, reassess risk tolerance vs current level. RSI 37.3 approaching oversold — not yet capitulation (RSI 25-30 is the floor zone). Do not add until RSI approaches 30 or breaks $70K support holds. |
Price Alerts
| Level |
Ticker |
Direction |
Catalyst |
Date |
| $215 SMA20 |
NVDA |
HOLD |
Pre-print consolidation level. Print 5/28. Hold all AI ecosystem through print. |
5/28 |
| $78.20 SMA50 |
ZS |
WATCH |
Zscaler print 5/26. RSI 73.6 — healthiest cybersec setup. |
5/26 |
| RSI 90 rollover |
PANW |
TRIM TRIGGER |
RSI 84 → if approaches 90 and rolls, accelerate trim. Print 6/2. |
6/2 |
| RSI 90 rollover |
CRWD |
TRIM TRIGGER |
RSI 87.4 → highest sell-the-news risk in cybersec. Print 6/3. |
6/3 |
| $400.12 SMA200 |
GLD |
BUY/BREAK |
Gold SMA200 at $400.12. Hold above = accumulate; break below = structural bear signal for gold. |
ongoing |
| $48.19 SMA200 |
URA |
ACCUMULATE/BREAK |
Uranium ETF at SMA200. Hold = accumulate; break = wait for stabilization. |
ongoing |
| $70,000 |
BTC |
SUPPORT |
Prior cycle high as structural floor. Break below = accelerated drawdown risk. RSI 37 approaching oversold. |
ongoing |
| $85,000 |
BTC |
BULL RESUMPTION |
BTC bull resumption signal if reclaims $85K with RSI>50. |
ongoing |
| RSI 25 |
ETH-USD |
CAPITULATION ENTRY |
Watch RSI 25 floor on ETH for staged entry signal. Current RSI 28.7. |
ongoing |
| $510-530 |
MLM |
ENTRY ZONE |
MLM aggregates entry only if RSI<25 AND price tests $510-530. Current RSI 27. |
ongoing |
| $338-341 |
GD |
ENTRY ZONE |
General Dynamics lone defense GC outperformer. Entry zone active. |
ongoing |
| $154.03 |
ANET |
ACCUMULATE |
Arista healthiest networking RSI (53.9). Accumulate on dips to SMA20. |
ongoing |
| $650+ |
MU |
ENTRY ZONE |
MU SMA20 pullback = entry zone for best memory thesis. Current $751. |
ongoing |
| $87.20 |
P (Everpure) |
WATCH |
New AI storage play (fka PSTG). RSI 67.9, +24.6% 30D. Death cross still active — watch for trend flip before adding. |
ongoing |
Carry-Forward from 2026-04-26 Actions
Evolved / Status Updated
| Alert |
April Status |
Current Status |
| MDT $83 stop |
ACTIVE |
🚨 BREACHED — MDT at $78.60. USER advisory above. |
| BTC GBTC mini $34.04 |
ACTIVE |
⚠️ EVOLVED — BTC lower at $74,432. USER advisory above. |
| AMZN trim alert (RSI 80) |
ACTIVE |
✅ RESOLVED — AMZN RSI reset to 58.3. Trim likely triggered. Now golden cross, healthy. |
| ARM $190 entry alert |
ACTIVE |
✅ TRIGGERED/EXPIRED — ARM at $306.51. Well above $190 — alert no longer relevant. |
| AMD $280-300 zone |
ACTIVE |
✅ TRIGGERED/EXPIRED — AMD at $467.51. Well above zone. |
| RKLB RSI 50 reclaim |
ACTIVE |
✅ TRIGGERED — RKLB RSI 68.8. Reclaimed RSI 50+. |
Still Active (Copy Forward)
| Alert |
Level |
Status |
Notes |
| GLD SMA200 watch |
$400.12 |
🔄 ACTIVE |
Gold approaching SMA200. See Price Alerts above. |
| BTC $80K resistance |
$80,000 |
🔄 ACTIVE |
BTC at $74,432 — still below $80K resistance. Bull resumption signal if reclaims. |
| NVDA SMA20 pullback |
SMA20 ~$215 |
🔄 ACTIVE |
NVDA at $215.33 RSI 53.6. Pre-print consolidation. Print 5/28. |
| Defense GD entry |
$338-341 |
🔄 ACTIVE |
GD RSI 53, only defense golden cross. Entry zone still valid. |
| LMT/NOC RSI upturn |
RSI watch |
🔄 ACTIVE — EVOLVING |
NOC RSI now 35 (approaching oversold). B-21 milestone watch active. LMT RSI 47.1. |
| LITE accumulate zone |
SMA20 dip |
🔄 ACTIVE |
LITE RSI 53.1, +13.1% 30D. Optical supercycle thesis. Accumulate on dips. |
| MOS Stage-4 trigger |
Watch |
🔄 ACTIVE |
MOS death cross, -41% from ATH. Stage-4 breakdown confirmed. DO NOT BUY — food security names broken. |
| TSM SMA20 add |
$343 |
🔄 ACTIVE — ABOVE |
TSM at $404.52, RSI 55.2. Still accumulate thesis but above original $343 alert. Update level to SMA20 (~$380). |
Action Matrix
| Priority |
Action |
Ticker(s) |
Rationale |
| 🚨 P0 |
USER DECISION: MDT real-money stop |
MDT |
$78.60 vs $83 stop. Breached. Review thesis + decide exit/reset/average. |
| 🚨 P0 |
USER DECISION: BTC GBTC mini |
BTC |
$74,432 vs $34.04 prior stop. Well below. Assess position status. |
| ✂️ TRIM |
Pre-print cybersec |
FTNT, CRWD, PANW, DDOG |
RSI 84-89. Print dates 5/26-6/3. Trim 20-25% before prints. Insider selling confirms. |
| ✂️ TRIM |
Optical/memory extended |
ALAB, SMTC, BB |
RSI 77-85. Monster-scan trim candidates. Take profits. |
| 🔒 HOLD |
AI infra core |
NVDA, TSM, ASML, AMZN |
RSI 53-62. Healthy structure. Hold and add on SMA20 pullbacks. Print 5/28 for NVDA. |
| 🔒 HOLD |
Memory core |
MU, STX, WDC |
RSI 63-68. Parabolic but intact. Hold with SMA20 trailing stops. No new entries at +118-133% vs SMA200. |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE |
WMT earnings shock |
WMT |
RSI 34.1, -9.18% 7D. Quality compounder at discount. Accumulate tranches. |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE |
Deere quality dip |
DE |
RSI 32.4, -18% 3M. Food security + AI automation thesis. Tranches; death cross overhead. |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE |
LULU carefully |
LULU |
RSI 39.3. Paper position already. Cultural thesis intact. Small tranches only. |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE |
ASML cleanest AI entry |
ASML |
RSI 62, near ATH (-1.3%), +39.1% vs SMA200. Best risk/reward in AI infra. |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE |
BITQ crypto exposure |
BITQ |
RSI 58.1, golden cross. Best risk-adjusted crypto play vs direct BTC/ETH. |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE |
DRAM ETF passive memory |
DRAM |
RSI 65.9, +45.3% 30D. Passive memory thesis without single-stock risk. |
| 👁 WATCH |
GLD SMA200 |
GLD |
$400.12 is the line. Buy above; respect break below. |
| 👁 WATCH |
ETH capitulation |
ETH-USD |
RSI 28.7. Watch RSI 25 floor for staged entry. Not yet. |
| 👁 WATCH |
BTC $70K support |
BTC-USD |
RSI 37. Watch $70K prior cycle high. Below = accelerated drawdown. |
| 👁 WATCH |
URA SMA200 |
URA |
At $48.19 SMA200. Hold = accumulate; break = wait. |
| 👁 WATCH |
NOC B-21 catalyst |
NOC |
RSI 35 approaching oversold. Mean-reversion setup if B-21 milestone announced. |
| 👁 WATCH |
MLM capitulation |
MLM |
RSI 27, entry only at RSI<25 + $510-530 zone. Aggregates quality compounder. |
| ⛔ AVOID |
Falling knives |
ZTS, REGN, SRPT, NKTR, NIO, LI |
RSI 28-33 WITH death cross AND no catalyst. Don't catch. |
| ⛔ AVOID |
Extended RSI blowoffs |
ENPH, WOLF, ARM (new entries) |
RSI 76-81. Don't chase momentum at +108%+ vs SMA200. |
| ⛔ AVOID |
Crypto broad |
COIN, MSTR, GBTC, XRP, ADA |
BTC/ETH retreating. Wait for floor before adding any crypto exposure. |
| ⛔ AVOID |
Food security broken |
MOS, FMC |
Death crosses, -41% and -71% from ATH. Stage-4 breakdowns. |
R30-A Phase 4. Sources: 29 scan files + candidate files (ai-infra, memory, crypto) + 2026-04-26 actions carry-forward + positions JSON. Date: 2026-05-23.
Sources
- Tape data (price/RSI/trend figures): desk pre-computed watchlist summaries as of the artifact date — *.